基于子带干涉测量技术的巴基斯坦地震形变获取研究

2013年9月24日发生在巴基斯坦俾路支省(Balochistan)境内阿瓦兰县(Awaran)的MW7.7级地震,在地表产生了最大达10m的滑动量.利用TerraSAR-X短波雷达数据获取的InSAR同震形变场产生了密集且大范围的干涉条纹,给后续的相位解缠带来困难.而子带干涉法是一种无需或只需进行少量相位解缠,即可获得绝对相位差的新方法.其主要思路是通过缩减带宽以增长波长,从而减少干涉条纹数,降低解缠难度或不需解缠直接得到绝对相位差.但由于带宽的缩减,导致噪声的增大和旁瓣带来的额外干扰,使干涉图质量下降,因此在子带干涉参数选取、噪声滤波以及处理流程等方面需要特殊处理,特别是子带的中心频率和带宽的选取会很大程度地影响测量精度.首先选取典型DEM实验区,以干涉图相干性和误差为评价指标,利用逐步参数选取法,研究相关参数对子带干涉测量的影响,制定最优的参数方案,认识参数选取的原则和方法.在此基础上,将子带干涉应用于巴基斯坦地震的同震形变场获取.最后,将子带干涉、Landsat 8光学影像的交叉频谱相关法、offset-tracking、常规DInSAR获取的同震形变场进行比较,并与模型拟合的形变场进行对比分析.结果表明,子带干涉虽然会受失相干的影响,其提取的形变场范围相较于Landsat 8和offset-tracking有所缺失,但在共同覆盖的区域其精度和噪声水平更优,相比较于常规DInSAR,更适用于条纹密集和形变量大的地区.     

海底地震有限断层破裂模型对近场海啸数值预报的影响

快速准确的海啸源模型是近场海啸精确预警的关键.尽管目前还没有办法直接对其进行正演定量计算,但是可以通过多源地震、海啸观测数据进行反演或联合反演推算.不同的海啸源可能导致不同的预警结论,了解不同类型海啸源适用性、评估海啸源特征差异对近场海啸的影响,无论对于海啸预警还是海啸模拟研究尤为重要.本文评估分析了6种不同同震断层模型对2011年3月11日日本东北地震海啸近场数值预报的影响,重点对比分析了有限断层模型与均一滑动场模型对近场海啸产生、传播、淹没特征的影响及各自的误差.研究表明:近场海啸波能量分布主要取决于海啸源分布特征,特别是走向角的差异对海啸能量分布影响较大;有限断层模型对海啸灾害最为严重的39°N以南沿岸地区的最大海啸爬坡高度明显优于均一滑动场模型结果;综合对比DART浮标、GPS浮标及近岸潮位站共32个站次的海啸波幅序列结果发现有限断层模型整体平均绝对/相对误差比均一滑动场模型平均误差要低,其中Fujii海啸源的平均绝对/相对误差最小,分别是0.56m和26.71%.UCSB海啸源的平均绝对/相对误差次之.3个均一滑动场模型中USGSCMT海啸源模拟精度最高.相对于深海、浅海观测站,有限断层模型比均一滑动场模型对近岸观测站计算精度更高.海啸源误差具有显著的方向性,可能与反演所采用的波形数据的代表性有关;谱分析结果表明Fujii海啸源对在12至60min主频波谱的模拟要优于UCSB海啸源.海啸源中很难真实反映海底地震破裂过程,然而通过联合反演海啸波形数据推算海啸源的方法可以快速确定海啸源,并且最大限度的降低地震破裂过程与海啸产生的不确定性带来的误差.     

2015年河北滦县震群发震机理分析

震群发震机理研究是近年来地震学研究的热点之一,其中基于观测现象对不同发震机理模型的分析和讨论是研究焦点.本文以2015年河北滦县震群为研究对象,首先通过模板匹配方法检测震群活动期间目录遗漏地震事件,得到更为完整的地震目录.再通过波形互相关震相检测技术标定地震事件在记录台站的震相到时,依据标定的震相到时,利用双差定位方法对震群进行精定位,基于地震精定位结果分析震群的震中扩展特征.最后通过波形互相关系数和破裂面重合程度检测震群中是否存在重复地震活动.通过计算共检测到目录遗漏地震事件103个.地震精定位结果显示发震构造为北东向断层,震中扩展表现出迁移速率先快后慢的两阶段线性扩展特征.震群活动期间共检测到两组重复地震活动,其中第一组发生在震中扩展的第一阶段,第二组发生在震中扩展的第二阶段.在三种常见的震群发震机理模型——级联触发模型、断层慢滑动模型和流体侵入模型中,断层慢滑动模型能够解释我们观测到的重复地震活动和震中线性扩展现象,因此认为此次滦县震群活动可能伴随断层的慢滑动,断层慢滑动可能对滦县震群的触发和持续活动起到一定作用.     

