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261.
M. Déqué R. G. Jones M. Wild F. Giorgi J. H. Christensen D. C. Hassell P. L. Vidale B. Rockel D. Jacob E. Kjellström M. de. Castro F. Kucharski B. van den Hurk 《Climate Dynamics》2005,25(6):653-670
Four high resolution atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs) have been integrated with the standard forcings of the
PRUDENCE experiment: IPCC-SRES A2 radiative forcing and Hadley Centre sea surface temperature and sea-ice extent. The response
over Europe, calculated as the difference between the 2071–2100 and the 1961–1990 means is compared with the same diagnostic
obtained with nine Regional Climate Models (RCM) all driven by the Hadley Centre atmospheric GCM. The seasonal mean response
for 2m temperature and precipitation is investigated. For temperature, GCMs and RCMs behave similarly, except that GCMs exhibit
a larger spread. However, during summer, the spread of the RCMs—in particular in terms of precipitation—is larger than that
of the GCMs. This indicates that the European summer climate is strongly controlled by parameterized physics and/or high-resolution
processes. The temperature response is larger than the systematic error. The situation is different for precipitation. The
model bias is twice as large as the climate response. The confidence in PRUDENCE results comes from the fact that the models
have a similar response to the IPCC-SRES A2 forcing, whereas their systematic errors are more spread. In addition, GCM precipitation
response is slightly but significantly different from that of the RCMs. 相似文献
262.
Coseismic and post-seismic signatures of the Sumatra 2004 December and 2005 March earthquakes in GRACE satellite gravity 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Isabelle Panet Valentin Mikhailov Michel Diament Fred Pollitz Geoffrey King Olivier de Viron Matthias Holschneider Richard Biancale Jean-Michel Lemoine 《Geophysical Journal International》2007,171(1):177-190
The GRACE satellite mission has been measuring the Earth's gravity field and its temporal variations since 2002 April. Although these variations are mainly due to mass transfer within the geofluid envelops, they also result from mass displacements associated with phenomena including glacial isostatic adjustment and earthquakes. However, these last contributions are difficult to isolate because of the presence of noise and of geofluid signals, and because of GRACE's coarse spatial resolution (>400 km half-wavelength). In this paper, we show that a wavelet analysis on the sphere helps to retrieve earthquake signatures from GRACE geoid products. Using a wavelet analysis of GRACE geoids products, we show that the geoid variations caused by the 2004 December ( M w = 9.2) and 2005 March ( M w = 8.7) Sumatra earthquakes can be detected. At GRACE resolution, the 2004 December earthquake produced a strong coseismic decrease of the gravity field in the Andaman Sea, followed by relaxation in the area affected by both the Andaman 2004 and the Nias 2005 earthquakes. We find two characteristic timescales for the relaxation, with a fast variation occurring in the vicinity of the Central Andaman ridge. We discuss our coseismic observations in terms of density changes of crustal and upper-mantle rocks, and of the vertical displacements in the Andaman Sea. We interpret the post-seismic signal in terms of the viscoelastic response of the Earth's mantle. The transient component of the relaxation may indicate the presence of hot, viscous material beneath the active Central Andaman Basin. 相似文献
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Laurent Millet Boris Vannière Valérie Verneaux Michel Magny Jean Robert Disnar Fatima Laggoun-Défarge Anne Véronique Walter-Simonnet Gilles Bossuet Elena Ortu Jacques-Louis de Beaulieu 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2007,38(4):525-539
This study focuses on the response of lacustrine littoral chironomid communities to late glacial changes in limnological,
environmental and climate conditions in the Mediterranean context. Late glacial chironomid (Diptera: Chironomidae) assemblages,
organic petrography and geochemistry were analysed in a sediment core from the littoral zone of Lago dell’Accesa (Tuscany,
Italy), where the lake-level fluctuations and the vegetation history have been previously reconstructed. Comparison of the
chironomid stratigraphy to other proxies (pollen assemblages, organic petrography and geochemistry, lake-level) and regional
climate reconstruction suggested the predominant influence of lake-level changes on the littoral chironomid fauna. The main
lowering events that occurred during the Oldest and the Younger Dryas were followed by higher proportions of taxa typical
of littoral habitats. A complementary study of organic matter suggested the indirect impact of lake-level on the chironomids
through changes in humic status and habitat characteristics, such as the type of substrate and aquatic macrophyte development.
