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401.
在概述全省站网现状基础上,分析了站网优化调整的主要原因,提出了如何优化调整的总体思路和基本构想,进一步明确强调在水文站网优化调整中需要坚持和把握的原则和方法。 相似文献
402.
High-resolution structures of the Landers fault zone inferred from aftershock waveform data 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
High-frequency body waves recorded by a temporary seismic array across the surface rupture trace of the 1992 Landers, California, earthquake were used to determine fault-zone structures down to the seismogenic depth. We first developed a technique to use generalized ray theory to compute synthetic seismograms for arbitrarily oriented tabular low-velocity fault-zone models. We then generated synthetic waveform record sections of a linear array across a vertical fault zone. They show that both arrival times and waveforms of P and S waves vary systematically across the fault due to transmissions and reflections from boundaries of the low-velocity fault zone. The waveform characteristics and arrival-time patterns in the record sections allow us to locate the boundaries of the fault zone and to determine its P - and S -wave velocities independently as well as its depth extent. Therefore, the trade-off between the fault-zone width and velocities can be avoided. Applying the method to the Landers waveform data reveals a low-velocity zone with a width of 270–360 m and a 35–60 per cent reduction in P and S velocities relative to the host rock. The analysis suggests that the low-velocity zone extends to a depth of ∼7 km. The western boundary of the low-velocity zone coincides with the observed main surface rupture trace. 相似文献
403.
404.
Lance A. Waller Li Zhu Carol A. Gotway Dennis M. Gorman Paul J. Gruenewald 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2007,21(5):573-588
Past studies consistently indicate measurable local associations between alcohol distribution and the incidence of violence.
These results, coupled with measurements of spatial correlation, reveal the importance of spatial analysis in the study of
the interaction of alcohol and violence. While studies increasingly incorporate spatial correlation among model residuals
to improve precision and reduce bias, to date, most analyses assume associations that are constant and independent of location,
an assumption coming under increasing scrutiny in the quantitative geography literature. In this paper, we review and contrast
two approaches for the estimation of and inference for spatially heterogeneous effects (i.e., associative factors whose impacts on the outcome of interest vary throughout geographic space). Specifically,
we provide an in-depth comparison of “geographically weighted regression” models (allowing covariate effects to vary in space
but only allowing relatively ad hoc inference) with “variable coefficient” models (allowing varying effects via spatial random
fields and providing model-based estimation and inference, but requiring more advanced computational techniques). We compare
the approaches with respect to underlying conceptual structures, computational implementation, and inferential output. We
apply both approaches to violent crime, illegal drug arrest, and alcohol distribution data from Houston, Texas and compare
results in light of the differing methodological structures of the two approaches. 相似文献
405.
Prediction of surface horizontal displacements, and gravity and tilt changes caused by filling the Three Gorges Reservoir 总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11
Horizontal displacements, and gravity and tilt changes induced by filling the Three Gorges Reservoir are modeled using elastic
loading Green functions. When the water surface reaches its highest level, the effects become maximum on the reservoir banks.
The longitudinal and latitudinal components of the horizontal displacements reach −8.2 and 7.7 mm respectively, gravity is
increased by up to 3.4 mGal, and the prime vertical and meridian components of the tilt changes are −7.8 and −17.5 arcseconds
respectively. Accordingly, the filling of the reservoir will influence values observed from global positioning system (GPS),
gravimetry and tilt measurements in the area. The results given can be used to provide important corrections for extracting
earthquake-related signals from observed data.
Received: 19 January 2001 / Accepted: 3 September 2001 相似文献
406.
江苏省夏季气温异常的海气背景 总被引:10,自引:2,他引:10
通过1961-1998年江苏省11个站点夏季(6-8月)平均气温的EOF分析,探讨江苏省夏温异常的时空分布结构,并在此基础上,分析其前期及同期500hPa高度距平场、海温距平场的特征,得到了一些对本地夏季气温异常预测有意义的结果。 相似文献
407.
