撤县设区与区域经济发展——基于双重差分方法的政策评估

撤县设区作为行政区划调整的一项政策措施,对于缓解土地资源紧张、推动城市化进程、加快经济一体化方面具有重要意义,但其对区域经济发展的多维影响及其机制还有待进一步验证。以广东省为研究区域,利用79个县（市）2000—2015年的面板数据,运用双重差分方法系统考察撤县设区对区域经济发展的“净”影响。结果表明：撤县设区显著促进了区域经济发展,平均而言,撤县设区对经济发展的贡献为4.8%;撤县设区在珠三角地区效果更好,而在非珠三角地区不稳定;撤县设区的政策红利具有时间滞后性,一般在第三、第四年才开始显现;此外,机制分析发现,撤县设区后能够获得基建、规划、政策等的有力支持,增加财政收入和固定资产投资,有助于第二产业及其相关产业发展,并在增加就业和刺激消费基础上着力推动经济发展。     

亚太地区油气成藏条件及资源潜力

亚太地区是全球重要的油气产区和最大的油气消费市场。亚太地区155个主要沉积盆地中,已有90多个盆地内发现了油气田或有油气发现,共发现油气田约6 900个。根据地理位置及构造特征等,亚太地区可进一步分为东亚分区、东南亚分区、澳新分区和南亚分区,约有131个主要的含油气系统。本文对亚太地区不同分区的油气成藏条件(包括烃源岩、储集层、盖层、含油气系统等)进行了总体分析与高度概括。在此基础上,以成藏组合为基本评价单元,不同勘探程度盆地采用与之相适应的评价方法,对本地区各盆地的油气资源潜力进行了评价。评价结果表明:亚太地区常规总油气可采资源量为673.7×10⁸ t油当量,占全球的6.1%,非常规油气资源类型以重油、页岩油、油页岩、页岩气、煤层气为主,非常规油气技术总可采资源量390.4×10⁸ t当量,占全球非常规油气技术总可采资源量的6.1%。根据待发现资源结果及盆地勘探程度,近海和深海勘探是将来的勘探热点:主要勘探领域为深海和成熟盆地新层系及岩性-地层圈闭等;海相三角洲体系是寻找天然气田的重要领域;东南亚弧后盆地群新生界湖相是页岩油的有利勘探领域;澳大利亚中部克拉通盆地群泥盆系-石炭系为页岩气的有利勘探领域。     

Seasonal to yearly assessment of temperature and precipitation trends in the North Western Mediterranean Basin by dynamical downscaling of climate scenarios at high resolution (1971–2050)

The complex topography and high climatic variability of the North Western Mediterranean Basin (NWMB) require a detailed assessment of climate change projections at high resolution. ECHAM5/MPIOM global climate projections for mid-21st century and three different emission scenarios are downscaled at 10 km resolution over the NWMB, using the WRF-ARW regional model. High resolution improves the spatial distribution of temperature and precipitation climatologies, with Pearson's correlation against observation being higher for WRF-ARW (0.98 for temperature and 0.81 for precipitation) when compared to the ERA40 reanalysis (0.69 and 0.53, respectively). However, downscaled results slightly underestimate mean temperature (≈1.3 K) and overestimate the precipitation field (≈400 mm/year). Temperature is expected to raise in the NWMB in all considered scenarios (up to 1.4 K for the annual mean), and particularly during summertime and at high altitude areas. Annual mean precipitation is likely to decrease (around ?5 % to ?13 % for the most extreme scenarios). The climate signal for seasonal precipitation is not so clear, as it is highly influenced by the driving GCM simulation. All scenarios suggest statistically significant decreases of precipitation for mountain ranges in winter and autumn. High resolution simulations of regional climate are potentially useful to decision makers. Nevertheless, uncertainties related to seasonal precipitation projections still persist and have to be addressed.     

西藏林周盆地中侏罗统却桑温泉组碎屑锆石U-Pb年代学及地质意义

林周盆地位于冈底斯板块中部,对其进行盆地分析将为理解冈底斯板块构造演化过程提供重要的沉积学证据。本文以林周盆地中侏罗统却桑温泉组为研究对象,开展岩石学和碎屑锆石U-Pb年代学研究,结果显示却桑温泉组岩屑石英砂岩最年轻碎屑锆石年龄为169 Ma,存在620~540 Ma,1220~1055 Ma等年龄峰值,其中最年轻碎屑锆石年龄是对特提斯洋壳俯冲引发的岩浆事件的响应。碎屑锆石区域对比研究表明却桑温泉组物源主要来自冈底斯中部唐加－松多造山带,为特提斯洋向北俯冲、向南增生过程的沉积记录。

     

