教育测量数据的多元自建模模型分析

将关于形状不变的自建模回归模型推广到多元自变量,解决了计算问题,并结合教育测量数据给出了实例。该模型既可以反映多条曲线走势的共性,又可以反映每条曲线之间的相互关系及其个性。     

盆地深部穹隆构造发育特征、成因机制及石油地质意义——以塔里木盆地顺北地区为例

塔里木盆地顺北地区奥陶系碳酸盐岩中广泛发育穹隆构造.为研究盆地深部穹隆构造的发育特征、成因机制及石油地质意义,基于顺北地区高精度三维地震资料,对穹隆构造开展几何学定量解析,确定其空间分布规律及内部结构样式;结合区域构造背景及盆内构造发育特征,明确其成因机制;在此基础上,结合生产动态数据探讨穹隆构造的控储—控藏作用.研究...     

阿富汗地震R/S分形特征及地震活动性分析

地震的发生具有非线性特征,分形理论能够刻画地震时空分布特征及其变化过程。本文基于R/S分析方法确定阿富汗主要地震带的分形特征,利用ARIMA模型对兴都—库什山地震带可能发生的年度最大震级进行预测。R/S分析表明,兴都—库什山地震带Hurst指数为0.9125,地震活动记忆周期为8年; 苏莱曼山地震带Hurst指数为0.7281,地震活动记忆周期为9年。兴都—库什山和苏莱曼山地震带地震活动的变化趋势与历史变化一致,且兴都—库什山地震带的趋势延续性比苏莱曼山地震带更为显著。ARIMA模型预测结果显示,2022—2026年兴都—库什山地震带可能发生的年度最大震级分别为M_b6.2、M_b6.1、M_b5.8、M_b5.8和M_b6.1。     

基于ArcGIS的土地利用现状图的编制

提出了基于ArcGIS的土地利用现状图编制的整体思路,对其中关键技术的实现进行了详细的阐述。     

21cm波段太阳爆发中的精细结构

本文简要介绍了云南天文台新建立的21cm波段快速(不中断采样)记录系统,及使用该系统观测到的快速尖峰事件。系统得到的太阳分米波段爆发中不同时间尺度的精细结构与Stu-rroch等提出的太阳耀斑中能量释放的模式相一致。     

信阳市渔业气象服务效益分析

对信阳市南湾水库渔业气象服务效益调查分析结果表明:在亲鱼培育、种苗繁殖、苗种培育、成鱼养殖、捕捞等主要生产阶段,成鱼养殖阶段服务效益最大,为21.98万元;繁殖、亲鱼培育阶段服务效益占该阶段渔业总产值的比例分别列第一和第二,说明这两个生产阶段气象服务尤为重要.由于对渔业气象服务还不够重视,加之还缺乏渔业与气象条件关系的研究,目前渔业气象服务层次较低,渔业气象服务效益贡献率也较低.     

Short term variability of Particle fluxes and its relation to variability in sea surface temperature and chlorophylla field detected by Ocean Color and Temperature Scanner (OCTS) off Sanriku, northwestern North Pacific in the spring of 1997

A sediment trap experiment was carried out in conjunction with an over flight of Ocean Color Temperature Scanner (OCTS) on board Advanced Earth Observing Satellite (ADEOS) at 40°N, 143°E off Sanriku in April to May 1997. Short term variability of particle fluxes was examined at depths of 450 m and 600 m from April 6 to May 1 with a sampling interval of two days, and at 450 m with one day interval from 2nd to 10th May. Daily averaged mass flux at 450 m and 600 m was 815 mg m⁻²d⁻¹ and 862 mg m⁻²d⁻¹, respectively. A sharp increase in mass flux was observed during the period from April 26 to April 29 with the highest mass flux of 8 g m⁻²d⁻¹. About 85% of the total mass flux for the entire duration (26 days) was collected within these 4 days. Trapped material during the peak flux period was mainly composed of diatoms dominated byThalassiosira spp. and resting spores ofChaetoceros spp. This suggested that the peak flux was the result of (a) diatom bloom(s) in the euphotic column. Current meter records at 420 m showed that on April 26 and 27, the period when the peak flux was observed, the southwestward current had diminished in strength and changed its direction northwestward. Low current speeds appeared to have enhanced trap efficiency to help form the peak flux. A time series of OCTS Intensive-LAC (Local Area Coverage: Region B) images from mid-March to early May was examined todetect phytoplankton bloom(s). In the March 26th Chl image, high concentration region was restricted to the southwest off Cape Erimo, but spread around the warm core ring (WCR) 93A by April 10. East of the WCR93A, high Chl concentration remained steady until May, but to the west of the WCR93A, Chl decreased rapidly before the 19th of April. From this observation we suspect that the peak flux observed at the end of April originated from a bloom, which ceased on the 17th or 18th of April, in the region north of 40°N and west of 143°E. Taking the current meter records into account, the source region for the trapped material is most likely around southwest of the Cape Erimo.     

论卡以头组

卡以头组为介于宣威组和东川组之间的一个岩石地层单位 ,主要为黄绿色、灰绿色、褐黄色夹紫红色砂岩、砾岩和泥质岩组合 ,海相层底部夹少量灰岩 ,不含煤层和 Claraia。该组为晚二叠世—早三叠世沉积 ,海相多为早三叠世地层。建议以威宁哲觉剖面为卡以头组的标准剖面     

A VERTICAL DISTRIBUTION MODEL OF NUTRIENTS AND DISSOLVED OXYGEN IN THE SOUTHERN TAIWAN STRAIT

Sinoe vertical transport of nutrients and dissolved oxygen are quite important in the water col-umn and have drawn serious attention these recent years, a one-dmension numerical model is tried to simulate the vertical distribution of nutrients and dissolved oxygen in June at two research sites in the southemTaiwan Strait. Physical transport parameters are calibrated by temperature simulation, and thenare used to simulate the profiles of NO_3, PO_4 and dissolved oxygen. The simulation was generally success-ful for both stations. The importance of various factors, such as upwelling tidal current andbiogeochemical activities, which influence the vertical distribution of nutrients and dissolved oxygen, is revealed by analysis of the modeling results. Some important rates, fluxes and ratios are also estimated anddiscussed on the basis of simulation.     

刚性桩复合地基垫层对桩土应力比影响分析

从极限平衡理论角度对刚性桩复合地基中垫层作用机理进行分析,提出桩顶垫层厚度、垫层材料内摩擦角等参数对桩土应力分担的控制公式,推导出在已知表面应力情况下考虑桩土共同作用的桩土沉降计算公式,在此基础上提出一种桩土应力比的迭代计算方法。编制程序实现对算例的计算,总结分析计算结果并与实测值进行对比验证。