以声发射估计岩石试样先存应力的新方法

利用声发射话动的凯塞（Kaiser）效应测定岩石先存最大应力已成为声发射技术的重要应用领域。目前,判断岩石凯塞效应对应应力的方法仍被重视。作者在研究岩石在单轴压缩条件下的声发射话动时发现:除了通过凯塞效应可测定岩石的先存最大应力之外,还可根据重复加载时声发射话动的某些特点推断出加载前的先存最大应力,从而进一步验证和提高了利用凯塞效应测定先存最大应力的可靠性。重复加载时声发射话动在一定技术条件下会出现这样的特点:在应力达到第一次加载的最大应力值时出现凯塞效应;而在此之前,当应力达到加载前岩石的先存最大应力值时,声发射话动相对其前后有所特殊。作者认为,这种现象可能反映了材料对先前经历过的损伤的记忆能力。本文初步探讨了这一现象的物理基础。     

人影高炮作业落区的一种判定方法

提出了人影高炮弹丸轨迹的运动方程,根据方程计算理论弹丸落点并得出安全区外扩的误差范围。针对人影高炮作业射界设定安全区的情况,提出落点位于安全区内外的判定方法,从而在理论上给出判断人影高炮作业安全性的问题。     

Numerical study of harbor oscillations induced by water surface disturbances within harbors of constant depth

Oscillations within an enclosed rectangular harbor and a set of partially opened rectangular harbors with various widths and locations of entrance induced by cubic water surface disturbances with different initial heights and locations are simulated using FUNWAVE 2.0 model. The height and the location of the cubic water surface disturbance refer to its thickness and its relative horizontal position inside the harbor, respectively. The water depth inside and outside all harbors is set to be constant. The aim of this paper is to investigate how different heights and locations of the water surface disturbance and various widths and locations of harbor entrance affect the oscillations inside the harbor. Results show that for the given harbors and the range of the initial height of water surface disturbance studied in this paper, all the response amplitudes of various eigenfrequencies increase linearly with the initial height of water surface disturbance. The variations of the initial location of water surface disturbance along the backwall and sidewall of the harbor can significantly change the transverse and longitudinal oscillation patterns of various modes, respectively. The effects of the variations of the width and location of the harbor entrance on the response amplitudes of various resonant modes both depend on the relative positions of their node lines and antinode lines to the harbor entrance.     

Effect of uneven noise source and/or station distribution on estimating the azimuth anisotropy of surface waves

With the development of the dense array, the surface wave velocity and azimuthal anisotropy under the array can be directly obtained by beamforming the noise cross-correlation functions (NCFs). However, the retrieval of the Green's function by cross-correlating the seismic noise requires that the noise source has a uniform distribution. For the case with uneven noise source, the azimuthal dependence on the sources in the expression for the spatial coherence function, which corresponds to the NCF in the time domain, has the same form as the azimuthal dependence of the surface wave velocity in weakly anisotropic media. Therefore, the uneven noise source will affect the surface wave anisotropy extraction. In this study, three passive seismic methods, i.e., beamforming, SPAC (spatial autocorrelation), and NCF, are compared to demonstrate that an uneven source distribution and uneven station distribution have equivalent effects on the outcome from each method. A beamforming method is proposed to directly extract the velocity and azimuthal anisotropy of surface waves. The effect of uneven noise source and/or station distribution on estimating the azimuth anisotropy of surface waves was investigated using data from the ChinArray Phase II. A method for correcting the apparent anisotropy in beamforming results caused by an uneven station distribution is suggested.     

Reconstruction of autumn sea ice extent changes since AD1289 in the Barents-Kara Sea,Arctic

Using high-resolution ice core and tree ring proxies for sea ice extent(SIE), we reconstructed a robust time series of autumn SIE over the Barents-Kara(B-K) sector of the Arctic from AD1289–1993. After intercomparing the results and statistical parameters using the ordinary least squares regression(OLSR), the principle component regression(PCR) and the partial least squares regression(PLSR) methods, SIE time series were synthesized into a more robust series using the weighted average method, which used the explained variances as weights. The results showed that from the end of the 13 th century to the end of18 th century, the autumn B-K SIE was large, with large variations and a slightly expanding trend overall. This reflected significant multidecadal oscillations under the Little Ice Age(LIA) background. The B-K SIE began to decrease at the end of the18 th century, and a shrinking trend became significant during the second half of the 19 th century, which lasted into the 1930 s–1940 s. The 1930 s–1940 s was a period with a relatively low SIE in the B-K Sea, and the SIE had a short period of expansion from the 1940 s–1970 s. However, the B-K SIE has continuously and significantly shrank since the 1970 s. The reduction in the B-K SIE since the end of the 18 th century has been unprecedented in both duration and speed over the last 700 years. The B-K SIE has retreated significantly since the 1970 s, with a speed 6.18 times greater than the former mean retreating speed. The industrial revolution may be a dominant factor in this result. The Arctic SIE in recent years may be the lowest it has been over the last millennium.     

