古田水库2004年蓄水型人工增雨作业分析

将宁德市人工增雨指挥系统应用到2004年6~8月古田水库抗旱蓄水型人工增雨作业和进行综合效果评价,取得显著效果。5次作业过程,水库流域共增雨16117×104m3。结果表明:新一代天气雷达宁德市人工增雨指挥系统在实际作业中应用,对旱情的监测、作业条件确定、把握最佳作业时机、场外作业指挥、云团跟踪分析、效果综合评价等方面发挥了很好的作用,使人工增雨作业科学化、客观化、系统化,提高了工作效率,增强了工作效果,扩大了社会影响。     

Statistical Downscaling of Pattern Projection Using Multi-Model Output Variables as Predictors

A pattern projection downscaling method is employed to predict monthly station precipitation. The predictand is the monthly precipitation at 1 station in China, 60 stations in Korea, and 8 stations in Thailand. The predictors are multiple variables from the output of operational dynamical models. The hindcast datasets span a period of 21 yr from 1983 to 2003. A downscaled prediction is made for each model separately within a leave-one-out cross-validation framework. The pattern projection method uses a moving window, which scans globally, in order to seek the most optimal predictor for each station. The final forecast is the average of the model downscaled precipitation forecasts using the best predictors and is referred to as DMME. It is found that DMME significantly improves the prediction skill by correcting the erroneous signs of the rainfall anomalies in coarse resolution predictions of general circulation models. The correlation coefficient between the prediction of DMME and the observation in Beijing of China reaches 0.71; the skill is improved to 0.75 for Korea and 0.61 for Thailand. The improvement of the prediction skills for the first two cases is attributed to three steps: coupled pattern selection, optimal predictor selection, and multi-model downscaled precipitation ensemble. For Thailand, we use the single-predictor prediction, which results in a lower prediction skill than the other two cases. This study indicates that the large-scale circulation variables, which are predicted by the current operational dynamical models, if selected well, can be used to make skillful predictions of local precipitation by means of appropriate statistical downscaling.     

依兰盆地达连河油页岩成矿控制因素研究

达连河油页岩含矿区位于黑龙江省依兰地区,该区是一个半地堑式断陷盆地。油页岩形成受到多重因素制约,构造上在靠近断裂F₂的煤和油页岩厚度较厚,随着湖盆沉积范围的扩大,表现了一种从湖平面逐渐向岸上上超的过程;高水位体系域浅湖-半深湖相和水进体系域湖泊-沼泽相形成不同成因类型油页岩;孢粉分析结果可知油页岩形成的气候总体呈现出气候温和、 温度下降的发展趋势;而气候的波动影响了古生物的发育,降低了有机质生产能力,进而造成油页岩含油率低。     

Geological Features and Formation Processes of the Makeng Fe Deposit,China

Recent studies have revealed that the Makeng Fe deposit is a skarn type deposit. However, the skarns in Makeng, occurring primarily between limestone and sandstone, are not typically associated with limestone and plutons. Different periods of intrusions, e.7. Hercynian mafic intrusions and Yanshanian (i.e. early Cretaceous) Dayang–Juzhou granitic intrusion, occurred in the Makeng deposit district. In this study, the formation processes of the skarns and Fe mineralization are constrained by detailed fieldwork, petrology, geochronology, and geochemistry. Skarns and Fe mineralization intersecting the Hercynian mafic intrusions are observed in consecutive specimens from the 106# tunnel. They suggest that the skarn formation and Fe mineralization occurred after the Hercynian mafic intrusions and are related to the later Yanshanian Dayang–Juzhou granitic intrusion. The geochronological characteristics of weakly skarn‐altered diabases, the decreasing nature of Fe contents in altered diabase, and the major element compositions of pyroxenes and garnets also support that Hercynian mafic intrusions are strongly reformed by Yanshanian granitic magmas and the Fe migrated from mafic intrusion was responsible for formation of iron ore.     

