Ground-motion prediction equations for the intermediate depth Vrancea (Romania) earthquakes

We present the regional ground-motion prediction equations for peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA), and seismic intensity (MSK scale) for the Vrancea intermediate depth earthquakes (SE-Carpathians) and territory of Romania. The prediction equations were constructed using the stochastic technique on the basis of the regional Fourier amplitude spectrum (FAS) source scaling and attenuation models and the generalised site amplification functions. Values of considered ground motion parameters are given as the functions of earthquake magnitude, depth and epicentral distance. The developed ground-motion models were tested and calibrated using the available data from the large Vrancea earthquakes. We suggest to use the presented equations for the rapid estimation of seismic effect after strong earthquakes (Shakemap generation) and seismic hazard assessment, both deterministic and probabilistic approaches.     

Über einen eruptiven Veränderlichen in Hercules

On plates of the 60/90 cm Schmidt-telescope of the Jena University Observatory taken 1967 June 29 up to August 2 an eruptive variable with a maximum magnitude B = 15^m5 and an amplitude of at least 6 mag was found. There are indications that the object is a U Geminorum star of the subtype SW Ursae maioris.     

Stokes II — A new polarimeter for solar observations

A Stokes polarimeter has been built at the High Altitude Observatory to obtain line profiles in both linear and circular polarization in solar spectral lines. These measurements are interpreted using the theory of radiative transfer in the presence of a magnetic field to obtain vector magnetic fields on the solar disk and using the theory of resonance scattering and the Hanle effect to obtain vector magnetic fields in prominences. The polarimeter operates on the Sacramento Peak Observatory 40 cm coronagraph. It is an extensively modified and improved version of an earlier instrument.Polarization modulation is achieved by two KD^*P Pockels cells at the coronagraph prime focus and demodulation is by a microprocessor. The instrument control and data handling is done by a minicomputer. Silicon photodiode 128 element line array detectors have replaced the two photomultipliers used on the earlier instrument. This gives a speed increase of a factor of 50.A polarization scrambler provides a chop to a reference beam of unpolarized light by time scrambling the polarization of the solar beam. This device improves sensitivity to polarizations less than 0.01%. The polarization measurements are photon noise limited in most cases. This noise is 0.1% for a typical three second observation which is about one gauss on the longitudinal field and 10 gauss on the transverse field.The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by The National Science Foundation.     

Similarities and differences between the solar wind light noble gas compositions determined on Apollo 15 SWC foils and on NASA Genesis targets

We compare the solar wind (SW) He, Ne, and Ar compositions collected during the Apollo Solar Wind Composition (SWC) experiments (1969–1972; Al‐ & Pt‐foils) and the Genesis mission (2002–2004; so‐called DOS targets considered here). While published SW ²⁰Ne/²²Ne and ³⁶Ar/³⁸Ar ratios of both data sets agree, differences exist in the ⁴He/³He, ⁴He/²⁰Ne, and ²⁰Ne/³⁶Ar ratios. However, ²⁰Ne/³⁶Ar ratios from Apollo‐16 Pt‐foils, exclusively adopted as SW values by the SWC team, are consistent with the Genesis results. We investigate if the differences indicate a variability of the SW over the course of about 30 yr, or systematic biases of the two data sets, which were collected in different environments and measured several decades apart in different laboratories (University of Bern; ETH Zurich). New measurements of Apollo‐15 SWC aluminum foils in Zurich generally agree with the original measurements performed in Bern. Zurich samples show slightly lower ⁴He concentrations suggesting a few percent of diffusive loss of ⁴He during storage of the foils. A 3% difference between the He isotopic ratios measured in Bern and in Zurich possibly represents an analytical bias between the laboratories. The low SW ⁴He/²⁰Ne and ²⁰Ne/³⁶Ar ratios in Apollo‐15 Al‐foils compared to Genesis data are consistent with a mixture of Genesis‐like SW and noble gases from small amounts of lunar dust. Our data suggest that the mean SW He, Ne, and Ar isotopic and elemental compositions have not significantly changed between the overall Apollo and Genesis mission collection periods.     

Influence of spatial correlation of strong ground motion on uncertainty in earthquake loss estimation

In addition to the mean values of possible loss during an earthquake, parameters of the probability distribution function for the loss to a portfolio (e.g. fractiles and standard deviation) are very important. Recent studies have shown that the proper treatment of ground‐motion variability and, particularly, the correlation of ground motion are essential for the estimation of the seismic hazard, damage and loss for distributed portfolios. In this study, we compared the effects of variations in the between‐earthquake correlation and in the site‐to‐site correlation on seismic loss and damage estimations for the extended objects (hypothetical portfolio) and critical elements (e.g. bridges) of a network. A scenario earthquake approach and a portfolio containing a set of hypothetical building and bridges were used for the purpose. We showed that the relative influences of the types of correlation on characteristics of loss distribution and the probability of damage are not equal. In some cases, when the median values of loss distribution or the probability that at least one critical element of a lifeline will be damaged are considered and when the spatial correlation of ground motion is used, the possible variations in the between‐earthquake correlation may be neglected. The shape of the site‐to‐site correlation function (i.e. the rate of decrease of the coefficient of spatial correlation with separation distance) seems also to be important when modelling spatially correlated ground‐motion fields. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Toward a unified solid state theory for pre-earthquake signals