Crystal fractionation of granitic magma during its non-transport processes: A physics-based perspective

Granitic continental crust distinguishes the Earth from other planets in the Solar System. Consequently, for understanding terrestrial continent development, it is of great significance to investigate the formation and evolution of granite.Crystal fractionation is one of principal magma evolution mechanisms. Nevertheless, it is controversial whether crystal fractionation can effectively proceed in felsic magma systems because of the high viscosity and non-Newtonian behavior associated with granitic magmas. In this paper, we focus on the physical processes and evaluate the role of crystal fractionation in the evolution of granitic magmas during non-transport processes, i.e., in magma chambers and after emplacement. Based on physical calculations and analyses, we suggest that general mineral particles can settle only at tiny speed(~10~(-9)–10~(-7) m s~(-1))in a granitic magma body due to high viscosity of the magma; however, the cumulating can be interrupted with convection in magma chambers, and the components of magma chambers will tend to be homogeneous. Magma convection ceases once the magma chamber develops into a mush(crystallinity, F~40–50%). The interstitial melts can be extracted by hindered settling and compaction, accumulating gradually and forming a highly silicic melt layer. The high silica melts can further evolve into high-silica granite or high-silica rhyolite. At various crystallinities, multiple rejuvenation of the mush and the following magma intrusion may generate a granite complex with various components. While one special type of granites, represented by the South China lithium-and fluoride-rich granite, has lower viscosity and solidus relative to general granitic magmas, and may form vertical zonation in mineral-assemblage and composition through crystal fractionation. Similar fabrics in general intrusions that show various components on small lengthscales are not the result of gravitational settling. Rather, the flowage differentiation may play a key role. In general, granitic magma can undergo effective crystal fractionation; high-silica granite and volcanics with highly fractionated characteristics may be the products of crystal fractionation of felsic magmas, and many granitoids may be cumulates.     

代县和繁峙2次塌陷地震的机理成因浅析

金属矿山的深部开采易引发冒落型矿震。本文对繁峙和代县两相邻铁矿区相继发生的2次塌陷地震,从其发展到发生的过程特点、形态特征和成因机理等方面进行了分析和总结,认为这两次塌陷的孕育发生与区域构造应力、降雨和人为开采等因素密切相关。2次塌陷前前兆特征现象明显,据此可充分利用测震台网记录到的塌陷数据,通过甄别,收集更多的震例,研究总结其规律,并将研究成果应用于日常监测中,以便能对较大矿震事件做到尽早预报预警,更好地服务社会,服务应急等相关部门。     

丽江-小金河断裂南、中段地貌特征及构造指示意义

丽江-小金河断裂位于青藏高原东南缘,是川滇菱形块体内重要的次级边界断裂。构造活动对区域河流水系的发育有重要影响,因此,定量研究水系地貌特征可在一定程度上反映区域内构造活动信息。本文采用地形坡度、地形起伏度、面积-高程积分值（HI）等地貌参数研究沿该断裂区域地貌对构造活动的响应。研究发现,断裂北侧坡度和地形起伏度较断裂南侧高,跨断裂4级流域盆地内亚流域盆地面积-高程积分值变化也指示断裂北侧流域成熟度低于断裂南侧,这反映了丽江-小金河断裂存在一定逆冲分量。     

垂向地电阻率观测装置系数的计算——以江宁地震台为例

井下地电阻率观测装置系数与电流的空间分布及电极位置有关,应针对不同的观测装置进行计算。本文以江苏省江宁地震台垂向观测为例,利用传统垂直观测装置系数方法、全空间及不完全全空间方式计算装置系数,比较不同装置系数对垂向观测的影响。研究结果表明,采用不完全全空间并考虑井距的装置系数计算方法适合江宁地震台垂向观测。     

An application of the LTP＿DSEF model to heavy precipitation forecasts of landfalling tropical cyclones over China in 2018

Recently, a track-similarity-based Dynamical-Statistical Ensemble Forecast(LTP_DSEF) model has been developed in an attempt to predict heavy rainfall from Landfalling Tropical cyclones(LTCs). In this study, the LTP_DSEF model is applied to predicting heavy precipitation associated with 10 LTCs occurring over China in 2018. The best forecast scheme of the model with optimized parameters is obtained after testing 3452 different schemes for the 10 LTCs. Then, its performance is compared to that of three operational dynamical models. Results show that the LTP_DSEF model has advantages over the three dynamical models in predicting heavy precipitation accumulated after landfall, especially for rainfall amounts greater than 250 mm. The model also provides superior or slightly inferior heavy rainfall forecast performance for individual LTCs compared to the three dynamical models. In particular, the LTP_DSEF model can predict heavy rainfall with valuable threat scores associated with certain LTCs, which is not possible with the three dynamical models. Moreover, the model can reasonably capture the distribution of heavier accumulated rainfall, albeit with widespread coverage compared to observations. The preliminary results suggest that the LTP_DSEF model can provide useful forecast guidance for heavy accumulated rainfall of LTCs despite its limited variables included in the model.