东北三省耕地物候期对热量资源变化的响应

选取1998-2010 年期间的SPOT/VGT NDVI逐旬时间序列数据、物候观测数据和气候数据,利用函数拟合方法、GIS空间分析和统计方法,分析了东北三省不同耕地物候期对热量资源变化的响应关系。首先,基于拟合数据提取了耕地物候期特征(包括生长季开始期、峰值期、结束期与生长季长度等),验证结果显示与不同作物的观测物候期存在明显对应关系,能较好地反映作物物候期特征的宏观时空分异。其次,分析了1991-2009 年期间区内主要农业热量资源(≥ 10 oC初日,初霜日,温度生长期天数和≥ 10 oC积温) 的时空变化特征。最后,重点分析了1998-2009年期间耕地物候期特征对热量资源变化的响应。结果表明,生长季开始期与≥10 oC初日在松嫩平原北部、三江平原东部和吉林省中东部的正相关系显著(P < 0.01);生长季长度与温度生长期天数亦在上述区域内表现为显著正相关关系(P < 0.05);然而,生长季结束期与初霜日的相关关系整体上较不明显;此外,生长季长度与≥ 10 oC积温的相关关系存在两种相反的情形,在松嫩平原西北部、三江平原、吉林省中部和辽宁省中部的负相关关系显著(P < 0.05),而黑龙江省中南部和三江平原部分区域,两者相关系数达到0.55 (P < 0.05),分别反映了作物生长发育周期的缩短态势和中早熟作物被中晚熟作物替代的趋势。     

湖北宜昌×××条带状磷块岩选矿试验研究

×××磷矿属海相沉积型磷块岩矿床,主要具有胶状泥晶结构和磷质砂屑结构,以条带状构造为主。采用单一反浮选选矿工艺,使用硫酸为抑制剂、中化地质矿山总局地质研究院研制的K-02为捕收剂,在常温条件下取得较好的选矿工艺指标。进行了实验室重液浮沉试验。     

Prediction of Extreme Significant Wave Height from Daily Maxima

For prediction of the extreme significant wave height in the ocean areas where long term wave data are not available, the empirical method of extrapolating short term data (1-3 years) is used in design practice. In this paper two methods are proposed to predict extreme significant wave height based on short-term daily maxima. According to the da-a recorded by the Oceanographic Station of Liaodong Bay at the Bohai Sea, it is supposed that daily maximum wave heights are statistically independent. The data show that daily maximum wave heights obey log-normal distribution, and that the numbers of daily maxima vary from year to year, obeying binomial distribution. Based on these statistical characteristics, the binomial-log-normal compound extremum distribution is derived for prediction of extreme significant wave heights (50-100 years). For examination of its accuracy and validity, the prediction of extreme wave heights is based on 12 years' data at this station, and based on each 3 years' data respectively     

Numerical study of three-dimensional suspended sediment transport in waves and currents

In the present work, a three-dimensional suspended sediment model (SED) is built. A three-dimensional hydrodynamic model (COHERENS) and a third-generation wave model (SWAN) are fully coupled through accounting for mutual influences between wave and current in them. SED is combined with the coupled model built up above. Damping function of suspended sediment on turbulence is introduced into COHERENS. Then a coupled hydrodynamic–sediment model COHERENS-SED incorporating mutual influences between wave and current is obtained. COHERENS-SED is adopted to simulate three-dimensional suspended sediment transport of Yellow River Delta with wave–current co-existing. The simulated tidal current velocities and suspended sediment concentration match well with field measurement data. The simulated significant wave height and wave period for a case with current's effects can give better agreement with measurement data than a case without current's effects. Numerical simulation results of COHERENS-SED are demonstrated to be reasonable though being compared with previous studies and field measurements [Wang, H., Yang, Z.S., Li, R., Zhang, J., Chang, R., 2001. Numerical modeling of the seabed morphology of the subaqueous Yellow River Delta. International Journal of Sediment Research 16(4), 486–498; Wang, H., 2002. 3-dimensional numerical simulation on the suspended sediment transport from the Huanghe to the Sea. Ph.D. Thesis, Ocean University of China, pp. 12–14 (in Chinese)].     

海洋平台磁流变阻尼器半主动控制研究

基于现代最优控制理论建立海洋平台磁流变 (MR)半主动控制系统的数学模型 ,采用白噪声过程通过滤波器来近似随机波浪力谱。以典型导管架平台为算例 ,对磁流变阻尼器进行了参数设计。分析了 MR阻尼器对海洋平台振动控制的有效性 ,仿真结果表明 ,采用磁流变阻尼器对海洋平台进行半主动控制能够有效的减小平台的动态响应。     

Optimal Active Control of Wave-Induced Vibration for Offshore Platforms

An obvious motivation of this paper is to examine the effectiveness of the lateral vibration control of a jacket type offshore platform with an AMD control device, in conjunction with H2 control algorithm, which is an optimal frequency domain control method based on minimization of H2 norm of the system transfer function. In this study, the offshore platform is modeled numerically by use of the finite element method, instead of a lumped mass model. This structural model is later simplified to be single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) system by extracting the first vibration mode of the structure. The corresponding "generalized" wave force is determined based on an analytical approximation of the first mode shape function, the physical wave loading being calculated from the linearized Morison equation. This approach facilitates the filter design for the generalized force. Furthermore, the present paper also intends to make numerical comparison between H2 active control and the corresponding passive control using a T     

