水流冲刷沉积物生成泥石流的条件及运动规律的试验研究

在铺满卵石的陡槽上释放不同浓度、不同流量的泥浆或清水，观测卵石在泥浆流作用下的运动，研究泥石流的形成条件和运动规律。试验结果表明，当K（=rqJ）大于某临界值K_c时就会发生泥石流，但这个临界值K_c随波相泥浆浓度而变。泥石流龙头由大卵石组成，在不断摩擦和碰撞中翻滚着推进，消耗大量动能，同时控制着后续流不离散。后续流液相流速显著大于龙头，不断把能量输送到龙头，维持龙头运动。大卵石在运动中受到液相流的推动力较大，而受到的碰撞阻力较小，比龙头运动的快。因而大卵石逐渐集中于龙头。     

Nonlinear interaction between astronomical tides and storm surges at wusong tidal station

There are obvious periodic oscillations in the observations of storm surges in the East China Sea. The storm surges are not only controlled by the wind stresses and isolated long wave caused by typhoons but also affected by the interaction between astronomical tides and storm surges. In the present paper we simulate the interaction between tides and storm surges by using a two dimensional numerical model. In our numerical experiments we use the data of the storm surge induced by Typhoon 8114. The calculations tally with the measured data well. The results indicate that the periodic oscillations occurring in the elevations of the surge are mainly caused by the interaction between the tide and the storm surge. The numerical experiments also indicate that the forecasting precision may be notably improved if the nonlinear interaction between tides and storm surges is taken into account.     

Theoretical analysis and engineering solution of parasitical spectrum in the CINRAD transmitter

To deal with the universal problem of parasitical frequency spectrum in China New Generation Weather Radar transmitter, this paper establishes mathematical models for parasitical signals existing in radar transmitters and analyzes their effects on weather radar performance. Based on an engineering analysis of their possible sources, a step-by-step method to eliminate parasitical spectrum is presented, which is applied to troubleshooting experimental weather radar. Eventually, parasitical spectrum is basically eliminated. As a result, improved spectrum purity and reduced phase noise is achieved. Moreover, accuracy for velocity estimate as well as ground clutter suppression ability of the radar system is enhanced.     

相控阵天气雷达波束特性

为了缩短雷达的探测周期, 相控阵天气雷达必须采用宽波束发射, 多波束接收。该文在天线口径为均匀分布和非均匀分布情况下讨论了相位扫描天线的方向图, 对波束特性进行分析, 提出采用非均匀划分子空间方法可对相位扫描天线带来的波束展宽效应和增益减小进行补偿, 并模拟设计了一个相控阵天气雷达天线方案, 给出宽波束和多个窄波束方向图及波束参数。结果表明:海明加权方法可使副瓣电平降低到-25 dB, 能基本满足天气探测需求; 采用非均匀划分子空间能够对波束宽度和天线增益进行补偿; 文中所设计的天线方案不仅能够缩短雷达的探测周期, 还能充分利用雷达的照射能量。     

CINRAD/SB雷达回波强度定标调校方法

回波强度定标和调校方法是保障CINRAD/SB回波强度测量精度的关键技术,方法不当会导致回波强度测量误差增大,直接影响雷达定量估测降水产品的可靠性。为了满足回波强度测量误差在±1 dBZ范围内的技术要求,根据雷达气象方程,通过对CINRAD/SB接收机测试通道、主通道、天馈系统相关影响回波强度测量误差的因素进行分析,提出了从接收机动态范围和雷达参数调整、线性通道增益定标目标常数定标,到测试通道参数调整的回波强度定标工作流程。总结出以线性通道增益定标目标常数定标为基准,采用测试通道参数测量法或基准法调校,以保证发射功率和接收机动态范围变化导致的回波强度测量误差得到在线实时校正,提高了CINRAD/SB回波强度测量精度。从接收机测试通道、主通道、天馈系统及发射功率4个方面,给出了回波异常的分析和诊断流程。并提出在接收机保护器前端增加机外信号注入口和定标信号功率检测功能,以利于机内外回波强度定标对比校准和消除测试通道参数变化导致回波强度测量误差的建议。     

陕西果业基地伏旱指数及其预报方法

选取陕西苹果(梨)生产基地县中生态环境、气候特点与苹果(梨)产业发展水平具有代表性的10个台站,近40 a(1969—2008年)伏期降水量和无降水日数资料,设计并计算其伏旱指数。将伏旱指数分成强、偏强、中等、偏弱和弱五个等级,并用典型k阶自回归AR(k)预测模式进行独立样本预测试验。结果表明:伏旱指数能够较客观地反映基地县的伏旱强度,且伏旱指数的时空分布特征差异较大。这与这些基地县所处纬度、海拔高度、生态环境和气候背景的差异有关。典型k阶自回归预测模式预测准确及基本准确率在70%左右,预报效果尚好,具有实用价值。     

近10年全球变暖停滞了吗?

