航空重力垂直梯度探测潜艇方法研究

航空重力梯度测量属于被动探测,抗干扰能力强,如果能和其他探潜手段相配合将极大地提高航空搜潜的效率。针对航空重力梯度测量是否能够用于探测潜艇的问题,依据俄亥俄级弹道导弹核潜艇的结构特点,建立了适用于重力梯度计算的潜艇模型,分别给出了潜艇外壳、内部质量亏损产生的重力垂直梯度的计算方法,并对不同精度重力梯度仪可探测的潜艇重力垂直梯度值进行了计算,从航空反潜的角度对探测潜艇效果进行了分析。经计算表明,如航空重力梯度仪精度达到10~(-2) E,将具备一定的实际探潜效能;如精度达到10~(-4) E,反潜机搜索宽度可与现有航空磁性探潜相当。     

大兴安岭西侧盆地群推覆构造的地震学证据

推覆构造是一种和油气有关的重要构造形式,主要产出于造山带前陆,是挤压或压缩作用的结果,对油气的生成、储集、运移、圈闭和保存条件都有着重要的影响.研究区从漠河盆地、海拉尔盆地到二连盆地内的中生代推覆构造,组构了大兴安岭西盆地群推覆构造.本文通过对三个盆地五种推覆构造的地震学研究,将其推覆方向归结为两类：第一类由北西向南东推覆,在三个盆地中表现明显;第二类由南东向北西推覆,在海拉尔盆地和二连盆地内有显示.认为第一类推覆作用来源于蒙古-鄂霍茨克洋自西向东的闭合;第二类推覆作用来源于太平洋板块俯冲的远程应力作用.

     

有关地形通视分析问题的研究和探讨

本文通过对地形通视分析的基本设想的描述及其实践途径中有关问题的探讨,结合实例阐明了计算机自动进行通视分析的基本方法和处理技巧,并附有具体程序。     

An iterative pressure‐stabilized fractional step algorithm in saturated soil dynamics

This paper presents an iterative, incremental pressure‐stabilized fractional step algorithm for coupled hydro‐mechanical problems with mixed formulations of the displacement–pressure ( u –p) model in saturated soil dynamics that allows the use of finite elements with equal low order of interpolation approximation of u and p. In comparison with the original fractional step algorithm, the distinct features of the proposed algorithm lie in its enhanced stability owing to the introduction of both an iteration procedure and a finite increment calculus (FIC) process into the algorithm. The introduction of the iterative procedure makes the velocity term satisfy the momentum conservation equation in an implicit sense and allows much larger time step sizes to be used than those limited in existing explicit and semi‐implicit versions of the algorithm. The introduction of the FIC process removes the dependence of the stability of the proposed algorithm on the time step size, as a result it allows to using the incremental version of the algorithm and evades the minimum time step size requirement presented in the existing versions of the fractional step algorithm that restricts the application of the algorithm to saturated soil dynamics problems with high frequencies. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and improved performance of the proposed iterative pressure‐stabilized fractional step algorithm. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Short-term temperature and salinity variations in the Tsushima Strait in 2004: Behavior of the surface low-salinity water in the strait

Temporal variations in temperature and salinity observed in 2004 were investigated on a short time scale in the Tsushima Strait. The data were obtained by long-term in situ measurements at Mitsushima and Futaoi Island using an instrument equipped with a piston-type wiper to avoid biofouling. In addition, the temperature and salinity values of the surface layer obtained by a commercial ferryboat between Hakata and Busan were used to investigate their spatiotemporal variations. Temperature and salinity variations with a time scale of several days had a negative correlation in the summer. This evidence suggests that a warm and less saline water mass, which is considered to be mainly the Changjiang Diluted Water (CDW), flowed intermittently through the Tsushima Strait in summer. In late July 2004, a large low-salinity water mass was detected in the Tsushima Strait. At that time, the freshwater transport through the Tsushima Strait transiently reached about 12 × 10⁴ m³s⁻¹, which is estimated from observed acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) data along a ferryboat line and inferred salinity profiles. This estimated value is more than double the maximum of the climatological monthly mean of the Changjiang discharge. Furthermore, salinity and surface current data obtained by high frequency ocean radar (HF radar) indicate that water properties at Mitsushima may occasionally represent part of the water flowing through the western channel via a countercurrent, although Mitsushima is geographically located in the eastern channel.     

