沿海地区海洋第三产业与区域经济发展关系实证研究

文章根据2006—2016年我国11个沿海省、市、自治区海洋第三产业产值和GDP相关数据,采用变系数模型定量分析了沿海地区海洋第三产业与区域经济发展之间的关系,结果表明:①我国沿海地区海洋经济发展势头良好,并开始由量的增加转变为质的提高,总体海洋产业结构模式表现为三二一模式,海洋主导产业为第三产业。②沿海11个省 、市、自治区海洋第三产业发展对区域经济增长存在促进作用。因此提出优化升级海洋产业结构,积极发展海洋第三产业、提升海洋科技创新水平、构建多元化融资机制等针对性的建议。     

Evolution of the Southern Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass during the last 7 kyr from benthic foraminiferal evidence

The Southern Yellow Sea Cold Water Mass(YSCWM) is closely related to the modern circulation system of the east China shelf seas, which has significantly influenced regional marine environmental changes. The study of the Holocene evolution of the YSCWM will greatly improve our understanding of the mechanisms of regional environmental change. Benthic foraminifera are sensitive to bottom water environmental changes and can serve as useful indicators in bottom water environmental reconstruction. In this study, benthic foraminifera were analyzed in core N02 from the northwestern margin of the southern Yellow Sea Mud to decipher the phase evolution of the YSCWM during the last 7 kyr. Benthic foraminifera census counts and Q-mode factor analysis indicate that the Holocene sedimentary environment can be divided into three stages: From6.9–5.0 ka, the fauna was dominated by Ammonia ketienziensis, indicating that the YSCWM was at its strongest during the last 7 kyr, while the Yellow Sea Coastal Current(YSCC) had a weak influence on the bottom water of the study area. From 5.0–2.9 ka,the relative abundance of Hanzawaia nipponica remarkably increased while the abundance of A. ketienziensis decreased significantly, reflecting that the strength of the YSCWM was relatively weak and the range of the YSCWM might have contracted. The influence of the YSCC on the bottom water might have slightly increased, although its influence was still weak during this time. A notable increase in low-temperature and low-salinity species, such as Protelphidium tuberculatum and Buccella spp. has occurred since 2.9 ka, indicating that the YSCC has had a strong influence on bottom water during this period,while the strength of the YSCWM has been at its weakest during the last 7 kyr. Generally, the influence of the YSCWM and the YSCC on the bottom water properties of the study area show an obvious seesaw pattern, with one's influence increasing while the other's influence decreases and vice versa. The fluctuations in the strength of YSCWM during the Holocene may be caused by the different effect allocations of regional climatic factors(i.e. El Ni?o Southern Oscillation, East Asian Winter Monsoon,summer insolation in the northern hemisphere, etc.) acting on the circulation system during different periods.     

阿尔芬波动特征对卫星磁力仪零位标定的影响

磁通门磁力仪的零位偏移量在卫星轨道上会因诸多因素而发生改变.为此,基于剪切阿尔芬波动不改变总磁场强度这一特征的Davis-Smith方法被提出用于计算磁力仪的零位补偿.实际上,行星际空间中没有纯粹的阿尔芬波动.本文采用数值模拟分析了存在小的压缩波动情况下,阿尔芬波动的幅度、周期和相位以及数据窗口时间长度等对Davis-Smith方法计算零位补偿的影响.我们发现,只有当阿尔芬波动的周期与压缩波动周期相同时,阿尔芬波动的性质会对零位补偿的计算产生不可忽视的误差.阿尔芬波动的幅度越大,零位补偿的误差越小.磁场各分量零位补偿的误差大小还会受到阿尔芬波动初始相位的影响.此外,数据窗口时间长度越长,则零位补偿误差趋于减小至真实值.     

