Observation of the Kyucho in the Bungo Channel by HF radar

Observations of sea surface currents by HF radar were carried out in the Bungo Channel in summer 1992. The current ellipses of M₂ constituent obtained by the observational results agree quite well with those obtained by the ADCP observations, showing that the accuracy of the HF radar measurements is of the same level as ADCP. The results revealed the current structures and their change with the Kyucho in detail. The Kyucho is influenced by the complicated coastal geometry and does not propagate straightly into the Bungo Channel. It propagates further inward after charging the coastal bays with warm water. The current directions change largely, since the currents turn around the stagnant region in the bay filled with the warm water. The northward intrusion begins to be weakened in the southern part of the channel, while it still persists in the northern part. The northward current speeds of the observed Kyucho are about 50 cm/s and sometimes attain 60 to 70 cm/s.     

Ensemble numerical forecasts of the sporadic Kuroshio water intrusion (kyucho) into shelf and coastal waters

The finite volume coastal ocean model downscaling ocean reanalysis and forecast data provided by the Japan Coastal Ocean Predictability Experiment (JCOPE2) are used to forecast sudden Kuroshio water intrusion events (kyucho) induced by frontal waves amplified south of the Bungo Channel in 2010. Two-month hindcast computations give initial conditions of the following 3-month forecasts computations which consist of ten ensemble members. The temperature time series computed by these ten members are averaged to compare with that actually observed in the Bungo Channel, where sudden temperature rises related to kyucho events are remarkable in February, August, and September. Overall, the intense kyucho events actually observed in these months are predicted successfully. However, intense kyucho events are forecasted frequently during the period of May through June even though intense kyucho events are absent during this period in the actual ocean. It is suggested that the present downscaling forecast model requires reliable lateral boundary conditions provided by JCOPE2 data to which numerous Argo data are assimilated to enhance the accuracy. In addition, it seems likely that the model accuracy is reduced by small eddies moving along the shelf break.     

A non-linear rheological analysis of deeply located tunnels

A rheological model which is able to explain the delayed failure phenomenon has been proposed and applied to the analysis of the time dependent behaviour of deep tunnels. The model is the three element Voigt type before yielding and becomes the five element Voigt type after yielding. This means that the stiffness of the model is decreased by yielding. It is assumed that the yielding takes place when the stored elastic energy density of distortion reaches a certain maximum value. Some experiments to determine material constants are proposed. The numerical results clearly exhibited a delayed failure state of the rock masses around the tunnel surface. It was found that the extension of the yielding zone due to tunnel excavation depends on the opening method.