长白山天池火山岩浆系统分析

针对外媒报道长白山天池火山在近2年内有可能喷发的言论,在长白山天池火山区布测了一条长度约为103 km的二维大地电磁测深观测剖面,对火山区深部电性结构进行探测研究.由于研究区内不明来源的电磁干扰非常强,对数据采用了远参考处理、Robust处理、Rhoplus分析、张量阻抗分解和基于一维层状介质电阻率与相位互算方法等先进处理技术,获取到一批在强干扰区质量较为可靠的电磁数据,利用数据计算分析了长白山天池火山区二维构造走向和感应矢量特征,采用NLCG二维反演技术对资料进行了二维反演解释,并将反演结果与前人探测结果进行了对比分析.探测结果表明:在天池火山口下方存在明显的直立型岩浆通道,岩浆通道在下方约5~8 km位置形成关闭;在火山口下方往北方向附近,在埋深位置约7 km深处存在一个明显的低阻异常体,电阻率小于10 Ωm,且与岩浆通道对接,推测其可能是地表浅部发育的岩浆囊;在长白山山门附近C07-C09号测点之间和C04-C05号测点之间,在埋深约7~17 km深处发现近直立型低阻带,低阻带与下方低阻体直接相连,推测低阻带内赋存有活动的岩浆;随着埋深的增加,从天池火山口南部约20 km位置往北方向,在埋深13~30 km之间壳内广泛发育明显的低阻异常体,推测其可能是活动的岩浆囊.反演结果与前人探测结果整体电性特征相似,但又局部不同.     

Time‐lapse pre‐stack seismic data registration and inversion for CO2 sequestration study at Cranfield

Pre‐stack seismic data are indicative of subsurface elastic properties within the amplitude versus offset characteristic and can be used to detect elastic rock property changes caused by injection. We perform time‐lapse pre‐stack 3‐D seismic data analysis for monitoring sequestration at Cranfield. The time‐lapse amplitude differences of Cranfield datasets are found entangled with time‐shifts. To disentangle these two characters, we apply a local‐correlation‐based warping method to register the time‐lapse pre‐stack datasets, which can effectively separate the time‐shift from the time‐lapse seismic amplitude difference without changing the original amplitudes. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our registration method by evaluating the inverted elastic properties. These inverted time‐lapse elastic properties can be reliably used for monitoring plumes.     

基于ArcGIS的场地地震稳定性分析方法

场地地震稳定性一直是岩土工程和工程抗震领域非常关注的问题之一,对防灾减灾意义重大。本文提出一套基于ArcGIS评价场地地震稳定性的技术方法,即将ArcGIS与层次分析法相结合,分析处理主要影响场地地震稳定性的因素,最终得出场地地震稳定性区划图。该方法中ArcGIS可将众因素分散的基础数据处理成系统的数字化与可视化的属性数据库和空间数据库,并可在此基础上进行数据运算和等级自动划分;而层次分析法是数据运算的基础,该方法分别对各个因素内部不同区域的特性和各要素之间对场地地震稳定性影响的权重进行定量分析,以便在ArcGIS中进行叠加运算。以唐山地区为例,对上述方法进行了专题论证,得出该地区的场地地震稳定性的等级区划图,划分的区域与地震灾害专家对唐山大地震发生三天后拍摄的航拍片的解译进行对比,结果基本吻合。这验证了本文所用技术方法在分析场地地震稳定性方面的适用性,为我国的防灾减灾计划和国土资源的规划利用提供依据。     

中国东部夏季持续性降水日变化在淮河南北的差异分析

本文利用1961-2006年我国285站观测的逐时降水数据,分析了中国东部不同地区夏季平均降水日变化随降水持续时间的变化特征. 虽然整个东部地区都表现为短时降水峰值较一致地出现在下午17时左右,持续较长时间降水在清晨前后发生峰值降水,但持续性降水日变化的平均峰值时间以淮河为界存在显著南北差异. 北部地区的持续性降水峰值主要出现在02-06时前后;南部地区的持续性降水峰值时间出现在06-10时. 无论是降水强度或频次的日变化峰值的南北差异均较明显,但降水强度差异更为突出,且主要表现在持续性强降水中. 进一步分析发现：一方面北部地区持续性强降水开始时间较南部地区更早;另一方面,北部地区降水从开始到峰值经历的时间更短. 最后,对持续性强降水峰值时间南北差异的可能原因进行了初步讨论.     

膝关节痛风性关节炎的CT与MRI分析

目的：探讨膝关节痛风性关节炎的CT和MRI影像特征。方法：回顾分析经手术病理证实的21例膝关节痛风性关节炎的CT和MRI表现,其中12例CT,14例MRI。结果：所有病例均能发现痛风结节,CT显示45个,MRI显示48个,痛风结节位于肌腱和韧带共58个,滑膜或关节腔内15个,骨内11个,其他软组织9个。形态呈条块状31个,结节状31个,线状4个,不规则形27个。骨质破坏CT共发现21处,MRI发现24处,位于骨边缘共30处;MRI显示5处骨质破坏周围骨髓水肿。痛风结节在T1WI均呈低至中等信号;T2WI上39个呈混杂信号,6个呈高信号,3个呈低信号。在5例均行CT及MRI检查膝关节比较中：CT显示痛风结节21个,MRI显示痛风结节18个;CT和MRI在显示骨质破坏的部位均为12处,MRI显示骨髓水肿4处;MRI显示软骨异常共5处。结论：膝关节痛风性关节炎在影像上有一定的特征性,CT更容易发现痛风结节,而MRI更合适于评估软组织情况及炎性改变,综合分析两种影像资料有助于准确诊断痛风性关节炎。     

