Changes in meteorological variables in Coronel Oviedo, Paraguay, during the total solar eclipse of 3 November 1994

Solar global radiation, air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed were measured in Coronel Oviedo, Paraguay, within the path of totality of the eclipse of 3 November 1994. Global radiation decreased gradually as the sun was being eclipsed and became negligible during the totality, then increased to their normal values. Surface air temperature decreased significantly, about 3 C, with the lowest value occurring about 7 minutes after totality. Relative humidity, because of its dependence on temperature, increased as a consequence of the temperature decrease. Surface wind speed decreased gradually during the eclipse, as a result of the cooling and stabilization of the atmosphere. Although atmospheric pressure was also measured, it was not possible to record pressure changes clearly associated to the eclipse, since the pressure sensor was only able to detect pressure variations of at least 1 hPa.     

The influence of trace amounts of water on the viscosity of rhyolites

 As a major volatile in volcanic systems, water has a significant influence on the rheological properties of silicic magmas. This is especially so at minor water contents relevant to the emplacement of silicic lavas. To investigate the influence of water on the viscosity of natural rhyolitic obsidians, a novel strategy has been adopted employing parallel-plate and micropenetration techniques. Viscosities have been determined on three types of material: (a) raw water-bearing obsidians; (b) remelted (1650  °C, 1 atm) degassed glasses of the obsidians; and (c) hydrothermally hydrated (1300  °C, 3 kbar) obsidians. Ten natural rhyolitic obsidians (peraluminous, calc-alkaline and peralkaline) were employed: seven originated from lava flows and contained <0.2 wt.% H₂O, two samples were F-rich from pyroclastic successions, and one was an obsidian cobble with 1.5 wt.% water also associated with pyroclastic units. Melt compositions and water contents were stable during viscometry. The measured decreases in activation energies of viscous flow and viscosity with small amounts of water are much greater than the Shaw calculation scheme predicts. In addition, a marked non-linear decrease in η exists with increasing water content. In contrast to the case for peralkaline rhyolites, 0.1–0.2 wt.% water decreases activation energies significantly (up to 30%) for calc-alkaline compositions. These results have important implications for the ease of near-surface degassing of silicic magmas during emplacement and permit the testing of calculational models for viscosity, largely based on synthetic systems. Received: 7 July 1997 / Accepted: 6 April 1998     

Worth of secondary data compared to piezometric data for the probabilistic assessment of radionuclide migration

A common approach for the performance assessment of radionuclide migration from a nuclear waste repository is by means of Monte-Carlo techniques. Multiple realizations of the parameters controlling radionuclide transport are generated and each one of these realizations is used in a numerical model to provide a transport prediction. The statistical analysis of all transport predictions is then used in performance assessment. In order to reduce the uncertainty on the predictions is necessary to incorporate as much information as possible in the generation of the parameter fields. In this regard, this paper focuses in the impact that conditioning the transmissivity fields to geophysical data and/or piezometric head data has on convective transport predictions in a two-dimensional heterogeneous formation. The Walker Lake data based is used to produce a heterogeneous log-transmissivity field with distinct non-Gaussian characteristics and a secondary variable that represents some geophysical attribute. In addition, the piezometric head field resulting from the steady-state solution of the groundwater flow equation is computed. These three reference fields are sampled to mimic a sampling campaign. Then, a series of Monte-Carlo exercises using different combinations of sampled data shows the relative worth of secondary data with respect to piezometric head data for transport predictions. The analysis shows that secondary data allows to reproduce the main spatial patterns of the reference transmissivity field and improves the mass transport predictions with respect to the case in which only transmissivity data is used. However, a few piezometric head measurements could be equally effective for the characterization of transport predictions.     

