Bayesian inversion of joint SH seismic and seismoelectric data to infer glacier system properties

In glacial studies, properties such as glacier thickness and the basement permeability and porosity are key to understand the hydrological and mechanical behaviour of the system. The seismoelectric method could potentially be used to determine key properties of glacial environments. Here we analytically model the generation of seismic and seismoelectric signals by means of a shear horizontal seismic wave source on top of a glacier overlying a porous basement. Considering a one-dimensional setting, we compute the seismic waves and the electrokinetically induced electric field. We then analyse the sensitivity of the seismic and electromagnetic data to relevant model parameters, namely depth of the glacier bottom, porosity, permeability, shear modulus and saturating water salinity of the glacier basement. Moreover, we study the possibility of inferring these key parameters from a set of very low noise synthetic data, adopting a Bayesian framework to pay particular attention to the uncertainty of the model parameters mentioned above. We tackle the resolution of the probabilistic inverse problem with two strategies: (1) we compute the marginal posterior distributions of each model parameter solving multidimensional integrals numerically and (2) we use a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm to retrieve a collection of model parameters that follows the posterior probability density function of the model parameters, given the synthetic data set. Both methodologies are able to obtain the marginal distributions of the parameters and estimate their mean and standard deviation. The Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm performs better in terms of numerical stability and number of iterations needed to characterize the distributions. The inversion of seismic data alone is not able to constrain the values of porosity and permeability further than the prior distribution. In turn, the inversion of the electric data alone, and the joint inversion of seismic and electric data are useful to constrain these parameters as well as other glacial system properties. Furthermore, the joint inversion reduces the uncertainty of the model parameters estimates and provides more accurate results.     

中国珊瑚藻的多样性及分布研究现状

珊瑚藻是海洋生态系统中一类重要的钙化红藻,且具有海洋初级生产力和生态服务功能,已经成为当前热点研究生物之一。目前,世界各国有关珊瑚藻的种类、分布等正在逐渐明晰,而我国海域珊瑚藻的分布研究尚属空白,许多种类的多样性信息也需要更新。中国珊瑚藻本底信息的匮乏也阻碍了我国在各个层面上开展珊瑚藻研究与保护工作。为此,文章对中国海域珊瑚藻种类和分布现状进行了汇总与分析。结果表明,中国现有珊瑚藻种类记录162种,合并同物异名种后共计112种,隶属于10科26属,约占全球珊瑚藻种类数的15%;其中大陆有79种,台湾岛66种,香港10种。我国珊瑚藻的分布从渤海到南海均有分布,呈现出明显的热带与亚热带分布特征;其中辽宁、山东、浙江、福建、广东和香港海域记载较少(<20种),而台湾岛、海南岛和三沙海域则较多(>30种)。研究能为明确我国珊瑚藻的种类、数量及分布特征等方面提供良好的参考资料。     

The Creston,California, meteorite fall and the origin of L chondrites

It has been proposed that all L chondrites resulted from an ongoing collisional cascade of fragments that originated from the formation of the ~500 Ma old asteroid family Gefion, located near the 5:2 mean‐motion resonance with Jupiter in the middle Main Belt. If so, L chondrite pre‐atmospheric orbits should be distributed as expected for that source region. Here, we present contradictory results from the orbit and collisional history of the October 24, 2015, L6 ordinary chondrite fall at Creston, CA (here reclassified to L5/6). Creston's short 1.30 ± 0.02 AU semimajor axis orbit would imply a long dynamical evolution if it originated from the middle Main Belt. Indeed, Creston has a high cosmic ray exposure age of 40–50 Ma. However, Creston's small meteoroid size and low 4.23 ± 0.07° inclination indicate a short dynamical lifetime against collisions. This suggests, instead, that Creston originated most likely in the inner asteroid belt and was delivered via the ν₆ resonance. The U‐Pb systematics of Creston apatite reveals a Pb‐Pb age of 4,497.1 ± 3.7 Ma, and an upper intercept U‐Pb age of 4,496.7 ± 5.8 Ma (2σ), circa 70 Ma after formation of CAI, as found for other L chondrites. The K‐Ar (age ~4.3 Ga) and U,Th‐He (age ~1 Ga) chronometers were not reset at ~500 Ma, while the lower intercept U‐Pb age is poorly defined as 770 ± 320 Ma. So far, the three known L chondrites that impacted on orbits with semimajor axes a <2.0 AU all have high (>3 Ga) K‐Ar ages. This argues for a source of some of our L chondrites in the inner Main Belt. Not all L chondrites originate in a continuous population of Gefion family debris stretching across the 3:1 mean‐motion resonance.     

