中扬子区构造特征及勘探方向建议

中扬子区经历了印支-喜山期四个构造变形、变位发展阶段:印支运动结束海相沉积,并形成了黄陵、潜江、洪湖古隆起,早燕山期全区挤压,奠定了本区中、古生界的基本构造格局,晚燕山期,构造负反转,中、古生界构造发生叠加改造,喜山期,构造正反转,总体表现为隆升挤压。印支期以来多期构造运动的叠加改造,形成了南、北两个弧形构造体系,平面上构造展布特征具有明显的差异性:北部(大洪山)弧形构造系呈现南北分带、东西分块的构造格局,南部弧形构造系东西差异明显,东部具双重结构特征,西部为"隔槽式"构造格局。近期应以江汉平原南部、湘鄂西区桑植石门复向斜为勘探重点,同时围绕深化地质认识,解剖区域结构,加强地震攻关,积极准备中扬子南、北逆冲推覆带勘探。     

重新评定鲁南地震区划工作的启示——1668年郯城81/2级特大地震劫难340周年纪念

本文简述了340年前在山东郯城发生的8特大地震给人类造成的巨大灾难,回顾了20年前完成的<重新评定鲁南地震区划>项目的提出、实施以及取得的主要成果,由此归纳了地震科学研究只有面向社会、服务社会才能大有作为等五方面的启示.     

Spatial patterns of Pinus tabulaeformis and Pinus massoniana forests in Qinling-Daba Mountains and the boundary of subtropical and warm temperate zones

The Qinling Mountains is not only the geographical boundary between North and South China,but also the boundary between subtropical and warm temperate zones.It plays an important role in the geo-ecological pattern of China.However,there is controversy about the specific location of this geographical boundary in academic community due to the complexity,transition and heterogeneity of the transitional zone,as well as the differences in the delimitation indicators and research purposes.To further reveal the characteristics of the North-South transitional zone and clarify the specific location of the geo-ecological boundary between North and South China,combined with SRTM topographic data,temperature and precipitation data,Pinus massoniana forest and Pinus tabulaeformis forest,which represent subtropical coniferous forest in South China and temperate coniferous forest in North China respectively,were chosen to analyze their spatial distributions in the Qinling-Daba Mountains and the climatic conditions at their boundary with the climatic indexes of annual precipitation,the coldest month(January) average temperature,the warmest month(July) average temperature and the annual average temperature.The results show that:(1) Pinus massoniana and Pinus tabulaeformis forests and the climate indicators of their boundary can be used as one of the vegetation-climate indexes for the delimitation of subtropical and warm temperate zones.The boundary between the subtropical coniferous forest(Pinus massoniana forest) and temperate coniferous forest(Pinus tabulaeformis forest) is located along the south slope of Funiu Mountain to the north edge of Hanzhong Basin(the south slope of Qinling Mountains) at an altitude of 1000–1200 m,where the climatic indictors are stable:the annual precipitation is about 750–1000 mm,the annual average temperature is about 12–14℃,the coldest monthly average temperature is 0–4℃,and the warmest monthly average temperature is about 22–26℃.(2) It can be more scientifically to delimitate the boundary of subtropical and warm temperate zones in China by comprehensively considering the vegetation-climate indicators.Additionally,the boundary between subtropical and warm temperate zones in Qinling-Daba Mountains should be a transitional zone consisting of the boundaries of coniferous forests,broad-leaved forests and shrubs between subtropical and warm temperate zones.The results provide a scientific basis for the selection of delimitation index of subtropical and warm temperate zones.     

Regional effects by the construction of Suzhou Industry Garden

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强台风"云娜"登陆过程的研究——基于AREM模式的数值分析

使用新改进的双重嵌套AREM数值预报模式,并与高时空分辨率的探测资料相结合,针对台风“云娜”登陆加强的特点进行数值模拟分析,结果表明该模式对“云娜”台风环流特征、强度变化趋势和台风降雨等都有较强的预报能力。在此基础上,定量研究其登陆加强过程中三维大气中尺度场动、热力特征及演变过程,并探讨了其登陆加强的机理。由此得出了与“云娜”登陆加强相关的重要影响因子:(1)副热带高压西南侧的偏东引导气流加强是“云娜”登陆前移速加快、强度增强的有利环境场条件。(2)“云娜”近海移速加快时有较强的东密西疏的不对称流场结构,特别是其垂直速度场以及强对流发展的水平分布的强不对称特征与该气旋登陆加强同时发生,也可能与台风强度维持和加强存在一定的相关。(3)在“云娜”中心西南侧的强凝结潜热释放过程,有可能助其在登陆时加强。此外,在“云娜”发展加强阶段,低层暖湿、中层干冷的位势不稳定层结,有利于对流的强盛发展。(4)“云娜”登陆前后有强低空急流与之联结,并有垂直对流运动发展,由此可获得不断增强的潜热能量是其登陆加强的另一个重要机制。     