综合分析了与近10年(1999—2008年)全球变暖停滞有关的几个问题。首先,虽然1999—2008年全球平均温度增量接近零,但是这10年仍是30年来平均温度最高的10年。其次,自然变化如火山活动、太阳辐射、ENSO及大洋热盐环流变化可能影响全球平均温度的年际及年代际变化,但是不大可能改变全球变暖的长期趋势。最后,用全球及中国的观测资料证实1999—2008年中国平均温度增量为0.4～0.5℃/10a,即中国的气候变暖仍在继续。     

Simulation of the progressive failure of an embankment on soft soil

A pragmatic strain-softening constitutive model, which is based on Modified Cam Clay, was applied to the simulation of the progressive failure of an embankment constructed on a deposit of sensitive (strain-softening) clay in Saga, Japan. A comparison of the predictions for this case indicates that if softening is ignored, only relatively small deflections and consolidation settlements are predicted, especially after construction. In contrast, for the case where softening is included in the analysis, progressive failure within the clay induces large shear deformations and finally failure of the embankment is predicted. This comparison suggests that softening-induced progressive failure should be considered in the design of embankments on such soils, and the residual strength of the deposit may have an important influence on the overall factor of safety of the construction. Detailed analyses of predicted excess pore water pressures, shear strains and shear stress levels in the ground indicate that considering the strain-softening process: (a) is associated with the buildup of excess pore water pressure; (b) promotes strain localization; and (c) results generally in a larger zone of soil involved in the failure.     

熊耳山地区穆册二长岩体地球化学特征、U-Pb年龄及构造背景

华北克拉通古元古代的构造格局是学术界关注的焦点之一,位于华北克拉通南缘的穆册二长岩体为该研究提供了新的证据。穆册岩体主体为黑云角闪二长岩,边部见二长斑岩,并被同期二长花岗岩脉侵入。二长岩的LA- ICP- MS锆石U- Pb定年为2172±8 Ma（MSWD=058,n=17）和2186±7 Ma（MSWD=0.60,n=19）,二长花岗岩年龄为2174±8 Ma（MSWD=0.45,n=19）,显示该二长岩体形成于古元古代。穆册二长岩不仅具有造山后地球化学特征,还具有典型的岛弧岩浆岩的地球化学特征。综合分析,穆册二长岩可能在古元古代经历了岛弧和裂谷两种环境的共同影响。     

冀南綦村岩体斑状黑云母角闪闪长岩的成因矿物学研究

綦村岩体是冀南邯邢地区典型的中生代高镁闪长岩杂岩体,主要由斑状黑云母角闪闪长岩、角闪闪长岩、闪长岩、二长岩和少量辉长岩组成。对綦村斑状黑云母角闪闪长岩进行了较为详细的成因矿物学研究,探讨了其成因及其地质意义。研究发现,綦村斑状黑云母角闪闪长岩中的角闪石多为镁铝钙闪石和镁角闪石;黑云母主要为富镁黑云母;斜长石发育环带结构,核部以中长石和拉长石为主,边部多为更长石。角闪石矿物温压计估算结果显示,角闪石斑晶的形成温度为930~970 ℃,压力介于300~340 MPa之间,深度10~15 km,氧逸度为ΔNNO+0.1~+2.3,平衡熔融体中的水含量4.8%~5.5%;与黑云母平衡的角闪石形成温度为684~760 ℃,压力降低至42~61 MPa,熔体中水含量降至3.1%~4.3%,氧逸度为ΔNNO+0.7~+2.4。黑云母温度计和氧逸度计获得的结果与角闪石温压计估算结果一致。该结果表明,研究区高氧逸度的铁镁质岩浆在中地壳曾经驻留,并发生了以角闪石为主的结晶分异,富含挥发分的分异岩浆在后期快速侵位形成高镁闪长岩和矽卡岩型铁矿。