碳交易政策的经济影响:以广东省为例

通过构建广东省两区域动态模型,对广东省碳交易及其他政策措施进行定量评估,分析实施可调控总量的碳交易政策机制对广东省及参与交易部门的经济影响。研究结果表明,按照减排情景到2015年广东完成19.5%的碳强度下降目标,相比基准情景,GDP将减少0.7%;按照强减排情景到2015年将完成20.5%的碳强度下降目标,相比基准情景GDP将减少0.9%;如果在强减排情景的基础上实施碳交易政策,GDP相对基准情景减少0.8%,到2015年实施碳交易政策可减少GDP损失约90亿元,说明广东建立碳排放权交易机制能够发挥支持经济发展和节能减碳双赢的作用。     

北京地区玉米风灾损失定量评估模型研究

风灾是北京地区玉米减产的一个重要因素,是影响玉米产量最常见的一种气象灾害,严重的风灾可造成玉米绝收。为实现对玉米风灾造成损失的定量评估,利用收集到的历史上出现的玉米风灾及产量损失数据,结合自动气象站观测资料,分析了风灾发生过程中对玉米产量损失影响显著的气象因子,最终确定选取玉米受灾过程中的最大风速的最大值、持续时间内的最大风速的平均值、最大风速持续时间和过程降水量4个气象因子,并考虑到玉米不同生育期抗风能力的不同,增加了玉米生育期影响因子,利用这5个要素,运用统计学方法建立了北京地区玉米风灾损失定量评估统计模型。通过对样本数据的拟合及剩余样本的检验,建立的定量损失评估模型具有一定的准确性和实用性,可为政策性农业保险的定损,以及生产部门确定风灾损失及保险公司理赔提供科学依据。     

Molecular cloning,tissue expression of gene Muc2 in blunt snout bream Megalobrama amblycephala and regulation after re-feeding

Mucins are important components of mucus,which form a natural,physical,biochemical and semipermeable mucosal layer on the epidermis of fish gills,skin,and the gastrointestinal tract. As the first step towards characterizing the function of Muc2,we cloned a partial Megalobrama amblycephala Muc2 cDNA of 2 175 bp,and analyzed its tissue-specific expression pattern by quantitative real-time PCR(qPCR). The obtained sequence comprised 41 bp 5′-untranslated region(5′-UTR),2 134 bp open reading frame encoding a protein of 711 amino acids. BLAST searching and phylogenetic analysis showed that the predicted protein contained several common secreted mucin-module domains(VWD-C8-TIL-VWD-C8) and had high homology with mucins from other vertebrates. Among four candidate reference genes(β- Actin,RPI13α,RPII,18S) for the qPCR,R PII was chosen as an appropriate reference gene because of its lowest variation in different tissues. M. amblycephala Muc2 was mainly expressed in the intestine,in the order(highest to lowest) middle-intestine fore-intestine hind-intestine. Muc2 was expressed relatively poorly in other organs(brain,liver,kidney,spleen,skin and gill). Furthermore,after 20-days of starvation,M. amblycephala Muc2 expressions after refeeding for 0h,3 h,16 h,3 d,and 10 d were significantly decreased in the three intestinal segments(P 0.05) at 16 h,and were then upregulated to near the initial level at 10 d.     

Spatial and seasonal variations in the trophic spectrum of demersal fish assemblages in Jiaozhou Bay,China

Trophic structure of fish communities is fundamental for ecosystem-based fisheries management, and trophic spectrum classifies fishes by their positions in food web, which provides a simple summary on the trophic structure and ecosystem function. In this study, both fish biomass and abundance trophic spectra were constructed to study the spatial and seasonal variations in the trophic structure of demersal fish assemblages in Jiaozhou Bay, China. Data were collected from four seasonal bottom trawl surveys in Jiaozhou Bay from February to November in 2011. Trophic levels(TLs) of fishes were determined by nitrogen stable isotope analysis. This study indicated that most of these trophic spectra had a single peak at trophic level(TL) of 3.4–3.7, suggesting that demersal fish assemblages of Jiaozhou Bay were dominated by secondary consumers(eg. Pholis fangi and Amblychaeturichthys hexanema). The spatial and seasonal variations of trophic spectra of Jiaozhou Bay reflected the influence of fish reproduction, fishing pressure and migration of fishes. Two-way analysis of variance(ANOVA) showed that seasonal variations in trophic spectra in Jiaozhou Bay were significant(P 0.05), but variations among different areas were not significant( P 0.05). The trophic spectrum has been proved to be a useful tool to monitor the trophic structure of fish assemblages. This study highlighted the comprehensive application of fish biomass and abundance trophic spectra in the study on trophic structure of fish assemblages.     

