辽宁营口虎皮峪地区古元古代岩浆事件及地质意义

辽宁营口虎皮峪地区存在3期古元古代侵入岩浆活动:早期虎皮峪辽吉花岗岩成岩时代为2119±16Ma,富硅、富碱、低铝、低钙及负Eu异常显示其具有类似A型花岗岩的地球化学特征,非常低Sr高Yb的特点指示其形成压力很低,与减薄的地壳有关;第二期后松树沟奥长花岗岩成岩时代为1892±16Ma,富硅、富钠、高铝,Na2O/K2O1.35及无Eu异常或正Eu异常显示其具有埃达克质岩石的特征,中—高Sr低Yb的特点指示其形成压力较高、深度较大,与碰撞后加厚地壳底侵玄武岩的部分熔融有关;晚期南台子石英二长岩成岩时代为1850±11Ma,富碱(Na2O+K2O=11.32%~11.93%),里特曼指数δ=4.78~7.20,属碱性岩,低Sr低Yb的特点指示其形成压力中等,深度大概40~50km,是造山作用完成后板内伸展背景下的产物。上述3期岩浆事件对整个辽吉古元古代活动带的构造演化具有重要指示意义:早期辽吉花岗岩可能形成于辽吉古元古代活动带早期弧后伸展阶段;后松树沟奥长花岗岩则代表古元古代晚期碰撞后地壳加厚阶段的产物;南台子石英二长岩属后造山花岗岩,标志着辽东地区克拉通化的完成,开始进入后造山伸展演化阶段。     

Carboniferous–Permian Stratigraphy and Sedimentary Environment of Southeastern Inner Mongolia, China: Constraints on Final Closure of the Paleo-Asian Ocean

In this paper we discuss the timing of final closure of the Paleo-Asian Ocean based on the field investigations of the Carboniferous–Permian stratigraphic sequences and sedimentary environments in southeastern Inner Mongolia combined with the geology of its neighboring areas. Studies show that during the Carboniferous–Permian in the eastern segment of the Tianshan-Hinggan Orogenic System, there was a giant ENE–NE-trending littoral-neritic to continental sedimentary basin, starting in the west from Ejinqi eastwards through southeastern Inner Mongolia into Jilin and Heilongjiang. The distribution of the Lower Carboniferous in the vast area is sparse. The Late Carboniferous or Permian volcanic-sedimentary rocks always unconformably overlie the Devonian or older units. The Upper Carboniferous–Middle Permian is dominated by littoral-neritic deposits and the Upper Permian, by continental deposits. The Late Carboniferous–Permian has no trace of subduction-collision orogeny, implying the basin gradually disappeared by shrinking and shallowing. In addition, it is of interest to note that the Ondor Sum and Hegenshan ophiolitic mélanges were formed in the pre-Late Silurian and pre-Late Devonian respectively, and the Solonker ophiolitic mélange formed in the pre-Late Carboniferous. All the evidence indicates that the eastern segment of the Paleo-Asian Ocean had closed before the Late Carboniferous, and most likely before the latest Devonian (Famennian).     

黑龙江嘉荫连珠山金矿床成岩成矿年代学及其地质意义

连珠山矿床位于小兴安岭北麓,是一个产于花岗岩内部断裂体系的蚀变岩型金矿床。为了限定其成矿时代与成矿地质背景,本文对其赋矿围岩黑云母二长花岗岩和石英闪长岩进行了岩石地球化学、锆石U-Pb和绢云母40Ar/39Ar年代学的系统研究。定年结果表明黑云母二长花岗岩形成时代为中三叠世(243.7±1.3Ma,MSWD=0.77,n=12),岩浆上侵过程中受到早古生代(474~438Ma)和中二叠世(267~261Ma)的岩浆混染,而石英闪长岩形成于晚三叠世(215.3±1.3Ma,MSWD=0.35,n=17);黄铁绢英岩化矿石中的绢云母40Ar/39Ar坪年龄为194.2±2.0Ma,指示为早侏罗世成矿;元素地球化学特征显示连珠山侵入岩为准铝质-弱过铝质、高钾钙碱性岩石系列,具有I型花岗岩的地球化学属性;轻稀土元素富集,相对亏损重稀土元素,且具有弱的负Eu异常;富集大离子亲石元素(LILE),亏损高场强元素(HFSE)。结合小兴安岭-张广才岭地区已有年代学资料和区域构造演化特征,认为其成矿地质背景为兴蒙造山晚期与古太平洋板块俯冲转换期,或成矿发生在兴蒙造山期后的伸展阶段。     

