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121.
AbstractThe combined analysis of precipitation and water scarcity was done with the use of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI), developed as a monthly, two-variable SPI-SRI indicator to identify different classes of hydrometeorological conditions. Stochastic analysis of a long-term time series (1966–2005) of monthly SPI-SRI indicator values was performed using a first-order Markov chain model. This provided characteristics of regional features of drought formation, evolution and persistence, as well as tools for statistical long-term drought hazard prediction. The study was carried out on two subbasins of the Odra River (Poland) of different orography and land use: the mountainous Nysa K?odzka basin and the lowland, agricultural Prosna basin. Classification obtained with the SPI-SRI indicator was compared with the output from the NIZOWKA model that provided identification of hydrological drought events including drought duration and deficit volume. Severe and long-duration droughts corresponded to SPI-SRI Class 3 (dry meteorological and dry hydrological), while severe but short-term droughts (lasting less than 30 days) corresponded to SPI-SRI Class 4 (wet meteorological and dry hydrological). The results confirm that, in Poland, meteorologically dry conditions often shift to hydrologically dry conditions within the same month, droughts rarely last longer than 2 months and two separate drought events can be observed within the same year. 相似文献
122.
An analysis of linear relationships between the ground-level components of the Earth’s magnetic field measured at different sites is a relatively new topic compared to the analysis of data at a single location. The data collected by the INTERMAGNET observation network provide perfect set of data to which this analysis can be used. An important tool in this analysis may be developing a method of determination of the impulse response for linear systems in the time domain. An advantage of calculations in the time domain over the generally known and applied methods in the frequency domain is the possibility of determining prediction of output signals. By that, simultaneously with the analysis of linear relationships, a tool for recovering missing records in incomplete observation data is obtained. Filling-in the missing data may increase interest and possibility of using the observational data by researchers experimenting with the analysis in the frequency domain where gaps in data records are a significant limitation. 相似文献
123.
Witold Prószyński 《Journal of Geodesy》2013,87(1):89-99
The paper presents an approach to internal reliability analysis of observation systems known as Errors-in-Variables (EIV) models with parameters estimated by the method of least squares. Such problems are routinely treated by total least squares adjustment, or orthogonal regression. To create a suitable environment for derivations in the analysis, a general nonlinear form of such EIV models is assumed, based on a traditional adjustment method of condition equations with unknowns, also known as the Gauss–Helmert model. However, in order to apply the method of reliability analysis based on the approach to response assessment in systems with correlated observations, presented in the earlier work of this author, it was necessary to confine the considerations to a quasi-linear form of the Gauss–Helmert model, representing quasi-linear EIV models. This made it possible to obtain a linear disturbance/response relationship needed in that approach. Several specific cases of quasi-linear EIV models are discussed. The derived formulas are consistent with those already functioning for standard least squares adjustment problems. The analysis shows that, as could be expected, the average level of response-based reliability for such EIV models under investigation is lower than that for the corresponding standard linear models. For EIV models with homoscedastic and uncorrelated observations, the relationship between the average reliability indices for the independent and the dependent variables is formulated for multiple regression and coordinate transformations. Numerical examples for these two applications are provided to illustrate this analysis. 相似文献
124.
ABSTRACTGiven the rising availability of alternative ways of spatial data mapping, there is a growing need to study their usability. An important aspect here is the diversity of the cartographic visualizations that are used to draw conclusions about the usability of various mapping techniques. In our study we evaluated the usability of six various mapping techniques used in presenting spatial accessibility, taking into consideration four components: effectiveness and efficiency (objective criteria) and graphical attractiveness and user-perceived effectiveness (subjective criteria). Using Internet questionnaires, we conducted a graphical perception experiment with respondents performing tasks on a hypothetical monocentric road network model displayed using mapping techniques of spatial accessibility, differing in the applied parameters of graphical and non-graphical factors influencing effectiveness and efficiency. The results showed that non-graphical factors had a greater influence than the graphical factors. In total usability comparison the three-dimensional (3D) point technique was ranked the highest, while the worst result was achieved by the 3D area technique. The proposed graphical form of study results made it possible to compare the influence of various effectiveness factors, to analyze mapping techniques in terms of considered criteria and finally to present their total usability using a chart inspired by Uhorczak’s typogram. 相似文献
125.
Grzegorz Nied?wiedzki Tomasz SingerGerard D. Gierliński Martin G. Lockley 《Cretaceous Research》2012,33(1):7-10
The Djadokhta Formation of the Gobi Desert is known for the number and diversity of dinosaur and other vertebrate bones and skeletons found there, but only theropod, hadrosaur and supposed ankylosaurid footprints have been reported from this stratum. Dinosaur footprints are also noted from the Nemegt Formation, and occur as typical dinosaur track accumulations (tracksites). An articulated protoceratopsid skeleton - specimen ZPAL Mg D-II/3 - was collected by the Polish-Mongolian Expedition of 1965 from the Djadokhta Formation of Flaming Cliffs in Mongolia. Recently, the natural cast of a tetradactyl digitigrade footprint was found underneath the pelvic girdle while the skeleton and matrix were being prepared. This is possibly the first find of a dinosaur track in close association with an articulated skeleton. Although Protoceratops is an extremely common dinosaur in Mongolia, its footprints have never previously been reported from the Late Cretaceous of the Gobi Desert. 相似文献
126.