Polygonal faulting and petroleum geological significance of Qn1 formation in the Sanzhao Sag,Songliao BasinEI北大核心CSCD

Numerous small-scaled, extensional faults occur densely in the mudstone layer of the Qingshankou 1st member (Qn1) in Songliao Basin. Its attribute and genetic mechanism are highly concerned but still controversy. The high-resolution 3D seismic datasets of a new block that covers most of the Sanzhao sag of Songliao Basin is studied., The characteristics of the profile and plane geometry of the extensional fracture system in the Sanzhao sag were depicted in detail through fine seismic interpretation using coherent technology. Based o the results, we proposed that: (1) The extensional fault system is mainly polygonal fault, which probably resulted from rupture pressure related to the episodic hydrocarbon-expulsion from the mudstone of Qn1. However, the tectonic inversion in Songliao Basin may also contribute to the formation and development of the polygonal fault system; (2) The polygonal faults were mainly formed by the end of deposition period of the Nenjiang Formation, and some experienced vertical direction propagation caused by the strong tectonic inversion at the end of deposition period of the Mingshui Formation; (3) The polygonal faults connect the Qn1 hydrocarbon source rock with the underlying Fuyang oil layer and the overlying Putaohua oil layer, and thus are important migration channels for the oil and gas accumulation; (4) Until the end of deposition period of the Nenjiang Formation, hydrocarbon generated in the Qn1 mainly migrated downward into the underlying Fuyang oil layer via the small polygonal faults rather than upwards to the Putaohua oil layer. On the contrary, by the end of deposition period of the Mingshui Formation, the oils from Qn1 source rock can migrate either downward into the Fuyang oil layer or upward into the Putaohua oil layer. It is noteworthy that the vertical propagation of the polygonal faults induced by the tectonic inversion might also damage the Fuyang accumulations formed earlier. ©, 2015, Science Press. All right reserved.     

高精度无人机航测在2021年玛多7.4级地震地表破裂精细研究中的应用

北京时间2021年5月22日,青海省果洛州玛多县发生M_S7.4地震,震中位于巴颜喀拉地块内部,根据震源机制解和野外地表破裂调查确定发震构造为以左旋走滑运动为主的江错断裂。本研究利用大疆Phantom 4 RTK无人机在震后采集大量地表破裂照片,采用集成SfM（Structure from Motion）算法的PhotoScan软件处理获得高分辨率DEM和正射影像,同时结合野外实地考察对研究区地表破裂的分布特征及断错地貌类型进行详细解译。利用基于MATLAB语言开发的位移测量软件LaDiCaoz,限定玛多地震在研究区产生的左旋走滑位移约为0.4 m。地表破裂精细化解译显示,在左旋右阶阶区发育小规模的挤压鼓包和里德尔共轭剪切破裂,在左旋左阶阶区发育走向为N40°～50°E,宽度达数十厘米的张裂缝带,指示发震构造的左旋走滑性质。本研究为震后基于无人机摄影测量技术快速提取地表破裂的定量参数和进行地表破裂精细化研究提供了可行、高效和科学的技术方法。     

气候变化科学的最新认知

 政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）第一工作组于2007年2月2日发布的第四次评估报告明确指出,近100 a（1906-2005年）地球表面平均温度上升了0.74℃,近50 a的线性增温速率为0.13℃/10 a,1850年以来最暖的12个年份中有11个出现在近期的1995-2006年。全球变暖已经是不争的科学事实,报告认为人类活动是近50 a全球气候系统变暖的主要原因。 IPCC评估报告是国际科学界对气候变化问题最权威、最全面的认识,代表了目前全球气候变化研究的科学认识水平,是国际上制定相关政策的重要依据。     

State and church in France: regulation and negotiation

In France the distinction between the secular and religious domains is the result of a slow evolutionary process of secularization over a period of two centuries. A key element was the law of separation between churches and State in 1905. Secularization also produced a pluralistic socio-cultural system, which permits an increase in religious supply, issued from outside or inside existent churches. The religious landscape became complex due to the growth of certain groups. Nowadays, efforts to regulate Muslim communities are leading towards a new tendency of state control of religious activities in two fields, namely places of worship and school activities. Religious plurality is recognized by the State in the name of the freedom of beliefs. Private organizations are used for the public practice of religion and easily obtain places of worship. However, this has necessitated a large number of regional or local arrangements. In the name of the freedom of thought, the school system of the Republic is ensured by public schools, or by Catholic or Jewish schools, subject to strict public control. In this matter, there is only minimal tolerance of other denominations.