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The regime shift of the 1920s and 1930s in the North Atlantic 总被引:6,自引:3,他引:6
During the 1920s and 1930s, there was a dramatic warming of the northern North Atlantic Ocean. Warmer-than-normal sea temperatures, reduced sea ice conditions and enhanced Atlantic inflow in northern regions continued through to the 1950s and 1960s, with the timing of the decline to colder temperatures varying with location. Ecosystem changes associated with the warm period included a general northward movement of fish. Boreal species of fish such as cod, haddock and herring expanded farther north while colder-water species such as capelin and polar cod retreated northward. The maximum recorded movement involved cod, which spread approximately 1200 km northward along West Greenland. Migration patterns of “warmer water” species also changed with earlier arrivals and later departures. New spawning sites were observed farther north for several species or stocks while for others the relative contribution from northern spawning sites increased. Some southern species of fish that were unknown in northern areas prior to the warming event became occasional, and in some cases, frequent visitors. Higher recruitment and growth led to increased biomass of important commercial species such as cod and herring in many regions of the northern North Atlantic. Benthos associated with Atlantic waters spread northward off Western Svalbard and eastward into the eastern Barents Sea. Based on increased phytoplankton and zooplankton production in several areas, it is argued that bottom-up processes were the primary cause of these changes. The warming in the 1920s and 1930s is considered to constitute the most significant regime shift experienced in the North Atlantic in the 20th century. 相似文献
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Concern about future anthropogenic warming has lead to demands for information on what might happen to fish and fisheries under various climate-change scenarios. One suggestion has been to use past events as a proxy for what will happen in the future. In this paper a comparison between the responses of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) to two major warm periods in the North Atlantic during the 20th century is carried out to determine how reliable the past might be as a predictor of the future. The first warm period began during the 1920s, remained relatively warm through the 1960s, and was limited primarily to the northern regions (>60°N). The second warm period, which again covered the northern regions but also extended farther south (30°N), began in the 1990s and has continued into the present century. During the earlier warm period, the most northern of the cod stocks (West Greenland, Icelandic, and Northeast Arctic cod in the Barents Sea) increased in abundance, individual growth was high, recruitment was strong, and their distribution spread northward. Available plankton data suggest that these cod responses were driven by bottom-up processes. Fishing pressure increased during this period of high cod abundance and the northern cod stocks began to decline, as early as the 1950s in the Barents Sea but during the 1960s elsewhere. Individual growth declined as temperatures cooled and the cod distributions retracted southward. During the warming in the 1990s, the spawning stock biomass of cod in the Barents Sea again increased, recruitment rose, and the stock spread northward, but the individual growth did not improve significantly. Cod off West Greenland also have shown signs of improving recruitment and increasing biomass, albeit they are still very low in comparison to the earlier warming period. The abundance of Icelandic cod, on the other hand, has remained low through the recent warm period and spawning stock biomass and total biomass are at levels near the lowest on record. The different responses of cod to the two warm events, in particular the reduced cod production during the recent warm period, are attributed to the effects of intense fishing pressure and possibly related ecosystem changes. The implications of the results of the comparisons on the development of cod scenarios under future climate change are addressed. 相似文献
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Elaine M. Sadler Russell D. Cannon Tom Mauch Paul J. Hancock David A. Wake Nic Ross Scott M. Croom Michael J. Drinkwater Alastair C. Edge Daniel Eisenstein rew M. Hopkins Helen M. Johnston Robert Nichol Kevin A. Pimbblet Roberto De Propris Isaac G. Roseboom Donald P. Schneider Tom Shanks 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,381(1):211-227