Discovery of Radiolarian Fossils from the Aiketik Group at the Western End of the South Tianshan Mountains of Chinaand Its Implications 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
LI Yuejun WANG Zhaoming WU Haoruo HUANG Zhibin TAN Zejinand LUO Juncheng Institute of Geology Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing Tarim Oil Field Company PetroChin Korl Xinjiang Zhu Xiling 《《地质学报》英文版》2002,76(2):146-154
The Aiketik Group, distributed at the western end of the South Tianshan Mountains, China, is an important lithostratigraphic unit involved in the South Tianshan orogen. It is separated from the adjacent rocks by faults. Generally, the geologists ascribed it to the Upper Carboniferous according to Pseudostaffella sp., Profusulinella sp. and Fusulinella sp. found from the limestone and sandy limestone of Aiketik. Our radiolarian fossils were obtained from the chert samples collected from the Haladaok section located at the upper Tuoshihan River. The fossils mainly include Albaillella undulata Deflandre, Albaillella paradoxa Deflandre, Albaillella sp. aff. A. paradoxa Deflandre, Albaillella sp. cf. A. deflandrei Gourmelon, Albaillella sp., Albaillella excelsa Ishiga, Kito and Imoto (?), Belowea variabilis (Ormiston et Lane), Callella cf. C. parvispinosa Won, Entactinia cf. E. tortispina Ormiston et Lane, Entactinia aff. E. tortispina Ormiston et Lane, Entactinia variospina Won, Entactinia sp., Eostylodicty 相似文献
408.
Based on the Bayesian principle and the fact that GPS carrier-phase ambiguities are integers, the posterior distribution
of the ambiguities and the position parameters is derived. This is then used to derive the maximum posterior likelihood solution
of the ambiguities. The accuracy of the integer ambiguity solution and the position parameters is also studied according to
the posterior distribution. It is found that the accuracy of the integer solution depends not only on the variance of the
corresponding float ambiguity solution but also on its values.
Received: 27 July 1999 / Accepted: 22 November 2000 相似文献
409.
Climate Change in China from 1880 to 1998 and its Impact on the Environmental Condition 总被引:27,自引:0,他引:27
The global mean surface air temperature (SAT) or the Northern Hemisphere mean SAT has increased since the late nineteenth century, but the mean precipitation around the world has not formed a definite tendency to increase. A lot of studies showed that different climate and environmental changes during the past 100 years over various regions in the world were experienced. The climate change in China over the past 100 years and its impact on China's environmental conditions needs to be investigated in more detail.Data sets of surface air temperature and atmospheric precipitation over China since 1880 up to the present are now available. In this paper, a drought index has been formulated corresponding to both the temperature and precipitation. Based on three series of temperature, precipitation, and drought index, interdecadal changes in all 7 regions of China and temperature differences among individual regions are analyzed. Some interesting facts are revealed using the wavelet transform method. In Northeast China, the aridification trend has become more serious since 1970s. Drought index in North China has also reached a high value during 1990s, which seems similar to that period 1920s–1940s. In NorthwestChina, the highest temperature appeared over the period 1930s–1940s. Along the Yangtze River valley in central eastern China and Southwest China, interdecadal high temperature occurred from 1920s to 1940s and in 1990s, but the drought climate mainly appeared from 1920s to early 1940s. In South China, temperature remained at a high value over the period 1910s–1940s,but the smaller-scale variation of drought index was remarkable from 1880 to 1998. Consequently, the quasi-20-year oscillation (smaller-scale variation) and the quasi-70-year oscillation (secular variation) obviously exist in temperature and precipitation series in different regions over China.Climate change and intensified human activity in China have induced certain environmental evolutions, such as the frequency change of dust-storm event in northern China, no-flow in the lower reaches of the Yellow River and the runoff variation in Northwest China. On the other hand, frequent floods along the Yangtze River and high frequency of drought disaster have resulted in tremendous economic losses in the last decade in China. The primary reason for these happenings may be attributed to the evolution of the monsoon system in East Asian. 相似文献
410.
南海海平面高度年循环的特征 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
根据 TOPEX/ POSEIDON-ERS高度计提供的海平面高度异常资料和并行海洋气候模式(POCM)模拟海平面高度资料,分析了南海海平面高度年循环特征。结果表明:l月,3月和5月海平面高度的异常值分别与7月,9月,11月的异常值相反。l月(7月),深水海区与吕宋海峡的海平面高度为负(正)异常,在大部分陆架区和南海的西和南部,海平面高度为正(负)异常。在3月(9月),除海平面高度异常的量级已减少,且较小的SSH正异常(负异常)出现在南海的中部以外,海平面高度异常的分布型与 1月(7月)类似; SSH的年循环的最大振幅出现在吕宋岛的西北海域;风的季节变化是南海SSH季节变化的主要原因。 相似文献