总日射表热偏移订正方法研究进展

准确的太阳总辐射测量对于校准卫星观测数据、验证辐射传输模式以及研究气候变化、定量评估太阳能资源是非常重要的。由于大部分总日射表采用热电堆原理制成,环境热噪声不可避免地影响了总日射表的测量精度,造成"热偏移"误差。近年来随着气候变化研究的深入开展,对于地面观测辐射的精度要求越来越高,有关总日射表热偏移物理机制及其订正方法的研究引起了国内外诸多学者的关注。该文综述了国内外有关研究进展:①总日射表热偏移的提出;②总日射表热偏移特征及其物理机制;③总日射表热偏移订正方法。并对存在的问题进行适当的评述,从而为我国的国产总辐射表热偏移物理机制及其订正方法的研究工作提供一定的参考和启示。     

Stable isotopes in surface snow along a traverse route from Zhongshan station to Dome A, East Antarctica

Samples of surface snow were collected for stable isotope analysis along the traverse route from Zhongshan to Dome A (East Antarctica) from Dec 28th, 2007 to Feb. 8th, 2008. The local relationship between δD and surface temperature is established to be 6.4 ± 0.2 ‰ per °C, very similar to the average for East Antarctic. The deuterium excess shows a pattern of high values over Antarctica, particularly at Dome A. We compare our data with an atmospheric general circulation model which includes stable water isotopes (ECHAM5-wiso). The model simulation captures the right levels of δD, but overestimates δ¹⁸O. This study provides support for the ongoing deep ice core project at Dome A.     

2004/2005年冬季强寒潮事件的等熵位涡分析

利用2004年12月1日—2005年2月28日的NCAR/NCEP逐日再分析资料,对2004年12月22日—2005年1月1日的强寒潮事件进行等熵位涡分析。结果表明:这次强寒潮事件的强冷空气来自欧亚北部和北极地区的高纬平流层下部与对流层上部。在寒潮爆发前期,高位涡强冷空气传播到贝加尔湖南侧,并被来自低纬度的低位涡空气所切断,在欧亚地区形成北部低位涡(阻塞高压)南部高位涡(低涡)的偶极型环流。随着低位涡的减弱消亡,高位涡强冷空气沿高原北侧向东南方向移动,当高位涡中心移到中国东部地区,高位涡空气柱在垂直方向上强烈向下伸展,使得气柱的气旋性涡度加强,东亚大槽迅速加深,引起寒潮的爆发。进一步分析表明,高位涡中心向南、向下传播过程中,等熵面上高位涡中心附近气流在其西侧和北侧地区沿等熵面下沉,引起上述地区低层西伯利亚高压迅速发展,导致强寒潮爆发。     

Modal aspects of the Northern Hemisphere annular mode as identified from the results of a GCM run

In order to study the physical nature of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) or the Northern Hemisphere annular mode (NAM), the linear stochastic model, constructed empirically from the output of a GCM run, is used to investigate the modal aspects of this climate variability mode. Theoretical analysis on the dominant modal response to the stochastic forcing is performed in terms of the maximum variance contribution. As the modal aspect of AO/NAM, two dominant normal modes are found to resemble the spatial structure of the AO/NAM represented by the leading EOF. These stochastically forced normal modes are regarded to be physical modes and thus can explain many fundamental features of the AO/NAM such as the barotropic annular dipole, tropospher–stratosphere coupling, and its dominance over the wintertime Northern Hemisphere. It then follows that the origin or physical nature of the AO/NAM can be attributed to the behaviors of the dominant annular normal modes. A key distinction of this study from previous eddy driving theories is that, to drive the variability, eddy forcing needs not to have a spatial structure completely coinciding with the pattern of the NAM, since the latter is mainly decided by the linear normal modes.     

