龙门山断裂带上“破裂空段”的发震概率研究

本文采用分层粘弹性介质模型计算了汶川地震对芦山震中产生的库仑应力加载的影响,进而结合Dieterich(1994)提出的速率状态摩擦定律给出芦山附近区域6级地震累积发震概率随时间的变化。结果显示,2013年芦山7.0级地震时其累积发震概率达18%,说明汶川地震产生的应力扰动加速了芦山地震的发生。本文还计算了汶川、芦山2次地震对其间"破裂空段"处产生的累积库仑应力扰动的影响,结合背景地震发生率,给出了"破裂空段"处6级地震累积发震概率变化。虽然计算结果可能受到大邑地震、介质模型参数的选取和背景地震发生概率等因素影响而存在一定误差,但"破裂空段"在2次强震应力加载下累积发震概率是不断增大的,因此我们认为"破裂空段"处发生中强地震的紧迫性不断增强。     

2017年8月8日九寨沟MS7.0地震序列分析

2017年8月8日四川九寨沟发生M_S7.0地震,该地震发生在巴颜喀喇块体的东北边界,震中区域构造条件复杂,是巴颜喀喇块体北侧左旋走滑环境向东侧逆冲挤压环境过渡的位置,附近地区历史强震较多。九寨沟地震是一次主-余型地震,余震活动水平较弱,主震发生后短时间内M_L≥4.0余震的“等待时间”存在异常,震后较长时间余震活动恢复到正常状态,序列h值、余震视应力等符合主-余型序列特征。序列b值为0.84,G-R关系推测序列最大余震的震级约为M_L5.4（M_S5.0）,8月9日发生的M_S4.8地震是目前该序列的最强余震。通过与1970年以来附近地区7级左右地震序列的对比认为,九寨沟地震与1976年松潘-平武2次7.2级地震序列在余震空间位置、发震构造和震源机制等方面存在较大差异,因此,不具备发育为震群型序列的条件。九寨沟地震主震视应力为0.36～0.38MPa,属于应力下调模型,序列余震的平均视应力水平接近龙门山断裂带附近中小地震的平均背景水平。     

THE APPLICATION OF MINIATURE UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLE IN 25 NOVEMBER 2016 ARKETAO MW6.6 EARTHQUAKE

In order to complete the field investigation to the 25 November 2016 Arketao M_W6.6 earthquake, ultra-low altitude remote-sensing data were obtained from miniature unmanned aerial vehicle. The surface rupture surveying has important significance for earthquake research. This paper selects the macro-epicenter of Arketao as the study area. The pictures were obtained with DJI Phantom 3 professional input into the software, the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), Digital Orthophoto Map (DOM) were acquired based on photogrammetry method using the overlapped optical remote-sensing images of UAV. Using these data, we can identify surface ruptures that have vertical dislocation. We selected six feature points and drew the elevation profile. In the elevation profile map, we chose smooth part of the surface rupture sides and obtained the trend line. A stable point in the surface rupture was selected and the abscissa of the point was taken into the equation of two straight lines. Then subtracting the results of the two equations, we can get the vertical dislocation of the surface rupture. On this basis, we chose six feature points and determined their vertical dislocation, which are between 4.4cm and 10.4cm. What's more, taking Bulungkou Xiang in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region for example, we speculated some surface ruptures that have vertical dislocation. It can provide a new method for identifying surface rupture in the field. In addition, we get DEM data of the Bulunkou area where ambient conditions are very poor, by using miniature unmanned aerial vehicle and taking 255 photos. Putting those photos into the EasyUAV software, we got the area digital elevation of 2cm resolution. Comparing these data with RTK data, we summarized some practical problems and solutions in the practical operation and evaluated the accuracy of miniature unmanned aerial vehicle data. The Pearson Correlation Coefficient is 0.996 6. In terms of absolute elevation, the average result of UAV and RTK differs by 156.96m. In terms of relative elevation, the average result of UAV and RTK differs by 9.74m. Compared with the previous test of Pishan County, there is a notable divergence in the results. It shows that the data accuracy will be affected to some extent in the cold weather in high elevations. The specific impact needs further exploration.     