基于ANSYS的淤泥质海底海床基吸附力研究

为了解决海床基在淤泥质海底的吸附力问题,利用ANSYS软件,采用接触分析、三维十节点实体单元以及Drucker-Prager模型模拟淤泥结构,分析了海床基在淤泥质海底的吸附力大小,然后与经验公式比较,证明了ANSYS对海床基吸附力分析的可行性;海床基在不同工况下的吸附力模拟对海床基的回收方式及结构优化等方面提供了一定的指导。     

河北省近岸海域海水淡化取水水质适宜性分析

为了在河北省近岸海域给海水淡化项目选出水质优质的水源地,笔者于2016年8月对河北省近岸海域进行取水测试。一共布置了50站位,采集了50件水样,样品测试内容有:pH值、浊度、污染指数SDI、溶解氧、余氯、锰、铁、悬浮物含量、油类、悬浮物颗粒平均粒径。评价结果显示:河北省沿海监测站位除了悬浮物指标其他指标均满足低温多效蒸馏法海水淡化系统进水要求外,悬浮物在曹妃甸以西海域和沧州黄骅港以东海域超标,进行淡化预处理可采用威立雅公司提供的一体化高效混凝沉淀设备进行预处理,大清河以东海域可以采用一般的澄清过滤工艺进行预处理;各站位均不满足反渗透法淡化系统直接进水要求;部分站位满足反渗透法超滤预处理装置进水要求,影响进水要求的指标为浊度,在沧州港池北侧及曹妃甸港以西、大清河口和滦河口岸边不满足进水要求,其他站位均满足进水要求。沧州海域和曹妃甸以西海域不适合采用反渗透法进行淡化。曹妃甸以东至大清河之间可采取一般的混凝、澄清、过滤进行处理工艺。大清河以东海域可以采用超滤进行预处理。     

远海浮式结构物与供应船旁靠系泊特性研究

针对远海浮式结构物与供应船进行旁靠作业时,水动力干扰、两船的相对运动、旁靠系缆系统和护舷系统的受力特征等问题开展研究。建立各船的有限元模型,设计出两船旁靠连接缆系统,选取合适的系泊缆和护舷参数。研究表明:浮式结构物和供应船的横荡、纵荡方向存在一定的同步性或跟随性,幅值相差不大,其它方向的运动并不存在明显的同步特征;供应船的各自由度运动幅值均比浮式结构物偏大;旁靠护舷的受力时历出现了明显的低频效应,说明护舷的受力较大程度上受船体低频慢漂运动的影响;浮式结构物对供应船的水动力干扰较大,当浮式结构物在供应船的上风位置时,表现为屏蔽效应,供应船的运动较小;在其背风位置时,运动加剧,出现多次共振、峰值放大现象,供应船对浮式结构物的水动力性能几乎无影响,因此,供应船从浮式结构物的下风口一侧靠泊作业将更有利于船舶的安全性能。这些研究结论可为实际工程操作提供参考。     

Deposition of duststorm particles during 2000–2012 in the South Yellow Sea,China based on satellite data

In this study,about 220 satellite images between 2000 and 2012 were obtained from FY-series,MODIS,CBERS,HJ-1A and HJ-1B to estimate the impact of duststorms on the South Yellow Sea(SYS),which serve as an important source of particles there.The analyzing results from the images support a total occurrence of 88 duststorms(including the locally-generated dusty weather) that affected the SYS during 2000–2012.The annual occurrence was about 4–10 times(10 times in 2000 and 2004;four times in 2009 and 2012),predominantly in March(29%),April(33%) and May(22%).By mapping the distribution of their frequency,the duststorms influencing the SYS were found primarily moving from the northwest(39 times,44.3%) and west(37 times,42%) to the study region with only 11 duststorms(12.5%) coming from the north and 1 duststorm(1%) from the southwest.We estimated that an annual amount of 0.5–3.5 million tons of sediment particles was brought to the SYS by the duststorms during 2000–2012.     

