Producer Services Research in the United Kingdom

This paper reviews recent research in the United Kingdom on producer services and suggests directions for further research. A recurrent theme in UK-based geographic research into producer services is the role of service activities, establishments, and trade in uneven development of the UK space economy, a role manifested in uneven provision and quality of services in peripheral regions. During the 1980s, overall growth in demand for producer services and the rapid rise in metropolitan London real estate costs reduced London's dominance, but these trends moderated by the end of the decade. In the absence of adequate government statistics, regular and standardized surveys are needed to compile a time series of service change in the United Kingdom. Directions for continued empirical research include the role of producer services in innovation and technology transfer, the implications of information technology for the location of employment in the sector, and the impacts of productivity increases on employment and wages.     

The effect of horizontal resolution on ocean surface heat fluxes in the ECMWF model

Annual mean ocean surface heat fluxes have been studied as a function of horizontal resolution in the ECMWF model (cycle 33) and compared with Oberhuber's COADS (1959–1979) based empirical estimates. The model has been run at resolutions of T21, T42, T63 and T106 for 15 months with prescribed monthly varying climatological SST and sea ice. The T42 simulation was extended to 2 years, which enabled us to determine that many differences between the resolution runs were significant and could not be explained by the fact that individual realizations of an ensemble of years can be expected to give different estimates of the annual mean climate state. In addition to systematic differences between the modeled and the observed fluxes, the simulated fields of surface shortwave and longwave radiation showed much more spatial variability than the observed estimates. In the case of the longwave radiation this may be attributable more to deficiencies in the observations than to errors in the model. The modeled latent and sensible heat fields were in better agreement with observations. The primary conclusion concerning the dependence of ocean surface fluxes on resolution is that the T21 simulation differed significantly from the higher resolution runs, especially in the tropics. Although the differences among the three higher resolution simulations were generally small over most of the world ocean, there were local areas with large differences. It appears, therefore, that in relation to ocean surface heat fluxes, a resolution greater than T42 may not be justified for climate model simulations, although the locally large differences found between the higher resolution runs suggest that convergence has not been achieved everywhere even at T106.     

Climate and chronic respiratory disease in Sydney - The case of asthma

Asthma remains a major health concern for many Australians. Currently mortality and morbidity rates are very high and have increased substantially over the last 10 years. Within Sydney there is a distinctive pattern of asthma risk with both inner-city and outer western suburbs figuring prominently.This paper looks at asthma within the Sydney metropolitan area. It pays particular attention to the direct and indirect effects of weather and climate on the disease, as well as the interplay between a number of biophysical and socio-economic factors and the role played by outdoor and indoor air pollution. In particular it discusses the relationship between topography, meteorology, air pollution and asthma in Sydney. Finally, it argues that climate change will greatly influence the prevalence and distribution of the disease.     

Responses of marsh fishes and breeding wading birds to low temperatures: A possible behavioral link between predator and prey

In the Everglades of southern Florida, several species of spring- and winter-nesting wading birds (Ciconiiformes) often abandon their nests in response to periods of cold or wet and windy weather. Using stepwise logistic regression of a variety of hydrologic and meteorologic variables on the probability of great egret nest failure, we found that cold temperatures and high wind speeds were most closely associated with nest failure in the Everglades. Water level fluctuation was not a significant correlate of failure. Quantitative visual surveys in the field showed that even moderate cooling events (15°C minimum daily temperature) dramatically altered the observed densities of marsh fishes. In controlled conditions in the laboratory, we observed centrarchid, poeciliid, and cyprinodontid fishes during normal high (19–23°C) and simulated cold snap (8–11°C) temperatures. At low temperatures, the fishes exhibited reduced activity, sought refuge by hiding in vegetation and/or substrate, and fled our approach to the tank at much greater distances. Threshold temperatures for these behaviors varied considerably between the laboratory (9–11°C) and field (15–20°C), and may be explained by differences in the previous thermal experience of the two groups of fishes. We hypothesize that the temperature-induced scarcity of fishes during spring cold snaps is an important cause of disruption of nesting for several species of wading birds in the Everglades.     

Petrology and petrogenesis of the Ministers Island dike,southwest New Brunswick,Canada

The Ministers Island dike in southwest New Brunswick is a quartz tholeiitic member of the Late Triassic to Early Jurassic dike suite that outcrops along the east coast of North America. The dike's phenocryst assemblage is orthopyroxene + augite + plagioclase. The combination of petrographic, chemical (both phase and whole rock), isotopic and experimental work on representative samples from the dike places important constraints on the petrogenesis of the Ministers Island dike and by analogy on the other members of the dike suite. The petrographic, analytical and experimental results show that the Ministers Island dike magma underwent high pressure (0.8 to 1.0 GPa) fractionation of augite, followed by augite + orthopyroxene, and finally augite + plagioclase. The absence of olivine as either a phenocryst or an experimentally observed high pressure liquidus phase indicates that the magma evolved away from the Ol-Cpx-Opx-Plag pseudo-invariant point while still at high pressure and there was sufficient time for any olivine to settle out of the magma prior to emplacement of the dike. The Sr and Nd isotopic results support a metasomatised mantle source similar to EMI but with slightly more radiogenic Nd.     

Annual and seasonal fluctuations of precipitation and streamflow in the Aconcagua River basin, Chile

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon has been shown to influence dramatically precipitation and streamflow in tropical western South America. The statistical properties of annual and winter precipitation totals and streamflow characteristics in the Aconcagua River basin, in temperate central Chile, are investigated in such a way as to permit the identification of flood- and drought-generating processes and their possible linkages to upset behavior in the tropical Pacific. Despite the considerable distance to those regions generally associated with ENSO events, the phenomenon produces marked effects upon the various physical processes which govern the surface hydrometeorology of the study area. El Niño years result in significant increases in annual and winter precipitation, particularly along the coastal margin. The likelihood of rain or rain-on-snow flooding, in the succeeding winter, increases, as does the size of spring snowmelt in the southern summer, 1 year after the upset conditions in the tropical region. Annual low flows are of higher magnitude and occur earlier in the year than is usual.