北京地区大气环流型及气候特征

以北京地区为研究对象,应用Lamb-Jenkinson大气环流分型方法对1948-2008年的逐日平均海平面气压场进行定量计算环流指数。通过对27类逐日环流分型结果的统计分析得出：北京地区主导环流类型依次为A型、C型和SW型,其频率分别为23.8 %、15.4%和7.0%;A和C环流型频率均呈逐年上升趋势,但A型频率上升速度远大于C型;春季北京主导环流类型为A型和C型,夏季主导环流型为C型和SW型,夏季CSW型环流所占比例也较大,秋季和冬季为A型。通过主导环流型和北京气温、降水之间变化规律的分析可知：冬季在A型环流的控制下北京地区多为低温晴好天气;夏季在C型环流的控制下北京地区降水增多,在SW型环流的控制下北京地区降水偏少,而CSW型环流控制下北京地区呈现干热天气状态,2000年后尤为明显。     

Sedimentary response to volcanic activity in the Okinawa Trough since the last deglaciation

To investigate the relationship between volcanic activity and sediment record on regional and temporal scales, 158 surface sediment samples were collected from the East China Sea Shelf to the northern Okinawa Trough (OT), and two cores recovered in the northern and southern OT, respectively. Mineralogy, grain-size, and geochemical analyses of those samples show that: 1) volcanic glass, volcanic-type pyroxene, hypersthenes, and magnetite increase in sediment influenced by volcanic activity; 2) sediment grain sizes (and also silt content) increase in ash layers; and 3) the contents of Na₂O and Zr are higher, while terrigenous elements, e.g., TFe₂O₃ and K₂O, and biogenous compositions, e.g., CaO and Sr, are relatively lower in ash layers than those of non-ash layers. The distribution of volcanic ash has three distinguishing characteristics: 1) volcanic ash is more abundant in the northern and central OT than the southern OT; 2) volcanic ash increases from continental shelf to the trough; 3) the sediment during the last 12 000 a suggests stronger volcanic events than during 15 000–12 000 a. The eruptive locations, frequency, and volume of calderas are among the most important factors controlling the distributions of volcanic ash. In addition, the main Kuroshio warm current that extends northward probably impeded the diffusion of volcanic ash to the west and south in the OT. However, a southward current probably carried some volcanic ash toward southern OT.     

环渤海地区1961-2007年极端强降水时空变化特征

20世纪90年代以来,环渤海地区降水总量持续偏少,极端强降水和干旱缺水问题十分突出。利用环渤海地区60个台站1961—2007年逐日降水资料,应用百分位方法确定极端强降水阈值,分析了极端强降水量、降水强度和频率的空间分布及时间变化趋势。结果表明:环渤海地区极端降水强度大、频率高的地区与年降水量高值区相一致,说明极端降水量的多少影响年降水量;极端降水日数呈减少趋势,特别是京津冀中部地区减少显著;极端降水多发生在7月中旬到8月中旬,最高频次在7月下旬,近10年极端降水季节分配比较分散,很少出现每候25站次以上的极端强降水;间隔30d以上的极端强降水近年来增加明显。     

唐代治乱分期与气候变化的关系*

将唐代定量划分为治世与乱世5个时期,探讨了唐代治乱分期与气候变化的关系。治世、乱世的划分标准参考一套系统的战争数据集,并用单因素方差分析的方法验证各项数据指标在治世与乱世间的差异性,从而说明唐代治世、乱世分期的合理性。治世、乱世分期结果如下: 公元618—626年为乱世,公元627—742年为治世,公元743—784年为乱世,公元785—859年为治世,公元860—907年为乱世。方差分析的结果显示,除了总边境战争外,气候变化、总战争、反叛战争、进攻型边境战争、防御型边境战争、农业丰歉等级和人口增长率在治世与乱世之间均表现出显著差异。用战争定量体现唐代社会治世、乱世变化,探讨气候变化与社会治、乱的关系即是探讨气候变化与战争的关系,乱世的主要战争类型是反叛战争和防御型边境战争,治世的主要战争类型是进攻型边境战争。相关分析结果表明,唐代温度降低、降水减少的时期,农业收成减少导致资源供给不足,更容易发生反叛战争;温度暖期、降水充沛的时期,农业产量提高,刺激了快速增长的人口,在技术改善能力有限、土地资源一定的情况下,更易发生以对外扩张为目的的边境战争,因此气候变化是影响唐代社会治乱变化的重要原因之一。     

Moving load response of an axially loaded Timoshenko beam on a multilayered transversely isotropic half-space comprising different media

