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31.
A spatially explicit degree-day model was used to evaluate the risk of Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) transmission by mosquitoes
to humans and livestock within five target states in the continental United States: California, Minnesota, Nebraska, New York,
and Texas. A geographic information system was used to model potential virus transmission based on a 12-day moving window
assessment of the extrinsic incubation period theorized for RVFV in the United States. Risk of potential virus transmission
in each state was spatially evaluated on a 10-km grid using average historical daily temperature data from 1994 to 2003. The
highest levels of transmission risk occur in California and Texas, with parts of these states at risk of RVFV transmission
for up to 8 months per year. Northern Minnesota, central New York, and most of coastal and high-elevation California are at
low to null risk. Risk of impact to the livestock industry is greatest in California, Texas, and Nebraska. A standard global
climate model was used to evaluate future risk in the year 2030 in Nebraska, and showed an increase of transmission risk days
from approximately 3 to 4 months per year. 相似文献
32.
Konrad Bernlhr 《Astroparticle Physics》2000,12(4):255-268
Atmospheric density profiles as well as several light absorption and scattering processes depend on geographic position and are generally time-variable. Their impact on the atmospheric Cherenkov technique in general (imaging or non-imaging) is investigated. Different density profiles lead to differences in Cherenkov light density of up to 60%. Seasonal variations at mid-latitude sites are of the order of 15–20%. The quest for improved energy calibration of Cherenkov experiments also shows the need for improved transmission calculations, taking all relevant processes into account and using realistic profiles of absorbers. Simulations including the scattering mechanisms also reveal the relevance of Rayleigh and Mie scattering for atmospheric Cherenkov experiments. Refraction and the differences between treating the atmosphere in plane-parallel or spherical geometry are also investigated. 相似文献
33.
Jürgen Oberst Valéry Lainey Christophe Le Poncin-Lafitte Veronique Dehant Pascal Rosenblatt Stephan Ulamec Jens Biele J?rn Spurmann Ralph Kahle Volker Klein Ulrich Schreiber Anja Schlicht Nicolas Rambaux Philippe Laurent Beno?t Noyelles Bernard Foulon Alexander Zakharov Leonid Gurvits Denis Uchaev Scott Murchie Cheryl Reed Slava G. Turyshev Jesus Gil Mariella Graziano Konrad Willner Kai Wickhusen Andreas Pasewaldt Marita W?hlisch Harald Hoffmann 《Experimental Astronomy》2012,34(2):243-271
GETEMME (Gravity, Einstein??s Theory, and Exploration of the Martian Moons?? Environment), a mission which is being proposed in ESA??s Cosmic Vision program, shall be launched for Mars on a Soyuz Fregat in 2020. The spacecraft will initially rendezvous with Phobos and Deimos in order to carry out a comprehensive mapping and characterization of the two satellites and to deploy passive Laser retro-reflectors on their surfaces. In the second stage of the mission, the spacecraft will be transferred into a lower 1500-km Mars orbit, to carry out routine Laser range measurements to the reflectors on Phobos and Deimos. Also, asynchronous two-way Laser ranging measurements between the spacecraft and stations of the ILRS (International Laser Ranging Service) on Earth are foreseen. An onboard accelerometer will ensure a high accuracy for the spacecraft orbit determination. The inversion of all range and accelerometer data will allow us to determine or improve dramatically on a host of dynamic parameters of the Martian satellite system. From the complex motion and rotation of Phobos and Deimos we will obtain clues on internal structures and the origins of the satellites. Also, crucial data on the time-varying gravity field of Mars related to climate variation and internal structure will be obtained. Ranging measurements will also be essential to improve on several parameters in fundamental physics, such as the Post-Newtonian parameter ?? as well as time-rate changes of the gravitational constant and the Lense-Thirring effect. Measurements by GETEMME will firmly embed Mars and its satellites into the Solar System reference frame. 相似文献
34.
A multi-proxy paleoenvironmental study from Lake WB02 (72.29°N, 109.87°W) on Northern Victoria Island, Nunavut, Canada provides an 8.4-ka record of chironomid and ecosystem production. Mean July air temperatures for this region during the Holocene were inferred from the fossil record. The chironomid assemblages contained 33 taxa and were dominated by Paracladius and Heterotrissocladius maeaeri-type. Primary production and chironomid food availability inferred from sediment biogenic silica and loss on ignition at 550°C, and chironomid concentrations, all exhibited synchronous patterns of change through time. Similar to other climate records from across the Arctic, the sediment and fossil data from Lake WB02 support the hypothesis of a warm and productive early to middle Holocene, a cool and generally unproductive middle to late Holocene and a return to a warmer, more productive environment in the past 100 years. Mean July air temperature reconstructions based on both the modern analogue technique (MAT) and weighted averaging partial least squares regression (WAPLS), however, failed to reflect these same changes. The difference between the qualitative and quantitative environmental reconstructions may be due to the restrictions associated with the use of these inference tools, the effects of which are more significant in unproductive ecosystems such as Arctic lakes. 相似文献
35.
