Geostatistics Analyst中空间内插方法的介绍

主流GIS软件ArcGIS 9的Geostatistics Analyst模块中所涉及的两大类空间内插方法:确 定性内插方法和地统计内插方法。结合该软件对各种插值方法的应用和处理进行了介绍,应用示例 比较各种内插方法的适用范围。     

沉桩挤土对孔隙水压力影响的试验研究

软粘土层深厚的地区进行预制桩沉桩将产生超静孔隙水压力的累积,过高的超静孔隙水压力使周围土体及建筑、地下管线等产生较大的变位,甚至产生破坏。以一次沉桩引起的超静孔隙水压力的原型试验,表明,单桩沉桩显著影响范围可达15m,沉桩引起的超静孔隙水压力水平可以达到甚至超过上覆有效土压力,并出现两个不同的相对稳定水平阶段。     

用最小绝对偏差方法(LAD)估计极值分布参数的探讨

数理统计问题中的最小绝对偏差方法(Least Absolute Deviation)由于具有良好的稳健性,近年来备受重视。本文所研究的是如何将最小绝对偏差法及非线性回归模型相结合,应用于极值分布的参数估计,并与经典的参数估计法相比较。通过对徐州市降雨量数据的研究表明,改进后的参数估计法不仅提高了模型拟和的精确度,而且有良好的稳定性,可以推广到相关气象要素的预测、预报研究中。其中,将LAD法运用于极值分布模型是一个新的尝试。     

Spatial distribution of metals in urban topsoils of Xuzhou (China): controlling factors and environmental implications

The contamination of soils by metals from various sources is a subject of increasing concern in recent times. Twenty-eight elements (Fe, Ti, Cr, Al, Ga, Pb, Sc, Ba, Li, Cd, Be, Co, Cu, Mn, Ni, V, Zn, Mo, Pt, Pd, Au, As, Sb, Se, Hg, Bi, Ag and Sn) have been analyzed from urban topsoil from the city of Xuzhou. The concentrations of these analyzed elements have been correlated to some soil parameters such as organic matter, pH, cation exchange capacity, carbonate content, and granulometric fractions (clay, silt and sand). Results of the statistical analysis show a large variety and complexity in these relationships. The spatial distributions of these metal concentrations were also constructed using geographical information system. The spatial distribution patterns of the elements analyzed show that traffic and industrial activities are the principal anthropogenic pollutant sources.     

Nutrient fluxes induced by disturbance in Meiliang Bay of Lake Taihu

A wave flume experiment was conducted to study nutrient fluxes at water-sediment interface of Meiliang Bay under different hydrodynamic conditions. The results reveal that hydrodynamics has remarkable effects on nutrient fluxes in this area. With a bottom wave stress of 0.019 N m^?2 (equivalent to disturbance caused by wind SE 5–7 m s^?1 at the sediment sample site of Meiliang Bay), the fluxes of TN, TDN and NH₄ ⁺-N were separately 1.92 × 10^?3, ?1.81 × 10^?4 and 5.28 × 10^?4 mg m^?2 s^?1 (positive for upward and negative for downward), but for TP, TDP and SRP, the fluxes were 5.69 × 10^?4, 1.68 × 10^?4 and ?1.29 × 10^?4 mg m^?2 s^?1. In order to calculate the released amount of nutrients based on these results, statistic analysis on the long-term meteorological data was conducted. The result shows that the maximum lasting time for wind SE 5–7 m s^?1 in this area is about 15 h in summer. Further calculation shows that 111 t TN, 32 t NH₄ ⁺-N, 34 t TP and 10 t TDP can be released into water (the sediment area was 47.45% of the whole surface area), resulting in concentration increase of 0.025, 0.007, 0.007 and 0.002 mg L^?1 separately. With stronger disturbance (bottom wave stress is 0.217 N m^?2 which is equivalent to disturbance caused by wind SE 10–11 m s^?1 at the same site), there has been significant increase of nutrient fluxes (1.16 × 10^?2, 6.76 × 10^?3, 1.14 × 10^?2 and 2.14 × 10^?3 mg m^?2 s^?1 for TN, DTN and NH₄ ⁺-N and TP). The exceptions were TDP with flux having a decrease (measured to be 9.54 × 10^?5 mg m^?2 s^?1) and SRP with flux having a small increase (measured to be 5.42 × 10^?5 mg m^?2 s^?1). The same statistic analysis on meteorological data reveal that the maximum lasting time for wind SE 10–11 m s^?1 is no more than 5 h. Based on the nutrient fluxes and the wind lasting-time, similar calculations were also made suggesting that 232 t TN, 134.9 t TDN, 228 t NH₄ ⁺-N, 42.7 t TP, 2.0 t TDP and 1.1 t SRP will be released from sediment at this hydrodynamic condition resulting in the concentration increases of 0.050, 0.029, 0.049, 0.009, 0.0004 and 0.0002 mg L^?1. Therefore in shallow lakes, surface disturbance can lead to significant increase of nutrient concentrations although some components in water column had negative flux with weak disturbance (e.g. TDN and SRP in this experiment). In this case, sediment looks to be a source of nutrients. These nutrients deposited in sediment can be carried or released into water with sediment resuspension or changes of environmental conditions at water-sediment interface, which can have great effects on aquatic ecosystem and is also the characteristics of shallow lakes.     