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Russell Cannon Michael Drinkwater Alastair Edge Daniel Eisenstein Robert Nichol Phillip Outram Kevin Pimbblet Roberto De Propris Isaac Roseboom David Wake Paul Allen Joss Bland-Hawthorn Terry Bridges Daniel Carson Kuenley Chiu Matthew Colless Warrick Couch Scott Croom Simon Driver Stephen Fine Paul Hewett Jon Loveday Nicholas Ross Elaine M. Sadler Tom Shanks Robert Sharp J. Allyn Smith Chris Stoughton Peter Weilbacher Robert J. Brunner Avery Meiksin Donald P. Schneider 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,372(1):425-442
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P. Firth E. A. Evstigneeva M. J. Drinkwater 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2009,394(4):1801-1811
From high signal-to-noise ratio GMOS-N and AAOmega spectra, we have measured line-strength indices in the Lick/IDS system for several luminous and spatially dispersed compact stellar systems (CSSs) located in the Virgo and Fornax galaxy clusters. We estimate their [α/Fe] ratios, ages and metallicities using a simple (single-burst) stellar population model. We confirm that the Virgo core region luminous CSSs ( ) contain ancient stellar populations with subsolar total metallicities, suggesting that they comprise the bright tail of M87's GC distribution. The two Virgo intracluster globular clusters have ages and metallicities consistent with the cluster core CSSs. Two Fornax luminous CSSs also have ancient stellar populations but are at the upper end of the Virgo CSS metallicity range, while the third (UCD3) appears to be relatively young, metal-rich and with a core + halo radial profile. Our results suggest that Fornax may contain an extra population of luminous CSSs formed more recently than the ancient GC-like systems found in both clusters. 相似文献
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Chris Blake Russell J. Jurek Sarah Brough Matthew Colless Warrick Couch Scott Croom Tamara Davis Michael J. Drinkwater Duncan Forbes Karl Glazebrook Barry Madore Chris Martin Kevin Pimbblet Gregory B. Poole Michael Pracy Rob Sharp Todd Small David Woods 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2009,395(1):240-254
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K.F. Drinkwater 《大气与海洋》2013,51(2):252-266
Abstract The vertical structures of the mean and tidal flows in Hudson Strait are described from moored current‐meter data collected during an 8‐week period in August to October of 1982. The residual flow in the strongly stratified waters off Quebec is directed along the Strait to the southeast, is highly baroclinic and is concentrated near shore (within an offshore length scale of approximately an internal Rossby radius). Maximum mean speeds of 0.3 m s?1 were observed near‐surface (30 m). In the weakly stratified waters on the northern side of the Strait along Baffin Island the mean flow is northwestward. The maximum speeds are 0.1 m s?1 near‐surface (30 m) and the current amplitudes decrease to 0.05 m s?1 at 100 m. The mean southeastward transport is estimated to be 0.93 ±0.23 × 106 m3 s?1 with a northwestward transport of 0.82 ± 0.24 × 106 m3 s?1. Over most of the Strait the across‐channel residual currents are directed towards the Quebec shore with velocities ranging from 0.02 to 0.1 ms?1. Current variability is dominated by the tides, the M2 being the major tidal constituent. In the vicinity of the mooring the M2 tide is primarily barotropic, progressive in nature, and has along‐channel current amplitudes varying across the Strait from 0.20 to 0.45 m s?1. Observed differences in tidal sea‐level elevations across the Strait can be accounted for by the cross‐channel variations characteristic of Kelvin waves. 相似文献
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Adrian Collister Ofer Lahav Chris Blake Russell Cannon Scott Croom Michael Drinkwater Alastair Edge Daniel Eisenstein Jon Loveday Robert Nichol Kevin Pimbblet Roberto De Propris Isaac Roseboom Nic Ross Donald P. Schneider Tom Shanks David Wake 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,375(1):68-76
We describe the construction of MegaZ-LRG, a photometric redshift catalogue of over one million luminous red galaxies (LRGs) in the redshift range 0.4 < z < 0.7 with limiting magnitude i < 20 . The catalogue is selected from the imaging data of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Data Release 4. The 2dF-SDSS LRG and Quasar (2SLAQ) spectroscopic redshift catalogue of 13 000 intermediate-redshift LRGs provides a photometric redshift training set, allowing use of ann z, a neural network-based photometric-redshift estimator. The rms photometric redshift accuracy obtained for an evaluation set selected from the 2SLAQ sample is σ z = 0.049 averaged over all galaxies, and σ z = 0.040 for a brighter subsample ( i < 19.0) . The catalogue is expected to contain ∼5 per cent stellar contamination. The ann z code is used to compute a refined star/galaxy probability based on a range of photometric parameters; this allows the contamination fraction to be reduced to 2 per cent with negligible loss of genuine galaxies. The MegaZ-LRG catalogue is publicly available on the World Wide Web from http://www.2slaq.info . 相似文献