多维地震作用下大跨空间结构的减震控制分析

考虑到多维地震输入对网架结构的不利影响,基于形状记忆合金超弹性,研制出一种兼具自复位、高耗能及放大功能于一体的形状记忆合金复合黏滞阻尼器(Hybrid Shape Memory Alloy Viscous Dampers,简称HSMAVD),并通过试验研究该阻尼器在循环荷载作用下的力学性能;然后以平面四角锥网架模型为基础,将该阻尼器替换部分网架结构杆件,并分析该阻尼器减震控制效果。结果表明形状记忆合金与黏滞阻尼器复合后具有良好的协同工作能力,可有效发挥形状记忆合金的超弹性和黏滞阻尼器的速度相关特性,使其具有稳定的滞回性能和良好的耗能能力;采用阻尼杆件替换原杆件的方法既能对结构进行有效的减震控制,又不改变原有的结构形式,是一种优越的减震控制方法,并为HSMAVD被动控制系统在结构抗震中的实际应用提供新思路。     

Shear strength of frozen clay under freezing-thawing cycles using triaxial tests

Using a new low-temperature dynamic triaxial apparatus, the influence law of freezing-thawing cycles on clay shear strength is studied. In this research, the concept of correction coefficients of freezing-thawing cycles on clay static strength, cohesion and internal friction angles is proposed, and the change patterns, correction curves and regressive formulae of clay static strength, cohesion and internal friction angles under freezing-thawing cycles are given. The test results indicate that with increasing numbers of freezing-thawing cycles, the clay static strength and cohesion decrease exponentially but the internal friction angle increases exponentially. The performance of static strength, cohesion and internal friction angles are different with increasing numbers of freezing-thawing cycles, i.e., the static strength decreases constantly until about 30% of the initial static strength prior to the freezing-thawing cycling and then stays basically stable. After 5–7 freezing-thawing cycles, the cohesion decreases gradually to about 70% of the initial cohesion. The internal friction angle increases about 20% after the first freezing-thawing cycle, then increases gradually close to a stable value which is an increase of about 40% of the internal friction angle. The freezing-thawing process can increase the variation of the density of the soil samples; therefore, strict density discreteness standards of frozen soil sample preparation should be established to ensure the reliability of the test results.     

面向对象遥感分类方法在震害快速提取中的应用

以汶川地震后受灾严重的北川县城为研究区域,应用面向对象的遥感分类方法,对福卫二号卫星多光谱影像进行灾害提取与分析。提取过程中在传统分类运用的光谱信息中加入影像地物的几何结构和纹理信息,运用多尺度分割、多层次交叉的地物分类模式,模拟人类思维,快速准确的提取了灾害区域的宏观受灾范围,为震后快速评估提供依据。     

相邻两井对大地震的不同水力响应模型研究——页岩影响分析

大地震引起了左家庄和宝坻(相距～50km)两井中截然不同的同震水位响应.我们用水位的气压和潮汐响应来分析解释此现象.结果表明,宝坻井的观测含水层中存在页岩,且此井受裂隙影响很大,储水效应较差.页岩的复杂裂隙或者各向异性可能会导致此井观测含水层处于半封闭状态,从而导致垂直向排水的发生.通过多方计算分析后,我们将这两口井划分为两种模型—1.水平流动模型;2.水平流动+垂直流动的混合流动模型.由于裂隙影响,宝坻井的观测含水层介质与外界的水力沟通性在震前就较强(震前渗透率就比较大),所以宝坻井观测含水层与外界的孔隙压差异较小,导致同震渗透率上升较小甚至没有变化,这些因素是导致该井同震水位变化幅度总是非常微小的原因.     

