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961.
The azimuthal distribution of lightning discharges and cyclone epicenters at a distance of up to 4000 km from the observation
point at Kamchatka is given. The azimuths of lightning discharges were determined using an ELF finder, and the cyclone epicenters
were determined from meteorological maps. Time dependences of the distribution of received radiations from lightning discharges
have been obtained. 相似文献
962.
The seasonal nature of Australia’s tropical rivers means that connected groundwater aquifers are an important source of both
consumptive and non-consumptive water, particularly during the dry season. The management of these common pool groundwater
resources is one of the predominant water issues facing northern Australia. A national program of water reform stipulates
the expansion of water trading as a key instrument for water allocation. The effectiveness of new institutional arrangements
such as water markets will be determined mostly by how well they coordinate with local environmental requirements, local institutions
and local norms. This paper describes a novel application of combined field work, institutional analysis, experimental economics
and agent-based modeling to the analysis of a potential water market in the Katherine region of the Northern Territory, Australia.
The effectiveness of different versions of the policy instrument is assessed in light of local conditions. Instruments that
enable personal relationships and local institutions and norms to play a role in water management are found to be more effective
in terms of both farming income and environmental impact. 相似文献
963.
964.
Michael O. Garcia Ken H. Rubin Marc D. Norman J. Michael Rhodes David W. Graham David W. Muenow Khalil Spencer 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1998,59(8):577-592
Samples of basalt were collected during the Rapid Response cruise to Loihi seamount from a breccia that was probably created
by the July to August 1996 Loihi earthquake swarm, the largest swarm ever recorded from a Hawaiian volcano. 210Po–210Pb dating of two fresh lava blocks from this breccia indicates that they were erupted during the first half of 1996, making
this the first documented historical eruption of Loihi. Sonobuoys deployed during the August 1996 cruise recorded popping
noises north of the breccia site, indicating that the eruption may have been continuing during the swarm. All of the breccia
lava fragments are tholeiitic, like the vast majority of Loihi's most recent lavas. Reverse zoning at the rim of clinopyroxene
phenocrysts, and the presence of two chemically distinct olivine phenocryst populations, indicate that the magma for the lavas
was mixed just prior to eruption. The trace element geochemistry of these lavas indicates there has been a reversal in Loihi's
temporal geochemical trend. Although the new Loihi lavas are similar isotopically and geochemically to recent Kilauea lavas
and the mantle conduits for these two volcanoes appear to converge at depth, distinct trace element ratios for their recent
lavas preclude common parental magmas for these two active volcanoes. The mineralogy of Loihi's recent tholeiitic lavas signify
that they crystallized at moderate depths (∼8–9 km) within the volcano, which is approximately 1 km below the hypocenters
for earthquakes from the 1996 swarm. Taken together, the petrological and seismic evidence indicates that Loihi's current
magma chamber is considerably deeper than the shallow magma chamber (∼3–4 km) in the adjoining active shield volcanoes.
Received: 21 August 1997 / Accepted: 15 February 1998 相似文献
965.
Truncation of the distribution of ground-motion residuals 总被引:1,自引:3,他引:1
Recent studies to assess very long-term seismic hazard in the USA and in Europe have highlighted the importance of the upper
tail of the ground-motion distribution at the very low annual frequencies of exceedance required by these projects. In particular,
the use of an unbounded lognormal distribution to represent the aleatory variability of ground motions leads to very high
and potentially unphysical estimates of the expected level of shaking. Current practice in seismic hazard analysis consists
of truncating the ground-motion distribution at a fixed number (ε
max) of standard deviations (σ). However, there is a general lack of consensus regarding the truncation level to adopt. This paper investigates whether
a physical basis for choosing ε
max can be found, by examining records with large positive residuals from the dataset used to derive one of the ground-motion
models of the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) project. In particular, interpretations of the selected records in terms of
causative physical mechanisms are reviewed. This leads to the conclusion that even in well-documented cases, it is not possible
to establish a robust correlation between specific physical mechanisms and large values of the residuals, and thus obtain
direct physical constraints on ε
max. Alternative approaches based on absolute levels of ground motion and numerical simulations are discussed. However, the choice
of ε
max is likely to remain a matter of judgment for the foreseeable future, in view of the large epistemic uncertainties associated
with these alternatives. Additional issues arise from the coupling between ε
max and σ, which causes the truncation level in terms of absolute ground motion to be dependent on the predictive equation used. Furthermore,
the absolute truncation level implied by ε
max will also be affected if σ is reduced significantly. These factors contribute to rendering a truncation scheme based on a single ε
max value impractical. 相似文献
966.
967.
V. I. Trukhin V. I. Maksimochkin V. A. Zhilyaeva E. S. Kurochkina A. A. Shreider G. L. Kashintsev 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2006,42(11):928-941
Magnetic properties of young rift basalts in the southern Red Sea are studied in detail. It is found that basalt samples dredged in the rift zone are characterized by a large spread in magnetic parameters. The magnetic properties of the basalts are shown to indicate a complex evolution of the Red Sea rift zone. Titanomagnetite grains of the basalts are mostly affected by single-phase oxidation processes and have preserved paleomagnetic information. However, basalts discovered near the rift axis yield evidence of multiphase oxidation of titanomagnetite grains, which is untypical of young oceanic basalts. These basalts have high Curie points and large values of the natural remanent magnetization and Koenigsberger parameter. The corresponding samples were taken in nontransform zones where rocks have experienced the action of significant tectonic forces and, moreover, anomalous geomagnetic field patterns correlate with the position of these zones. Using the magnetic properties of the basalts, the northern segment of the rift axis is relocated. 相似文献
968.
Modelling peak accelerations from earthquakes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper deals with the prediction of peak horizontal accelerations with emphasis on seismic risk and insurance concerns. Non‐linear mixed effects models are used to analyse well‐known earthquake data and the consequences of mis‐specifying assumptions on the error term are quantified. A robust fit of the usual model, using recently developed robust weighted maximum likelihood estimators, is presented. Outlying data are automatically identified and subsequently investigated. A more appropriate model accounting for the extreme value nature of the responses, is also developed and implemented. The implication on acceleration predictions is demonstrated. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
969.
970.