钙贝塔石(Calciobetafite)在我国的发现

钙贝塔石发现于四川西昌的霓辉石-钠铁闪石脉中，与之共生的矿物是霓辉石，钠铁闪石，钠长石，铈磷灰石，硅钛铈矿，沥青铀矿，重晶石，方解石和彩钼铅矿等。钙贝塔石呈黑色，黑褐色，具八面体晶形，大小为2mm～8mm，条痕为黑色或黄褐色，油脂到沥青光泽，贝壳状断口。摩氏硬度为6．05～6．44(Hv=570．08kg／mm^2～689．06kg／mm^2)；无解理，比重4．51(扭力天平法测定)，反射率从406nm(13．53％)到659nm(11．87％)。经计算钙贝塔石的化学式为：(Ca，Na，U)2(Nb，Ti)2(0，OH)，。钙贝塔石的强X射线：2．975(10．222)，2．570(5．400)，1．816(9．440)，1．549(8．622)，1．050(6．844)，等轴晶系，α=1．029nm。     

近45年拉萨深层地温变化趋势分析

利用1961—2005年拉萨0.8 m, 1.6 m和3.2 m逐月平均地温, 采用气候倾向率、累积距平、信噪比等气候诊断方法, 分析了近45年拉萨深层平均地温的变化趋势, 以及异常、突变等气候特征。结果表明:近45年拉萨0.8 m和1.6 m年平均地温呈极显著的增温趋势, 倾向率为 (0.58~0.69 ℃)/10a;0.8 m和1.6 m平均地温倾向率春季最大, 秋季最小; 3.2 m平均地温却以夏季升幅最大, 冬季最小; 与同时期平均气温的增温幅度比较, 地温增幅更大; 20世纪60—90年代0.8 m和1.6 m年平均地温呈明显的逐年代升高趋势; 季平均地温20世纪60—70年代均偏低, 80年代大部分季节仍略偏低, 90年代都表现为正距平; 0.8 m, 1.6 m和3.2 m年平均地温均在1999年出现了异常偏暖, 异常偏冷现象仅发生在1.6 m土层上, 时间为1963年; 夏季深层平均地温异常偏暖均发生在1999年; 冬季0.8 m和1.6 m平均地温多异常偏冷年份, 主要发生在20世纪60年代; 1999, 2002—2005年冬季3.2 m平均地温异常偏暖; 夏、秋季和年平均地温的气候突变都出现在1986年, 冬、春季发生在1983年。     

ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK CORRECTION OF ROUGH ERRORS OF OBSERVATIONS

In the context of tower measured radiation datasets.following the correction principle meetinga diagnostic equation in data quality control and in terms of a technique for model construction ondata and ANN(artificial neural network)retrieval for BP correction of radiation measurementswith rough errors available,a BP model is presented.Evidence suggests that the developed modelworks well and is superior to a convenient multivariate linear regression model,indicating its wideapplications.     

RESPONSES OF A GLOBAL CGCM TO CO_2 INCREASE

The responses of the climate system to increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide(CO_2)arestudied by using a new version of the Bureau of Meteorological Research Centre(BMRC)globalcoupled general circulation model(CGCM).Two simulations are run:one with atmospheric CO_2concentration held constant at 330 ppm,the other with a tripling of atmospheric CO_2(990 ppm).Results from the 41-year control coupled integration are applied to analyze the mean state,seasonal cycle and interannual variability in the model.Comparisons between the greenhouseexperiment and the control experiment then provide estimations of the influence of increased CO_2on climate changes and climate variability.Especially discussed is the question on whether theclimate changes concerned with CO_2 inerease will impact interannual variability in tropical Pacific,such as ENSO.     