Maciej J. Bojanowski Bogus?aw Bagiński Euan Clarkson Ray Macdonald Leszek Marynowski 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2012,164(2):245-259
Zircon occurs in voids and cracks in phosphatic coprolites enclosed in siderite concretions in Mississippian shales near Edinburgh, Scotland. The zircon formed during hydrothermal alteration of early-diagenetic concretions and occurs as spherical aggregates of prismatic crystals, sometimes radiating. Vitrinite reflectance measurements indicate temperatures of ~270°C for the zircon-bearing concretions and the host shales. Molecular parameter values based on dibenzothiophene and phenanthrene distribution and occurrence of di- and tetra-hydro-products of polycyclic aromatic compounds suggest that the rocks experienced relatively high-temperature aqueous conditions related to hydrothermal fluids, perhaps associated with neighboring mafic intrusions. The zircon was dissolved from the concretions, transported in fluids, and reprecipitated in voids. This is the first record of the precipitation of authigenic zircon in sedimentary rock as a new phase, not as outgrowths. 相似文献
127.
Juan M. Jiménez Kazimierz Więski Laurie B. Marczak Chuan-Kai Ho Steven C. Pennings 《Estuaries and Coasts》2012,35(2):475-485
Top–down and bottom–up effects interact to structure communities, especially in salt marshes, which contain strong gradients
in bottom–up drivers such as salinity and nutrients. How omnivorous consumers respond to variation in prey availability and
plant quality is poorly understood. We used a mesocosm experiment to examine how salinity, nutrients, an omnivore (the katydid
Orchelimum fidicinium) and an herbivore (the planthopper Prokelisia spp.) interacted to structure a simplified salt marsh food web based on the marsh grass Spartina alterniflora. Bottom–up effects were strong, with both salinity and nutrients decreasing leaf C/N and increasing Prokelisia abundance. Top–down effects on plants were also strong, with both the herbivore and the omnivore affecting S. alterniflora traits and growth, especially when nutrients or salt were added. In contrast, top–down control by Orchelimum of Prokelisia was independent of bottom–up conditions. Orchelimum grew best on a diet containing both Spartina and Prokelisia, and in contrast to a sympatric omnivorous crab, did not shift to an animal-based diet when prey were present, suggesting
that it is constrained to consume a mixed diet. These results suggest that the trophic effects of omnivores depend on omnivore
behavior, dietary constraints, and ability to suppress lower trophic levels, and that omnivorous katydids may play a previously
unrecognized role in salt marsh food webs. 相似文献
128.
The hourly data of nine geomagnetic observatories situated in Central Europe have been analyzed using the generalized magnetovariation
(GMV) method designed recently for induction soundings of inhomogeneous media. In this method, impedance is one of transfer
functions in the differential relation between spectra of the magnetic components and their derivatives. The peculiarity of
this impedance is its correspondence to the magnetotelluric one estimated from the linear relations. Three transfer functions
have been estimated simultaneously for data of geomagnetic observatories, using three different routines working in the period
range from three hours up to two days. Noises in the source field components have been compared with noise in the estimated
plane field divergence. The multivariate errors-in-variables method was used to extract spatially and temporally coherent
geomagnetic field structure from the partially incoherent geomagnetic variations. This method allows estimating reliably impedances
and gradient tippers for each observatory, taking into consideration the Earth’s sphericity. The obtained responses have been
used for induction soundings and for detecting a deep inhomogeneity in the region. 相似文献
129.
130.
The location of the seismic event hypocenter is the very first task undertaken when studying any seismological problem. The
accuracy of the solution can significantly influence consecutive stages of analysis, so there is a continuous demand for new,
more efficient and accurate location algorithms. It is important to recognize that there is no single universal location algorithm
which will perform equally well in any situation. The type of seismicity, the geometry of the recording seismic network, the
size of the controlled area, tectonic complexity, are the most important factors influencing the performance of location algorithms.
In this paper we propose a new location algorithm called the extended double difference (EDD) which combines the insensitivity
of the double-difference (DD) algorithm to the velocity structure with the special demands imposed by mining: continuous change
of network geometry and a very local recording capability of the network for dominating small induced events. The proposed
method provides significantly better estimation of hypocenter depths and origin times compared to the classical and double-difference
approaches, the price being greater sensitivity to the velocity structure than the DD approach. The efficiency of both algorithms
for the epicentral coordinates is similar. 相似文献