GM—BP串联组合预测模型在滑坡变形监测中的应用

为了提高滑坡的预测精度,通过对灰色GM（1,1）模型与BP神经网络模型各自优缺点及互补性的分析,建立了GM—BP串联组合预测模型。模型首先采用等维动态GM（1,1）模型进行初步预测,然后利用BP神经网络对初步预测的结果进行训练及仿真,通过数据的归一化处理,参数的判定选取,获得组合模型预测值。以茅坪滑坡为例,对位移进行了预测。通过数据的对比分析,发现GM—BP串联组合预测模型在短期预测精度上高于单一模型。     

皖南祁门—歙县地区元古界变质岩地层原始构造环境和形变

1975年和1976年,作者和安徽省地质局332队宿立先、黄清涛同志先后观测了皖南的铺岭组和井潭组剖面,并将部分资料作过初步介绍。1977年作者又到现场观测和收集了牛屋组、板桥组、漳前组的有关资料。本文就是根据已收集的初步资料整理而成。研究地区元古界变质杂岩包括休宁组以前的地层。安徽省区域地质调查队将它分为漳前、板桥、木坑(环沙)、牛屋、邓家和井潭(铺岭)六个组分别归于震旦系和前震旦系(表1)。     

北极地区斯匹次卑尔根岛的构造演变

斯匹次卑尔根岛是斯瓦尔巴特群岛中最大的岛屿,具有较全的地质时代记录、反映多次构造运动的构造现象。本文从构造组合的观点,对斯匹次卑尔根岛的构造划分为东西向、南北向、北北西向三组方向,它们反映了本区自元古代以来至少经历了三次不同方向的构造应力场作用。     

自然金的化学分离方法

作者用物理方法和化学方法相结合分离了九个矿区的自然金,效果良好,其纯度一般达99％以上。X光、化学分析和物性测试表明,化学处理对自然金的物性、化学成分和结构无明显影响。文中分别对几种矿物组合的化学分离方法作了具体介绍。     

简单剪切——中国活动构造变形主要机制

采用简单剪切对中国活动的构造组合进行解译,提出简单剪切是主要变形机制,着重对简单剪切依据进行了论述,对简单剪切与老构造的关系作了初步讨论,提出需要继续探讨的主要问题。     

Timing of mineralization at the Shihu gold deposit in the middle segment of the Taihang Mountain,China

The Shihu gold deposit, located in the middle-south section of the core of the Fuping mantle branch structure, is hosted in the Archean Fuping Group and adjacent to the quartz diorite porphyrite. The gold deposit is the only large gold deposit with reserves of more than 30 tons gold discovered in western Hebei Province so far. In order to constrain the timing of mineralization of this ore deposit, this paper focuses on the isotopic dating of zircon and pyrite. Zircons in gold-bearing quartz veins are magmatic in origin and no hydrothermal zircon has been found in such quartz veins, indicating that zircons were derived from the wall rocks. U–Pb ages of zircons fall mainly in the two domains: 2492 ± 82 and 136 ± 4 Ma, respectively, indicative of the contribution of the Fuping-Group TTG gneiss and Yanshanian igneous rocks, respectively. The Re–Os isotopic compositions of pyrites in the gold-bearing quartz veins yield an isochron age of 127 ± 31 Ma. Combined with other dating results, we suggest that the main metallogenic age of the Shihu gold deposit is 120–127 Ma.     

Source and yearly distribution of PAHs in the snow from the Hailuogou glacier of Mountain Gongga,China

Snow samples were collected over a 3-year period from 2012 to 2014 at the Hailuogou glacier of Mountain Gongga (Mt. Gongga) and analyzed for 16 priority polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) using Gas Chromatography–Mass Spectrometry (GC–MS). The results show that total average levels of the 16 PAHs ranged from 452 to 290 ng·L^?1 with a possible declining trend from 2012 to 2014. Distances between the sampling sites and the emission sources were estimated at typically less than 500 km. The results suggest that the major source of PAHs was from coal combustion, while contributions from automobile exhaust played an important role in more recent years. This finding was in agreement with the characteristics of presence of local industry, residence, and recent development of tourism of the surrounding areas.     

A direction-dependent shear strength criterion for rock joints with two new roughness parameters

The surface morphology of a rock joint is closely related to its mechanical properties. To reasonably characterize a rock surface, two new roughness parameters were proposed in this paper. One is related to the average slope angle of asperities that contribute to the shear strength, and the other reflects the frictional behavior of asperities that is defined as the maximum possible contact area in the shear direction. Taking the standard joint roughness coefficient profiles as example, these two roughness parameters can be applied to describe the directional characteristics of shear strength. Based on their relationships with initial dilation angles, the proposed roughness parameters were incorporated into a peak shear strength criterion. It is shown that the predicted peak shear strength is consistent with experimental data, and there is a power–law relationship. The application range of new roughness parameters was determined, which may facilitate a measurement process.     

Research on mining-induced deformation and stress,insights from physical modeling and theoretical analysis

The dynamic change of mining-induced stress is the main reason for large deformation of surrounding rock. To investigate the influence of mining-induced stress and deformation is important for appropriate supportive design. It also helps to raise the safety and productivity of longwall mining operations. In this paper, Weijiagou Coal Mine in Southwest China was selected as the case study. In order to research on the deformation and breakage of overlying strata, physical modeling test was carried out on the self-developed rotatable physical similar test system. By using digital image correlation (DIC) technique, the deformation of strata and development of cracks in the process of coal seam excavation were acquired, meanwhile, mining-induced stress was also monitored by pressure cell and strainmeter. According to the mechanical structure of stope, the height of the destressed zone has a significant influence on stress distribution. In order to minimize the discrepancy between the physical model test and theoretical analysis, the dimension of the plastic zone of roadway was added into the mining panel width, and the gap between the experimental and theoretical results reduced.     

A simple approach to evaluating leakage through thin impervious element of high embankment dams

Internal erosion is the most common reason which induces failure of embankment dams besides overtopping. Relatively large leakage is frequently concentrated at defects of impervious element, and this will lead to eventual failure. The amount of leakage depends not only on integrity of impervious element, but also on dam height, shape of valley, shape of impervious element and water level in reservoir. The integrity of impervious element, which represents the relative level of seepage safety, is not easy to be determined quantitatively. A simple method for generalization of steady seepage state of embankment dams with thin impervious element is proposed in this paper. The apparent overall value of permeability coefficient for impervious element can be obtained by this method with reasonable accuracy and efficiency. A defect parameter of impervious element is defined as an index to characterize seepage safety of embankment dams. It equals the ratio of the apparent overall value of permeability coefficient to the measured value in laboratory for intact materials. Subsequently, seepage safety of three dams is evaluated and the evolution of defect level of impervious element of dams is investigated. It is proved that the newly proposed method in this paper is feasible in the evaluation of relative seepage safety level of embankment dams with thin impervious element.