东海陆架盆地南部中生界分布特征与油气勘探前景

在充分利用前人对东海陆架盆地中生代油气勘探成果的基础上,对最新处理的地震剖面和重磁反演剖面进行了精细解释和综合研究,结合海陆中生界对比结果认为:东海陆架盆地南部中生界分布广、厚度大,平均厚度可达6 000 m,而且具有“东厚西薄、南厚北薄”的特征。侏罗系主要分布在闽江和基隆凹陷,厚度分布稳定,w(TOC)平均值>1.0%;而白垩系在整个陆架盆地南部均有分布,具有向基隆凹陷加厚的趋势,w(TOC)平均值<1.0%。东海陆架盆地南部的基隆凹陷是下一步油气资源战略选区的首选目标,而台北低凸起很可能具有良好的油气远景。     

不同峰值加速度取值方法的比较研究

将新版《中国地震动参数区划图》直接给出经验系数确定不同地震动下的峰值加速度方法、地震动峰值加速度的烈度转换方法、极值Ⅱ型分布拟合方法进行比较;并基于地震安全性评价报告给出的京沪高铁沿线十一个城市的地震动峰值加速度值,将该三种方法转换得到的结果,与安评报告中的数值进行对比分析。分析结果对于抗震设计中地震动峰值加速度的取值具有参考意义。     

Equivalent mechanical models of sloshing fluid in arbitrary‐section aqueducts

This paper reports on a semi‐analytical/numerical method to model sloshing water in an arbitrarily shaped aqueduct. The water motion is assumed to be inviscid, compressible, and linear (small displacement). The transverse sloshing fluid in an aqueduct is equivalently simplified as a fixed rigid mass M₀ and a mass–spring system (M₁, K₁). According to a rule that the actual fluid (computed with finite element model) and its equivalent mechanical model have the same first sloshing frequency and acting effects on the aqueduct, the analytical solutions of the fixed (impulsive) mass M₀, sloshing (convective) massM₁, spring stiffness K₁, and their locations in the aqueduct body are acquired by the least squares (curve fitting) algorithm. Applying this equivalent principle, the equivalent mechanical models are respectively obtained for the sloshing water in rectangular, semicircular, U‐shaped, and trapezoid aqueducts. The equivalent principle and fluid models are validated through comparison investigations involving rectangular and U‐shaped aqueducts. The dynamic properties and seismic responses of the original and equivalent systems are simulated, compared, and discussed for a U‐shaped aqueduct bridge. The main purpose of this paper is to provide a simplified model of sloshing fluid for the seismic/wind‐resistant computation of the support structures of the aqueduct bridge. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

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Analytical solutions for the steady-state seepage field in a finite seabed with a lined tunnel

Abstract

Analytical solutions for the steady-state seepage field in a finite seabed under homogeneous and isotropic conditions with a drained circular lined tunnel are developed. A numerical model is established using the COMSOL Multiphysics software to verify the solutions presented in this study, and strong agreement is found. A parameter analysis considering the seabed thickness, coefficient of permeability, tunnel burial depth and lining thickness is presented. The results indicate that the error induced by ignoring the thickness of the seabed cannot be neglected when the tunnel is close to the bottom of the seabed.     

基于震例和决策模型的救灾事项时序研究

地震应急成败的关键在于能否在有限时间的约束条件下,制定出科学合理的决策,并付诸及时有效的实施,政府可以根据地震灾情的特点合理安排救灾,最大程度减少人员伤亡和经济损失。本文就不同区域紧急救助阶段的地震救灾事项的时序性做了简浅的研究,在大量地震震例和应急预案研究的基础上,总结震后政府应做必要的救灾的措施,根据影响地震应急的不同因素在不同条件下的权重,对救灾事项进行重要性、时序性排列,建立应急事项决策模型。     