VIMHEX 1972 revisited: The life cycles of two tropical convective mesosystems over land

Summary The evolutions of two slow-moving convective mesosystems observed in Venezuela during VIMHEX-II were studied using time changes in radar echo characteristics. The duration of the echo, maximum echo area, maximum echo height and mean echo velocity were about 6 hours, 5000km², 16km, and 95°/5.2m s^–1 for mesosystem A and about 11 hours, 12000km², 14km, and 90°/3.2m s^–1, for mesosystem B, respectively. The rainfall distributions associated with the mesosystems are described and correlated with the radar echo characteristics. The synoptic conditions are discussed, as well as the modification of the environment produced by the mesosystems.The relative wind profiles suggest that mesosystem A behaved more like a typical tropical squall line, with inflow at almost all levels at the front of the mesosystem, while mesosystem B behaved like a typical mid-latitude squall line, with inflow at lower levels and outflow at upper levels at the front of the mesosystem.With 12 Figures     

Mesoscale Convective Complexes over the Western Mediterranean area during 1990–1994

Summary Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) data registers from June to December during 1990–94 were obtained from the Spanish National Meteorological Institute (INM). Fifteen Mesoscale Convective Complexes (MCCs) were identified through this database. Most of the MCCs developed during the last week of September. The dominant synoptic patterns related to the mesoscale systems were cold fronts at the surface with warm and moist low-level cores, and cut-off low or deep trough throughout the middle and upper levels. These synoptic patterns were found in all the fifteen cases studied.The hourly centroid location of each MCC was used to trace their tracks, which followed a general direction towards the E or NE in almost all cases. These trajectories are clearly related to the synoptic patterns found. Finally, two MCCs chosen as representative of their evolution are described and the related physical processes are discussed.With 14 Figures     

Weather regimes in the South American sector and neighbouring oceans during winter

Climate Dynamics - We classified 34 years of winter daily 500&;nbsp;hPa geopotential height patterns over the eastern South Pacific-South America-South Atlantic region using the K-means...     

Temperature predictability in the Great Mediterranean Area

Summary ¶Long range forecasting of annual and seasonal average temperatures has been considered from two different approaches in an area centered over the Mediterranean Sea. They both are statistical approaches trying to forecast annual or seasonal mean temperature values several months in advance. The methods are Optimate Climate Normals and an extension of this called Climate Normal Functions. Both methods try to forecast temperature from the past behavior of the series. Their performances are examined and compared. The best results are obtained for Southern Europe, while Eastern Europe exhibits the poorest predictability. The results suggest that the North Atlantic Oscillation can be a major factor ruling predictability in some areas of the region considered.Received January 28, 2003; revised October 24, 2002; accepted December 7, 2002 Published online June 2, 2003     

Total energy budget and prey requirements of free-ranging coyotes in the Great Basin desert of the western United States

Estimates of energetic demands for carnivore species can be valuable for estimating their annual prey requirements and thus, their potential impact on prey populations. This is the case for the coyote (Canis latrans) which has a ubiquitous distribution and preys on a wide variety of wild and domestic prey species. We took data on daily activity of coyotes and with standard energy models, estimated the daily field metabolic rate (FMR) of adult male and female coyotes in the Great Basin desert of the western United States. We then calculated the total annual energy demand and from this, extrapolated annual prey needs for lagomorph and rodent-sized prey. Daily FMR of male coyotes in the Great Basin desert averaged 1170.1 kcal±29.1, S.E. (n=11) and was significantly higher than 988.6 kcal±44.3 (n=8) for females (p=0.002). The highest reproductive cost for females was lactation (1441.1 kcal/day above FMR). Males and females need to consume 192 and 162 lagomorphs, or 3681 and 3110 rodents/year, respectively. For reproduction, females should consume 37 more lagomorphs or 700 more rodents per year. We concluded that preference for lagomorphs by coyotes reflects the most reasonable energy return on their hunting investment.     

Dealing with Zeros and Missing Values in Compositional Data Sets Using Nonparametric Imputation

The statistical analysis of compositional data based on logratios of parts is not suitable when zeros are present in a data set. Nevertheless, if there is interest in using this modeling approach, several strategies have been published in the specialized literature which can be used. In particular, substitution or imputation strategies are available for rounded zeros. In this paper, existing nonparametric imputation methods—both for the additive and the multiplicative approach—are revised and essential properties of the last method are given. For missing values a generalization of the multiplicative approach is proposed.