Konrad Miotliński 《Aquatic Geochemistry》2008,14(2):117-131
The reactive transport modeling of a complicated suite of reactions apparent in the aquifer during the application of N-containing
fertilizers is reported. The unconfined sandy aquifer can be subdivided into an oxic zone which contains groundwater with
oxygen and nitrate and an anoxic zone characterized by elevated iron and sulfate concentrations in groundwater. Oxygen and
nitrate are being reduced by pyrite and organic matter that commonly apparent in the aquifer. The oxidation of pyrite is modeled
using the local equilibrium approach, whereas decomposition of organic matter, with the adoption of kinetic approach. The
system is buffered by dissolution of aluminum and iron oxides. The modeling process is a two-step procedure. First, the processes
are modeled in the one-dimensional (1D) column using PHREEQC code. Subsequently, the calibrated and verified data were copied
and used in two-dimensional (2D) PHAST model. Prior to the performance of reactive transport modeling operations with PHAST,
a reliable flow model was executed. Finally, predictions are made for the distribution of water chemistry for the year 2008.
Model predicts that sulfate derived from the ongoing pyrite oxidation is reduced by the dissolved organic carbon at the higher
depth and forms pyrite by the reaction with iron. The results of this study highlight the importance of understanding the
interplay between the transport and chemical reactions that occur during the input of nitrate to the aquifer. Reactive transport
modeling incorporating the use of a newly developed code PHAST have proved to be a powerful tool for analyzing and quantifying
such interactions. 相似文献
36.
37.
Johnathan W. Sugg Christopher M. Fuhrmann L. Baker Perry Dorothy K. Hall Charles E. Konrad II 《自然地理学》2017,38(2):105-123
AbstractSnowfall in the Southern Appalachian Mountain region of the eastern US is characterized by much spatiotemporal variability. Annual snowfall totals vary by up to 75 cm, and variations in snowfall intensity can lead to large differences in the local snowfall distribution. Research has shown that the synoptic pattern associated with the snowfall strongly influences the regional-scale distribution of snow cover. However, topographic variability results in locally complex snow cover patterns that are not well understood or documented. In this study, we characterize the snow covered area (SCA) and fractional snow cover associated with different synoptic patterns in 14 individual sub-regions. We analyze 63 snow events using Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer standard snow cover products to ascertain both qualitative and quantitative differences in snow cover across sub-regions. Among sub-regions, there is significant variation in the snow cover pattern from individual synoptic classes. Furthermore, the percent SCA follows the regional snowfall climatology, and sub-regions with the highest elevations and northerly latitudes exhibit the greatest variability. Results of the sub-regional analysis provide valuable guidance to forecasters by contributing a deeper understanding of local snow cover patterns and their relationship to synoptic-scale circulation features. 相似文献
38.
Ohne Zusammenfassung 相似文献
39.
Konrad Richter 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1936,27(2):196-206
Zusammenfassung Die Bewegungsrichtungen der diluvialen, nordischen Inlandeismassen können mit ihren Veränderungen des Nachschubes auf Grund ihres Geschiebeinventars in. Norddeutschland festgestellt werden. Derartige Eisstromstriche im großen stehen mit den lokalen Lagerungsverhältnissen diluvialer Schichtpakete des Jungmoränengebietes sehr oft im Widerspruch. Besonders ist das im küstennahen Gebiet Norddeutschlands der Fall. Selten sind genügend große Aufschlüsse vorhanden, die aus der Art der Schichtenlagerung die bis 90° betragenden Abweichungen von der normalen Bewegungsrichtung des Inlandeises erkennen lassen. Es wird daher das Kleingefüge der Geschiebemergel zum Erkennen dieser Abweichungen benutzt. Im allgemeinen wurden die Geschiebe im Eis als Stromlinienkörper bewegt, so daß für Pommern eine Karte beigegeben ist, die eine Glazialschrammenkarte ersetzt. Sie läßt die stärkeren lokalen Schwankungen im küstennahen Gebiet deutlich erkennen. Weitere Einregelungsstudien in fluvioglazialen Sedimenten führten besonders bei Osern zur Möglichkeit, ehemalige Stromrichtungen und -stärken festzustellen. Als Darstellungsmethode werden Gefügediagramme empfohlen, wie sieSander, Rüger u. a. vorwiegend bei Schmelztektoniten benutzten. Die Urstromtäler und großen radialen Rinnen in Norddeutschland bergen noch Probleme, die voraussichtlich mit Einregelungsstudien zu lösen sind. 相似文献
40.