Many different non-seismic pre-earthquake signals have been reported but there is great uncertainty about their origin, their correlation to each other and to the impending seismic event. The discovery of stress-activated electric currents in rocks provides a possible explanation. Stresses activate electronic charge carriers, namely defect electrons in the oxygen anion sublattice, equivalent to O⁻ in a matrix of O²⁻, also known as positive holes. These charge carriers pre-exist in unstressed rocks in a dormant, electrically inactive state as peroxy links, O₃Si-OO-SiO₃, where two O⁻ are tightly bound together. Under stress dislocations sweep through the mineral grains causing the peroxy links to break. Positive holes, thus generated, flow down stress gradients, constituting an electric current with attendant magnetic field variations and EM emissions. The positive holes accumulate at the surface, creating electric fields, strong enough to field-ionize air molecules. They also recombine leading to a spectroscopically distinct IR emission seen in laboratory experiments and night-time infrared satellite images. In addition positive holes interact with radon in the soil, affecting the radon emanation.     

Re-calculation of efficiency factors for radiation pressure

Corrected values of the efficiency factorQ _pr of light pressure are presented for spherical particles of graphite and metallic materials.     

Infrared spectra of quasars and related objects

An attempt is made to explain the infrared radiation observed for several quasars and Seyfert galaxies as thermal radiation of a dust envelope surrounding the cores of these objects. Two kinds of dust particles (graphite and silica) are taken into consideration. It is shown that the observed spectral behaviour and the luminosity in the infrared can be introduced as thermal radiation of silica grains. In the case of 3C 273 one finds that the radius of the dust envelope is about 50 pc and the total mass of dust is about 600M _⊙.     

Interplay between tectonic, fluvial and erosional processes along the Western Border Fault of the northern Upper Rhine Graben, Germany

The northern Upper Rhine Graben, situated in the central part of the European Cenozoic rift system, is currently characterized by low intra-plate seismicity. Historical earthquakes have not been large enough to produce surface rupturing. Moreover, the records of Quaternary surface processes and human modifications are presumably better preserved than the record of the relatively slow tectonic deformation.In order to gain information on the neotectonic activity and paleoseismicity in this setting, the geological and geomorphological records of fault movements along a segment of the Western Border Fault (WBF) were studied using an integration of techniques in paleoseismology, structural analysis and shallow geophysics. The WBF segment investigated follows a 20 km long linear scarp of unclear origin. A series of geophysical measurements were performed and the results suggested that near-surface deformation structures are present at the segments' southern end. Several trenches opened at this location revealed fault structures with consistent extensional style and a maximum vertical displacement of 0.5 m. In one trench, the deformation structures were dated between 19 and 8 ka. Assuming the deformation has been caused by an earthquake, a M_w 6.5 earthquake would be implied. Aseismic deformation would point to a fault creep rate ≥ 0.04 mm/yr.A reconstruction of the sequence of events at the trench site, from Middle Pleistocene to Present, demonstrates that the morphology at the base of the scarp is the result of interplay between tectonic activity and fluvial and erosional processes. At the regional scale, a mixed origin for the WBF scarp is proposed, combining the effects of fluvial dynamics, erosion, regional uplift and localized tectonic activity on the WBF.     

Scolecite, Part I: Refinement of high-order data, separation of internal and external vibrational amplitudes from displacement parameters

A single crystal of scolecite, CaAl₂Si₃O₁₀· 3H₂O, was studied by X-ray diffraction methods at room temperature. The intensities were measured with MoKα radiation (λ=0.71069?Å) in a complete sphere of reflection up to sinθ/λ=0.9?Å^?1. The structure was refined in the pseudo-orthorhombic setting of space group F1d1 instead of the conventional setting Cc for better comparison with natrolite (Fdd2). The cell parameters are: a=18.502(1)?Å, b=18.974(2)?Å, c=6.525(1)?Å, β=90.615(7)°, V=2290.6(3)?ų, Z=8. A refinement of high-order diffraction data yielded residuals of R(F)=0.9%, R _w (F)=0.9%, GoF=1.73 for 1831 high-angle reflections (0.7≤sinθ/λ≤0.9?Å^?1) and R(F)=1.2%, R _w (F)=1.4%, GoF=3.22 for all 3478 independent reflections. In comparison with natrolite, the replacement of 2 Na⁺ by 1 Ca²⁺ and 1 H₂O leads to a reduction of symmetry from Fdd2 to F1d1. Each general atomic position in natrolite (except of Na) splits into two crystallographically independent positions in scolecite. The T?O distances and T?O?T angles of these two sites differ distinctly from each other due to the influence of the calcium ions on the framework. An unexpected result of our detailed analysis of the data is that the additional water molecule (O7) disturbs the symmetry of the framework to a greater extent than the replacement of Na⁺ by Ca²⁺. As a comparison of the displacement parameters indicates, the bonds within the tetrahedral framework and to the extraframework cations are stronger in scolecite than in natrolite. The isotropic U(equ) values of the framework atoms and extraframework cations are about 10% smaller in scolecite compared to natrolite. The same tendency is shown by the analysis of the internal vibrational amplitudes ΔU. The corresponding force constants are in the range of F=358 to 3367?Nm^?1 for the T?O bonds in scolecite (in natrolite: F=354 to 824?Nm^?1). The values of the force constants which determine the vibrations of the Ca ions and water molecules against the framework oxygen atoms lie in the range of F=33 to 1757?Nm^?1 (in natrolite: F=57 to 293?Nm^?1).