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This article, on the basis of the expert’s analyses and theories of the forecast of heavy-rain, summarizes a variety of the current instruments and methods of forecast and, according to the train of thought of the high-rank forecasters, distills their experiences in forecasting heavy-rain into an inference-tree of 106 junctures from which 101 rule-bases are derived. The logical calculation is automatically carried out with our introduced and developed PROLOG, one of the intelligent languagas by means of micro-computer. This process adopts the uncertain inferential method based on the theory of fuzzy sets, breaks through the limits of two-value logic and is characteristic of the thinking of human brain. 相似文献
23.
Landslides are the major natural hazards in many countries all over the world and are usually caused by heavy rainfall, water level change of reservoir, excavation, earthquake, etc. Whether the landslide occurs or not in rainfall season, the strength variation of slip-zone soils of landslide is regarded as the vital control factor. Thus, strength behavior for slip-zone soils of landslide subject to the change of water content is required to be evaluated in a potential landslide area. In this paper, the shear strength of typical slip-zone soil, six groups of 25 specimens of remolded clay samples from Daxishan reservoir landslide, was systemically investigated using the improved direct shear test apparatus in order to fully understand its physical and mechanical properties, and also the shear and failure behavior. Furthermore, the fitting equations for expressing the relationship between the shear strength (effective cohesion and internal friction angle) and vertical loadings, initial water contents of slip-zone clay were established based on the experimental results. In particular, a series of shear stress–shear strain curves under various vertical loadings and different water contents were observed. The results show that a “softening” stress–strain behavior is achieved for unsaturated slip-zone soil, while a “hardening” curve is found for saturated slip-zone soil. 相似文献
24.
琼北地区铺前−清澜断裂是一条关系到1605年琼山7½级大地震发震构造判断的重要断裂。为准确厘定该断裂的最新活动特征,针对琼北地区第四纪玄武岩盖层和巨厚海相砂沉积等地质条件,采用大吨位震源的浅层人工地震勘探和小间距钻孔联合地质剖面探测相结合的方法,分别在海口江东三江镇岐山头村和东寨村展开探测。结果表明:(1) 铺前−清澜断裂断错了多个标志地层,最浅断错至全新统烟墩组淤泥层,上断点埋深10 m左右,钻探所揭示的断层面明显具有走滑兼具逆冲性质,是一条具有一定宽度、多分支、多期次活动的大规模断裂带;(2)钻孔联合地质剖面所揭示的地层深度范围内,被断错地层的位移量随着深度增加而加大,铺前−清澜断裂自8 346~7 153 a cal BP以来有过活动,全新世累计垂直位移量4~5 m,垂直位移速率为0.53~0.63 mm/a,推断其为1605年琼山大地震的发震断裂。本研究取得的铺前−清澜断裂全新世活动的新证据,为国土空间规划和区域地震危险性评价提供了科学依据。
相似文献25.
The water characteristics of the Gucheng Lake, such as eutrophication, health and spatial distribution, were investigated.
On the basis of the trophic state index (TSI) and entropy weight, a synthesized trophic state index (STSI) model was established
to assess lake eutrophication condition through calculating STSI, choosing TP, TN, COD, BOD and NH3-N as trophic variables. The STSI ranged from 50.58 to 62.44, which showed that the water has been between eutrophic and supereutrophic.
A histogram was applied to health risk assessment which was analyzed from carcinogenic substances (Cr+6, As and Cd) and non-carcinogenic substances (hydroxybenzene, Pb, Hg, CN− and NH3), and the results showed that the former was much greater than the latter for effect. The total risk for each resident caused
by all pollutants ranged from 5.18E-05 to 8.34E-05, which is far higher than the standard, recommended by Sweden Bureau of
Environment Protection and Holland Ministry of Building and Environment Protection (1.0E-05). Cluster analysis was used to
detect similarities and dissimilarities among the seven sampling sites and explain the observed clustering in terms of affected
conditions. Twenty-one variables were used to divide seven sampling sites into three groups, namely, north lake, south lake
and lake center. 相似文献
26.
27.
De-Fu Bu Feng Yuan Fu-Guo Xie 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2009,392(1):325-331
Observations and numerical magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations indicate the existence of outflows and ordered large-scale magnetic fields in the inner region of hot accretion flows. In this paper, we present the self-similar solutions for advection-dominated accretion flows (ADAFs) with outflows and ordered magnetic fields. Stimulated by numerical simulations, we assume that the magnetic field has a strong toroidal component and a vertical component in addition to a stochastic component. We obtain the self-similar solutions to the equations describing the magnetized ADAFs, taking into account the dynamical effects of the outflow. We compare the results with the canonical ADAFs and find that the dynamical properties of ADAFs such as radial velocity, angular velocity and temperature can be significantly changed in the presence of ordered magnetic fields and outflows. The stronger the magnetic field is, the lower the temperature of the accretion flow will be and the faster the flow rotates. The relevance to observations is briefly discussed. 相似文献
28.
Natural Hazards - This study involved the systematic collation of historical data from local records, government records, etc., as well as disaster data compiled by contemporary researchers.... 相似文献
29.
从基本矩阵的性质和作用出发,首先从理论上证明了如果在一条2维直线上有多于给定的3个以上的匹配点,多余的点将被视为冗余点不能用作匹配点;然后针对该问题引入了Hough变换算法,在建立匹配点对应关系的同时剔除冗余的共线点。实验表明,用改进后的算法估计出的基本矩阵在平均余差和对极距离上都小于改进前的算法,提高了基本矩阵的估计精度和稳定性。 相似文献
30.
任何无线电通信设备都是通过天线发射电波来传送信息的,因而,它在无线电通信 中占有极其重要的地位.笔者在本文中结合实际工作中的体会讨论了短波天线的类型和基本 特性,并提出了地震通信中常用短波天线的设计方法和架设要求. 相似文献