Estimation of coseismic deformation, poroelasticity, and fracturing of rocks from the data on water level in a borehole

Variations in the water level in boreholes emerge in response to tidal, baric, and tectonic forcing. We analyze the data on atmospheric pressure and water level recorded in the boreholes located in the mid-latitude Eurasia (45°?C55°N) from Western Europe (Belgium, Uccle), Siberia (coastal area of Lake Baikal, Talaya River) to Far Eastern Russia (the Bychikha borehole near Khabarovsk and the boreholes on the Kamchatka Peninsula and Kurils). The response of the water level in a borehole to periodic tidal and baric impacts is investigated. In this case, water level variations reflect areal (lateral) and vertical deformations, which allows estimating the elastic moduli and porosity of the confined aquifer in a static model. Measurements in the boreholes drilled in the fractured solid rock enable determining the geometric parameters of the fractures. The possibility to apply the method for evaluating tectonic deformations is discussed. Application of tidal coefficients of boreholes for determining the coseismic deformation is demonstrated by the example of the Kultuk earthquake (Lake Baikal, August 27, 2008, M = 6.3).     

Transcontinental tidal transect: European Atlantic coast-Southern Siberia-Russian Pacific coast

The paper presents results of measurements with digital tidal LaCoste-Romberg gravimeters on the European Atlantic coast-Southern Siberia-Russian Pacific coast transect in 1995–2005. The transect includes four West European (Chizé, Ménesplet, Mordelles, and Wikle), two South Siberian (Klyuchi and Talaya), and two Far Eastern (Zabakalskoe and Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk) stations. Gravimetric measurements at the Talaya station (SW Baikal rift zone) are supplemented by long-term laser extensometer observations. The position of the stations within the rectangle (45°–55°N, 0.4°–142°E) allows one to assess existing tidal strain models (WD93 and DDW99) and various ocean tide models (SCW80, CSR3, FES95, ORI96, CSR4, FES02, GOT00, NAO99, and TPX06). Data of intracontinental stations (with a small ocean effect at distances of 2000–3000 km) agree well with the DDW99 tidal strain model (with regard to the mantle viscosity). The uncertainty of digital tidal gravity measurements is 0.25%. Results of laser extensometer measurements are at the same accuracy level. Then, the Love and Shida numbers calculated at midlatitudes of the intracontinental zone of Eurasia from combined data are h = 0.6077 ± 0.0008, k = 0.3014 ± 0.0001, and l = 0.0839 ± 0.0001. The analysis of results of Pacific and Atlantic stations located at distances of 30–300 km from the ocean showed that the FES02, CSR4, GOT00, NAO99, and TPX06 ocean tide models are preferable.     

Determination of the total ozone content from data of satellite IR Fourier-spectrometer

Examples of retrieval of the total ozone content (TOC) from the spectra of outgoing thermal radiation measured by the IRFS-2 device on the Meteor-M no. 2 meteorological satellite are presented. The technique, developed by the authors and based on an artificial neural network (ANN) approach with the use of TOC measurements by the satellite OMI device, is applied. A comparison of the results with the data of independent TOC measurements has shown their agreement within 2–5% for global ensemble and within 3–6% for separate latitudes and seasons. The errors estimated for IRFS-2 TOC measurements are close to the errors in measurements by a similar IASI device from the MetOp (EUMETSAT) satellite.     

The Mw 7.4 Colima, Mexico, Earthquake of 21 January 2003: The Observed Damage Matrix in Colima City and its Comparison with the Damage Probability Matrix

The Mw 7.4 earthquake of 21 January 2003 occurred within the Mexican subduction zone and produced many damages of masonry constructions in the towns of Colima state, México. The macroseismic investigation of damages produced by the earthquake in Colima city was realized for 3,332 constructions within the area of study representing about 20% of the total city area and covered with the different type of constructions. The 7-grade scale of damage was used to describe the damage distribution. The damage matrix, constructed for the area, showed that the damage distribution varied from 63% of constructions with relatively slight damages (grades 1–3) to 29% of constructions that had significative damages (grades 4–5) and 8% of completely destructed or demolished masonry. The damage matrices, constructed for 12 subzones of the area of study, reflected two tendencies in the damage distributions: the predominance of slight damages of the recent constructions situated in the northern and eastern parts of the area and the predominance of significant damages of the older constructions in the southern and western parts of the area. It was observed a significant dependence of damage index upon the age of constructions and the type of masonry. The comparison of the observed damage matrix with the damage probability matrix calculated for Colima masonry in 1999 gives MM intensity VII in Colima.     

Using artificial neural networks in the temperature and humidity sounding of the atmosphere

The application of the radiative data inversion technique based on artificial neural networks (ANN) for the meteorological satellite sounding of the atmosphere is described. To increase the efficiency of solving inverse problems, the principal component method is used for the temperature and humidity profiles, as well as for IR radiation spectra, which allows the problem dimensionalities to be reduced substantially. Based on numerical experiments, errors of the temperature and humidity sounding are analyzed from the spectra of outgoing IR radiation (that were measured by the IKFS-2 instrument onboard the Meteor Russian satellite) using the iterative physical-mathematical (IPM) algorithm, multiple linear regression (MLR), and ANN-based methods. Appreciable advantages of the ANN-based method are revealed as compared to the MLR method. Therefore, in temperature sounding, the MLR method has a markedly large error at heights of 1–12 km (a difference of up to 1 K), while the IPM algorithm has almost the same error as the ANN method. The humidity determination error is about 10% when the ANN method is used at heights of 0–12 km. The IPM approach yields approximately the same error in the lower troposphere, but as the height increases the advantages of the ANN method grow.     

Long-term variations of wind regime in the free atmosphere over the European territory of Russia

The time series of seasonal average values and standard deviations of wind speed components at the isobaric surfaces of 850 and 200 hPa are analyzed on the basis of the data of upper-air observations carried out in 1961–2003 at 18 stations of the Russian Federation territory. The energy spectra of wind speed components in the first and in the second halves of the whole period under study are compared. On the whole, an increase in average values of U-component and decrease in average values of V-component took place both in upper and lower troposphere, and the largest variations occurred in winter season in the upper troposphere. Average coefficients of linear trends of average winter values for the whole region amount to 0.57 and ?0.62 m/s per 10 years for the wind components U and V at the isobaric surface of 200 hPa, respectively. The increase in the standard deviations of both components was registered in the upper troposphere in winter period almost on the whole territory. The average coefficients of linear trends of standard deviations at the isobaric surface of 200 hPa in winter for the whole region amount to 0.53 and 0.61 m/s per 10 years for U- and V-components, respectively. The intensity of the annual cycle and processes of intraseasonal scale both in the lower and upper troposphere increased in the second half of the whole interval under study.