中国大陆构造的基本模型

中国大陆是由许多微、小陆块组成的复合大陆；以陆块间的软碰撞，多旋回缝合和复合造山作用为特征；具多旋回分阶段演化、多层式镶叠和立桥式结构；其动力学过程是冈瓦纳裂解和亚洲的增生。     

内蒙古赤峰鸭鸡山钼（铜）矿床辉钼矿Re-Os年龄及其地质意义

鸭鸡山钼(铜)矿床位于华北板块北缘西拉木伦钼铜成矿带南部,矿体受区内EW向和NE向走滑断裂控制,主要呈脉状或碎裂岩型赋存于二长花岗岩中,属石英脉型钼矿床。金属矿物主要是辉钼矿、黄铁矿和黄铜矿。运用Re-Os同位素定年法对该矿床辉钼矿进行年龄测试,测得7件不同类型辉钼矿样品的模式年龄加权平均年龄为(241.1±1.4)Ma,6件同类型样品等时线年龄为(240±3.8)Ma,表明成矿作用比较集中,成矿时间为早—中三叠世。结合鸭鸡山钼矿床辉钼矿、黄铜矿呈脉状、浸染状分布于二长花岗岩体中的特征,及前人已有的晚期蚀变年龄,作者认为赋矿二长花岗岩的形成时间为早—中三叠世。结合前人对区域上三叠纪构造岩浆作用的分析,认为鸭鸡山钼(铜)矿床的形成与古亚洲洋的闭合有关。     

Experiments with the Improved Dynamical-Statistical-Analog Ensemble Forecast Model for Landfalling Typhoon Precipitation over South China

In recent work, three physical factors of the Dynamical-Statistical-Analog Ensemble Forecast Model for Landfalling Typhoon Precipitation (DSAEF_LTP model) have been introduced, namely, tropical cyclone (TC) track, TC landfall season, and TC intensity. In the present study, we set out to test the forecasting performance of the improved model with new similarity regions and ensemble forecast schemes added. Four experiments associated with the prediction of accumulated precipitation were conducted based on 47 landfalling TCs that occurred over South China during 2004-2018. The first experiment was designed as the DSAEF_LTP model with TC track, TC landfall season, and intensity (DSAEF_LTP-1). The other three experiments were based on the first experiment, but with new ensemble forecast schemes added (DSAEF_LTP-2), new similarity regions added (DSAEF_LTP-3), and both added (DSAEF_LTP- 4), respectively. Results showed that, after new similarity regions added into the model (DSAEF_LTP-3), the forecasting performance of the DSAEF_LTP model for heavy rainfall (accumulated precipitation ≥250 mm and ≥100 mm) improved, and the sum of the threat score (TS250 + TS100) increased by 4.44%. Although the forecasting performance of DSAEF_LTP-2 was the same as that of DSAEF_LTP-1, the forecasting performance was significantly improved and better than that of DSAEF_LTP-3 when the new ensemble schemes and similarity regions were added simultaneously (DSAEF_LTP-4), with the TS increasing by 25.36%. Moreover, the forecasting performance of the four experiments was compared with four operational numerical weather prediction models, and the comparison indicated that the DSAEF_LTP model showed advantages in predicting heavy rainfall. Finally, some issues associated with the experimental results and future improvements of the DSAEF_LTP model were discussed.     

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Hindcasts of Stratospheric Sudden Warming by BCC_CSM1.1(m):A Comparison with ECMWF

This study focuses on model predictive skill with respect to stratospheric sudden warming(SSW) events by comparing the hindcast results of BCC_CSM1.1(m) with those of the ECMWF's model under the sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction project of the World Weather Research Program and World Climate Research Program. When the hindcasts are initiated less than two weeks before SSW onset, BCC_CSM and ECMWF show comparable predictive skill in terms of the temporal evolution of the stratospheric circumpolar westerlies and polar temperature up to 30 days after SSW onset. However, with earlier hindcast initialization, the predictive skill of BCC_CSM gradually decreases, and the reproduced maximum circulation anomalies in the hindcasts initiated four weeks before SSW onset replicate only 10% of the circulation anomaly intensities in observations. The earliest successful prediction of the breakdown of the stratospheric polar vortex accompanying SSW onset for BCC_CSM(ECMWF) is the hindcast initiated two(three) weeks earlier. The predictive skills of both models during SSW winters are always higher than that during non-SSW winters, in relation to the successfully captured tropospheric precursors and the associated upward propagation of planetary waves by the model initializations. To narrow the gap in SSW predictive skill between BCC_CSM and ECMWF, ensemble forecasts and error corrections are performed with BCC_CSM. The SSW predictive skill in the ensemble hindcasts and the error corrections are improved compared with the previous control forecasts.     

