人类活动对1961～2016年长江流域降水变化的可能影响

人类活动造成的温室气体浓度增加对气候变化的加剧做出了贡献,降水作为重要的气象要素和水循环组成部分,人类活动对其时空变化特征的影响也是当下研究的重要课题。本文以长江流域为例,利用1961～2016年CN05.1逐日降水数据和20世纪气候检测归因计划（C20C+D&A Project）中CAM5.1-1degree模式的逐日降水结果,分析了人类活动对长江流域年降水量及三个极端降水指数时空变化的影响。结果表明:包含人类活动及自然强迫因素的现实情景（All-Hist）的模拟结果与观测结果较为相近。All-Hist情景下的多试验集合平均结果对长江流域降水的模拟能力较为可靠。通过对比两种情景下模拟的长江流域降水量时空变化特征发现:考虑人类活动影响后,长江流域平均降水相对于仅考虑自然强迫情景下时呈现减少趋势,且减少趋势随时间推移加剧;极端降水受人类活动的影响随时间呈现出的增加趋势有所削弱;对平均降水及极端降水变化趋势的影响存在空间差异性,其中受人类活动影响最严重的是上游中部、东南部及中下游东南部地区,均呈现减少趋势;但在长江上游西南部极端降水受人类活动影响显著增加,需要加强该区域洪涝预防工作。另外,人类活动对平均降水的减少贡献最大的时段为2000～2009年,影响最明显季节为秋冬两季;人类活动对极端降水的影响与降水的极端程度成正相关,降水极端性越强,受人类活动影响的变化程度更大,且空间分布上的差异性也更加显著。     

多旋翼无人机群自主探测大气边界层气象要素的模式分析

深入研究大气边界层气象现象的发生、发展、消散机制,需要获取三维同步气象要素数据,而现有探测技术与手段难以提供.因此,提出利用多旋翼无人机群进行自主探测大气边界层气象要素的探测模式,并就探测模式的背景与意义、特点与优势、流程与可行性,以及需要进一步研究的相关科学问题进行了分析,认为多旋翼无人机群自主探测大气边界层气象要素的探测模式针对性、灵活性、机动性、可操作性强,并具有自主动态同步探测、自主智能追踪探测等功能.     

一种卫星EIRP自动测试方法

以往在测试EIRP值时一般采用人工测试的方法,这种测试模式不仅效率低,有时还会因人工操作影响测试结果准确性。本文提供了一种EIRP的自动化测试方法,通过一台上位机对相关设备进行自动数据采集并计算出卫星EIRP值,避免了传统测试方法的人工误差,具有高效性和实时性等特点。以FY3C532轨EIRP的测试为例,简要阐述这种自动化测试方法的测试过程。     

多模式智能路灯控制系统

使用AT89S52单片机作为主控芯片,设计了一种多模式智能路灯控制系统,该系统能够根据道路、巷口或定时应用3种情况进行工作模式选择,并根据环境光亮度决定是否启动所设定的工作模式.巷口工作模式时,系统通过红外传感器检测道路上有汽车或行人通过时,将识别信号送入单片机,由单片机控制交通灯开启;道路工作模式时,路灯处于开启状态,以保障行人畅行;定时模式时,通过DS1302定时模块,可以设定路灯的开关时间.此外,该系统还具有自动故障检测功能,功能全面,有较强的实用价值.     

不同生产方式DEM的坡度算法比较

在吉林省国土调查工作中,普遍利用DEM以ArcGIS为平台来计算坡度,对以不同方式生产的DEM均采用三阶反距离平方权差分算法计算坡度,并未顾及DEM生产方式的改进对坡度计算带来的影响。本文以不同生产方式生产的DEM为研究对象,在理论上分析不同坡度计算方法的适用性,并利用不同生产方式获取的DEM实验数据按不同算法分别计算坡度,对相关结论进行了验证,旨在为实际工作中依据DEM的特点确定适宜的坡度算法提供参考。     

