汶川8.0级地震前BSQ型数字垂直摆倾斜仪观测到的地形变异常现象

地倾斜连续观测是地壳形变观测研究中重要内容。汶川8.0级地震前,布设在四川德阳金河测点的新型BSQ型数字垂直摆倾斜仪观测到了明显的地形变异常现象。分析其观测结果可知,汶川8.0级地震前约半月时间内德阳金河测点的地倾斜运动速度较过去的平均运动水平提高了数十倍,且震前地表快速倾斜的方向在N25°W左右。除此之外,德阳金河BSQ型数字垂直摆倾斜仪测点还观测到较为完整的,对应于可以反映地表应力集中、释放过程的震前地表破裂过程。上述现象为今后研究强震孕育机理提供了重要的信息。介绍与分析了布设在龙门山断裂带附近的其它类型地倾斜仪在震前的观测结果。事实证明,BSQ型数字垂直摆倾斜仪在强震前的浅表过程监测中具有重要意义,值得在今后的地震前兆台网工作中进行推广。     

水库泥沙淤积量风险分析

水库泥沙淤积是水库工程较为重要的问题，由于水库泥沙淤积受到来水、来沙和水库运行情况等不确定性因素的影响，水库实际淤积量存在超过设计标准的风险性。本文以来水，来沙为主要的不确定性因素，通过对来水、来沙序列的随机模拟和水库冲淤计算，分析水库冲淤积量的风险度，为水库的风险决策提供依据。     

Comparative Planetary Space Physics

It has been 60 years since the space physics as new branch of geophysics started to grow in 1957 when the space age was opened by a small satellite called sputnik. The knowledge of Earth and planetary space has been significantly extended and deepened, but the questions we are facing today are more challenging. A consensus reached is that we have to regard the Earth (planet) as an integrated system including all spheres from the inner core to the magnetosphere, and we should try to investigate some questions standing on the ground of interdisciplinary study, especially those questions related to Earth’s (planetary) evolution. Space environment as the outer part of a planetary system, commonly exists in all planets but also exhibits strong diversity. Here, we introduce the short history of basic ideas and methods of comparative study, the advantages on understanding of some issues of global scale, and the prospect from comparative perspective.     

龙门山山前地带的地震活动

对于龙门山山前地带的地震活动,还很少有人进行研究,似乎至今尚未见到有公开发表的文献.但是,龙门山山前地带是人口稠密、经济发达的地区,又紧邻特大城市--成都市,在汶川大地震后,人们对于龙门山山前地带的地震活动给予了更多的关注,研究这一问题具有极为重大的意义.笔者认为,龙门山山前地带既应当包括著名的龙门山山前隐伏断裂带,也应当包括主要在邛崃市境内的天台山一出江雁列带.     

塔里木盆地原油的轻烃分类及成因研究

通过对塔里木盆地不同地区不同层位205个原油样品的色谱分析研究,应用其轻烃的组分作关系图,将塔里木盆地原油划分为海相油(A)、湖相油(B)和煤成油(C)三大类。海相烃源岩中过渡金属及其配位体结构有利于五环优势,导致其生成的海相原油(A)具五环优势;陆相烃源岩中过渡金属及其配位体结构有利于三环优势和六环优势,导致其生成的陆相原油(B,C)具三环优势和六环优势。应用正庚烷值与异庚烷值作关系图,将塔里木盆地原油划分为海相油(A)、陆相油(B+C)两大类。海相油(A)沿脂肪族干酪根曲线分布,陆相油(B+C)大多沿芳香族干酪根曲线分布。对于同类烃源岩,随着埋深和压力不断增加,烃源岩中干酪根自由体积将不断减小,对六环优势抑制最大,对五环优势抑制较大,对三环优势抑制较小,对直接裂解抑制最小,导致其生成的原油中正庚值和异庚烷值随埋深增加而增加。     

河流深槽沉积体与油气的关系——以辽河坳陷大25井区为例

河流深槽沉积体是河流沉积的一种特殊沉积体。辽河坳陷第三纪断裂活动强烈，火山岩广泛分布，形成了独特的地貌条件，具备形成河流深槽沉积体的地质条件。本文以辽河坳陷东部凹陷大２５井区为例，对河流深槽沉积体的成因及特征进行探讨，证实了大２５井区巨厚砂砾岩沉积是河流在火山岩古地形的限制下发生急转弯，在其变曲河段的深槽中沉积的深槽沉积体。该沉积体中发育良好的储集空间，有利于油气储集。该类储集体的发现，丰富了辽河坳陷的储层类型，为油气勘探提供了新的领域。     

华宁盘溪金山-大石山泥盆纪珊瑚礁的基本特征

滇东华宁盘溪火车站以北的金山—大石山地区发育中、晚泥盆世的丘状珊瑚礁。以Ａｌｖｅｏｌｉｔｅｓ和Ｔｈａｍｎｏｐｏｒａ为代表的床板珊瑚为造礁生物。纵剖面上岩相变化的记录清楚地表明，该礁体经历了定殖、繁殖和衰亡三个阶段。海水变浅及其盐化是导致礁体衰亡的直接原因     

车贝雪夫多项式的约简算法

解释了文献「１」中关于化整后的车贝雪夫多项式约简处理的技术原理,给出了一种可快速实现多项式约简处理的求算方法。     

Changes of precipitation extremes over South Korea projected by the 5 RCMs under RCP scenarios

The change of extreme precipitation is assessed with the HadGEM2-AO - 5 Regional Climate Models (RCMs) chain, which is a national downscaling project undertaken cooperatively by several South Korean institutes aimed at producing regional climate change projection with fine resolution (12.5 km) around the Korean Peninsula. The downscaling domain, resolution and lateral boundary conditions are held the same among the 5 RCMs to minimize the uncertainties from model configuration. Climatological changes reveal a statistically significant increase in the mid-21st century (2046- 2070; Fut1) and the late-21st century (2076-2100; Fut2) precipitation properties related to extreme precipitation, such as precipitation intensity and average of upper 5 percentile daily precipitation, with respect to the reference period (1981-2005). Changes depending on the intensity categories also present a clear trend of decreasing light rain and increasing heavy rain. In accordance with these results, the change of 1-in-50 year maximum precipitation intensity over South Korea is estimated by the GEV method. The result suggests that the 50-year return value (RV50) will change from -32.69% to 72.7% and from -31.6% to 96.32% in Fut1 and from -31.97% to 86.25% and from -19.45% to 134.88% in Fut2 under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, respectively, at the 90% confidence level. This study suggests that multi-RCMs can be used to reduce uncertainties and assess the future change of extreme precipitation more reliably. Moreover, future projection of the regional climate change contains uncertainties evoked from not only driving GCM but also RCM. Therefore, multi-GCM and multi-RCM studies are expected to provide more robust projection.