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991.
普通黑光灯对稻纵卷叶螟和稻飞虱的诱虫量与气象因子的相关分析 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
以1991年至2008年广东省恩平市的观测数据,分析了普通黑光灯对稻纵卷叶螟和稻飞虱诱虫量与气象条件的相关性.结果表明:稻纵卷叶螟蛾年总诱量与年总降雨量呈正相关,稻飞虱成虫年诱量与年降雨量呈负相关,稻纵卷叶螟蛾与主要为害的5、6、8月降雨均呈正相关,与7月降雨则呈负相关;稻飞虱与5、7、8月降雨均为负相关,与6月降雨为正相关.此外,热带气旋个数与稻飞虱年诱虫量呈负相关;与稻纵卷叶螟蛾年诱虫量呈正相关.综合分析表明,稻纵卷叶螟蛾与稻飞虱与气象因子比较有较大的差别,对普通黑光灯诱虫量有极大的影响,可间接预测预报两迁飞性害虫的发生量,为准确预测预报两迁害虫为害提供参考. 相似文献
992.
993.
Lin-Lin Pan Shu-Hua Chen Dan Cayan Mei-Ying Lin Quinn Hart Ming-Hua Zhang Yubao Liu Jianzhong Wang 《Climate Dynamics》2011,37(9-10):2005-2020
In this study, the influence of climate change to California and Nevada regions was investigated through high-resolution (4-km grid spacing) dynamical downscaling using the WRF (Weather Research & Forecasting) model. The dynamical downscaling was performed to both the GFS (Global forecast model) reanalysis (called GFS-WRF runs) from 2000?C2006 and PCM (Parallel Climate Model) simulations (called PCM-WRF runs) from 1997?C2006 and 2047?C2056. The downscaling results were first validated by comparing current model outputs with the observational analysis PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) dataset. In general, the dominant features from GFS-WRF runs and PCM-WRF runs were consistent with each other, as well as with PRISM results. The influences of climate change on the California and Nevada regions can be inferred from the model future runs. The averaged temperature showed a positive trend in the future, as in other studies. The temperature increases by around 1?C2°C under the assumption of business as usual over 50?years. This leads to an upward shifting of the freezing level (the contour line of 0°C temperature) and more rain instead of snow in winter (December, January, and February). More hot days (>32.2°C or 90°F) and extreme hot days (>37.8°C or 100°F) are predicted in the Sacramento Valley and the southern parts of California and Nevada during summer (June, July, and August). More precipitation is predicted in northern California but not in southern California. Rainfall frequency slightly increases in the coast regions, but not in the inland area. No obvious trend of the surface wind was indicated. The probability distribution functions (PDF) of daily temperature, wind and precipitation for California and Nevada showed no significant change in shape in either winter or summer. The spatial distributions of precipitation frequency from GFS-WRF and PCM-WRF were highly correlated (r?=?0.83). However, overall positive shifts were seen in the temperature field; increases of 2°C for California and 3°C for Nevada in summer and 2.5°C for California and 1.5°C for Nevada in winter. The PDFs predicted higher precipitation in winter and lower precipitation in the summer for both California and Nevada. 相似文献
994.
2002年西北太平洋和南海热带气旋路径主客观预报评价 总被引:1,自引:2,他引:1
利用目前中央气象台热带气旋路径实时业务预报中使用的各种主客观预报产品资料,对2002年西北太平洋和南海热带气旋路径实时业务预报中的主客观预报进行对比分析检验。结果显示:虽然在整体上主观预报要优于客观模式的结果,但客观模式的预报能力已接近主观预报,有时甚至还好于主观预报,特别是48小时以上时效的客观模式较主观预报具有一定的优势;而在客观模式中,全球模式优于台风模式;热带气旋路径数值模式产品的使用对提高热带气旋路径业务预报水平具有十分重要的作用。 相似文献
995.
