石家庄盛夏一次暴雨空报诊断分析

实时天气系统的时空分布、多个物理量要素都表明2007年7月18日河北省石家庄市东、南和北部将有暴雨天气发生的可能,结果暴雨并没有发生.为了找到暴雨空报的原因,对常规资料和各种数值预报产品进行诊断分析.结果表明:(1)石家庄地区处于2条切变线的中间区域,导致缺少强降水的垂直条件(中、低层的切变线),这是暴雨空报的最主要原因;(2)利用离石家庄最近的邢台探空站的物理量特征来判断石家庄对流发展程度效果较差,这和探空站空间尺度较大有关,这是空报原因之二;(3)缺少有效的数值预报产品是预报失误原因之三:(4)这次邢台、邯郸的暴雨天气系统可定为西南涡类暴雨.利用卫星水汽云图和雷达、国家级自动站要素资料相结合可以大大提高灾害性天气预警能力.     

GNSS形变监测中系统误差的时空相关性研究

通过大量实测数据分析了系统误差的时空变化规律,论证了具有时空相关性的双差观测值系统误差残差的存在,实现了观测值的滤波及求差,提高了分离微小形变量的精度。     

Variations of bank shift rates along the Yinchuan Plain reach of the Yellow River and their influencing factors

It is important to examine the lateral shift rate variation of river banks in different periods. One of the challenges in this regard is how to obtain the shift rate of river banks, as gauging stations are deficient for the study of river reaches. The present study selected the Yinchuan Plain reach of the Yellow River with a length of 196 km as a case study, and searched each point of intersection of 153 cross-sections (interval between two adjacent cross-sections was 1.3 km) and river banks in 1975, 1990, 2010 and 2011, which were plotted according to remote sensing images in those years. Then the shift rates for the points of intersection during 1975–1990, 1990–2010 and 2010–2011 were calculated, as well as the average shift rates for different sections and different periods. The results show that the left bank of the river reach shifts mostly to the right, with the average shift rates being 36.5 m/a, 27.8 m/a and 61.5 m/a in the three periods, respectively. Contemporarily, the right bank shifts mostly to the right in the first period, while it shifts to the left in the second and third periods, with the average shift rates being 31.7 m/a, 23.1 m/a and 50.8 m/a in the three periods, respectively. The average shift rates for the left and right banks during the period 1975–2011 are 22.3 m/a and 14.8 m/a, respectively. The bank shift rates for sections A, B and C are different. The shift rate ratio of the left bank in the three sections is 1:7.6:4.6 for shift to the left and 1:1.7:3.8 for shift to the right, while that of the right bank is 1:1.8:1.2 for shift to the left and 1:5.6:17.7 for shift to the right during the period 1975–2011. Obviously, the average shift rate is the least in section A, while it is maximum in section B for shift to the left and in section C for shift to the right. The temporal variation of the shift rate is influenced by human activities, while the spatial variation is controlled by the local difference in bank materials.     

Modeling fluvial response to in‐stream woody vegetation: implications for stream corridor restoration

River restoration and bank stabilization programs often use vegetation for improving stream corridor habitat, aesthetic and function. Yet no study has examined the use of managed vegetation plantings to transform a straight, degraded stream corridor into an ecologically functional meandering channel. Experimental data collected using a distorted Froude‐scaled flume analysis show that channel expansion and widening, thalweg meandering and riffle and pool development are possible using discrete plantings of rigid, emergent vegetation, and the magnitudes of these adjustments depend on the shape of the vegetation zone and the density of the vegetation. These experimental results were verified and validated using a recently developed numerical model, and model output was then used to discuss mechanistically how rivers respond to the introduction of in‐stream woody vegetation. Finally, a hybrid method of meander design is proposed herein where managed vegetation plantings are used to trigger or force the desired morphologic response, transforming a straight, degraded reach into a more functional meandering corridor. It is envisioned that such numerical models could become the primary tool for designing future stream restoration programs involving vegetation and assessing the long‐term stability of such activities. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

