地震物理学展望

1998年 6月在美国南加州地震中心学术会议期间 ,曾举行过一次关于地震与断层行为的物理本质的讨论会 ,内容包括地震成核 ,断裂传播及抑制 ,地震活动的时空模式 ,断层的相互作用 ,断层系统的演化等。加深对地震物理过程的理解有助于提高对未来地震发生地点、震级、时间的概率估算能力 ,改善地震灾害的评估方法。它使科学家能把动态破裂与地震波传播的模拟结合到地震危险性分析模型中 ,从而合成设定地震的强地面运动时间过程 ,这是动态结构抗震设计的基础。这一问题牵涉到诸多领域 ,如连续介质力学、统计物理学、室内实验与野外观测等。来自各大学、美国地质调查局、国家实验室与政府机构的 5 3名代表参加了讨论会 ,对比各自的研究结果 ,讨论未来研究的关键性问题。以下是会议发言要点。Ｂｅｎ -Ｚｉｏｎ综述了在断裂力学、损伤流变学、颗粒力学 (ｇｒａｎｕｌａｒｍｅｃｈａｎｉｃｓ)、统计物理学方面的进展。当不存在一个统一的地震物理学框架时 ,连续固体材料的运动方程也许是一个好的选择。这些方程与尺度无关 ,即变形过程产生幂律统计学上的自相似模式。这种模式在地震现象中比比皆是。然而 ,在流变学与构造研究中 ,尺度效应会导致与自相似模     

从断层泥石英颗粒表面结构来判定断层的活动

由于沉坡地质过程、形成条件、诱发因素的复杂性、多样性及其变化的随机性、非稳定性，从而导致滑坡动态信息极难捕捉，加之滑坡动态监测技术的不成熟和滑坡研究理论的不完善，滑坡滑动时间的预测预报一直被认为是一十分困难的前沿课题。本文作者对此潜心研究多年，译者摘译其部分成果，以飨读者。     

南海海槽西部俯冲带日向滩地区俯冲九州-帕劳洋脊的成像

为了研究九州-帕劳洋脊（KPR）俯冲部分与同震破裂扩展、地震活动性和浅部甚低频地震的关系,对南海海槽西部俯冲带日向滩地区进行了三维地震层析成像。结合岸上和近海记录的主动源和被动源地震数据,成像了从该海槽轴附近到海岸地区的深部板块。我们的结果表明,俯冲的九州-帕劳洋脊为西北-东南向的低速带,向下扩展到约30km的深度。在这个深度,我们认为俯冲的九州-帕劳洋脊与板块分离,成为上覆大陆板块的底座。由于过去大地震的同震滑动地区没有延伸到俯冲的九州-帕劳洋脊,我们认为九州-帕劳洋脊可能阻碍了破裂的扩展。俯冲的九州-帕劳洋脊的内部在很宽的深度上分布有活跃的板内地震活动。浅部甚低频地震在俯冲的九州-帕劳洋脊上部连续发生,而在俯冲的九州-帕劳洋脊的东北部却是间歇地出现。因此,俯冲的九州-帕劳洋脊看来是这个地区同震破裂扩展和地震现象的一个重要因素。     

DEPTH-AVERAGED 2-D CALCULATION OF FLOW AND SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN CURVED CHANNELS

The helical flow significantly affects the flow, sediment transport and morphological evolution in curved channels. A semi-empirical formula is proposed to determine the cross-stream distribution of the helical flow intensity in the developed regions of a channel bend. It is then used to evaluate the dispersion terms in the depth-averaged 2-D momentum equations and suspended-load transport equation as well as the bed-load transport angle, thus enhancing the depth-averaged 2-D model to account for the effect of helical flow. The tests in several experimental and field cases show that the enhanced depth-averaged 2-D model can much more reasonably predict the shifting of main flow from inner bank to outer bank, the erosion along outer bank and deposition along inner bank than the depth-averaged 2-D model without considering this effect.     

A correlation between pulse diagnosis of human body and health monitoring of structures

The concept of health monitoring is a key aspect of the field of medicine that has been practiced for a long time. A commonly used diagnostic and health monitoring practice is pulse diagnosis, which can be traced back approximately five thousand years in the recorded history of China. With advances in the development of modem technology, the concept of health monitoring of a variety of engineering structures in several applications has begun to attract widespread attention. Of particular interest in this study is the health monitoring of civil structures. It seems natural, and even beneficial, that these two health-monitoring methods, one as applies to the human body and the other to civil structures, should be analyzed and compared. In this paper, the basic concepts and theories of the two monitoring methods are first discussed. Similarities are then summarized and commented upon. It is hoped that this correlation analysis may help provide structural engineers with some insights into the intrinsic concept of using pulse diagnosis in human health monitoring, which may be of some benefit in the development of modem structural health monitoring methods.     