基于CQG2000的吉林省西部地区似大地水准面的建立

针对CQG2000精度无法满足实际工作的情况,提出一种新的重力似大地水准面与GPS水准的拟合方法—残差模型法,利用CQG2000、较密集的GPS水准点,采用残差模型法建立吉林省西部地区似大地水准面模型（JiLin West Quasi-Geoid,JLWQG）。论述建立JLWQG的三角剖分双线性内插算法及其适用性,检测结果表明,JLWQG精度达到了±0.05m,JLWQG在吉林省西部地区基础测绘更新工作中进行了大面积的应用,取得了满意的结果。     

Role of reservoir regulation and groundwater feedback in a simulated ground-soil-vegetation continuum: A long-term regional scale analysis

The regional terrestrial water cycle is strongly altered by human activities. Among them, reservoir regulation is a way to spatially and temporally allocate water resources in a basin for multi-purposes. However, it is still not sufficiently understood how reservoir regulation modifies the regional terrestrial- and subsequently, the atmospheric water cycle. To address this question, the representation of reservoir regulation into the terrestrial component of fully coupled regional Earth system models is required. In this study, an existing process-based reservoir network module is implemented into NOAH-HMS, that is, the terrestrial component of an atmospheric–hydrologic modelling system, namely, the WRF-HMS. It allows to quantitatively differentiate role of reservoir regulation and of groundwater feedback in a simulated ground-soil-vegetation continuum. Our study focuses on the Poyang Lake basin, where the largest freshwater lake of China and reservoirs of different sizes are located. As compared to streamflow observations, the newly extended NOAH-HMS slightly improves the streamflow and streamflow duration curves simulation for the Poyang Lake basin for the period 1979–1986. The inclusion of reservoir regulation leads to major changes in the simulated groundwater recharges and evaporation from reservoirs at local scale, but has minor effects on the simulated soil moisture and surface runoff at basin scale. The performed groundwater feedback sensitivity analysis shows that the strength of the groundwater feedback is not altered by the consideration of reservoir regulation. Furthermore, both reservoir regulation and groundwater feedback modify the partitioning of the simulated evapotranspiration, thus affecting the atmospheric water cycle in the Poyang Lake region. This finding motivates future research with our extended fully coupled atmospheric–hydrologic modelling system by the community.     

Advantages of the Optimum Pulse Moment in Surface NMR and Application in Groundwater Exploration

The surface nuclear magnetic resonance (SNMR) method is widely used in groundwater detection because of its sensitivity to hydrogen in water and direct water detection. However, low signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) restrict the development of this technique. An optimum pulse sequence is designed according to correspondence between the pulse moment strength and its best detection depth. Because only selection of the pulse intensity distribution according to the target aquifer depth is required and the “on-resonance” pulse pattern is still employed, this pulse sequence emission can be easily achieved using existing SNMR instrumentation. Numerical simulation results and field experiments show that, compared with traditional exponential growth pulses, the optimum pulse sequence effectively improves the SNR of the SNMR method. The aquifer boundary, water content, and pore characteristics of the inversion result are thus more consistent with characteristics of underground structures. Additionally, because the optimum pulse sequence focuses most of the pulse moments in the target depth range, in situations where two aquifers are separated by a relatively narrow aquitard, it is better able to resolve the individual aquifers than the traditional pulses. Optimum pulse moments improve the SNR by enhancing the signal amplitude, compared with various filtering methods, and obtain a better detection effect. This kind of pulse sequence can be used as an alternative pulse sequence form of the SNMR method.     

基于CPLD的石英水平摆倾斜仪CCD驱动设计

针对SQ-70D型石英水平摆倾斜仪光电转换器在实际使用中存在的驱动频率低、电路结构复杂不易调试等问题,研究基于CPLD的CCD驱动时序生成方法.仿真和测试结果表明,采用CPLD设计的驱动电路结构简单,稳定性高,能够满足TCD1500c典型工作频率的要求.同时,设置积分时间控制变量QINT,可以根据实际光照强度对CCD光积分时间进行灵活调整,提高仪器的环境适应性.     

岩石粘滑的自锁模型及数值模拟

本文根据岩石摩擦的自锁模型,通过数值模拟讨论了围压和围压介质刚度对粘滑及其应力降的影响。结果表明:围压的增大有利于发生粘滑;粘滑应力降随围压的增大而增大;天然地震应力降低于室内粘滑应力降是由围压介质刚度引起的。