新疆乌拉根砂岩型铅锌矿床地质特征与控矿条件

新疆乌拉根铅锌矿是与含油气盆地有关的砂岩型矿床,发育于塔里木盆地西北缘的喀什凹陷。在区域地层、构造、沉积岩和最新勘探资料综合分析的基础上,对该矿床的地质特征和控矿地质条件进行了研究。结果表明,其矿化层为一套海退砂、砾-泥-碳酸盐岩沉积建造,下白垩统克孜勒苏群(K1kz)和古新统阿尔塔什组(E1a)是成矿的物质基础,矿化蚀变发育于下白垩统克孜勒苏群第五岩性段+古近系阿尔塔什组第一岩性段,铅锌矿体呈层状、似层状产出,总体产状与地层产状一致。碎屑岩与矿化关系显示,从砾岩-砂砾岩-含砾砂岩-砂岩-泥岩,矿化强度依次减弱,除白云质(角砾)灰岩由于后期热液叠加多形成块状、细脉状矿石,矿化最强外,其余岩性按岩石颗粒粒度从小到大,矿化强度依次增强。该矿床的形成明显受乌拉根向斜和后期张性裂隙构造的制约,主矿体主要分布在砂砾岩层和白云质(角砾)灰岩中,矿体和上盘白云质(角砾)灰岩接触带局部张裂隙中发育黄铁矿型铅锌矿。塔西南喀什凹陷北缘中新生代碎屑岩盆地,是寻找砂岩型铜铅锌等多金属矿床最有利的远景区带。     

Cosmological Models with Variable G and Λ

Einstein's equations with variable gravitational and cosmological constants are considered in the presence of a perfect fluid for the anizotropic Bianchi I universe in a way which conserving the energy-momentum tensor. Two solutions are found, one of which the cosmological term varies inversely with power law of time. The other of which cosmological term is constant.     

硫酸盐渍土含水率单次递减条件下的盐胀特性

为探究硫酸盐渍土在含水率递减下的盐胀特性,通过自主设计的试验装置,在室内开展了11组含水率单次递减下的盐胀试验,共历时2 868 h。结果表明：在含水率单次递减下硫酸盐渍土的起胀含盐量约为1.2%。含盐量<1.2%时,土体干缩,干缩量与含盐量近似呈下凸的二次抛物线规律,且干缩峰值含盐量约为0.5%;含盐量≥1.2%时,土体膨胀,且盐胀率与含盐量近似呈线性增大规律。盐胀敏感含水率区间受含盐量影响很小,含盐量从1.5%增至4.0%,盐胀敏感含水率区间基本稳定。此外,含水率递减速率与含盐量呈负相关规律,同一含盐量的硫酸盐渍土,其含水率的递减速率随含水率的降低亦减慢。基于以上试验结果,进一步开展了4组单次降温下的盐胀对比试验,结果表明：含盐量升高时,起胀温度区间逐渐升高,盐胀敏感温度区间的区间范围逐渐扩大。单次降温下的盐胀率均高于含水率单次递减下的盐胀率,且随着含盐量的升高两试验条件下的盐胀率差值趋于一常数。研究结果对西北地区高含盐量的残余型硫酸盐渍土地基的盐胀性评价具有重要指导意义。     

Black dimensional stones: geology, technical properties and deposit characterization of the dolerites from Uruguay

Dimensional stones with a black color occupy a prominent place on the international market. Uruguayan dolerite dikes of andesitic and andesitic–basaltic composition are mined for commercial blocks of black dimensional stones. A total of 16 dikes of both compositions were studied and samples collected for geochemical and petrographical analysis. Color measurements were performed on different black dimensional stones in order to compare them with the Uruguayan dolerites. Samples of the two commercial varieties (Absolute Black and Moderate Black) were obtained for petrophysical analysis (e.g. density, porosity, uniaxial compressive strength, tensile strength, etc.). Detailed structural analyses were performed in several quarries. Geochemistry and petrography determines the intensity of the black color. The Uruguayan dolerite Absolute Black is the darkest black dimensional stone analyzed in this study. The petrophysical properties of Uruguayan dolerites make them one of the highest quality black dimensional stones. Structural analyses show that five joint sets have been recognized: two sub-vertical joints, one horizontal and two diagonal. These joint sets are one of the most important factors that control the deposits, since they control the block size distribution and the amount of waste material.     

The GEM project: An international collaboration to survey galactic radiation emission

The GEM (Galactic Emission Mapping) project is an international collaboration established with the aim of surveying the full sky at long wavelengths with a multi-frequency radio telescope. A total of 745 hours of observation at 408 MHz were completed from an Equatorial site in Colombia. The observations cover the celestial band 0 ^h <<24 ^h , and –24° 22<<+35° 37. Preliminary results of this partial survey will be discussed. A review of the instrumental setup and a 10° resolution sky map at 408 MHz is presented.Presented by S. Torres at the UN/ESA Workshop on Basic Space Sciences: From Small Telescopes to Space Missions, Colombo, Sri Lanka 11–14 January 1996     

Determination of paleo-pressure for a natural gas pool formation based on PVT characteristics of fluid inclusions in reservoir rocks——A case study of Upper-Paleozoic deep basin gas trap of the Ordos Basin

~~Determination of paleo-pressure for a natural gas pool formation based on PVT characteristics of fluid inclusions in reservoir rocks——A case study of Upper-Paleozoic deep basin gas trap of the Ordos Basin~~