全球不同纬度带平均有效位能的季节急变

利用1980～1988年ECMWF的资料,计算了对流层500 hPa、300 hPa和平流层100 hPa逐日和月平均的纬向平均有效位能（PZ）,分析其季节过渡,比较不同纬度带的季节性急变。结果表明,在4月和10月附近,各纬度带上均可出现PZ的急变。而且用逐日资料还可分析出6月急变。在北半球对流层高层（100 hPa）PZ的季节性急变不如低层（500 hPa）明显,而在南半球PZ的季节性急变与北半球相反,高层比低层明显。     

宁夏冬季负积温变化特征

对宁夏20个测站1961—2004年的冬季负积温EOF分析表明,冬季的冷趋势具有明显的大尺度特征,在近40 a逐渐变暖。据累积距平显示,l986年出现了突变,之前,冬季气温偏低,具体表现为冷冬年全部分布在此时段,之后偏暖,90年代以后出现暖冬的频次明显增加。≤0℃持续日数具有明显的年代际变化,2001—2004年比60年代平均减少了13.5 d。在80%保证率下,全区≤0℃持续日数和负积温依地势自北向南增多,引黄灌区最少,中部干旱带次之,南部黄土丘陵区相对最多。     

6种数值模式在安徽区域天气预报中的检验

本文检验了从2006年6月到2008年12月,Grapes、MM5、WRF、T213、JMA和Germany共6个模式对安徽区域72 h内降水量、风速和气温的预报。降水量TS评分显示,从小雨到大雨,JMA的参考价值较高,从大雨到大暴雨则是MM5和WRF比较好;Germany和T213的评分均处于中间水平,而Grapes评分最低。冬夏季各模式的预报较好,其他季节预报较差。风速,24 h JMA和T213的预报较好,48、72 h MM5和WRF的参考价值较高。气温,24、48 h MM5和WRF预报较好,而72 h则是MM5和T213好。Grapes对风速和气温的预报相对较差。上述检验结果不仅有助于预报员更好地利用数值模式制作天气预报,而且为数值天气预报的解释应用提供科学依据。     

长江中下游地区二叠纪碳酸盐斜坡沉积及其成矿意义

长江中下游地区二叠系发育,主要由碳酸盐岩、硅质岩和碎屑岩组成.其二叠系不仅是华南地区最重要的烃源岩,而且也是长江中下游铜等多金属成矿带的重要赋矿层位之一,因此,进一步确定其沉积相以及古地理意义重大.发育在长江中下游地区的二叠系以往多被认为主要属于浅水碳酸盐台地沉积,其次是较深水的陆棚沉积或者裂陷槽沉积.但进一步研究发现,二叠系的碳酸盐斜坡沉积相发育,它主要由砾屑石灰岩、泥晶粉屑灰岩、硅质岩和泥晶灰岩组成,斜坡主要发育于中二叠世的栖霞期和茅口期,其次是吴家坪期和长兴期.碳酸盐斜坡主要沿安徽铜陵-东至-宿松-线以及湖北大冶-江西瑞昌一线分布,其成因大致受江南断裂和长江断裂控制.同沉积断裂不仅控制着碳酸盐斜坡的发育和展布,同时也构筑了深水盆地、斜坡和浅水台地沉积体系,构成油气生、储、盖单元的组合,为二叠系成为华南地区最重要的烃源岩提供了成因解释.控制斜坡发育的断裂既可以是含矿热水溶液、海底热泉和火山的通道,同时斜坡带也可以成为金属硫化物矿床的富集场所,因此,它对长江中下游铜多金属成矿带的层控和喷流成因提供了可选择的解释.长江中下游地区中、晚二叠世断裂发育,显示盆地的伸展特征,符合古特提斯洋东扩构造背景.     