Evaluating actual evapotranspiration and impacts of groundwater storage change in the North China Plain

As a critical water discharge term in basin‐scale water balance, accurate estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) is therefore important for sustainable water resources management. The understanding of the relationship between ET and groundwater storage change can improve our knowledge on the hydrological cycle in such regions with intensive agricultural land usage. Since the 1960s, the North China Plain (NCP) has experienced groundwater depletion because of overexploitation of groundwater for agriculture and urban development. Using meteorological data from 23 stations, the complementary relationship areal evapotranspiration model is evaluated against estimates of ET derived from regional water balance in the NCP during the period 1993–2008. The discrepancies between calculated ET and that derived by basin water balance indicate seasonal and interannual variations in model parameters. The monthly actual ET variations during the period from 1960 to 2008 are investigated by the calibrated model and then are used to derive groundwater storage change. The estimated actual ET is positively correlated with precipitation, and the general higher ET than precipitation indicates the contributions of groundwater irrigation to the total water supply. The long term decreasing trend in the actual ET can be explained by declining in precipitation, sunshine duration and wind speed. Over the past ~50 years, the calculated average annual water storage change, represented by the difference between actual ET and precipitation, was approximately 36 mm, or 4.8 km³; and the cumulative groundwater storage depletion was approximately 1700 mm, or 220 km³ in the NCP. The significantly groundwater storage depletion conversely affects the seasonal and interannual variations of ET. Irrigation especially during spring cause a marked increase in seasonal ET, whereas the rapid increasing of agricultural coverage over the NCP reduces the annual ET and is the primary control factor of the strong linear relationship between actual and potential ET. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Bagging-based machine learning algorithms for landslide susceptibility modeling

Natural Hazards - Landslide hazards have attracted increasing public attention over the past decades due to a series of catastrophic consequences of landslide occurrence. Thus, the mitigation and...     

2009年11月北京极端低温和强降水事件分析

2009年10月底到11月底,包括北京在内的华北地区连续出现2次较强冷空气过程,造成大范围的低温、雨雪天气。利用北京地区11个气象站近50年逐日气温、降水资料,对全市历年11月低温雨雪事件的演变特征进行了分析。结果表明,2009年11月全市月平均气温、月平均最低气温均突破了50年的最低记录,月平均最高气温位列1981年11月之后,接近历史极值;2009年11月降雪量也位列有记录以来第一位,冰冻日数历史排位第三;从气温和降水极端事件发生的频次来看,2009年11月日平均气温、日最高气温和日最低气温通过5%分位值标准的极端低温事件频次都明显偏多,在50年中居于第2位,降水量通过95%分位值标准的极端强事件频次在50年中居于第四位。2009年11月的严重低温雨雪事件出现在区域气温总体变暖、低温事件频率总体下降的气候趋势背景下,在一定程度上放大了负面影响。亚洲中高纬地区500hPa高度场经向度异常加大、冷暖气流交换活跃,是造成2009年11月极端低温和大雪的直接环流因子。     

伊兹米特地震地表破裂带和发震构造特点

１９９９年伊慈米特７．４级地震地表破裂带表现清楚。在几何学特点上,它基本上由４个破裂段斜裂组合而成,沿破裂段可见不同的构造组相样式。在破裂段的阶区,主要发育张性构造。破裂段的最在工为５１ｍ,在运动学上,以右旋走滑运动为主,最大位错３．８ｍ‘走滑段最大垂直位错０．６ｍ。向观震中与地表最大位理合,基本上处于破裂带中间地段。地城寺表破裂带的动力学和几何学特征与震源机制解反映出来的结果相一致。     

靖远矿区采煤沉陷区复垦综合评价方法研究

以靖远矿区为例,从土地复垦和恢复生态学的角度出发,建立了靖远矿区采煤沉陷区复垦综合评价系统,选择土壤条件（土层厚度、土壤质地、有机质含量、土壤水分）、地形改造条件（地面坡度、地表破坏程度、改造难易程度）、气候及水文条件（年降雨量、灌溉条件）作为分类及评价因子对复垦潜力进行评价。将采煤沉陷地分为四种潜力区,对每种潜力类型区的复垦开发利用方向进行了优化设计,从理论上和实践上对靖远矿区采煤沉陷地的复垦能力以及复垦过程中用地结构的优化作了探讨,以期对当地沉陷地的复垦提供一定的科学依据。