短波红外CO2反演过程约束研究及初步反演结果

短波红外通道卫星CO2遥感是近年国际研究热点。首先,开展了卫星观测对气溶胶及大气温度的敏感性研究;其次,针对基于最优化理论的非线性迭代反演方法反演过程中的不收敛问题,提出了修正的阻尼牛顿方法(MDNM),并利用模拟数据评估了MDNM方法的有效性;最后,利用GOSAT卫星数据反演CO2的垂直混合比浓度,并与地基TCCON站点数进行比对。研究结果表明:短波近红外CO2卫星遥感受气溶胶散射及温度影响明显;通过地基比对初步验证了MDNM具有良好的精度,两者的相关性R2达到了0.729。     

江西相山酸性火山-侵入杂岩精确年代学与演化序列研究

相山火山盆地主体岩石为一套由熔结凝灰岩、流纹英安岩、流纹英安斑岩、碎斑熔岩、粗斑花岗斑岩及似斑状花岗岩组成的酸性火山-侵入杂岩体, 构成了两个完整的喷发-溢流(侵出)-侵入的岩浆活动亚旋回。本文在野外地质调查的基础上, 采用SIMS、LA-ICP-MS技术对主要岩类进行了高精度的锆石U-Pb年代学研究, 并建立了火山-侵入杂岩体的演化序列。结果表明, 打鼓顶组熔结凝灰岩代表了相山火山-侵入活动的最早期产物, 其锆石U-Pb年龄为140.7±2.7 Ma、140.1±1.8 Ma和138.2±1.6 Ma, 第一亚旋回主体流纹英安岩的锆石U-Pb年龄135.0±1.8 Ma。鹅湖岭组熔结凝灰岩代表了火山-侵入活动的第二亚旋回的开始, 其U-Pb年龄为135.6±1.2 Ma, 第二亚旋回主体碎斑熔岩的锆石U-Pb年龄133.6±1.3 Ma, 沙洲单元的粗斑花岗斑岩和似斑状花岗岩属于该亚旋回最晚期的侵入岩, 其锆石U-Pb年龄代表了相山火山-侵入活动的结束时间(分别为133.4±1.2 Ma和133.9±1.1 Ma)。相山早白垩世火山-侵入活动延续时间较短, 整体上呈现一个连续的过程, 初始时间在141 Ma附近, 结束时间在132 Ma左右。概言之, 第一亚旋回(141~135 Ma)以形成熔结凝灰岩、流纹英安岩和流纹英安斑岩为主, 第二亚旋回(135~132 Ma)以熔结凝灰岩、碎斑熔岩、粗斑花岗斑岩和似斑状花岗岩为主。岩石地球化学和野外地质特征也与两个亚旋回火山-侵入岩浆活动相吻合。     

基于水化学及稳定同位素的西藏察雅地下热水成因研究

西藏察雅分布有两处地下热水,其中娘曲热水流量达23 356 m ³/d,温度达36 ℃,掌握其成因以及地下水循环模式对铁路隧道的规划建设具有重要意义。为查明地下热水水化学特征及其成因模式,采用同位素水文地球化学方法进行研究。结果表明:两处地下热水主要阳离子为Ca ²⁺和Mg ²⁺,主要阴离子为SO₄^2-和HCO₃^-,溶解性总固体含量为1 255~2 051 mg/L,水化学类型分别为SO₄·HCO₃-Ca·Mg型和SO₄-Ca·Mg型。氢氧同位素分析结果表明,地下热水补给来源主要为大气降水,并具有 ¹⁸O漂移现象,反映了热水与围岩的氧同位素交换效应。地下热水的补给高程为4 146~4 185 m,热储温度为53.1~61.0 ℃,循环深度为1 409~2 020 m。其成因模式为:地下水在东北部高山区接收大气降水入渗补给,沿岩溶裂隙管道径流,经深循环获得大地热流加热,受构造及岩层阻水影响沿断层上升,在上升过程中与份额达0.79~0.91的浅层地下水混合,于沟谷等地势切割处出露成泉。综合水文地质条件与隧道位置分析,隧道穿越的两处岩溶富水条带,东部岩溶富水区对隧道突涌水威胁较小;西部岩溶富水区对隧道存在构造岩溶水高压突涌水风险,后期应注意防范。