肠鳃类三崎柱头虫再生的研究

在饲养条件下,对青岛辛岛湾潮间带的三崎柱头虫(Balanoglossus misakiensis)的栖息和再生进行研究。6条柱头虫沿生殖翼中后部自切为2段,后段失去摄食、钻洞穴等行为能力和再生前段器官的能力,生存约1个月后解体;前段在1、2天内恢复了摄食、钻洞穴等生活习性,2个月内完成了后段缺失器官的再生,最长存活时间达156d,体长能达到母体体长的一半。113个个体通过手术横切为2段、3段或4段,发现42%的含有吻、领及鳃区的前段虫体,也能够再生全部失去的其他器官;没有吻、领和鳃区的其它片段失去了再生能力。     

国家气象中心数值预报业务的进展

在最近的１５年中，国家气象中心的数值预报业务高速度发展，预报模式从北半球模式发展为全球谱模式，并配套建立了资料同化系统和用于降水预报的有限区预报模式，暴雨和台风预报模式正在研制中。目前数值预报时效已延至７天，Ｔ６３９３丙上时的预报水平已优于的数值预报产品的应用技术在不断改进，最高（低）气温下两天ＭＯＳ预报精度已接近预报员制作的综合预报结果。     

LCR-G型重力仪周期误差的研究

分析了LCR-G型重力仪周期误差的产生机制,讨论了周期误差标定的基本原理和方法,结合LCR-G920和LCR-G922在灵山重力基线场上的3次标定,对LCR-G型重力仪的周期误差进行了较为深入的研究,得出了一些有益的结论。     

The Impact of Urbanization on Groundwater Quantity,Quality,Hydrothermal Changes and Its Countermeasures

Groundwater, as a drinking water source for nearly one third of the world’s urban population, plays a strategic role in the development of urbanization. The object of this study is urban areas with the largest demand for water resources, the heaviest load of groundwater pollution and the most intense development of underground projects. This study sorted out the eco-hydrological problems such as the variation of the groundwater hydrological process, the groundwater pollution, and the urban heat island of groundwater in urban areas under the background of urbanization. Furthermore, the mechanism of changes in the quantity, quality and heat of groundwater was also systematically analyzed, and the intrinsic interaction among these three factors was revealed. The study showed that changes in land use and land cover caused by the urbanization are the main reasons for the variation of groundwater hydrological process. The pollution load of urbanization construction and domestic production waste has aggravated the deterioration of groundwater quality. The increase in vertical heat flux caused by urbanization gives rise to the warming of groundwater. By summarizing the eco-hydrological problems and causes of groundwater in urbanized areas, several suggestions were proposed: \mathrm{①} Establishing the evaluation method and system of urban groundwater resources; \mathrm{②} Speeding up the technological breakthroughs of groundwater pollution control; \mathrm{③} Improving the regional control strategies for groundwater pollution; \mathrm{④} Optimizing the allocation of groundwater resources. This study will provide the theoretical basis and technical support for ensuring urban water safety, building ecological civilized cities and further promoting the sustainable development of economy and society.     

福建仙游地震序列的震源机制解

1,209 earthquakes occurred in Xianyou, Fujian from August 4, 2010 to October 4, 2013. The largest earthquake was ML5.0 on September 4, 2013. In order to study the Xianyou earthquake sequence and understand the causative structure and stress field of Xianyou, the focal mechanism solutions of six earthquakes （ ML 〉 3. 5 ） in the Xianyou earthquake sequence are calculated using the broadband digital data of the Fujian Seismic Network with the seismic moment tensor inverse method. The results show that the focal faults of the six earthquakes are similar, which are all strike-slip faults striking to the northwest with high dip angles. The direction of the principal compressive stress axes is near SN, which is different from the stress field of Fujian region. The Xianyou earthquake sequence may have been induced by the stress adjustment after the impoundment of Jinzhong reservoir.     

Feasibility of central loop TEM method for prospecting multilayer water-filled goaf

With deep mining of coal mines, prospecting multilayer water-filled goaf has become a new content that results from geophysical exploration in coalfields. The central loop transient electromagnetic (TEM) method is favorable for prospecting conductive layers because of the coupling relationship between its field structure and formation. However, the shielding effect of conductive overburden would not only require a longer observation time when prospecting the same depth but also weaken the anomalous response of underlying layers. Through direct time domain numerical simulation and horizontal layered earth forward modeling, this paper estimates the length of observation time required to prospect the target, and the distinguishable criterion of multilayer water-filled goaf is presented with observation error according to the effect of noise on observation data. The observed emf curves from Dazigou Coal Mine, Shanxi Province can distinguish multilayer water-filled goaf. In quantitative inversion interpretation of observed curves, using electric logging data as initial parameters restrains the equivalence caused by coal formation thin layers. The deduced three-layer and two-layer water-filled goafs are confirmed by the drilling hole. The result suggests that when observation time is long enough and with the anomalous situation of underlying layers being greater than the observation error, the use of the central loop TEM method to prospect a multilayer water-filled goaf is feasible.