The Tsunami of 26 December, 2004: Numerical Modeling and Energy Considerations

A numerical model for the global tsunamis computation constructed by Kowalik et al. (2005), is applied to the tsunami of 26 December, 2004 in the World Ocean from 80°S to 69°N with spatial resolution of one minute. Because the computational domain includes close to 200 million grid points, a parallel version of the code was developed and run on a Cray X1 supercomputer. An energy flux function is used to investigate energy transfer from the tsunami source to the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Although the first energy input into the Pacific Ocean was the primary (direct) wave, reflections from the Sri Lankan and eastern shores of Maldives were a larger source. The tsunami traveled from Indonesia, around New Zealand, and into the Pacific Ocean by various routes. The direct path through the deep ocean to North America carried miniscule energy, while the stronger signal traveled a considerably longer distance via South Pacific ridges as these bathymetric features amplified the energy flux vectors. Travel times for these amplified energy fluxes are much longer than the arrival of the first wave. These large fluxes are organized in the wave-like form when propagating between Australia and Antarctica. The sources for the larger fluxes are multiple reflections from the Seychelles, Maldives and a slower direct signal from the Bay of Bengal. The energy flux into the Atlantic Ocean shows a different pattern since the energy is pumped into this domain through the directional properties of the source function. The energy flow into the Pacific Ocean is approximately 75% of the total flow to the Atlantic Ocean. In many locations along the Pacific and Atlantic coasts, the first arriving signal, or forerunner, has lower amplitude than the main signal which often is much delayed. Understanding this temporal distribution is important for an application to tsunami warning and prediction.     

Oil dispersant toxicity

Toxicity tests using a wide variety of shore animals reveal that the latest generation of dispersants have very low toxicity and no long-term effects.     

Depth zonation of epibenthos on sublittoral hard substrates off Deer Island,Bay of Fundy,Canada

Three locations were selected for detailed study of the epibenthos of sublittoral hard substrates in the Deer Island region of the Bay of Fundy. A total of 10 transects, using photographic and quadrat methods, yielded data on percentage coverage, density and diversity of biota in relation to depth.A cluster analysis, using the Jaccard Coefficient of Association, produced five major clusters, representing three depth zones. The shallow and mid-depth zones lie within the infralittoral, the deep zone within the circalittoral.The shallow zone extends from mean low water (MLW) to a mean depth of 5 m below MLW and consists of two clusters representing minor biological differences. It is characterized by crustose coralline algae and Petrocelis middendorfii which together cover over 70% of the primary substrate. Other macro-algae are rare, as are bryozoans, while sponges are absent. The sea urchin Stronglyocentrotus droebachiensis, the limpet Acmaea testudinalis and chitons belonging to Tonicella are very common and may exert a significant influence on the community structure in terms of grazing pressure.The mid-depth zone has a mean depth of 10 m and consists of two clusters, one representing well-illuminated upward-facing surfaces, the other representing shaded steeply-inclined cliff faces. The zone is characterized by higher species richness (relative to the shallow zone); greater coverage of sponges, bryozoans and hydroids; lower densities of sea urchins and limpets; and less areal coverage by encrusting algae. The cliff-face cluster is characterized by enrichment of bryozoans, anemones, sponges and brachiopods.The deep zone has a mean depth of 18 m, and is animal-dominated, supporting the greatest species richness, with sponges, hydroids, anemones, brachiopods and tunicates common, but algal coverage much reduced.Organisms colonizing the upward-facing surfaces in the shallow and mid-depth zones are here regarded as belonging to the encrusting algae-urchin community, while biota of the shaded cliff faces of the mid-depth zone, together with the biota of the deep zone, are regarded as belonging to the Terebratulina septentrionalis community of previous authors.     

The effect of normal stress on the real area of contact during frictional sliding in rocks

The real area of contact during frictional sliding has been determined as a function of changing normal stress in triaxial experiments through the use of thermodyes. Utilizing the technique, described by Teufel and Logan in 1978, with saw-cut surfaces inclined 35° to the load axis, determinations were made for monolithologic sliding of Tennessee sandstone and Indiana limestone and dilithologic sliding of the same rocks. Confining pressures to 200 MPa were investigated at a constant shortening rate of 10^–2 mm/sec and at room temperature. Direct measurements were made of single-asperity areas and the asperity density. The product of these measurements gives the percent area of real contact across the sliding surface. Single-asperity area and density are found to remain relatively constant during the displacement. Single-asperity areas are in the ranges of 0.4 to 6×10^–2 mm² for sandstone, 0.8 to 2×10^–2 mm² for limestone, and 0.2 to 24×10^–2 mm² for sandstone sliding against limestone. These values are smaller than the grain size of either rock. The values increase with increasing normal stress for both monolithologic and dilithologic sliding. In sandstone the asperity density increases from about 0.8 to 2.75 contacts per square millimeter in a logarithmic fashion. Monolithologic limestone has values of about 0.9 contacts per square millimeter and does not show significant change with increasing normal stress. The percent area of real contact increases in all cases, with average maximum values of 16% of the apparent area at a normal stress of 374 MPa in sandstone, 18% at 25 MPa in limestone, and 22% at 123 MPa in the dilithologic specimens. The normal stress recalculated for the real area of contact approaches the unconfined compressive strength for sandstone and limestone.     

