岩溶山区崩滑灾害变形破坏地质模式分类

岩溶山区特殊的地质结构导致崩塌、滑坡等地质灾害时常发生,带来了严重的人员伤亡和经济社会损失。研究岩溶山区崩滑灾害特征,建立相应的变形破坏地质模式,对于岩溶山区崩滑灾害风险防控与治理工程具有重要理论意义与指导价值。文章以典型地质灾害形成演化过程为例,在系统地分析研究区典型崩滑灾害地质背景、影响因素、动力学与运动学特征的基础上,提出了岩溶山区崩滑灾害变形破坏地质模式,得出以下主要结论：（1）影响崩滑成灾基本因素（崩滑灾害体势能、岩溶结构面、岩组结构、斜坡地貌和斜坡结构）、影响因素（水文地质条件、工程活动、地震、降雨）和变形运动特征（运动形式和变形机制）三个方面,据此建立了岩溶山区崩滑灾害地质分类指标体系。（2）结合研究区特征对模型体系里面的每个要素进行系统分析,崩滑灾害的发生是各个要素相互组合、相互作用的结果。（3）总结了研究区内5种典型崩滑地质模式：高势能反倾降雨型高速远程滑坡—碎屑流模型、高势能斜倾视向采矿型高速远程崩滑灾害模型、超高势能横向陡倾地震型高速远程滑坡、高势能采矿型高速崩塌—碎屑流模型、低势能差异风化崩塌模型。为后续开展物理模拟、数值模拟、稳定性计算和变形破坏预测等工作奠定基础。下一步将更加深入全面地建立研究区的崩滑灾害模式,并进行崩滑灾害的危险性分级工作。     

基于AI的胸部CT平扫对冠脉钙化积分的准确性评价

目的：探讨基于人工智能（AI）的非门控胸部低剂量CT（LDCT）平扫与心电门控CT血管造影（ECG gated-CTA）对冠状动脉钙化积分（CACS）危险度分层的一致性。方法：回顾性分析行冠状动脉CTA扫描的100例患者,所有患者均行冠脉ECG gated-CTA扫描和常规非门控胸部LDCT平扫。在Siemens后处理工作站采用Agatston钙化积分软件记录ECG gated-CTA钙化积分,采用数坤人工智能分析软件记录非门控胸部CT平扫的钙化积分。采用原标准界值,对非门控胸部LDCT平扫与ECG gated-CTA评估的CACS值危险度分层进行Kappa检验;采用受试者工作特征曲线（ROC）检验非门控胸部LDCT平扫的诊断效能并获取最佳诊断新界值,采用新界值的非门控胸部LDCT与ECG gated-CTA评估的CACS值危险度分层进行进一步Kappa检验;比较两种方法的钙化积分的Pearson相关性,P<0.001为有统计学显著差异。结果：对非门控胸部LDCT平扫的CACS值按原界值进行危险度分层,与ECG gated-CTA的CACS值危险度分层进行一致性检验,Kappa值为0.804,P<0.001。非门控胸部LDCT平扫测得的CACS值与ECG gated-CTA测得的CACS值比较,低危-中危组的ROC曲线下面积（AUC）为0.910,P<0.001,最佳诊断界值为112.35;中危-高危组AUC为0.988,P<0.001,最佳诊断界值为398.31。对非门控胸部LDCT平扫测得的CACS值按最佳新诊断界值进行危险度分层,与ECG-gated CTA平扫测得的CACS值的按原有界值危险度分层进行一致性检验,Kappa值为0.850,P<0.001。两种方法所测Pearson相关系数为0.985,P<0.001,存在显著相关性。结论：基于人工智能技术的非门控胸部CT平扫与ECG-gated CTA对冠状动脉钙化积分的评估具有较高的一致性;本研究制定了非门控条件下CACS值危险度分层新标准,进一步提高了非门控胸部LDCT评估CACS值的准确性,有助于冠心病风险的早期筛查。     

CFRP加固一字形竖缝耗能预制剪力墙抗震性能研究

以一字形竖缝耗能预制剪力墙作为研究对象,设计了3个装配式剪力墙试件及1个现浇剪力墙对比试件,进行低周往复荷载试验,并对破坏墙体进行CFRP加固,再次进行拟静力试验。试件变化参数包括轴压比、混凝土强度等级及配筋率,对比分析加固前后试件滞回性能、刚度退化、承载力和耗能能力等性能。试验结果表明,与现浇剪力墙相比,一字形竖缝耗能预制剪力墙工作性能良好,阻尼器屈服耗能提高了试件整体工作性能;CFRP加固可有效抑制墙体斜裂缝的发展,对墙体承载力及耗能能力均有显著改善作用;各试件均满足剪力墙弹塑性层间位移角限值要求,延性较好;试件整体表现出良好的抗震性能。     

Piecewise prediction model for watershed‐scale erosion and sediment yield of individual rainfall events on the Loess Plateau,China