山东部分考古遗址中构造变形现象初探

对山东省几个考古发掘遗址进行了地震考古研究,着重对其中的自然变形现象进行识别和分析。其中,在济南郊区的大辛庄商代遗址中甄别出非构造变形的现象;在章丘城子崖龙山文化层中识别出砂脉充填裂隙;在滨州秦皇台商周文化层中发现槽壁上砂脉和槽底密集分布的砂管;在临淄齐国故城城墙分别鉴别出构造和非构造成因裂隙;在日照尧王城见龙山-战汉时期文化层中平行分布的砂脉裂隙组;在滕州薛国故城城墙识别出典型共轭剪切裂隙。上述自然变形现象集中显现于春秋-战汉期及以前的文化层中,且多表现为砂脉等地震液化痕迹,显示相当时期所在地区可能处于地震相对活跃期,上述推断部分得到微观分析资料证实。     

Responses of runoff to climate change and human activities in the Ebinur Lake Catchment,western China

Based on hydrological and climatic data covering the period from 1961 to 2008, this paper studies the hydrological responses to climate change and to human activities in the Ebinur Lake Catchment. The results show that the annual runoff of three rivers in Ebinur Lake Catchment exhibited different change trends. Specifically, in Jinghe River and Kuytun River exhibited a slightly increasing trend, but an adverse trend in Bortala River, and the variation trend has been the most dramatic since the mid-1990s. The observed variation in the runoff was resulted from the elevated alpine precipitation, rather than rising temperature, and that precipitation is a major factor for runoff generation. The runoff CAR model proposed by this paper can be used to predict the annual runoff in three rivers, and demonstrated annual runoff in Bortala River and Jinghe River will display an increased trend, while a less decreasing trend in Kuytun River under the climate change scenarios of warm-humid variation. In addition, the exploitation of the area of cultivated land led to more water resources consumption, primarily for agriculture irrigation, is the cause of the persistently ecoenvironment degradation, which have reached in a critical state thus, a more pressing concern is the development a scientifically reasonable and administratively practical water resource management scheme.     

Identification of model structure parameters via combination of AFMM and ARX from seismic response data

To identify the model structure parameters in shaking table tests from seismic response, especially from timevarying response records, this paper presents a new methodology by combining the online recursive Adaptive Forgetting through Multiple Models(AFMM) and offline Auto-Regression with eXogenous variables(ARX) model. First, the AFMM is employed to detect whether the response of model structure is time-invariant or time-varying when subjected to strong motions. Second, if the response is time-invariant, the modal parameters are identifi ed from the entire response record, such as the acceleration time-history using the ARX model. If the response is time-varying, the acceleration record is divided into three segments according to the accurate time-varying points detected by AFMM, and parameters are identifi ed by only using the tail segment data, which is time-invariant and suited for analysis by the ARX model. Finally, the changes in dynamic properties due to various strong motions are obtained using the presented methodology. The feasibility and advantages of the method are demonstrated by identifying the modal parameters of a 12-story reinforced concrete(RC) frame structure in a shaking table test.     

冻土蠕变指标试验研究

通过不同温度、不同加载应力作用下冻结兰州黄土、黏土、砂质黏土的蠕变试验,分析了蠕变曲线、初始应变、流变起始应变与流变起始时间、破坏应变与破坏时间及相对蠕变指标.结果表明：3种土质冻土的蠕变曲线变化规律大致相同,加载过程中,应变非线性增加,且加载应力越大、温度越高,初始应变越大;流变起始时间与破坏时间都与加载应力、温度有密切关系,加载应力越大、温度越高,越先出现流变和破坏. 对于相同的土质,加载应力和温度对流变起始应变、破坏应变的影响不大;对于不同土质的初始应变、流变起始应变和破坏应变,都是黏土最大、砂质黏土次之、兰州黄土最小. 3种土质冻土的初始加载段和非稳定蠕变段所占的时间较短,但产生的应变却较大;同时,温度越高,相对流变时间越短、相对破坏时间越长,说明非稳定蠕变阶段所占的时间随温度的升高而变短、稳定蠕变阶段所占的时间随温度的升高而变长.