关于梅雨研究的回顾与展望 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
从梅雨的划分、梅雨的降水分型、梅雨与季风的关系及梅雨的影响因子几个方面,对前人的研究成果进行了回顾和讨论。最后,提出梅雨研究仍需解决的问题:(1)江淮流域梅雨季节的开始至今仍没有一个客观统一划定标准;(2)南海季风、印度季风等季风子系统对梅雨的影响大小及其机制尚需进一步研究讨论;(3)应针对梅雨季节内江淮流域不同的降水分布型,寻找其前期预兆信号进行深入研究;(4)应特别注意特定海温分布型对梅雨的影响,并从中找出影响梅雨的关键区域和影响的关键时段;(5)积冰和雪盖与梅雨异常的关系仍需进一步求证,影响机制还需进一步探索。 相似文献
996.
Summary A three-dimensional, nonhydrostatic numerical model with high spatial resolution, in which a simple energy closure scheme
is employed, has been developed to simulate the spray dispersion over complex terrain. The evaporation, condensation, and
dispersion of the spray and moisture are taken into account in model equations. The term of latent heat due to phase transformation
is considered in detail to account for its effects on the temperature field and airflow. As an application of the model, the
spray concentration and air relative humidity are calculated under neutral condition. The results indicate that under the
neutral condition, the spray is transported to about 0.6 km downwind from the source, and its effects on the air humidity
reach a further distance of 0.9 km downwind from the source.
Attention is given to the dependence of the results upon the various factors influencing the simulation, such as the intensity
of the source, the atmospheric stratification, and the dynamic factor of the terrain. Some numerical tests were carried out
to provide extra insight to the effects of these factors. It has been demonstrated that the simulation results such as relative
humidity and temperature are sensitive to these factors, especially to the thermal stratification. Under unstable conditions,
the effects of the spray source increase significantly, and the variation extent of the temperature, relative humidity and
flow field is larger than that under neutral condition. The effects of dynamic and thermal factors on the air flow field are
discussed through the comparison of the modeling results over complex terrain and flat terrain.
Received June 8, 1998 Revised April 17, 1999 相似文献
997.
利用中国科学院青藏高原研究所纳木错多圈层综合观测研究站在念青唐古拉峰扎当冰川垭口(30.47°N、90.65°E,5800m)和纳木错站(30.77°N、90.99°E,4730m)的逐日平均气温、相对湿度、气压等资料,与同期NCEP/NCAR再分析资料进行了对比分析,讨论了再分析资料在纳木错流域湖泊/冰川区气候变化研究中的适用性.结果表明:扎当冰川垭口和纳木错站气压再分析资料的可信度好于气温,相对湿度稍差:扎当冰川垭口气压和相对湿度再分析值与实测值的差值在冬季偏大,夏季偏小,气温则相反.在研究期间,总体上再分析资料在冰川区的可信度好于湖泊区,再分析资料能很好地反映该地区地面气压、气温和相对湿度的日变化特征,在应用到该地区气候变化的研究时应考虑地形的影响. 相似文献
998.
999.
Two microwave radiative transfer models of precipitating cloud are used to simulate the microwave upwelling radiances emerging from precipitating clouds. Comparison of the simulation results shows that significant difference of microwave upwelling radiances exists between these two radiative transfer models. Analysis of these differences in different cloud and precipitation conditions shows that it is complicated but has certain trend for different microwave frequencies. The results may be useful to quantitative rainfall rate retrieval of real precipitating clouds. 相似文献
1000.
国内外气溶胶观测网络发展进展及相关科学计划 总被引:16,自引:6,他引:16
气溶胶是气候变化研究中的一个极大的不确定性因素,国内外在此方面开展了大量的观测和科学研究。本文首先对当前全球两大气溶胶观测网络,世界气象组织(WMO)的全球大气观测计划(GAW)和气溶胶自动观测网(AERONET)的组织、规模、设备、数据和气溶胶网络的规范作了介绍,并对近年来国际上的重大气溶胶科学计划的目标、实验方法、步骤作了介绍,说明观测网络的重要性。在此基础上对中国气溶胶观测网络的地位做了分析,并指出其在正在开展的中国气溶胶科学研究中的重要性。 相似文献