Vulnerability to Hurricane Damage on the U.S. Gulf Coast Since 1950

We study hurricane risk on the U.S. Gulf Coast during 1950‐2005, estimating the wind damage and storm surge from every hurricane in this extended period. Wind damage is estimated from the known path and wind speeds of individual storms and calibrated to fit actual damage reports for a sample of Gulf Coast storms. Storm surge is estimated using the SLOSH model developed by NOAA. These models provide the first comprehensive overview of the hurricane storm hazard as it has been experienced over a fifty‐six‐year period. We link the estimated damage with information on the population and specific socio‐demographic components of the population (by age, race, and poverty status). Results show that white, young adult, and nonpoor populations have shifted over time away from zones with higher risk of wind damage, while more vulnerable population groups–the elderly, African Americans, and poor—have moved in the opposite direction. All groups have moved away from areas with high risk of storm surge since 1970. But in this case, perhaps because living near the water is still perceived as an amenity, those at highest risk are whites, elderly, and nonpoor households. Here exposure represents a trade‐off between the risk and the amenity.     

The Burrum River estuary: identifying reference sites for Australian sub-tropical estuarine systems using paleolimnological methods

There is a pressing need to obtain historical information on estuaries so that levels of natural variability and ecosystem thresholds can be identified. Once these factors are known, estuaries that exhibit high conservation value and minimal impact from anthropogenic activity can be acknowledged and protected. In order to understand and quantify the level of change that may have occurred due to human impact, near pristine estuaries that have the potential to act as reference sites need to be identified. However, this is often difficult due to a lack of documented knowledge of estuary variability. This paper retrospectively assesses environmental conditions in the Burrum River, a sub-tropical east Australian estuary on the coast of Queensland, using diatom and stable isotope analyses. These techniques were combined with AMS ¹⁴C dating methods to determine if this system has undergone any natural or anthropogenically induced change. Diatom assemblages have shown very little variation over the past 5,000 years, indicating minimal changes to water quality. Upper and lower limits for δ¹³C and δ¹⁵N stable isotope results also infer that the sources of carbon and nitrogen to the Burrum River estuary have remained constant over this time period. Carbon inputs have been dominated by marine autotrophic production, whilst nitrogen inputs are indicative of terrestrial sources. Hence, the Burrum River has not been altered by anthropogenic activities and is a suitable reference site for benchmarking impacted sub-tropical estuaries. This paper demonstrates that paleolimnological techniques can be applied successfully to identify estuaries that are suitable as reference sites.     

Sulfur isotope systematics of the 1982 El Chichón trachyandesite: an ion microprobe study

Sulfur isotopic compositions were determined by ion microprobe for 36 spots on anhydrite crystals in trachyandesitic pumices erupted from El Chichón Volcano in 1982. Individual anhydrite crystals are homogeneous in δ³⁴S, within the ±1‰ (2σ) uncertainty of the method, but crystal-to-crystal variations are large (+2.5 to +10.9‰). The mean δ³⁴S for anhydrite (+6.4 ± 2.1‰, 1σ) is significantly lower than earlier results for bulk anhydrite separates (+9.0 to +9.2‰). The difference between the mean δ³⁴S values in these two populations may reflect a grain-size effect, with heavier sulfur concentrated in smaller anhydrite crystals, few of which were analyzed by ion microprobe. Variations in δ³⁴S show no correlation with complex textures in anhydrite revealed by cathodoluminescence color. Ion-microprobe analyses of δ³⁴S were also obtained on six ovoid-shaped inclusions of pyrrhotite, chalcopyrite, and/or intermediate sulfide solid solution hosted by silicate or oxide crystals, interpreted to be magmatic (δ³⁴S = −0.1 to +2.7‰; mean +0.7‰), and on four irregularly shaped multiphase sulfide fragments in the matrix, interpreted as xenocrystic, which range widely in δ³⁴S (−3.7 to +5.5‰). We evaluate four different mixing scenarios involving (1) magmatic anhydrite and sedimentary sulfate, (2) magmatic anhydrite and hydrothermal anhydrite, and anhydrite and coexisting sulfide crystals precipitated in different domains of a common magma reservoir that were affected by (3) different degrees of degassing or (4) different degrees of crustal sulfur contamination. The model involving physical contamination of sedimentary sulfate is considered untenable. The other three models are considered to be viable, but none of them can explain all observations. The results of this study and other recent investigations prompt a re-evaluation of the sulfur budget for the 1982 El Chichón eruption. We estimate that 2.2 × 10¹³ g of S was emitted, and that 58 wt.% of the sulfur was present as anhydrite prior to eruption, with the remainder in a vapor phase, with H₂S/SO₂ ≈ 9. The bulk magmatic δ³⁴S value for the 1982 El Chichón trachyandesite is estimated as +4.1 to +5.8‰, typical of the relatively heavy sulfur isotopic compositions that characterize subduction-related magmas.     

Ordnance Survey Policy and Practical Implications for The Revision of Rural Mapping

During 1994 a project was initiated by Ordnance Survey to investigate the requirement for completing the multi-million pound digital revision of 1:2500 scale mapping within Great Britain. This paper, although concentrating on this scale of mapping, discusses the revision policy issues that faced Ordnance Survey and the practical implications arising from implementing the policy for its 1:2500 and 1:10 000 basic scale mapping. Use of contractors was seen as a prime requirement as the resources available within Ordnance Survey were not sufficient to implement the full revision programme. This paper discusses the background to the task and considers the range of photogrammetric options and contractual and quality procedures required for the revision of the mapping over the next few years.