Several chironomid taxa, such as Glyptotendipes, Microtendipes and Cricotopus type patens, were identified as possible indicators of low lake-level in the late glacial records. Nevertheless, this study suggested
that parallel analyses of organic matter and chironomid assemblages may be needed to circumvent misinterpretation of littoral
chironomid assemblage stratigraphy. There was a weak response of the chironomid assemblages to small lake-level lowerings
that corresponded to the Older Dryas and Preboreal oscillations. A higher level of determination, e.g. to the species group
level, may be necessary to increase the sensibility of the indicators to lake-level changes. 相似文献
266.
Active meandering rivers are capable of reworking and removing large quantities of valuable land. Therefore, understanding the characteristics of meandering rivers and predicting future meander behaviour can be of great value for local authorities. In this study, we apply a topographic steering meander model to the Geul River (southern Netherlands), using field data to calibrate the model. The present channel characteristics of the Geul River were mapped in the field. Cut‐banks were classified as erosive, unstable or stable. The model outcomes were compared with these field data. Several model runs were carried out, using different sets of parameter values. After studying the results and using the field data, we introduced the concept of a variable channel width in the simulation model. In reality, the river has different channel widths varying from 8 to more than 15 m. These widths are a linear function of local curvature. The model runs using a variable channel width show that the model is capable of predicting locations of lateral migration in conformity with observed active lateral migration and erosive banks. With both models, the sediment reworking time of the floodplain can be calculated. Floodplain reworking times of 200–300 years were calculated. In combination with the lateral migration rate, this reworking time is an important element in catchment sediment budget calculations. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
267.
José Carlos de Araújo 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2007,32(13):2005-2018
A new equation to assess hillslope sediment production, based on physical and probabilistic approaches, is presented. The equation, which allows the computation of the delivery ratio for every event, considers the physical variables of travel distance, stream power, settling velocity and gross erosion. The probability density function that arises from the new formulation is solved using the principle of maximum entropy. Based on data from five watersheds in both tropical and temperate zones, the new delivery parameter Kv is calibrated and associated with vegetation cover and conservation practice. The proposed equation is rationally based in relation to parameter Kv. The entropy‐based equation was applied to assess sediment yield in two other experimental watersheds, showing good predictability for the set (mean absolute error of 20·8%). No systematic error was found in the analysed data. The entropy‐based equation showed good predictability for long‐term sets of data and for high‐erosivity events, but did not perform well for the low‐erosivity ones. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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269.
位于两大构造单元结合带的查干德勒苏地区,中元古代在近EW向裂陷槽内接受了巨厚的含炭质、白云质和火山物质的渣尔泰群滨浅海相沉积建造,铀元素得到第一次预富集;大约1.4Ga前的白云鄂博运动,出现大量中酸性岩浆侵入和广泛的区域变质作用、混合岩化作用,铀元素得到第二次预富集;晚石炭世末的中华力西运动第Ⅱ幕,形成罕乌拉、英巴岩基的主体,铀元素得到第三次预富集;早白垩世早期的陆相断陷盆地沉积,含有较多的有机质,铀元素得到第四次预富集;新生代喜马拉雅构造运动期,气候干旱炎热,在地表地下水的作用下,铀元素出现了一次大规模的活化、迁移和富集,成为查干德勒苏地区砂岩型铀矿的主要矿化期。 相似文献
270.
融多颗卫星数据、地面重力值和其它资料一起的地球重力模型EGM 96 ,为研究中国大陆的重力场及相关问题提供了一个高精度 36 0阶的球谐系数。在分析EGM 96的基础上 ,计算并简单解释了中国大陆的自由空气异常和布格重力异常。计算所得重力场的精度和分辨率大大高于常用的1∶140 0 0 0 0 0自由空气异常图及布格重力图 相似文献