河北省环渤海地区生态经济协调发展的人工神经网络分析

区域社会经济系统的可持续发展依赖于系统成分的协调程度及与生态系统的增益耦合。传统研究多以系统动力学或多目标规划模型来调控系统。文中以人工神经网络模型来模拟和映射社会经济系统的结构和功能。通过构建、训练、测试、运行河北省环渤海地区生态经济网络模型,提出了以减缓发展速度、降低能量投入水平等措施来达到生态系统和社会经济系统协调发展的目标。     

BDS/GPS卫星数据质量分析软件开发及应用研究

通过对TEQC数据质量模块相关算法进行分析,实现了支持RINEX2、3 格式的BDS/GPS卫星数据质量分析软件DataQC的开发,其主要参数包括数据完整率、多路径指数、信噪比和周跳等,并增加卫星分布状况以及电离层、接收机硬件延迟偏差估计功能。通过多组数据验证,软件计算指标与TEQC结果具有较高的一致性;在电离层估计方面,与全球电离层格网（global ionosphere maps, GIM）插值计算结果的RMS在3 TECu之内,并可用于接收机硬件延迟偏差稳定性的分析。     

高识别力的微卫星标记系统在鳜属(Siniperca)物种鉴定中的应用

根据自行分离的翘嘴鳜微卫星序列（GenBank登录号：DQ789247-DQ789306）设计并合成20对微卫星引物,对鳜属鱼类4个物种即翘嘴鳜、大眼鳜、斑鳜和暗鳜共80个个体进行了物种鉴定分析.结果表明,20对微卫星引物共检测到293个等位基因,大小在80-301bp之间.它们在4个物种中的多态性位点百分率分别为90%、75%、85%和85%,累积个体识别率和非父排除率均达到0.9999,属于高识别力的微卫星遗传标记系统,可以用来进行鳜属鱼类物种的鉴定分析.UPGMA聚类分析表明,翘嘴鳜与暗鳜之间亲缘关系最近,可归属于第Ⅰ类;大眼鳜为第Ⅱ类;斑鳜独自为第Ⅲ类.本研究可为鳜属鱼类的分类及进化关系、群体遗传结构分析等提供理论支持,为野生原种鳜类遗传多样性的监测和评估以及鳜类优良的种质资源得到合理保护和开发利用奠定基础.     

利用重力多尺度分解资料反演青藏高原东北缘地壳厚度

通过重力异常分解模型,选用小波基函数“bior3.7”,分解得出青藏高原东北缘布格重力异常资料的小波4阶近似成分,利用其主要由莫霍面产生的布格重力异常,以6条人工地震剖面信息做初始控制条件,反演得出青藏高原东北缘的地壳厚度。     

基于经验模态分解和小波阈值的自适应降噪方法

针对全波形三维激光测绘雷达(LiDAR)在数字地形测量中如何降低背景噪声问题,提出了一种基于经验模态分解(EMD)和小波阈值的自适应降噪方法.在扫测的地形信号经EMD分解后,计算内蕴模式函数(IMF)与经过2/3阶重构的扫测信号之间的互相关函数,从而改善小波阈值自适应地对IMF中的高频噪声成分进行滤除.实验结果表明,与...     

青藏铁路冻土区土体冷生过程对路基变形影响

一般地区路基土体变形主要受土体压密过程控制,青藏铁路冻土路基变形则主要是受土体冷生过程影响和控制。通过对填土路基修筑后土体冷生过程以及工程实测数据分析,指出冻融过程不同阶段冻土路基变形与土体冷生过程有着密切关系。认为控制填土路基冷生过程稳定时间和填土路基地温场形态,是减少冷生过程和铁路长期运营过程中路基变形、保证冻土区路基工程长期稳定性的有效途径。此认识已经在青藏铁路冻土区路基工程建设实践中得到证明。