嘉陵江曲流型叠置河谷成因对区域地质环境的响应

为了明确嘉陵江曲流型叠置河谷形成原因及其对区域地质环境演化的响应, 在综合分析区域地质地貌背景、水系演化模式等基础上, 认为嘉陵江曲流型叠置河谷的成因可能是三峡贯通这一重大地质事件作用的结果.三峡贯通前, 古分水岭两侧的四川盆地和江汉盆地水系相互独立发育; 由于江汉盆地水系溯源侵蚀速率快, 切穿其与四川盆地的古分水岭, 分水岭西侧水系被袭夺后东流, 两大水系完成统一; 在三峡贯通事件作用下, 嘉陵江古自由河曲快速下切嵌入基岩, 形成了曲流型叠置河谷的壮观地貌景观.基于砾石层中冲积物的电子自旋共振(electron spin resonance dating, ESR)测年结果, 表明三峡贯通的时间大致在早-中更新世之交.第四纪地壳活跃, 三峡的贯通可能与该时期内的"昆仑-黄河运动"密切相关.      

Time-Series Modeling and Prediction of Global Monthly Absolute Temperature for Environmental Decision Making

A generalized,structural,time series modeling framework was developed to analyze the monthly records of absolute surface temperature,one of the most important environmental parameters,using a deterministicstochastic combined(DSC) approach.Although the development of the framework was based on the characterization of the variation patterns of a global dataset,the methodology could be applied to any monthly absolute temperature record.Deterministic processes were used to characterize the variation patterns of the global trend and the cyclic oscillations of the temperature signal,involving polynomial functions and the Fourier method,respectively,while stochastic processes were employed to account for any remaining patterns in the temperature signal,involving seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average(SARIMA) models.A prediction of the monthly global surface temperature during the second decade of the 21st century using the DSC model shows that the global temperature will likely continue to rise at twice the average rate of the past 150 years.The evaluation of prediction accuracy shows that DSC models perform systematically well against selected models of other authors,suggesting that DSC models,when coupled with other ecoenvironmental models,can be used as a supplemental tool for short-term(～10-year) environmental planning and decision making.     

中国东部南北样带森林生态系统WUE和NUE空间格局及驱动因子(英文)

From July 2008 to August 2008, 72 leaf samples from 22 species and 81 soil samples in the nine natural forest ecosystems were collected, from north to south along the North-South Transect of Eastern China (NSTEC). Based on these samples, we studied the geographical distribution patterns of vegetable water use efficiency (WUE) and nitrogen use efficiency (NUE), and analyzed their relationship with environmental factors. The vegetable WUE and NUE were calculated through the measurement of foliar δ 13C and C/N of predominant species, respectively. The results showed: (1) vegetable WUE, ranging from 2.13 to 28.67 mg C g-1 H2O, increased linearly from south to north in the representative forest ecosystems along the NSTEC, while vegetable NUE showed an opposite trend, increasing from north to south, ranging from 12.92 to 29.60 g C g-1 N. (2) Vegetable WUE and NUE were dominantly driven by climate and significantly affected by soil nutrient factors. Based on multiple stepwise regression analysis, mean annual temperature, soil phosphorus concentration, and soil nitrogen concentration were responding for 75.5% of the variations of WUE (p<0.001). While, mean annual precipitation and soil phosphorus concentration could explain 65.7% of the change in vegetable NUE (p<0.001). Moreover, vegetable WUE and NUE would also be seriously influenced by atmospheric nitrogen deposition in nitrogen saturated ecosystems. (3) There was a significant trade-off relationship between vegetable WUE and NUE in the typical forest ecosystems along the NSTEC (p<0.001), indicating a balanced strategy for vegetation in resource utilization in natural forest ecosystems along the NSTEC. This study suggests that global change would impact the resource use efficiency of forest ecosystems. However, vegetation could adapt to those changes by increasing the use efficiency of shortage resource while decreasing the relatively ample one. But extreme impacts, such as heavy nitrogen deposition, would break this trade-off mechanism and give a dramatic disturbance to the ecosystem biogeochemical cycle.     

近30年中国水稻种植区域与产量时空变化分析

通过综合80年代初以来的农作物面积与产量统计、耕地分布、农业灌溉分布以及作物生长适宜性分布等多源数据,利用基于交叉信息熵原理的作物空间分配模型(Spatial Production Allocation Model,SPAM),获得了我国10km像元尺度的水稻分布信息。在此基础上,重点分析了80年代初以来水稻种植面积与产量的时空变化特征。总体来看,在全国水稻种植区域内发生变化的地区中有超过50%的地区水稻种植面积出现缩减态势,但仍有近70%的地区水稻产量在增加。空间变化来看,种植面积缩减主要发生在东南沿海的广东、福建和浙江等省,而增加主要出现在东北地区的吉林和黑龙江等省,我国水稻种植重心因此向东北方向迁移约230km,产量重心向东北迁移约320km。同时,研究还发现我国水稻种植面积变化对产量增减具有重要影响,其中产量增加表现为面积与非面积因素的共同作用,数据显示种植面积扩展对水稻增产的平均贡献率约54.5%,而在产量减少的区域,面积缩减对减产的贡献率高达80%以上。