Two types of hyperthermal events in the Mesozoic-Cenozoic: Environmental impacts,biotic effects,and driving mechanisms

A deeper understanding of hyperthermal events in the Earth's history can provide an important scientific basis for understanding and coping with global warming in the Anthropocene. Two types of hyperthermal events are classified based on the characteristics of the carbon isotope excursion(CIE) of the five representative hyperthermal events in the Mesozoic and Cenozoic. The first type is overall characterized by negative CIEs(NCHE) and represented by the Permian-Triassic boundary event(PTB, ～252 Ma), the early Toarcian oceanic anoxic event(TOAE, ～183 Ma), and the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum event(PETM, ～56 Ma). The second type is overall characterized by positive CIEs(PCHE) and represented by the early Aptian oceanic anoxic event(OAE1 a, ～120 Ma) and the latest Cenomanian oceanic anoxic event(OAE2, ～94 Ma).Hyperthermal events of negative CIEs(NCHE), lead to dramatic changes in temperature, sedimentation, and biodiversity. These events caused frequent occurrence of terrestrial wildfires, extreme droughts, acid rain, destruction of ozone layer, metal poisoning(such as mercury), changes in terrestrial water system, and carbonate platform demise, ocean acidification, ocean anoxia in marine settings, and various degree extinction of terrestrial and marine life, especially in shallow marine. In contrast,hyperthermal events of positive CIEs(PCHE), result in rapid warming of seawater and widespread oceanic anoxia, large-scale burial of organic matter and associated black shale deposition, which exerted more significant impacts on deep-water marine life,but little impacts on shallow sea and terrestrial life. While PCHEs were triggered by volcanism associated with LIPs in deep-sea environment, the released heat and nutrient were buffered by seawater due to their eruption in the deep sea, thus exerted more significant impacts on deep-marine biota than on shallow marine and terrestrial biota. This work enriches the study of hyperthermal events in geological history, not only for the understanding of hyperthermal events themselves, large igneous provinces, marine and terrestrial environment changes, mass extinctions, but also for providing a new method to identify the types of hyperthermal events and the inference of their driving mechanism based on the characteristics of carbon isotopic excursions and geological records.     

“引江济淮”工程对安徽菜子湖水龄分布的影响

菜子湖是"引江济淮"工程的重要输水通道,其水体输运和物质交换将因输水工程发生改变.本文基于环境流体水动力学模型（EFDC）建立了菜子湖水龄模型,在将模型与实测水文数据验证满足精度的前提下,设计14种方案计算菜子湖在季风影响下的水龄,工程实施期间菜子湖在丰、平、枯季的水龄与流场,以及枯水季调水情景下同风速8种风向和强风向3种风速时的水龄.数值试验的模拟结果表明：菜子湖湖体水龄分布具有时空差异性,无风条件下,春、夏、秋、冬季的湖体的平均水龄分别为120.93、33.19、92.92、101.48 d,而在季风影响下,春、夏、秋、冬季平均水龄分别为75.23、32.45、81.80、66.16 d;西部L2湖水龄较长,东部L1湖和南部L3湖水龄较短;输水工程将改变L1和L3湖的流场,对L2湖流场几乎无影响;输水工程实施后,菜子湖水龄分布主要受风场及输水影响,不同风向对菜子湖各湖区影响不同,西南风有助于L1湖水体交换,北风有助于L2湖水体交换,东风有助于L3湖水体交换,而当风向为东北风时,3个湖区水龄均较小;枯水季调水有利于L1湖和L3湖水体交换,但对L2湖水体交换作用不明显.     

西北太平洋热带气旋活动对大尺度环境场影响的线性回归分析

本文使用西北太平洋累积气旋能量(ACE)月尺度异常序列,对850 hPa相对涡度、地表纬向风、柱水汽含量、OLR、降水和SST等大尺度环境场变量进行时滞回归分析,讨论了月尺度TC活动对大尺度环境场的影响及其与周尺度的区别和联系.结果表明:(1)月尺度ACE回归出的纬向风无论是强度还是范围都要明显大于周尺度ACE回归结果,TC的频繁发生,尤其是强度大且持续时间长的近赤道TC,对于激发或加强TC活动区域南侧的低纬地区西风异常有一定的积极作用,持续并且强度较大的西风异常可能导致西风的爆发,而西风爆发会在很大程度上影响ENSO事件的发生和演变.(2)在月尺度上,OLR、柱水汽含量、降水和SST等物理量均呈现出较为明显的E1Nino型分布,而在周尺度上,仅SST呈现出明显的El Nino型分布,这在一定程度上反映了月尺度TC活动和太平洋ENSO信号之间存在更密切的关联.(3)在TC发生后1-2月,TC的主要生成区域柱水汽含量减少、OLR增大,这会在一定程度上降低该区域生成TC的潜能.虽然TC所引起SST降低的空间尺度很小,但其通过大气和海洋的传导会扩大到更大尺度上,由于这种反馈具有一定的滞后性,所以月尺度TC对大尺度环境场影响的信号更为显著.     

