江苏区域格网加权平均温度线性模型研究

针对建立区域加权平均温度线性模型的问题,该文提出了将ERA5再分析数据和无线探空数据结合的方法,利用线性回归方法建立单因子和多因子模型,实现对江苏及周边地区的加权平均温度建模。对于有探空站点分布的ERA5格网区域,利用探空数据对ERA5建立的线性Tm模型进行修正,对于无探空站分布的ERA5格网区域使用江苏及周边区域整体修正系数对Tm进行修正。根据2018年数据进行验证,结果表明,本文所建立的单因子模型精度与之相当甚至略优,建立双因子模型的精度提高最大可达10.52%,证明了利用ERA5再分析资料和无线电探空建立江苏区域Tm模型的适用性。     

Petrology of Cr-rich Ophiolitic Chromitites of Bulqiza, Eastern Ophiolitic Belt, Albania

<正>The ultramafic massif of Bulqiza,which belongs to the eastern ophiolitic belt of Albania,is the most important area for metallurgical chromitite ores.The massif consists of a thick(4 km)rock sequence,with a generalized profile from the bottom to the top as follows.The tectonite     

Post‐Katrina Population Loss and Uneven Recovery in New Orleans, 2000–2010

New Orleans has suffered from a significant population decline during 2000–2010, mainly due to Hurricane Katrina in 2005. Regression models are used here to explain the spatial variability of population change in New Orleans by variables such as proximity (distance or travel time) to the central business district (CBD), a natural environment variable “elevation”, and two composite socio‐demographic indices derived from variables in the census. The research reveals a U‐shaped population‐change profile with distance or travel time from the CBD, population loss bottomed at 4–5 kilometers (10–15 minutes) from the CBD and recovered towards both the CBD and suburbs. This suggests possible converging forces of suburbanization (that is, a nationwide trend that began long before the hurricane) and the CBD's anchoring role in the post‐Katrina recovery. Greater population loss was also observed in the socioeconomically disadvantaged and lower‐elevated areas, but neighborhoods of Hispanic concentration experienced less population loss.     

目的地特殊自然灾害后游客的认知研究——以“5.12"汶川地震后的九寨沟为例

灾后理解旅游者是目的地减少灾害事件带来经济损失的基础工作.本研究着力于探究国内游客的风险认知、灾害对旅游影响的感知与满意度、忠诚度之间的关系,在“5.12”汶川地震发生约一周年后,以灾区中的世界自然遗产地九寨沟为案例地,对正在景区游览的572位国内游客进行问卷调查.通过结构方程模型分析证实:旅游者的风险认知水平越低,对...     

基于中外五区比较的旅游劳工行业流动规律分析

以九寨沟为实证案例地,通过与我国九华山和国外匈牙利、英国萨默塞特和考文垂、加拿大温哥华岛的比较,探讨了不同背景下旅游劳工的行业流动模式、从业评价和驱动规律.研究发现:(1)旅游劳工转移产业分布十分宽广.国外商业、服务业占据了主导行业,衰落产业劳工占据1/10比例.我国农业、制造业占据主导行业,首次就业人群比例高,年轻女...     

GPS RTK技术在竹溪岭矿区地质勘查测量中的应用

主要通过宁国竹溪岭矿区地质矿产勘查测量生产实践,一是介绍了GPS静态定位布设矿区平面控制网的内容,二是介绍了RTK技术在工程点布设、勘探线剖面测量和地质工程点测量等应用情况进行分析。     

Late-Stage Breast Cancer Diagnosis and Health Care Access in Illinois∗

The variations of breast cancer mortality rates from place to place reflect both underlying differences in breast cancer prevalence and differences in diagnosis and treatment that affect the risk of death. This article examines the role of access to health care in explaining the variation of late-stage diagnosis of breast cancer. We use cancer registry data for the state of Illinois by zip code to investigate spatial variation in late diagnosis. Geographic information systems and spatial analysis methods are used to create detailed measures of spatial access to health care such as convenience of visiting primary care physicians and travel time from the nearest mammography facility. The effects of spatial access, in combination with the influences of socioeconomic factors, on late-stage breast cancer diagnosis are assessed using statistical methods. The results suggest that for breast cancer, poor geographical access to primary health care significantly increases the risk of late diagnosis for persons living outside the city of Chicago. Disadvantaged population groups including those with low income and racial and ethnic minorities tend to experience high rates of late diagnosis. In Illinois, poor spatial access to primary health care is more strongly associated with late diagnosis than is spatial access to mammography. This suggests the importance of primary care physicians as gatekeepers in early breast cancer detection.     

2012年6月30日新疆新源-和静MS6.6 地震发震构造初步研究

2012年6月30日新疆维吾尔自治区新源-和静县交界发生M_S6.6地震,该地震是2010年青海玉树7.1级地震和2013年4月20日四川芦山7.0级地震之间中国大陆发生的最大的地震.本文基于新疆数字地震台网记录的此次地震序列震相资料,分别用绝对和相对定位方法联合对其进行重新定位,重新定位后余震展布为NW向,主震位置为43.429°N,84.755°E,深度为21.8 km.基于新疆地震台网记录6.6级地震波形数据,本文用CAP方法反演了震源机制解和震源深度.结果显示：M_S6.6地震震源机制解：节面Ⅰ走向39°,倾角46°,滑动角12°,节面Ⅱ走向301°,倾角81°,滑动角135°;震源深度为21 km,与利用地震震相到时确定的主震震源深度基本一致.主震震源机制解的节面Ⅱ与伊犁盆地北缘断裂走向和倾角基本一致,综合精确定位余震展布和伊犁盆地北缘断裂性质分析认为,新源-和静M_S6.6地震发震构造是伊犁盆地北缘断裂,震源深度为21 km左右,是一个高角的内陆倾滑地震.     

喀喇昆仑山克勒青河谷近年来发现有跃动冰川

根据冰川编目、Landsat MSS/TM/ETM 影像和相关的历史考察制图,利用GIS进行了不同时期的冰川分布图的制作,对比分析了不同时期冰川范围.重点监测了喀喇昆仑山北坡克勒青河的5Y654D48、5Y654D97的不同时段内的冰川运动状况.结果发现:5Y654D48冰川和5Y654D97冰川分别在1990-2000年与1977-1990年间运动速度达272 m·a-1,213.1 m·a-1,比其它时段运动速度大7～20倍,具备跃动冰川的运动特征.分析认为,5Y654D48冰川在1990-2000年、5Y654D97在1977-1990年间曾分别发生过冰川跃动.