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261.
The past decade has seen a revival of environmental determinism in palaeoenvironmental research, with palaeoclimatic shifts implicated in the collapse of many past civilizations. Implicit in these studies is a belief that the observed cultural transitions can be causally related to the magnitude of climatic change. However, examination of the processes of these declines suggests that many exhibit patterns characteristic of complexity cascading within self-organized systems. If so, the nonlinear nature of these systems' responses to external forcing means that the assumption of causality in many of these cases should be considered questionable. 相似文献
262.
Recent changes in the cultural and forest landscapes of the Meseta Purépecha in Michoacán, Mexico as a result of forest degradation underscore the complexity of forest change processes in the tropical highlands of Latin America. Differences in community perception and forest structure and composition between the furniture-making and lumber-producing towns of Pichátaro and Sevina, Purépechan indigenous communities located amidst pine forests on Michoacán's volcanic plateau illustrate the dynamics of this process. We base our comparisons on interviews and field measures of forest structure. Our results show dramatic changes in the forests and cultural landscapes of both communities during the past decade. Following high regional timber exports during the early 1990s, Sevina shifted from a self-sufficient to a timber importation community. By comparison, communal forests and individual parcels in Pichátaro continue to provide wood for approximately 300 wood shops. Field data and forest stand maps confirm the perception of forest degradation in both communities. While Pichátaro has maintained a larger and more diverse forest base to date, stand structure data indicate selective harvesting has led to a shift in dominance toward the less economically desirable pine species and oak. Deforestation and degradation of Sevina and Pichátaro's community forests are symptomatic of both the Meseta Purépecha and Mexico in general. Current forest conditions in both communities justify local, regional, and national concerns regarding declining biodiversity and sustainable economies. 相似文献
263.
264.
G. H. Goedecke Vladimir E. Ostashev D. Keith Wilson Harry J. Auvermann 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2004,112(1):33-56
The von Kármán spectra of turbulent temperature andvelocity fluctuations have been widely used in the literature on turbulenceand electromagnetic, seismic, and acoustic wave propagation in random media.In this paper we provide a phenomenological motivation for the vonKármán velocity spectrum in terms of the quasi-wavelet model ofturbulence developed recently. In this model, turbulence is represented as asuperposition of self-similar localized eddies of many different scales. Wefind a functional form for these eddies that yields the von Kármán velocity spectrum exactly. We also show that other eddy functions producevelocity spectra that have the same general form as the von Kármán spectrum, and we consider possible quasi-wavelet representations of the`Kansas' spectrum and the `-1' spectrum. We also present asystematic determination, based on turbulence similarity theories, of theparameters of the von Kármán spectra of temperature and velocityfluctuations in an unstable atmospheric boundary layer. 相似文献
265.
Dan McKenzie Andreas Stracke Francis Albarède R.Keith O’Nions 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2004,68(12):2699-2724
A new method has been developed to separate the compositional variations in ocean island basalts into those that result from variations in source composition and from the melting process itself. The approach depends on correlations between isotope ratios, which can only come from source inhomogeneities, and elemental concentrations. Analysis of three data sets shows that the inhomogeneities beneath Theistareykir, in NE Iceland, Kilauea and Pitcairn can be produced by subduction of oceanic islands and volcanic ridges. The thicknesses of the lithosphere on which such islands were constructed and potential temperatures of the plumes that produced them can be estimated from the geochemical observations. Model ages are harder to determine, though simple assumptions give about 400 Ma for the Theistareykir source and 1.2 Ga for Kilauea. The model may also provide a physical explanation for the commonly used isotopic classification of ocean island basalts, with the isotopic composition changing from HIMU through EMII to EMI as the melt fraction increases. These results have been obtained from a small number of data sets obtained from ocean island basalts erupted in small areas during short time intervals. More such observations are needed to discover whether geochemical observations from other islands are consistent with the same model. 相似文献
266.
Cusp geometry in MHD simulations 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
George Siscoe Nancy Crooker Keith Siebert Nelson Maynard Daniel Weimer Willard White 《Surveys in Geophysics》2005,26(1-3):387-407
The MHD simulations described here show that the latitude of the high-altitude cusp decreases as the IMF swings from North to South, that there is a pronounced dawn–dusk asymmetry at high-altitude associated with a dawn–dusk component of the IMF, and that at the same time there is also a pronounced dawn–dusk asymmetry at low-altitude. The simulations generate a feature that represents what has been called the cleft. It appears as a tail (when the IMF has a By component) attached to the cusp, extending either toward the dawn flank or the dusk flank depending on the dawn–dusk orientation of the IMF. This one-sided cleft connects the cusp to the magnetospheric sash. We compare cusp geometry predicted by MHD simulations against published observations based on Hawkeye and DMSP data. Regarding the high-altitude predictions, the comparisons are not definitive, mainly because the observations are incomplete or mutually inconsistent. Regarding the low-altitude prediction of a strong dawn–dusk asymmetry, the observations are unambiguous and are in good qualitative agreement with the prediction. 相似文献
267.
Now that the Swift satellite is up and running, Paul O'Brien, Julian Osborne and Keith Mason report on the ideas and observations that this fast-moving autonomous observatory is investigating. 相似文献
268.
To determine if toxaphene residues in edible fish tissue decreased after removal of contaminated sediments from an estuarine
site in 1999, 51 composite samples representing six finfish species were collected in 2001 and analyzed using gas chromatography
with electron capture and negative ion mass spectrometric detection. The grand mean total toxaphene residue concentration
on a wet weight basis (ΣTOXwet) was 1,400 ± 3,500 ng g−1 (range: < 18 to 18,000 ng g−1) and was positively correlated with extractable lipid. On a lipid basis, the mean ΣTOXlip was 26 ± 33 μg g1, which decreased with increasing distance from the study site. Although benthically-oriented species, such as spot (Leiostomus xanthurus) and striped mullet (Mugil cephalus), exhibited higher mean ΣTOXwet than those of higher trophic level fish, mean ΣTOXlip were not significantly different among species. The grand mean ΣTOX for 2001 was 3.8 (wet) and 2.6 (lipid) times less than
corresponding preremedial action (1997) concentrations, suggesting that bioavailable toxaphene residues in this system have
been reduced. Forage species, such as croaker (Micropogonias undulatus), mullet, and spot, preferentially accumulate toxaphene residues in this system and may serve as vectors of organochlorine
contaminants in the estuarine and coastal ocean food web. 相似文献
269.
Relocation and assessment of seismicity in the Iran region 总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11
270.
Previous research has shown that the northeastern United States experienced a significant increase in precipitation during the twentieth century, especially during the autumn. This shift toward wetter conditions can be explained by examining trends in daily precipitation characteristics. Early season precipitation changes in the western portion of the study area were associated with increases in the frequency of precipitation‐days. Later in the season a coincident increase in precipitation‐day intensity enhanced these trends. Tropical storms had little influence on autumn precipitation increases. The study suggests that, instead, changes in regional atmospheric circulation may be responsible for changing precipitation characteristics. 相似文献