Assessing and monitoring local and long-range-transported hydrocarbons as potential stressors to fish stocks

The Arctic is poorly described and understood compared to the North Sea and other boreal areas. We need to learn how knowledge obtained at boreal conditions may be applied at Arctic conditions. Increasing activity of the hydrocarbon industry may cause exposure stress from discharges. Within a joint industry research programme (Biosea) we studied how responses in fish from oil exposure may differ at North Sea boreal and Barents Sea Arctic conditions. Hydrocarbon uptake, metabolites, and enzymatic and genotoxic biomarker type of effect responses were measured in cod (Gadus morhua L.). Hydrocarbon metabolites remain longer in fish bile than original hydrocarbons, which are eliminated fast from tissues. The metabolites may be measured to background concentrations. They describe exposure and they constitute a link to other effects. Body burden, biliary polyaromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) metabolite concentration, and quantities of Cytochrome P-450 1A (CYP1A) and DNA adducts increased with oil in water concentration. The extent of biomarker expression was lower for some biomarkers and elimination was slower at the lowest temperature. The results show that several factors have to be accounted for if warm-water biomarker data are to be applied in cold water.     

Groundwater flow and storage processes in an inactive rock glacier

Groundwater flow through coarse blocky landforms contributes to streamflow in mountain watersheds, yet its role in the alpine hydrologic cycle has received relatively little attention. This study examines the internal structure and hydrogeological characteristics of an inactive rock glacier in the Canadian Rockies using geophysical imaging techniques, analysis of the discharge hydrograph of the spring draining the rock glacier, and chemical and stable isotopic compositions of source waters. The results show that the coarse blocky sediments forming the rock glacier allow the rapid infiltration of snowmelt and rain water to an unconfined aquifer above the bedrock surface. The water flowing through the aquifer is eventually routed via an internal channel parallel to the front of the rock glacier to a spring, which provides baseflow to a headwater stream designated as a critical habitat for an at‐risk cold‐water fish species. Discharge from the rock glacier spring contributes up to 50% of basin streamflow during summer baseflow periods and up to 100% of basin streamflow over winter, despite draining less than 20% of the watershed area. The rock glacier contains patches of ground ice even though it may have been inactive for thousands of years, suggesting the resiliency of the ground thermal regime under a warming climate.     

Wave constraints for Titan’s Jingpo Lacus and Kraken Mare from VIMS specular reflection lightcurves

Stephan et al. (Stephan, K. et al. [2010]. Geophys. Res. Lett. 37, 7104-+.) first saw the glint of sunlight specularly reflected off of Titan’s lakes. We develop a quantitative model for analyzing the photometric lightcurve generated during a flyby in which the specularly reflected light flux depends on the fraction of the solar specular footprint that is covered by liquid. We allow for surface waves that spread out the geographic specular intensity distribution. Applying the model to the VIMS T58 observations shows that the waves on Jingpo Lacus must have slopes of no greater than 0.15°, two orders of magnitude flatter than waves on Earth’s oceans. Combining the model with theoretical estimates of the intensity of the specular reflection allows a tighter constraint on the waves: ?0.05°. Residual specular signal while the specular point lies on land implies that either the land is wetted, the wave slope distribution is non-Gaussian, or that 5% of the land off the southwest edge of Jingpo Lacus is covered in puddles. Another specular sequence off of Kraken Mare acquired during Cassini’s T59 flyby shows rapid flux changes that the static model cannot reproduce. Points just 1 min apart vary in flux by more than a factor of two. The present dataset does not uniquely determine the mechanism causing these rapid changes. We suggest that changing wind conditions, kilometer-wavelength waves, or moving clouds could account for the variability. Future specular observations should be designed with a fast cadence, at least 6 points per minute, in order to differentiate between these hypotheses. Such new data will further constrain the nature of Titan’s lakes and their interactions with Titan’s atmosphere.     

Unpacking race,party and class from below: Surveying citizenship in the Msunduzi municipality

On the basis of a 2008 survey conducted in the Msunduzi municipality in the KwaZulu-Natal province, the paper begins an exploration of the character of popular politics and citizenship in South Africa. Embracing a ‘citizen-centred’ methodology informed by participation literatures, and sensibilities to the ‘work in progress’ character of African cities from urban studies debates, the paper interrogates the mainstream liberal-participatory model of citizenship in South Africa, and the critiques of current South African politics informed by these notions, specifically the ‘racial census’ and ‘dominant party syndrome’ analyses. Taken together these views can be read as characterising South African politics as a game for individual citizens governed by liberal rules, but played by racial and/or partisan groups in exclusionary ways, thus distorting liberal democratic mechanisms of representation and accountability. The paper also examines evidence for an alternative class-based analysis of one aspect of citizenship, namely, protest against poor local governance.The paper looks to unpack this ‘liberal model versus racialised communitarian practice’ imaginary by, on the one hand, demonstrating the ways in which citizenship is not racialised, or is asymmetrically racialised. Indeed, other than party allegiances and trust in key offices, very little by way of what citizens do, believe or think of themselves follows discrete racial lines. Similar points hold for partisanship too. On the other hand, the paper does not redeem the liberal-democratic model as there is also evidence of trust in government when it is not deserved based on performance, but more importantly, evidence that citizens embrace ‘informal’ means to secure their rights. A good example of this is protestors who are also more likely to vote than non-protestors. Taken together, these findings affirm both the way in which the racial and partisan legacy of the past is being undone by new institutions and practices, and suggest the complex intersection of these with networks of personal relations which characterise the local politics of most African cities.