Arctangent function‐based third derivative attribute for characterisation of faults

Using seismic attributes such as coherence and curvature to characterise faults not only can improve the efficiency of seismic interpretation but also can expand the capability to detect faults. The coherence and curvature have been widely applied to characterising faults for years. These two methods detect faults based on the similarity of seismic waveforms and shapes of the reflectors, respectively, and they are complementary to each other and both have advantages and disadvantages in fault characterisation. A recent development in fault characterisation based on reflector shapes has been the use of the rate of change of curvature. Through an application to the seismic data from Western Tazhong of the Tarim Basin, China, it was demonstrated that the rate of change of curvature is more capable of detecting subtle faults having quite small throws and heaves. However, there often exist multiple extreme values indicating the same fault when applying the rate of change of curvature, which significantly degrades the signal‐to‐noise ratio of the computation result for multiple extrema interfering with each other. To resolve this problem, we propose the use of a linear combination of arctangent and proportional functions as the directrix of a cylindrical surface to fit the fault model and calculate its third derivative, which can then be used to characterise the fault. Through an application to the 3D seismic data from Western Tazhong of the Tarim Basin, the results show that the proposed method not only retains the same capability to detect subtle faults having small throws as the curvature change rate but also greatly improves the signal‐to‐noise ratio of the calculated result.     

Numerical simulation and seismic performance evaluation of buried pipelines rehabilitated with cured‐in‐place‐pipe liner under seismic wave propagation

The cured‐in‐place‐pipe (CIPP) liner technology involves installation of flexible polymeric composite liners coated with thermosetting resin to the inner surfaces of existing buried pipelines. This innovative technology provides an efficient, economic, and environmentally friendly alternative for rehabilitation of structurally compromised underground pipelines without expensive and disruptive excavation. However, the lack of analytical/numerical procedures to quantify the seismic performance of CIPP liner reinforced pipelines remains a barrier to the seismic design and rehabilitation of underground pipelines. This paper first develops an experimentally validated hysteretic model of ductile iron push‐on joints, reinforced with one particular type of CIPP liner under repeated axial loading. A numerical procedure is then proposed to systematically assess the seismic performance and fragility of straight buried pipelines incorporating push‐on joints and subjected to transient ground deformations. The numerical results indicate that CIPP liner‐reinforced pipelines exhibit favorable robust seismic performance with limited joint damage under high‐intensity transient ground deformations. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

渤海湾盆地辽东湾坳陷古近系沙一段、沙二段重力流沉积及其油气勘探意义*

针对辽东湾坳陷断拗早期阶段,即沙河街组二段、沙河街组一段沉积时期,岩心中识别出的大量重力流沉积,利用岩心的沉积特征、测录井数据及重力流沉积理论,将该时期重力流沉积划分为浊流沉积、砂质碎屑流沉积、滑动与滑塌沉积三大类。该时期重力流沉积主要发育于三角洲前缘,触发机制为古地震和重力双重作用,主要控制因素为物源供给。结合不同重力流砂体的叠置关系、连井剖面、分布位置及前人研究成果,建立了该时期三角洲前缘重力流发育模式,并将其分为: 滑塌根部、斜坡中间和盆地平原3个相带。通过对各类重力流砂体储集层物性的分析可知,分布于斜坡中间部位的砂质碎屑流沉积及近源浊流沉积具有良好的储集条件。综合分析认为: 沙二段沉积时期三角洲前缘的重力流砂体规模及厚度较沙一段沉积时期更大,同时具备良好的生、储、盖、运条件,对油气勘探具有重要的意义。     

对研学旅行基础能力建设的探索

研学旅行作为一种新型的"研学"和"旅行"的教育活动,近些年发展迅速并拥有了广大的市场需求,但与此同时研学旅行基础能力建设的不足也逐渐显露。笔者在对研学旅行研究意义和发展现状阐述的基础上,总结了现阶段研学旅行基础能力建设中的问题,包括研学标准体系不完善,难以管理和规范研学市场;研学人才队伍良莠不齐,缺乏专业化师资队伍;研学基地类型少,基础设施建设不健全。并且从标准建设、师资建设和基地遴选及建设方向对研学旅行基础能力提升提出了建议。