人工神经网络在天津市区地面沉降预测中的应用

在分析天津市区地面沉降特点的基础上，结合人工神经网络原理，选择1961-1980年的天津市区降水量、地下水开采量、前年沉降量、固结度作为训练样本的输入量，以这20年的地面沉降量作为输出量，用贝叶斯正则化算法训练BP网络，得到沉降的仿真模型。并把1981-1993年的资料用来进行预测检验，结果表明这是一种比较理想的地面沉降预测方法。最后在不同的降水量保证率下，预测了到2010年天津市区地面沉降的情况。     

STUDY ON MIXED MODEL OF NEURAL NETWORK FOR FARMLAND FLOOD/DROUGHT PREDICTION

The paper concerns a flood/drought prediction model involving the continuation of time seriesof a predictand and the physical factors influencing the change of predictand.Attempt is made toconstruct the model by the neural network scheme for the nonlinear mapping relation based onmulti-input and single output.The model is found of steadily higher predictive accuracy by testingthe output from one and multiple stepwise predictions against observations and comparing theresults to those from a traditional statistical model.     

新疆东天山卡拉塔格斑岩型铜(金)矿成矿地质背景与找矿评价

卡拉塔格斑岩型铜金矿为哈萨克斯坦Kounrad、Aktogai—中国土屋、卡拉塔格、包古头—蒙古OyuTolgoi亚洲大陆内部最重要的斑岩金铜矿成矿带的重要组成部分之一。该区位处幔隆与幔凹过渡带和重磁变异梯度带,主要铜金矿和异常区分布于两组深大断裂交汇处,具备形成大型—超大型斑岩铜金的大地构造环境。主要类型岩、矿石的化学成分特点、稀土元素组成特征及球粒陨石标准化分布模式、大离子半径元素特征等研究表明,火山、潜火山岩可能来源于上地幔,为岛弧环境下的产物。通过与土屋、Kounrad和OyuTolgoi典型矿床进行对比,它们的成矿地质环境、含矿岩体的主微量元素含量特征、矿床的主要特征等具有较多的相似性。结合区域化探异常和最新找矿成果,认为该区具备形成大型斑岩型铜金矿的条件,具有良好的找矿前景。     

南苏鲁芝麻房石榴石橄榄岩中橄榄石的“C”类组构及其形成条件探讨

上地幔地震的各向异性主要归因于橄榄石的优选方位,不同的橄榄石优选方位模式可以作为上地幔不同动力学作用的指示剂。不同应力和含水量条件下的高温变形实验已经确定出五类橄榄石组构模式(“A”型、“B”型、“C”型、“D”型和“E”型)。本文运用电子背散射(EBSD)技术对来自苏鲁超高压变质带南部的芝麻房石榴石橄榄岩的橄榄石进行了优选方位测定,不同变形程度的橄榄石均显示了[100]轴近垂直于面理和[001]轴近平行于线理的特征,为“C”类组构模式,可见组构类型与变形程度没有关系,并且橄榄石组构所显示的NW向SE的剪切指向,与围岩-正、副片麻岩中形成于折返过程的石英优选方位所显示的SE向NW的剪切指向完全不同,说明芝麻房石榴石橄榄岩中橄榄石的“C”类组构是折返前形成的。结合橄榄石结构水的测量和已有的芝麻房石榴石橄榄岩形成的温压条件,推测该组构形成于含水俯冲带中,认为芝麻房石榴石橄榄岩的原岩来自于高含水的上部地幔楔碎块,与俯冲的陆壳物质一起经历了超高压变质作用并最终折返至地表。     

SIMULATION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE SUMMER OF 1998 OVER CHINA WITH REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL

The heavy rainfall in the summer of 1998 over China has been simulated with the NCCRegional Climate Model(RegCM_NCC).It was successful for RegCM_NCC to reproduce thelocation and seasonal shift of the seasonal rain belt in the summer of 1998 over China.The rainyseason in the summer of 1998 over China can be divided into 7 episodes,including the pre-summerrainy season in South China.the Meiyu onset over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin,shortappearance of North China rain season and the retreat of seasonal rain belt,the second Meiyuseason over the Yangtze River Valley,the rainy period over the Yellow and Huaihe River Valleyand the seasonal retreat of rain belt over North China.The shortcoming of the RegCM_NCC isover-estimation of precipitation amounts.The regions with large latent heat flux,upper soilmoisture and total runoff are located in the rainy area and move with the simulated rain belt duringthe different episodes.On the contrary,the regions with small sensible heat flux are located in thesimulated rainy area and move with the simulated rain belt during the different episodes.