The 1920S Drought Recorded by Tree Rings and Historical Documents in the Semi-Arid and Arid Areas of Northern China

Using a network of tree-ring data, we show that there had been significant growth decline in the 1920s and early 1930s throughout a wide area of northern China. This growth depression is indicative of a severe and sustained drought in the 1920s and early 1930s, which was then confirmed with a variety of historical and instrumental records including hydrological, meteorological, and documentary evidence. The 1920s drought had a devastating effect not only on agricultural productivity, hydrological resources and society in the affected areas, but also on natural vegetation, as inferred from the tree-ring network and historical records. This research offers a picture of the drought calamity during the 1920s and early 1930s in northern China, and demonstrates the potential to identify spatial anomalies of large-scale drought using tree-ring networks in the semi-arid and arid areas of northern China.     

2005年川西"7.3"暴雨多普勒雷达回波个例分析

利用多普勒雷达的基本反射率图、径向速度图及相关资料,分析了7.3四川西部区域性暴雨天气过程,发现:就基本反射率而言,多普勒雷达与713数字化雷达所监测到的川西暴雨回波演变规律一致;径向速度图上,强降水区域存在明显的风向、风速的切变.     

大力提升工程设计企业的技术创新能力

设计是整个工程的灵魂,是科技成果转化为现实生产力的桥梁和杠杆,技术创新是带动工程建设技术进步的先导.工程设计企业要紧跟世界科技发展的步伐,在技术创新中追求可持续发展.转变观念是提升技术创新能力的先导,加大投入是提高创新能力的基础,人才资源是提高技术创新能力的核心,技术创新是企业增强核心竞争力的根本途径.     

星地时间比对的原理及实现

文章介绍了几种星地时间比对的方法并对几种方法的精度进行了简要分析。为验证分析的正确性，文章首先采用2002年10月GPS35卫星的伪距和SLR实测数据计算了星地钟差，然后将本文计算的星地钟差与IGS精密星地钟差进行了比较。通过比较分析发现：①利用伪距与卫星激光测距比对计算的星地钟差精度可以达到1．5ns；测定的星地钟差与实际的星地钟差不存在系统差。②利用伪距与卫星激光测距比对可以完成导航卫星钟与地面系统标准时钟的比对；该方法有助于分离导航卫星的坐标和钟差，便于对星地钟差的研究。     

The Thickness of Seismogenic Layer Under the Areas Surrounding the Ordos Block, Northern China

—?A seismic approach was used to calculate the thickness distribution of the seismogenic layer under the block Ordos in northern China. This block was chosen because of its stability, the complicated tectonics around its boundaries and the completeness of the data set. Several strong earthquakes occurred in this area in the 20^th century, with the largest one (Haiyuan, M= 8.4, 1920) in the southwest of the Ordos. Most of the large faults around the Ordos are strike-slip ones. The breaking point (i.e., the saturation of earthquake magnitudes M ^c ) of the self-similarity from small to large events based on the Gutenberg-Richter relation is calculated. Under the assumption of the L model which expresses that the offset is proportional to the length of the fault (Scholz, 1982, 1990, 1994), the thickness (W _c ) of the seismogenic layer is directly related to M ^c . To display smoothly the change of the thickness of the seismogenic layer and to ensure the reliability of the results, a moving cell of 150 events, with a moving step of 0.1 degree, was adopted. To take advantage of the existing data set, the “mean value method,” which is based on the latest complete data information to make the existing data set a `complete' one, was used to extrapolate it so that the data covers the whole time period. The results show that the average thickness of the seismogenic layer in the southwest, in the northwest and in the east of the Ordos is around 30, 9 and 17?km, respectively. The thickness generally decreases from the southwest to the northeast. This kind of spatial variation is in agreement with the maximum depth distribution of large amounts of microearthquakes, with the correlation coefficient to be about 0.88, and the Moho depth.