中国客运交通的碳排放地理特征与展望

围绕全国、省市和“一带一路”三个空间层面,对1990-2012年中国客运交通的碳排放进行了估算和分析。研究表明：① 在全国层面上,公路是碳排放总量最大的运输方式,其次是航空,而铁路和水运的碳排放较低且保持稳定;② 在省市层面上,交通碳排放呈现出从东部向中、西部递减的趋势,并且空间分布越来越集中在东部省份;③ “一带一路”的主要城市中,“丝绸之路经济带”（简称“一带”）的沿线城市表现出较低的交通碳排放,而“21世纪海上丝绸之路”（简称“一路”）沿线的港口城市的交通碳排放较高,而且都以公路碳排放为主。未来在满足和控制交通需求的同时,有必要发展以铁路和公共交通为主的低碳交通模式,替代目前以公路为主的交通模式。     

Groundwater dynamics of Fongafale Islet, Funafuti Atoll, Tuvalu

Geoelectric and hydrologic surveys during spring tides revealed the spatiotemporal distribution of groundwater quality produced by tidal forcing in Fongafale Islet, Funafuti Atoll, Tuvalu. The observed low resistivity showed that saline water largely immersed the surficial Holocene aquifer, indicating that there is no thick freshwater lens in Fongafale Islet, unlike in other atoll islands of comparable size. Half of the islet was constructed by reclaiming the original swamp with porous, highly permeable coral blocks; this reclaimed area should not be considered as part of the islet width for calculation of the expected thickness of the freshwater lens. The degree of aquifer salinization depends on the topographic characteristics and the hydrologic controls on the inland propagation of the tidal forcing. Large changes in bulk resistivity and the electrical conductivity of groundwater from wells indicate that periodic salinization in phase with the semidiurnal tides was occurring widely, especially in areas at lower elevation than the high-tide level and in reclaimed areas with high permeability. Thin sheets of nearly fresh and brackish water were observed in the surficial aquifer in areas above the high-tide level and in taro swamps, respectively. The thinness of the brackish and freshwater sheets suggests that the taro swamps and the fresh groundwater resources of the islet are highly vulnerable to salinization from anticipated sea-level rise. An understanding of the inherent geologic and topographic features of an atoll is necessary to evaluate the groundwater resources of the atoll and assess the vulnerability of its water resources to climate change.     

Assessing a bioremediation strategy in a shallow coastal system affected by a fish farm culture--application of GIS and shellfish dynamic models in the Rio San Pedro, SW Spain

An integrated multi-trophic aquaculture assessment for Pacific oyster (Crassostrea gigas) aquaculture as a bioremediation strategy in areas impacted by fish farm effluents in Rio San Pedro was assessed by combining geographic information system with carrying capacity models. Sites of 0.44 km(2) were evaluated considering constraints; physical factors, growth and survival factors, environmental quality factors, water and sediment quality criteria, factor suitability ranges, and Multi-Criteria Evaluation. Isleta and Flamenco are promising sites for oyster production, and Dorada is of marginal interest. Carbon and nitrogen removal from the water by algae and through detritus filtration was estimated. The biodeposition of organic material from longline leases was found to have little negative impact on sediment. The eutrophication results indicate that phytoplankton removal had a positive impact on water quality at the Dorada. This case study quantified the direct profitability and bioremediative environmental service advantages that fish-shellfish farms can have relative to fish monocultures.     

Water quality assessment using satellite-derived chlorophyll-a within the European directives, in the southeastern Bay of Biscay

The implementation of water quality European Directives requires an intensification of water quality monitoring, within the limits of the Exclusive Economic Zone. Remote sensing technologies can provide a valuable tool for frequent, synoptic, water-quality observations, over large areas. The aim of this study is to assess the ecological status of Basque coastal water bodies using satellite imagery from MODIS sensor, together with optical and chlorophyll-ain situ measurements. Thus, sea surface satellite-derived chl-a algorithms, the OC3 M, OC5 and a Local empirical algorithm, were compared against in situ measurements using satellite in situ match-ups, 90th Percentile (P90) monthly values for the 2005-2010 period. The OC5 algorithm corresponded most accurately with in situ measurements performed in the area, hence, it was selected. A P90 chlorophyll-a map was created with this algorithm to apply the classification scheme required by the directives. The classification of water bodies, based upon satellite-derived chlorophyll-a, could improve considerably the assessment of water quality.