中国东南部5—8月持续性强降水和环流异常的准双周振荡

利用1979—2009年夏季(5—8月)中国站点逐日降水资料、NCEP/NCAR大气再分析资料以及向外长波辐射(OLR)资料,分析了中国东南部夏季持续性强降水的低频特征及其伴随的低频大气环流形势,利用超前滞后合成的方法对该低频信号的来源和传播特征进行了研究。结果表明:中国东南部夏季降水存在明显的准双周低频振荡,低频降水事件(持续性强降水)在6月10日前后和7月1日前后发生的次数较多,持续5d的低频降水事件降水量占总低频降水事件的比例最大。在低频降水事件发生时期,中国东南部在低层是很强的低频气旋式环流,而在中国南海至西太平洋一带则是强大的低频反气旋,同时低频的水汽从孟加拉湾北部以及中国南海、菲律宾海一带输送到长江以南地区强烈辐合上升;此时在高层一个低频反气旋控制中国东北部地区,该低频反气旋与其西侧的低频反气旋以及位于中国东南沿海的低频气旋相互配合,使得长江以南地区高层强烈地辐散,加强了低层的上升运动。在超前低频降水7d左右时,大气低层在150°E洋面附近开始出现低频反气旋,逐渐加强并向西移动到达中国东南沿海,而在中国南海一带的低频气旋则向西北移动到长江以南地区,与此同时,副热带高压有一个明显的西伸过程,高低层相互配合最终导致低频降水的发生。     

三江源区域夏季降水异常的水汽输送及源地特征的研究

三江源作为中国长江、黄河、澜沧江三条大河的发源地,其水汽来源和输送对于下游地区的天气和气候具有重要影响。根据1994-2019年三江源地区的夏季降水数据表明,三江源地区的夏季7月降水量表现为多次的正负异常交换特征,正异常最强的为2012年（+1290 mm）,负异常最强的为2015年（-802 mm）。本研究在此异常时段采用基于拉格朗日方法的FLEXPART模式进行模拟,后向追踪在研究时段内所有到达三江源区域的气块,着重分析了三江源在降水异常时段的水汽输送特征和水汽源地并评估了不同水汽源地对三江源区域内降水的贡献率。结果表明：三江源的水汽输送通道主要为南北两支,在降水正异常时段通过南支输送从青藏高原北侧、西侧和南侧进入三江源为主,在降水负异常时段通过北支输送从青藏高原北侧进入三江源为主,三江源的降水量越小,南支输送越弱,北支输送越强。三江源的潜在水汽源地对三江源区域内降水贡献最为重要的是青藏高原北侧,其次是青藏高原西侧和三江源本地,还有部分源地为青藏高原南侧、阿拉伯海和孟加拉湾。青藏高原北侧在三江源降水负异常期间对三江源降水的贡献率有所增加,而其他水汽源地的贡献率减小。     

Further Study on Identifying Anomalous Large-Scale Rainfall Regimes in Phase Space

Using a 40-yr daily precipitation dataset including 134 stations from 1962 to 2001, the large-scale distribution patterns of precipitation anomalies over East China are investigated in the present paper. In the phase space spanned by the first 8 EOFs generated from the 20-day low-pass filtered data, the six rainfall regimes (RRs) are identified by applying a cluster analysis method, namely, the northeastern China regime, Yellow River regime, Qinling Mountain-Huaihe River regime, Yangtze River with its south regime, South China regime, and rainless regime. Analyses show that the new RRs exhibit good persistence and evident physical sense, and excellently represent both of countrywide and regional features, which also demonstrate the inhomogeneity of multi-dimensional phase space. Furthermore, it is more important that the new RRs can describe intraseasonal dynamic characteristics of large-scale rainfall anomalies, which is the most significant difference between the new RRs and the conventional seasonal mean rainfall patterns. On the other hand, the climatic characteristics of daily distributions of the RRs events, as well as the 40-year panorama of the RRs occurring are also investigated, which further document rationality and objectivity of the RRs with intraseasonal variability, and are likely to present more helpful information for short-term climate prediction, compared with other previous classical rainfall patterns.