Impact of global change on transmission of human infectious diseases

Global change,which refers to large-scale changes in the earth system and human society,has been changing the outbreak and transmission mode of many infectious diseases.Climate change affects infectious diseases directly and indirectly.Meteorological factors including temperature,precipitation,humidity and radiation influence infectious disease by modulating pathogen,host and transmission pathways.Meteorological disasters such as droughts and floods directly impact the outbreak and transmission of infectious diseases.Climate change indirectly impacts infectious diseases by altering the ecological system,including its underlying surface and vegetation distribution.In addition,anthropogenic activities are a driving force for climate change and an indirect forcing of infectious disease transmission.International travel and rural-urban migration are a root cause of infectious disease transmission.Rapid urbanization along with poor infrastructure and high disease risk in the rural-urban fringe has been changing the pattern of disease outbreaks and mortality.Land use changes,such as agricultural expansion and deforestation,have already changed the transmission of infectious disease.Accelerated air,road and rail transportation development may not only increase the transmission speed of outbreaks,but also enlarge the scope of transmission area.In addition,more frequent trade and other economic activities will also increase the potential risks of disease outbreaks and facilitate the spread of infectious diseases.     

The provenance of Gansu Group in Longxi region and implications for tectonics and paleoclimate

The Neogene sediments of Gansu Group from northwestern China contain eolian and fluvial deposits.The origins of these sediments are very important for exploring the onset of Asian inland aridification,the pattern of paleo-atmospheric circulation,and the regional tectonics and geomorphic evolution during the Miocene.Here we present detrital-zircon age spectra of typical eolian and fluvial deposits from highlands and subsidence basin,and compare them with those of surrounding eroded mountain(such as the West Qinling Mountains and Liupan Mountains)materials and Quaternary loess derived from the Asian inlands.The results reveal that(1)the detrital-zircon age spectrum of the Miocene eolian sample is remarkably different from the eroded materials of the West Qinling Mountains and the Miocene fluvial deposits from Tianshui region,but very similar to the Quaternary loess deposits.This indicates that the provenance of Miocene eolian sediments is similar with the Quaternary loess,and thus further confirms the previous conclusions that the distribution of Asian arid lands and the pattern of atmospheric circulation during the Miocene are broadly similar with the Quaternary.(2)The detrital-zircon age spectrum of the fluvial deposits(with age about 11.5 Ma)from Tianshui region is different from the eroded materials of West Qinling Mountains,but similar with that of the Liupan Mountains to the east,which may suggest that the Liupan Mountains have already been exhumed by11.5 Ma.     

四种南极数字高程模型的精度比较与分析

南极数字高程模型（DEM）是南极冰盖研究的基础数据,目前国际通用的全南极DEM数据主要有JLB97 DEM、RAMPv2 DEM、ICESat DEM以及Bamber 1km DEM. 利用DEM对DEM验证的方式对四种DEM的精度进行比较分析. 结果表明：Bamber 1km DEM和ICESat DEM之间的高程差异最小,平均高程差小于1.8 m,二者均有较高的可靠性. RAMPv2 DEM与Bamber 1km DEM的高程差大于1.9 m,在81.5° S以南和坡度较大的区域,高程差异更为明显,高程可靠性较低. JLB97 DEM与上述三种DEM的偏差超过10 m,高程可靠性最低.     

多年冻土区路基尺度效应对路面结构力学响应的影响

为了研究不同尺度路基融沉作用对路面结构层力学响应的影响,建立了基于热力耦合理论的有限元模型,系统研究不同路基尺度工况下,融沉作用对不同厚度路面、不同材料基层的力学分布规律影响. 结果表明：相同的融沉条件下,整体式路基较分离式及二级路基,变形分别增大45%、64%,应力增大17.5%、21.7%. 高速公路面层由于路基较宽,地基融沉更容易向上传递,进而导致面层底部应力增大,最终造成面层的破坏. 因此,路面设计过程中保证一定的面层厚度,并采用柔性基层减小模量,可有效以降低层底应力水平,并防止基层裂缝向上反射.     

祁连山疏勒河上游多年冻土区高寒草甸土壤CO2通量特征

研究青藏高原多年冻土区高寒草甸土壤CO₂通量有助于准确估算该区域的土壤CO₂排放, 对认识高原土壤碳循环及其对全球气候变化的响应具有重要意义. 利用静态箱-气相色谱法和LI-8100土壤CO₂通量自动测量系统对疏勒河上游多年冻土区高寒草甸土壤CO₂通量进行了定期观测, 结合气象和土壤环境因子进行了分析. 结果表明: 整个观测期高寒草甸土壤表现为CO₂的源, 土壤CO₂通量的日变化范围为2.52～532.81 mg·m^-2·h^-1. 土壤CO₂年排放总量为1 429.88 g·m^-2, 年均通量为163.23 mg·m^-2·h^-1; 其中, CO₂通量与空气温度和相对湿度、活动层表层2 cm、10 cm、20 cm、30 cm 土壤温度、含水量和盐分均显著相关. 2 cm土壤温度、空气温度和总辐射、空气温度、2 cm土壤盐分分别是影响活动层表层2 cm土壤完全融化期、冻结过程期、完全冻结期、融化过程期土壤CO₂通量的最重要因子. 在完全融化期、冻结过程期和整个观测期, 拟合最佳的温度因子变化分别能够解释土壤CO₂通量变化的72.0%、82.0%和38.0%, 对应的Q₁₀值分别为1.93、6.62和2.09. 冻融期(含融化过程期和冻结过程期)和完全冻结期的土壤CO₂排放量分别占年排放总量的15.35%和11.04%, 在年排放总量估算中不容忽视.