The impact of perturbations to ocean-model parameters on climate and climate change in a coupled model

Assessments of the impacts of uncertainties in parameters on mean climate and climate change in complex climate models have, to date, largely focussed on perturbations to parameters in the atmosphere component of the model. Here we expand on a previously published study which found the global impacts of perturbed ocean parameters on the rate of transient climate change to be small compared to perturbed atmosphere parameters. By separating the climate-change-induced ocean vertical heat transport in each perturbed member into components associated with the resolved flow and each parameterisation scheme, we show that variations in global mean heat uptake in different perturbed versions are an order of magnitude smaller than the average heat uptake. The lack of impact of the perturbations is attributed to (1) the relatively small impact of the perturbation on the direct vertical heat transport associated with the perturbed process and (2) a compensation between those direct changes and indirect changes in heat transport from other processes. Interactions between processes and changes appear to combine in complex ways to limit ensemble spread and uncertainty in the rate of warming. We also investigate regional impacts of the perturbations that may be important for climate change predictions. We find variations across the ensemble that are significant when measured against natural variability. In terms of the experimental set-up used here (models without flux adjustments) we conclude that perturbed physics ensembles with ocean parameter perturbations are an important component of any probabilistic estimate of future climate change, despite the low spread in global mean quantities. Hence, careful consideration should be given to assessing uncertainty in ocean processes in future probabilistic assessments of regional climate change.     

Reports from the Smithsonian’s Global Volcanism Network, July 2009

Information included in this summary is based on more detailed reports published in the Bulletin of the Global Volcanism Network, vol. 34, no. 7, July 2009 (on the Internet at ). Edited by scientists at the Smithsonian, this bulletin includes reports provided by a worldwide network of correspondents. The reports contain the names and contact information for all sources. Please note that these reports are preliminary and subject to change as events are studied in more detail. The Global Volcanism Program welcomes further reports of current volcanism, seismic unrest, monitoring data, and field observations.     

Reports from the Smithsonian’s Global Volcanism Network, February 2010

Information included in this summary is based on more detailed reports published in the Bulletin of the Global Volcanism Network, vol. 35, no. 2, February 2010 (on the Internet at ). Edited by scientists at the Smithsonian, this bulletin includes reports provided by a worldwide network of correspondents. The reports contain the names and contact information for all sources. Please note that these reports are preliminary and subject to change as events are studied in more detail. The Global Volcanism Program welcomes further reports of current volcanism, seismic unrest, monitoring data, and field observations.     

Turbulence in stably stratified fluids: A review of laboratory experiments

This is a review of laboratory studies of mixing in stably stratified fluids away from the direct intluence of boundary layers, and was written to introduce the session on laboratory experiments at the IUCRM Colloquium.Internal waves (Section 2) can lead to turbulence by creating regions of unstable density gradients through their mutual interactions, by individually breaking by forming rotors, and by reducing the local Richardson number until Kelvin-Helmholtz instability results. They may be important in radiating energy from turbulent or spreading regions. Critical-layer absorption of internal waves is not found to be a direct cause of turbulence in experiments with 15 Richardson number 5, although the modification of the vertical density profile may be significant.Turbulent-laminar interfaces without mean shear (Section 3) and with mean shear (Section 4) are described. The source of turbulence in these experiments is partly external, either generated by an oscillating grid or by a (relatively) moving boundary. The development of turbulence generated entirelywithin a stratified layer by Kelvin-Helmholtz instability, is described in detail in Section 5, and the results are compared with measurements in the ocean and in the atmosphere.     

Constructing environmental responsibility: Perceptions from retail business

This paper examines how retail businesses have employed the concept of environmental responsibility in order to justify their activities in the environmental arena. The sources of such publicised responsibility are investigated in terms of the relationship between the business and the consumer and how far responsibility has a moral base within the company or an economic justification with respect to demand. Data come from in-depth interviews with national and local managers of large multiple grocery superstores in the U.K. as well as from material published by these companies both through leafletting and more standardised reporting channels. Emphasis is placed upon the contradictions between the declaration of internally derived responsibility and the external pressures of demand, legislation and public image, suggesting an anticipatory form of environmental responsibility has been developed by retailers and that this may produce more proactive measures as the environmental debate matures.     

Heat transfer coefficients for leaves on orchard apple trees

The coefficient for heat transfer from apple tree leaves was measured from the energy balance of leaves which were prevented from transpiring by applying Vaseline (petroleum jelly). Vaseline had negligible effect on the absorption of short-wave radiation by the leaves. The Nusselt number (Nu) describing heat flux from a leaf in terms of its average temperature was related to Reynolds numbers (Re) in the range 10³ to 10⁴ by Nu = 0.46 Re^0.54 Pr^0.33, where Pr is the Prandtl number. This supports Landsberg and Powell's (1973) wind-tunnel results for transfer from leaves subject to mutual interference.     

Rare earth evidence concerning the origin of granites of the Isle of Skye,northwest Scotland

Eleven samples of Skye granites, two samples of Torridonian sandstone and one sample of Lewisian gneiss have been analysed for ten rare earth elements (REE) by neutron activation analysis. The granites are representative of the main granite centres and compositional types. All granites have sub-parallel light-REE-enriched patterns with chondrite-normalised Ce(Ce_N) = 78–263,Yb_N = 16–60and Ce_N/Yb_N = 2.9–8.0. REE patterns for the Lewisian gneiss and Torridonian sandstone are similar to each other, withCe_N = 32–61,Yb_N = 3–5and Ce_N/Yb_N = 8–18. These two rock types as well as the Glamaig granite have negligible Eu anomalies (Eu/Eu* > 0.9), and the other granites have Eu/Eu* in the range 0.83-0.34. The REE evidence suggests that Lewisian gneiss or Torridonian sandstone arenot suitable materials from which the granites could be derived by partial melting. The Western Red Hills granite intrusions show a systematic relation of REE content with Eu/Eu*. We suggest that the Glamaig granite is the most primitive, and was derived from a source with no Eu anomaly by fractional crystallization of a more basic magma. The later Western Red Hills granites might then have resulted from further fractional crystallization of magma with a composition like that of the Glamaig granite. The Coire Uaigneich and Eastern Red Hills granites may also be products of fractional crystallization, but from different magmas to those parental to the Western Red Hills granites. The basaltic parent magmas of the Skye granites may be “continental” tholeiites derived by interaction of basalt magma with Lewisian gneiss.     

Some aspects of vortices in rotating stratified fluids

Summary Ideas concerning the overturning of unstably stratified, rotating fluids are explored using potential vorticity.A set of equations governing axi-symmetric flow in a quasi-Boussinesq system are found based on the gradient wind approximation, and a transformation analogous to that developed byHoskins [6] is used.The time-development of a linear, thermally unstable vortex under the action of Ekman pumping is studied with these equations. The changing radial scale during amplification of the vortex is well represented.Finally, some exact steady vortex states for stably stratified fluids are found and their possible relevance to atmospheric vortices is discussed.