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941.
This study compares the impacts of interannual Arctic sea ice loss and ENSO events on winter haze days in mainland China through observational analyses and AGCM sensitivity experiments. The results suggest that (1) Arctic sea ice loss favors an increase in haze days in central–eastern China; (2) the impact of ENSO is overall contained within southern China, with increased (reduced) haze days during La Niña (El Niño) winters; and (3) the impacts from sea ice loss and ENSO are linearly additive. Mechanistically, Arctic sea ice loss causes quasi-barotropic positive height anomalies over the region from northern Europe to the Ural Mountains (Urals in brief) and weak and negative height anomalies over the region from central Asia to northeastern Asia. The former favors intensified frequency of the blocking over the regions from northern Europe to the Urals, whereas the latter favors an even air pressure distribution over Siberia, Mongolia, and East Asia. This large-scale circulation pattern favors more frequent occurrence of calm and steady weather in northern China and, as a consequence, increased occurrence of haze days. In comparison, La Niña (El Niño) exerts its influence along a tropical pathway by inducing a cyclonic (anticyclonic) lower-tropospheric atmospheric circulation response over the subtropical northwestern Pacific. The northeasterly (southwesterly) anomaly at the northwestern rear of the cyclone (anticyclone) causes reduced (intensified) rainfall over southeastern China, which favors increased (reduced) occurrence of haze days through the rain-washing effect. 相似文献
942.
Many individual-level behaviors are associated with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Reliable and valid assessment instruments are needed to (1) identify behaviors and populations to target with emissions-reduction programs and policies, (2) evaluate the effectiveness of such programs, (3) link self-reported and objective measures of GHG emissions to establish the impact of specific behaviors, and (4) estimate frequencies of behaviors and their changes over time to aid policy makers in understanding energy consumption trends. The self-administered Stanford Climate Change Behavior Survey (SCCBS) is shown to be a reliable and valid instrument that can be used for these purposes in college students, and we anticipate that it will also be useful for assessing these behaviors in other adolescent or adult populations in developed countries. Questions included behaviors likely to be within the control of most individuals and did not include behaviors specific to home owners (e.g. appliance purchases). Ten indices were identified: Energy Use, No-, Low-, and High-GHG Transportation, Waste, Food Packaging, High- and Low-GHG Food, Food Purchasing, and GHG Credits use. A Total GHG Behavior score was calculated. Test–retest reliabilities of individual items ranged from .64 to .91. Internal consistency reliabilities for each of the indices ranged from .51 to .89. Most indices were statistically significantly correlated with one another. Correlational validity of the SCCBS was demonstrated with statistically significant associations between behavior scores and perceived importance of environmental sustainability and membership in an environmental organization. The use of the SCCBS to identify potential target sub-populations and behaviors was demonstrated. 相似文献
943.
So-Min Cheong 《Climatic change》2011,106(1):57-70
The paper focuses on relocation, retreat, zoning, insurance, and subsidy as major dimensions of coastal hazard mitigation measures that have resurfaced as potent forces for combating coastal inundation and climate change. It reviews the issues surrounding the practice of these measures and discusses compatibilities of policies, engineering measures, and natural defense. Property rights, development interest, and distorted financial incentives pose as main barriers to coastal relocation and retreat policies in hazard-prone areas. To understand and propose coastal adaptation solutions, the paper recommends place-based studies of local coastal adaptation strategies. Place-based studies offer an in-depth knowledge of local conditions specifically regarding the level of implementation of hazard mitigation policies, and shed light on important trade-offs and synergies of various hazard policies. In addition, coupling existing hazard mitigation policies with coastal management and community management can better inform long-term and comprehensive planning of coastal adaptation. 相似文献
944.
Data collected during July and August from the Arctic Ocean Experiment 2001 illustrated a common occurrence of specific-humidity
(q) inversions, where moisture increases with height, coinciding with temperature inversions in the central Arctic boundary
layer and lower troposphere. Low-level stratiform clouds and their relationship to temperature inversions are examined using
radiosonde data and data from a suite of remote sensing instrumentation. Two low-level cloud regimes are identified: the canonical
case of stratiform clouds, where the cloud tops are capped by the temperature inversion base (CCI—Clouds Capped by Inversion)
and clouds where the cloud tops were found well inside the inversion (CII—Clouds Inside Inversion). The latter case was found
to occur more than twice as frequently than the former. The characteristic of the temperature inversion is shown to have an
influence on the cloud regime that was supported. Statistical analyses of the cloud regimes using remote sensing instruments
suggest that CCI cases tend to be dominated by single-phase liquid cloud droplets; radiative cooling at the cloud top limits
the vertical extent of such clouds to the inversion base height. The CII cases, on the other hand, display characteristics
that can be divided into two situations—(1) clouds that only slightly penetrate the temperature inversion and exhibit a microphysical
signal similar to CCI cases, or (2) clouds that extend higher into the inversion and show evidence of a mixed-phase cloud
structure. An important interplay between the mixed-phase structure and an increased potential for turbulent mixing across
the inversion base appears to support the lifetime of CII cases existing within the inversion layer. 相似文献
945.