黄姑鱼胚胎发育及其与温度和盐度的关系

为研究温度和盐度对黄姑鱼(Nibea albiflora)胚胎发育的影响,作者观察了黄姑鱼受精卵的形态和胚胎发育过程。实验结果表明,温度18~28℃范围内,温度对孵化时间和初孵仔鱼有显著影响,对孵化率影响不大,24~28℃是黄姑鱼胚胎发育的适宜温度范围;盐度低于24时受精卵下沉,26~28内悬浮于水体中,盐度高于34时受精卵浮于水面;黄姑鱼胚胎发育的最适盐度范围26~32,盐度超过或低于其适宜范围时,孵化率明显下降或者幼虫畸形率明显增大。另外,根据其Q10值推算的胚胎发育的适宜水温与实验结果相似。     

沿深度强度增加软土中吸力锚循环承载力模型试验

采用分层底部真空预压技术,在模型试验箱内制备强度沿深度增加的模型试验土层;进而利用自行开发的电动伺服加载装置,在荷载控制方式下,针对水平破坏模式,进行两种直径的吸力锚在最佳系泊点受倾斜方向静荷载与循环荷载共同作用下的承载力模型试验。试验结果表明,循环荷载作用过程中锚的循环变形没有明显增加,导致锚破坏的是循环累积变形。强度沿深度增加软土和均一强度软土中吸力锚循环承载力的相对变化规律一致,当循环破坏次数为100时,循环承载力是静承载力的90%左右;当循环破坏次数增加至2 000时,循环承载力减小至静承载力的70%左右。锚径的变化只影响循环承载力的大小,不影响其相对变化。强度沿深度增加土层中的吸力锚,其循环荷载下竖向阻力弱化程度大于水平阻力弱化程度,这与均一强度土层中吸力锚受循环荷载作用时的性态一致。     

co-seismic coulomb stress changes and its influences on aftershock distribution and surrounding faults caused by 2014 ludian earthquake,yunnan

The studies of earthquake stress transfer and its influence on regional seismicity have found that earthquake occurrences are highly interactive and correlated rather than isolated and random in traditional point in recently years. A lot of phenomena in earthquake observations such as aftershock distribution, stress shadow, earthquake interaction and migration were well explained based on the theory of earthquake stress interaction. It is important that understanding the process of earthquake interaction could give an insight into the physical mechanism of earthquake cycle, and could help us assess the seismic hazard in future.It has long been recognized that regional stress accumulated by tectonic motion is released when earthquake occurs. When earthquakes occur, the accumulated stress does not vanish completely, but is redistributed through the process of stress transfer, and then the redistributed stress may trigger potential earthquakes. The increment of Coulomb failure stress loading in the certain regions may improve the seismic activities. By contrast, the decrement of Coulomb failure stress in the areas of stress shadow where the stress on faults may unload could lead to the decrement of seismic activities.On August 3, 2014, an M_S6.5 earthquake occurred in Zhaotong-Ludian region, Yunnan Province, China, killing and injuring hundreds of people. Therefore, it is critical to outline the areas with potential aftershocks before reconstruction and re-settlement so as to avoid future disasters. Based on the elastic dislocation theory and multi-layered lithospheric model, we calculate the co-stress changes caused by the Zhaotong-Ludian earthquakes to discuss its influences on aftershock distribution and surrounding faults. It is shown that the Coulomb stress changes based on the rupture in the NNW direction can explain better the aftershock distribution. It indicates that the NNW direction may represent the real rupture. The aftershocks mainly distribute in the regions with increased stress along main rupture and west to the rupture. In other regions with increased stress, the distributions of aftershock are rare which may indicate the low tectonic stress accumulation in these regions. The stress accumulation and corresponding seismic hazard on the southern part of Zhaotong Fault, Qiaojia segment of Zemuhe-Xiaojiang Fault and northeastern part of Lianfeng Fault are further increased by the Zhaotong-Ludian earthquake. We should pay special attention to the southern part of Zhaotong Fault where seismic activity is very high in recently years and the increment of Coulomb failure stress in this area is more than 0.1bar(0.1bar is the threshold of earthquake triggering). In order to make a more objective and comprehensive discussion, we calculate the sensitivity of the parameters such as effective coefficient of friction, the calculated depth and multilayered crustal model.