This paper investigates the dynamic response of an axially loaded Timoshenko beam coupled with a multilayered transversely isotropic (TI) half-space subjected to a moving load. An axial force induced by the thermal expansion is taken into account in the Timoshenko beam. The half-space considers the alternate distribution of an arbitrary number of TI elastic and poroelastic layers to model foundation soils with different properties and moisture conditions. To solve the governing equations, Fourier transform is adopted. The stratified foundation is formulated by extending an “adapted stiffness matrix method” to a more general scenario with an arbitrary number of layers. The beam is then coupled with the foundation to derive solutions to the system in the frequency-wavenumber domain. The final results in the time-spatial domain are recovered by the inverse Fourier transform. After confirming the accuracy of the method in this study, the influences of the pore water existence, the transverse isotropy of different parameters, and the axial force are investigated. It can be observed that the effect of pore water existence on the maximum beam deflection can reach 22% in this study. The transverse isotropy of the elastic and shear moduli influences the critical speed of the beam deflection by altering the phase velocity of the first wave propagation mode of the beam-foundation system. The vertical permeability coefficient is more important than the horizontal one in determining the excess pore pressure. The rise of the beam temperature (axial force) decreases the critical speed and magnifies the vibrations.     

贵州龙里高山草原泥炭沉积年代、速率及其有机碳同位素记录

通过对贵州龙里高山草原泥炭进行加速器(AMS)14C测年和有机碳的测定,获得泥炭层底部0.90 m和0.55 m处年龄分别为(7 933±33)a B.P.和(7 733±28)a B.P.,计算出泥炭层堆积速率为1.75 mm/a。获得泥炭层δ13C为-28.9‰～-26.6‰,平均为-27.8‰,说明植被以C3植物为主,与现在坪台沼泽上苔藓繁盛相似。结合其他地区的气候记录推断,研究区泥炭发育于相对温暖湿润的气候环境,是全新世大暖期的第一个暖湿期形成的产物。     

基于偏正态概率分布的粒度分布次总体分离及其沉积环境指示意义

沉积物颗粒是某种沉积环境和水动力条件下多个沉积过程的最终产物。粒度分布是原始沉积信息的载体,是来自不同沉积过程的多个次总体的叠加,频率曲线可能表现为双峰或者多峰特征。传统的沉积学粒度分析方法并未深入研究次总体;常见的概率分布模型在分离次总体后无法全面计算统计参数。本文以214份鄱阳湖现代沉积物的粒度分布数据为例,利用偏正态概率分布模型共分离提取977个次总体,计算各个次总体的统计参数,并对比分析了不同沉积环境中次总体参数的异同。结果表明：① 次总体均值、方差、偏度、峰度、所占百分比和最大频率等参数规律明显;② 从曲流河河道到河流末端、在河流末端顺流方向上和河道左右两侧远离河道方向上,粒度分布中主要次总体粒度均值逐渐减小,河道间洼地和湖区沉积物粒度分布的各个次总体占比接近;③ 江心洲的河道砂和河漫滩细粒粒度分布分别由3种和5种不同类型次总体组成。该方法可为沉积环境的定量判断和沉积过程的定量研究提供参考。     

煤层气开采对环境的影响

煤层气是一种廉价、洁净、高效的新型能源,其开发利用可以弥补常规天然气和燃油的不足,750m^3煤层气可顶替1t标准煤。煤层气开发对环境的影响主要是减少了煤矿甲烷气体的排放,降低温室效应。其负面影响是在钻探、压裂、回注水和提纯过程中会造成煤层和煤层气中杂质气体和有毒有害物质富集,对大气和地下水造成污染。     

30ka以来南海东北部陆坡坡底沉积有机质的长链正构烷烃特征及其古植被意义

为探寻南海深海平原区的有机质组成特征、来源及其所反映的古气候/环境演化信息, 对南海东北部深水区的ZSQD289沉积柱状样品进行了正构烷烃组成及其单体稳定碳同位素的相关分析, 结合孢粉鉴定结果, 重点探讨该沉积区末次冰期以来陆源输入变化、源区的古植被演化及其气候响应因素。结果表明:30ka以来, 南海东北部深海陆坡坡底的沉积有机质以洋/陆混源为特征, 且以海洋自生生产力贡献为主, 其生源贡献存在明显的冰期/间冰期旋回变化特征, 冰期时陆源有机质输入明显高于全新世间冰期; 其陆源有机质应该主要由台湾南部河流输入, 在低海平面时通过海底峡谷搬运至此, 其过程中可能受到西太平洋底流和黑潮的影响。该沉积源区植被演化经历了C3/C4植物互为消长的变化过程, 但30ka以来主要还是以C3植物占优势, 由此推测末次冰期以来源区(台湾岛南部)不存在明显的干旱化, 冰期虽然温度较低但气候比较湿润。     

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