吉林省通榆县土地沙化现状分析与综合治理

通榆县是吉林省土地沙化最严重的典型县之一 ,沙化土地面积为 19 75 5× 10 4 hm2 ,占吉林省土地总面积的 2 3 0 %。日趋严重的土地沙化 ,己成为这一地区农业和经济可持续发展最为主要的障碍性因子。通榆县近几十年来的土地沙化 ,主要是在自然背景下 ,人为的影响因素强烈干扰所致 ;过度的人为经济活动对资源的破坏是造成本区土地沙化迅速发展的最主要原因。因此 ,必须坚持人与自然和谐共存的原则 ,并辅之以限制人为过度经济活动的配套措施 ,才能有效地防治土地沙化     

乌鲁木齐河东河西矿区煤层气储层特征

乌鲁木齐河东河西矿区早-中侏罗纪富煤带,聚集着丰富的煤层气资源,笔者通过对该区煤层气赋存的地质条件、储层特征、资源量、煤层气保存条件的专门研究,评价出了有利区块,为下一步煤层气勘探提供了依据。本文主要通过实际采样测试,对该区煤储层的含气性、吸附性、孔隙结构、渗透性等进行了系统研究,探讨本区煤层气有利于勘探开发的储层条件。     

Simulation of the Load-Unload Response Ratio and Critical Sensitivity in the Lattice Solid Model

— The Load-Unload Response Ratio (LURR) method is an intermediate-term earthquake prediction approach that has shown considerable promise. It involves calculating the ratio of a specified energy release measure during loading and unloading where loading and unloading periods are determined from the earth tide induced perturbations in the Coulomb Failure Stress on optimally oriented faults. In the lead-up to large earthquakes, high LURR values are frequently observed a few months or years prior to the event. These signals may have a similar origin to the observed accelerating seismic moment release (AMR) prior to many large earthquakes or may be due to critical sensitivity of the crust when a large earthquake is imminent. As a first step towards studying the underlying physical mechanism for the LURR observations, numerical studies are conducted using the particle based lattice solid model (LSM) to determine whether LURR observations can be reproduced. The model is initialized as a heterogeneous 2-D block made up of random-sized particles bonded by elastic-brittle links. The system is subjected to uniaxial compression from rigid driving plates on the upper and lower edges of the model. Experiments are conducted using both strain and stress control to load the plates. A sinusoidal stress perturbation is added to the gradual compressional loading to simulate loading and unloading cycles and LURR is calculated. The results reproduce signals similar to those observed in earthquake prediction practice with a high LURR value followed by a sudden drop prior to macroscopic failure of the sample. The results suggest that LURR provides a good predictor for catastrophic failure in elastic-brittle systems and motivate further research to study the underlying physical mechanisms and statistical properties of high LURR values. The results provide encouragement for earthquake prediction research and the use of advanced simulation models to probe the physics of earthquakes.     

成都市土地利用现状遥感调查研究

利用美国陆地卫星TM遥感图像资料，对成都市土地利用现状进行调查研究，全面系统地查明了成都市土地利用状况及其分布规律，分析与评价了土地利用的合理程度，揭示了土地利用中存在的主要问题，并提出了土地资源可持续利用的对策与建议，可为政府有关部门合理利用土地资源，制定国土整治规划提供科学依据。     

北太平洋冬季阻塞性高压对船舶西行航线的影响*

通过对近10年北太平洋冬季阻塞性高压的建立、维持及崩溃的天气形势分析，结合船舶气象导航的原理、气象航线的设计以及影响航线选择的因素，指出了有利于北太平洋冬季西行高纬度航线的阻塞高压形式，为船舶西行选择高纬度航线提供了气象理论依据。     

Load-Unload Response Ratio and Accelerating Moment/Energy Release Critical Region Scaling and Earthquake Prediction

-- The main idea of the Load-Unload Response Ratio (LURR) is that when a system is stable, its response to loading corresponds to its response to unloading, whereas when the system is approaching an unstable state, the response to loading and unloading becomes quite different. High LURR values and observations of Accelerating Moment/Energy Release (AMR/AER) prior to large earthquakes have led different research groups to suggest intermediate-term earthquake prediction is possible and imply that the LURR and AMR/AER observations may have a similar physical origin. To study this possibility, we conducted a retrospective examination of several Australian and Chinese earthquakes with magnitudes ranging from 5.0 to 7.9, including Australia's deadly Newcastle earthquake and the devastating Tangshan earthquake. Both LURR values and best-fit power-law time-to-failure functions were computed using data within a range of distances from the epicenter. Like the best-fit power-law fits in AMR/AER, the LURR value was optimal using data within a certain epicentral distance implying a critical region for LURR. Furthermore, LURR critical region size scales with mainshock magnitude and is similar to the AMR/AER critical region size. These results suggest a common physical origin for both the AMR/AER and LURR observations. Further research may provide clues that yield an understanding of this mechanism and help lead to a solid foundation for intermediate-term earthquake prediction.     

克孜尔水库大坝的地震安全性评估

通过对克孜尔水库地震活动和地震地质构造背景，地震危险性，地震动力反应等的分析，评估土坝的抗震性能与安全性，并对大坝及库区周围的地质灾害进行了预测。     

Study on Paleoenvironment since Late GlacialEpoch in Lanzhou Area, China

The Hongzuisi Section in Lanzhou area is used to infer the paleoclimate since the late glacial epoch. Through combined analysis of organic carbon isotope and CaCO3 content, paleoenvironment evolution of Hongzuisi Section since the late glacial epoch is discussed. There were changes in both dry-moist and warm-cold. Especially the climate changes can be compared with synchronous sections of other areas, which provides useful information for our future forecast.     

Preface

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