Theoretical relationship between SSA and MESA with both application

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爆发性气旋的统计研究

用１９８０～１９８９年资料,统计了发生在北半球的爆发性气旋的若干特征,并通过不同区域,不同时间及强度的爆发性气旋发生的频率的对比,得到了一些有意义的结果。     

近35年江苏沿海气温变化对北半球增暖的响应

采用主分量分析与回归估计相结合的方法,研究近３５年来江苏沿海气温变化对半球增暖的响应状况。根据北半球平均增暖的条件,推求未来气候情景下该区各地增暖的可能幅度及其可靠性。结果表明（１）北半球增暖背景下,本区夏季气温变化趋势和年际振动的响应,具有很大的不确定性;     

中美大气化学联合考察实验结果的初步分析与比较

根据临安区域本底站观测资料分析结果得出,中国中纬度地区秋、冬季O₃及其前体物NO_x等浓度偏高,可以对农作物和地表生态系统产生影响.观测结果表明:近地层大气O₃浓度主要决定于地面总辐射量控制下的光化学反应过程;O₃的生成受到前体物NO_x的控制,但O₃与NO_x存在着明显的非线性关系.从PEM-WESTA和B的实验及1995年的观测资料表明,O₃的生成效率随着NO_x浓度的增大而减小.尽管O₃的生成速率秋季比冬季的大,但由于秋季较高的NO_x抑制了过氧基的生成,因此冬季O₃的累积量几乎可以和秋季相比拟.在临安观测的NMHC和NO_x的比值比国外同纬度地区测值要大.这说明在临安本底站O₃的光化学生成中,NMHC不是控制物种.从而提示我们,在这些季节临安O₃光化学产物能够被NO_x浓度所控制.中美大气化学联合考察(PEM-WEST-B)实验期间,台湾省的卡盯站SO₂的平均浓度为0.29ppb,O₃的平均浓度为42.2ppb,可以认为此值为低纬度海岛的本底值.1994年PEM-WEST-B实验期间临安站的观测资料和台湾省的卡盯站资料相比,临安站SO₂的浓度约为卡盯站SO₂浓度的50倍左右,从而可以看出人类活动对大气本底的显着影响.     

The Significant Role of Radiosonde-measured Cloud-base Height in the Estimation of Cloud Radiative Forcing

The satellite-based quantification of cloud radiative forcing remains poorly understood, due largely to the limitation or uncertainties in characterizing cloud-base height (CBH). Here, we use the CBH data from radiosonde measurements over China in combination with the collocated cloud-top height (CTH) and cloud properties from MODIS/Aqua to quantify the impact of CBH on shortwave cloud radiative forcing (SWCRF). The climatological mean SWCRF at the surface (SWCRF_SUR), at the top of the atmosphere (SWCRF_TOA), and in the atmosphere (SWCRF_ATM) are estimated to be ?97.14, ?84.35, and 12.79 W m^?2, respectively for the summers spanning 2010 to 2018 over China. To illustrate the role of the cloud base, we assume four scenarios according to vertical profile patterns of cloud optical depth (COD). Using the CTH and cloud properties from MODIS alone results in large uncertainties for the estimation of SWCRF_ATM, compared with those under scenarios that consider the CBH. Furthermore, the biases of the CERES estimation of SWCRF_ATM tend to increase in the presence of thick clouds with low CBH. Additionally, the discrepancy of SWCRF_ATM relative to that calculated without consideration of CBH varies according to the vertical profile of COD. When a uniform COD vertical profile is assumed, the largest SWCRF discrepancies occur during the early morning or late afternoon. By comparison, the two-point COD vertical distribution assumption has the largest uncertainties occurring at noon when the solar irradiation peaks. These findings justify the urgent need to consider the cloud vertical structures when calculating the SWCRF which is otherwise neglected.     

西北涡暴雨的湿位涡诊断分析

利用常规的探空和地面观测资料、NCEP格点资料以及中尺度MM5模式,对2000年7月4～5日发生在华北南部的一次西北涡大暴雨过程的湿位涡场特征进行了诊断和分析.结果表明,中尺度低涡暴雨的发生发展与湿位涡的时空演变有很好的对应关系,湿位涡＂正负区叠加＂的配置是低涡暴雨发展的有利形势.强降雨区发生在对流层低层正压项的正值区南侧零线附近,斜压项的最大负值区对暴雨的落区和移动有指示作用.