Based on gradient transport theory or K-theory, turbulent transport in the atmosphere has long been parameterized using the
eddy diffusivity. Due to its simplicity, this approach has often been applied in many numerical models but rarely tested with
observations. Here, the widely used O’Brien cubic polynomial approach has been validated together with an exponential approach
against eddy diffusivity profiles determined from measurements and from large-eddy simulation data in stable conditions. Verification
is completed by analyzing the variability effects on pollutant concentrations of two different vertical diffusion (K(z)) schemes incorporated in an atmospheric chemical model. It is shown that the analytical, exponential solution agrees better
with observations than the O’Brien profile and should be used henceforth in practical applications. 相似文献
946.
Climate is simulated for reference and mitigation emissions scenarios from Integrated Assessment Models using the Bern2.5CC
carbon cycle–climate model. Mitigation options encompass all major radiative forcing agents. Temperature change is attributed
to forcings using an impulse–response substitute of Bern2.5CC. The contribution of CO2 to global warming increases over the century in all scenarios. Non-CO2 mitigation measures add to the abatement of global warming. The share of mitigation carried by CO2, however, increases when radiative forcing targets are lowered, and increases after 2000 in all mitigation scenarios. Thus,
non-CO2 mitigation is limited and net CO2 emissions must eventually subside. Mitigation rapidly reduces the sulfate aerosol loading and associated cooling, partly
masking Greenhouse Gas mitigation over the coming decades. A profound effect of mitigation on CO2 concentration, radiative forcing, temperatures and the rate of climate change emerges in the second half of the century. 相似文献
947.
Wang Huijun 《大气科学进展》2009,26(4):613-613
Climate change is one of the most challenging issues faced by human beings. Although many remarkable achievements have been made in climate change research,there is still a tremendous amount of uncertainty in 相似文献
948.
Parameterization of Sheared Convective Entrainment in the First-Order Jump Model: Evaluation Through Large-Eddy Simulation 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
In this note, two different approaches are used to estimate the entrainment-flux to surface-flux ratio for a sheared convective
boundary layer (CBL); both are derived under the framework of the first-order jump model (FOM). That suggested by Sun and
Wang (SW approach) has the advantage that there is no empirical constant included, though the dynamics are described in an
implicit manner. The second, which was proposed by Kim et al. and Pino et al. (KP approach), explicitly characterizes the
dynamics of the sheared entrainment, but uncertainties are induced through the empirical constants. Their performances in
parameterizing the CBL growth rate are compared and discussed, and a new value of the parameter A
3 in the KP approach is suggested. Large-eddy simulation (LES) data are employed to test both approaches: simulations are conducted
for the CBL growing under varying conditions of surface roughness, free-atmospheric stratification, and wind shear, and data
used when the turbulence is in steady state. The predicted entrainment rates in each case are tested against the LES data.
The results show that the SW approach describes the evolution of the sheared CBL quite well, and the KP approach also reproduces
the growth of the CBL reasonably, so long as the value of A
3 is modified to 0.6. 相似文献
949.
The potential role of tropical Pacific forcing in driving the seasonal variability of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) is explored
using both observational data and a simple general circulation model (SGCM). A lead–lag regression technique is first applied
to the monthly averaged sea surface temperature (SST) and the AO index. The AO maximum is found to be related to a negative
SST anomaly over the tropical Pacific three months earlier. A singular value decomposition (SVD) analysis is then performed
on the tropical Pacific SST and the sea level pressure (SLP) over the Northern Hemisphere. An AO-like atmospheric pattern
and its associated SST appear as the second pair of SVD modes. Ensemble integrations are carried out with the SGCM to test
the atmospheric response to different tropical Pacific forcings. The atmospheric response to the linear fit of the model’s
empirical forcing associated with the SST variability in the second SVD modes strongly projects onto the AO. Idealized thermal
forcings are then designed based on the regression of the seasonally averaged tropical Pacific precipitation against the AO
index. Results indicate that forcing anomalies over the western tropical Pacific are more effective in generating an AO-like
response while those over the eastern tropical Pacific tend to produce a Pacific-North American (PNA)-like response. The physical
mechanisms responsible for the energy transport from the tropical Pacific to the extratropical North Atlantic are investigated
using wave activity flux and vorticity forcing formalisms. The energy from the western tropical Pacific forcing tends to propagate
zonally to the North Atlantic because of the jet stream waveguide effect while the transport of the energy from the eastern
tropical Pacific forcing mostly concentrates over the PNA area. The linearized SGCM results show that nonlinear processes
are involved in the generation of the forced AO-like pattern. 相似文献
950.
结合学习中国气象事业发展战略研究成果,深入分析了县级气象局的基本状况、社会地位以及存在的困难和问题与中国气象事业发展战略要求的差距,阐述了当前适合县级气象局发展的思路和对策. 相似文献