基于InVEST模型的兰州地区生境质量评价

分析不同时期城市的生境质量变化,研究城市土地利用方式对生境质量的影响,对于区域可持续发展具有重要作用.以兰州地区为例,采用InVEST模型测评其生境质量和生境稀缺性.结果 表明:2000-2015年,研究区域边界生境存在退化迹象,生境质量分布呈现与土地利用类型格局相似的集聚特征,区域总体生境质量稳定,变化频繁且生境类型...     

渭河断陷及邻近地区震源空间分布规律探讨

选取１０３°～１１３°Ｅ,３１°～３９°Ｎ范围内陕西、山西、河南、湖北、甘肃、宁夏等省（区）共７９个地震观测台站１９８４—１９９３年的观测资料,对于被４个以上台站所记录到的地震,根据其直达横波与纵波的到时差,采用鲍威尔（Ｐｏｗｅｌ）搜索法重新进行了定位,测定了震源深度,共得到２０５１个可定震中的地震的震源深度数据．作出了渭河断陷及邻近地区现代地震的震中分布图、震源空间分布图、震源深度的平均等值线分布图、震源深度的经向剖面图和纬向剖面图．根据这些资料对震源空间分布规律进行了初步探讨．结果表明,渭河断陷及邻近地区震源的空间分布是不均匀的,与该地区大地构造的差异性及地壳速度结构的非均匀性密切相关．     

广西台风与海洋预报服务创新团队研究进展

广西台风与海洋预报服务创新团队2020年7月成立,主要开展台风降水、大风、频数和强度预测、灾害评估和预估等方面研究.经过一年半的努力,在台风过程降水特征、精细化降水方法、台风大风、台风频数和强度预测及平台建设等方面取得了阶段性研究进展.针对这几方面研究所使用的方法、获得的结果及其检验作简要介绍,方便广大预报员和科研人员了解和使用.     

Spatiotemporal model for assessing the stability of urban human convergence and divergence patterns

Understanding the stability of urban flows is critical for urban transportation, urban planning and public health. However, few studies have measured the stability of aggregate human convergence or divergence patterns. We propose a spatiotemporal model for assessing the stability of human convergence and divergence patterns. A mobile phone location data set obtained from Shenzhen, China, was used to assess the stability of daily human convergence and divergence patterns at three different spatial scales, i.e. points (cell phone towers), lines (bus lines) and areas (traffic analysis zones [TAZs]). Our analysis results demonstrated that the proposed model can identify points and bus lines with time-dependent variations in stability, which is useful for delineating TAZs for transportation planning, or adjusting bus timetables and routes to meet the needs of bus riders. Comparisons of the results obtained from the proposed model and the widely used entropy measure indicated that the proposed model is suitable for assessing the differences in stability for various types of spatial analysis units, e.g. cell phone towers. Therefore, the proposed model is a useful alternative approach of measuring spatiotemporal stability of aggregate human convergence and divergence patterns, which can be derived from the space–time trajectories of moving objects.     

从研究岩溶地下水角度分析评价岩溶塌陷的危险性--以南宁坛洛塌陷为例

南宁市是广西岩溶地面塌陷危害十分严重的城市之一。2012年6月2日突发的岩溶地面塌陷主要集中分布在坛洛镇南西方向,形成塌陷坑19个,地裂缝17条,威胁62户共232人,潜在经济损失约870万元。坛洛塌陷多形成于松散盖层厚度小于15 m,地下水位埋深小于20 m,地下岩溶强发育的区段。碳酸盐岩岩溶发育、松散盖层厚度较小和水动力条件（降水、地表水和地下水）复杂为岩溶塌陷产生的必要条件,尤以地下水的作用对岩溶塌陷的形成起至关重要的作用。通过对坛洛地下水动态观测与岩溶塌陷的调查研究确定地下水强径流带,分析评价岩溶地面塌陷的危险性,为岩溶地区的岩溶塌陷危险性勘察、评价工作提供一定指导意义。