Establishing a universal watershed‐scale erosion and sediment yield prediction model represents a frontier field in erosion and soil/water conservation. The research presented here was conducted on the Chabagou watershed, which is located in the first sub‐region of the hill‐gully area of the Loess Plateau, China. A back‐propagation artificial neural model for watershed‐scale erosion and sediment yield was established, with the accuracy of the model, then compared with that of multiple linear regression. The sensitivity degree of various factors to erosion and sediment yield was quantitatively analysed using the default factor test. On the basis of the sensitive factors and the fractal information dimension, the piecewise prediction model for erosion and sediment yield of individual rainfall events was established and further verified. The results revealed the back‐propagation artificial neural network model to perform better than the multiple linear regression model in terms of predicting the erosion modulus, with the former able to effectively characterize dynamic changes in sediment yield under comprehensive factor conditions. The sensitivity of runoff erosion power and runoff depth to the erosion and sediment yield associated with individual rainfall events was found to be related to the complexity of surface topography. The characteristics of such a hydrological response are thus closely related to topography. When the fractal information dimension is greater than the topographic threshold, the accuracy of prediction using runoff erosion power is higher than that of using runoff depth. In contrast, when the fractal information dimension is smaller than the topographic threshold, the accuracy of prediction using runoff depth is higher than that of using runoff erosion power. The developed piecewise prediction model for watershed‐scale erosion and sediment yield of individual rainfall events, which introduces runoff erosion power and runoff depth using the fractal information dimension as a boundary, can be considered feasible and reliable and has a high prediction accuracy. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Spatial and temporal variability of stable isotopes (δ18O and δ2H) in surface waters of arid,mountainous Central Asia

Characterization of spatial and temporal variability of stable isotopes (δ¹⁸O and δ²H) of surface waters is essential to interpret hydrological processes and establish modern isotope–elevation gradients across mountainous terrains. Here, we present stable isotope data for river waters across Kyrgyzstan. River water isotopes exhibit substantial spatial heterogeneity among different watersheds in Kyrgyzstan. Higher river water isotope values were found mainly in the Issyk‐Kul Lake watershed, whereas waters in the Son‐Kul Lake watershed display lower values. Results show a close δ¹⁸O–δ²H relation between river water and the local meteoric water line, implying that river water experiences little evaporative enrichment. River water from the high‐elevation regions (e.g., Naryn and Son‐Kul Lake watershed) had the most negative isotope values, implying that river water is dominated by snowmelt. Higher deuterium excess (average d = 13.9‰) in river water probably represents the isotopic signature of combined contributions from direct precipitation and glacier melt in stream discharge across Kyrgyzstan. A significant relationship between river water δ¹⁸O and elevation was observed with a vertical lapse rate of 0.13‰/100 m. These findings provide crucial information about hydrological processes across Kyrgyzstan and contribute to a better understanding of the paleoclimate/elevation reconstruction of this region.     

Variability in the vertical hyporheic water exchange affected by hydraulic conductivity and river morphology at a natural confluent meander bend

River confluences and their associated tributaries are key morphodynamic nodes that play important roles in controlling hydraulic geometry and hyporheic water exchange in fluvial networks. However, the existing knowledge regarding hyporheic water exchange associated with river confluence morphology is relatively scarce. On January 14 and 15, 2016, the general hydraulic and morphological characteristics of the confluent meander bend (CMB) between the Juehe River and the Haohe River in the southern region of Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, China, were investigated. The patterns and magnitudes of vertical hyporheic water exchange (VHWE) were estimated based on a one‐dimensional heat steady‐state model, whereas the sediment vertical hydraulic conductivity (K_v) was calculated via in situ permeameter tests. The results demonstrated that 6 hydrodynamic zones and their extensions were observed at the CMB during the test period. These zones were likely controlled by the obtuse junction angle and low momentum flux ratio, influencing the sediment grain size distribution of the CMB. The VHWE patterns at the test site during the test period mostly showed upwelling flow dominated by regional groundwater discharging into the river. The occurrence of longitudinal downwelling and upwelling patterns along the meander bend at the CMB was likely subjected to the comprehensive influences of the local sinuosity of the meander bend and regional groundwater discharge and finally formed regional and local flow paths. Additionally, in dominated upwelling areas, the change in VHWE magnitudes was nearly consistent with that in K_v values, and higher values of both variables generally occurred in erosional zones near the thalweg paths of the CMB, which were mostly made up of sand and gravel. This was potentially caused by the erosional and depositional processes subjected to confluence morphology. Furthermore, lower K_v values observed in downwelling areas at the CMB were attributed to sediment clogging caused by local downwelling flow. The confluence morphology and sediment K_v are thus likely the driving factors that cause local variations in the VHWE of fluvial systems.     

新疆阿尔泰库马苏铅锌多金属矿床成因探讨

库马苏铅锌多金属矿床位于阿尔泰山东段南麓库马苏一带的中蒙边境地区,行政区划隶属新疆维吾尔自治区富蕴县管辖,距富蕴县城约100 km。 该矿床位于阿尔泰陆缘活动带之诺尔特晚古生代上叠盆地中,南部沿库热克特大断裂与哈龙早古生代岩浆弧带毗邻;该地区金、铜及多金属矿（化）点密集分布于下石炭统红山嘴组地层内,而且由西向东,矿产种类呈一定的规律性变化,西部为铜、金,中部为金及多金属,东部以多金属为主;反映在地球化学异常上表现出西部以金、砷、锑异常为主,中部以面积较小的金、砷、锑、铅、锌异常为主,东部铅、锌、铜、银、金、砷、锑异常集中分布。目前,在成矿带内自西向东已发现红山嘴金矿点,小土尔根铜矿、塔斯比伊克金矿点、阿克提什坎金矿点、库马苏金多金属矿等。矿床所在区域构造发育,变质作用强烈,岩浆活动期次多、规模大,是非常有利的成矿环境。结合矿床地质特征,判定库马苏铅锌多金属矿床的形成与该区域岩浆作用和火山活动密切相关,为岩浆热液充填交代成因铅锌金多金属矿床。