Aerodynamic grain‐size distribution of blown sand

Aeolian sand entrainment, saltation and deposition are important and closely related near surface processes. Determining how grains are sorted by wind requires a detailed understanding of how aerodynamic sand transport processes vary within the saltating layer with height above the bed. Grain‐size distribution of sand throughout the saltation layer and, in particular, how the associated flux of different grain size changes with variation in wind velocity, remain unclear. In the present study, a blowdown wind tunnel with a 50 cm thick boundary layer was used to investigate saltating sand grains by analyzing the weight percentage and transport flux of different grain‐size fractions and the mean grain size at different wind velocities. It was found that mean grain size decreases with height above the sand bed before undergoing a reversal. The height of the reversal point ranges from 4 to 40 cm, and increases with wind velocity following a non‐linear relationship. The content of the finer fractions (very fine and fine sand) initially increases above the sand bed and then decreases slightly with height, whereas that of the coarser fractions (medium and coarse sand) exhibits the opposite trend. The content of coarser grains and the mean grain size of sand in the saltation layer increase with wind velocity, indicating erosional selectivity with respect to grains in multi‐sized sand beds; but this size selectivity decreases with increasing wind velocity. The vertical mass flux structure of fine sand and very fine sand does not obey a general exponential decay pattern under strong wind conditions; and the coarser the sand grain, the greater the decrease rate of their transport mass with height. The results of these experiments suggest that the grain‐size distribution of a saltating sand cloud is governed by both wind velocity and height within the near‐surface boundary layer.     

垃圾堆放场氯代脂肪烃对浅层地下水的污染特征初步分析

研究区是浅层地下水主要补给区，通过区内地下水监测说明，受垃圾淋滤液影响的地下水中氯代烃高值点主要集中在研究区中部；地下水中氯代烃检出值和检出率有季节性变化特征，与垃圾堆放时间和该井距垃圾场堆放场距离有密切关系，堆放时间越长，离垃圾堆放场越近，检出率、检出值越高；对地下水污染的敏感性和影响氯代烃迁移的机理方面进行了分析。     

山东淄博煤矿区环境中多环芳烃的初步研究

对山东淄博煤矿区的煤、煤矸石、矿坑排水、煤矸石淋滤水以及煤矿地下水中多环芳烃的含量进行了测试研究。结果表明,该煤矿区的煤及煤矸石中含有多环芳烃;矿坑排水、煤矸石淋滤水及地下水中的多环芳烃与煤层及煤矸石的淋滤有关,煤矿开采引起的多环芳烃污染应引起重视。      

河北平原深层碱性淡水形成的水文地球化学模拟——以保定、沧州地区为例

以揭示河北平原深层碱性淡水化学形成机制为主要研究目的, 选择河北平原深层碱性淡水发育的保定、沧州地区为典型研究区, 应用水文地球综合分析方法和地下水地球化学模拟技术, 探讨了深层碱性淡水水化学性质、分布规律及形成的自然环境; 依据质量守恒原理建立深层地下水质量平衡反应模型, 研究了从山前至滨海整个水流路径上所发生的水文地球化学作用及水、岩间的质量交换, 从而揭示了深层地下水化学演化规律的内涵及深层碱性淡水水化学形成机制.主要结论是深碱性淡水是由山前补给区HCO₃-Ca·Mg水逐步演化而来, 从山前至中部平原, 在地下水环境由开放转为封闭的过程中, 方解石、白云石溶解和沉淀, 钠长石、石膏、岩盐和菱铁矿的溶解, Ca-Na阳离子交换是控制其形成和演化的主要水文地球化学作用.      

Stability design charts for homogeneous slopes under typical conditions based on the double shear strength reduction technique

Based on a brief review of the existing shear strength reduction (SSR) techniques, the objective function of the comprehensive safety factor for simple homogeneous slopes is established by combining the double SSR technique (considered the shortest pathway of the strength reduction) with the upper bound limit analysis theorem, leading to a strict upper bound on the safety factor. Combining nonlinear sequential quadratic programming (SQP) with the random walk method, the value of the comprehensive safety factor can be optimized, avoiding the trap of a local minimum. Compared with classical examples, the present method is a conservative and effective method for slope stability evaluation. A set of design charts for homogeneous slopes under simple and typical conditions, such as surcharge load, pore water pressure, and seismic loading are produced by the analysis of substantial data, which can eliminate the necessity for iterations when calculating the safety factor. These stability charts are presented in a convenient manner to determine the comprehensive safety factors and corresponding failure patterns under different typical conditions, which might be preferred by engineers for performing the preliminary evaluations of slope safety. Several examples are used to illustrate the application of these stability charts under different conditions.     

中国沿岸海平面变化原因的探讨

对中国沿岸的月均海平面的变化原因进行了较为细致的分析，讨论了温、压、降水对中国沿岸海平面的影响。得出渤海是我国月均海平面变化最大的海区；黄海月均海面的变化仅次于渤海；东海更次；南海最小。出现极值的时间自北向南依次滞后。静压效应的影响也是自北而南逐渐变小。月均海面中除包含了８～９年及１０多年的长周期变化外，１４．０和１８．０个月左右的周期对海平面有明显的影响，３年的周期不是一种沿岸传播的波动周期。ＥｌＮｉｎｏ对中国沿岸海平面起补偿平衡作用。黑潮的增强使中国沿岸海平面均有明显的抬升。