Hybrid Estimation of Semivariogram Parameters

Two widely used methods of semivariogram estimation are weighted least squares estimation and maximum likelihood estimation. The former have certain computational advantages, whereas the latter are more statistically efficient. We introduce and study a “hybrid” semivariogram estimation procedure that combines weighted least squares estimation of the range parameter with maximum likelihood estimation of the sill (and nugget) assuming known range, in such a way that the sill-to-range ratio in an exponential semivariogram is estimated consistently under an infill asymptotic regime. We show empirically that such a procedure is nearly as efficient computationally, and more efficient statistically for some parameters, than weighted least squares estimation of all of the semivariogram’s parameters. Furthermore, we demonstrate that standard plug-in (or empirical) spatial predictors and prediction error variances, obtained by replacing the unknown semivariogram parameters with estimates in expressions for the ordinary kriging predictor and kriging variance, respectively, perform better when hybrid estimates are plugged in than when weighted least squares estimates are plugged in. In view of these results and the simplicity of computing the hybrid estimates from weighted least squares estimates, we suggest that software that currently estimates the semivariogram by weighted least squares methods be amended to include hybrid estimation as an option.     

遥感技术在土地利用中的应用

本文利用Aster遥感数字图像,建立了彬县煤矸石电厂评价区各土地利用现状类型的遥感影像特征,采用目视解译和人机交互解译相结合的方法,圈定了土地利用现状类型范围,在此基础上,进行土地利用类型面积统计,总结各土地利用现状的空间分布特征,为了科学地评价电厂建设对生态环境的影响提供了基础依据。     

Impact of climate change on runoff and uncertainty analysis

Natural Hazards - It is necessary to analyze the future runoff changes using a more realistic climate classification scheme. This paper investigates the climate changes and runoff variation by...     

玉龙铜（钼）矿带多霞松多岩体成因：锆石U-Pb年代学和岩石地球化学约束

玉龙铜(钼)矿带的成因机制和动力学背景一直存在争议。本文选择目前研究程度较低的多霞松多岩体, 对该岩体含矿斑岩开展岩相学、年代学、岩石地球化学及锆石Hf同位素分析。研究表明, 多霞松多岩体主要由二长花岗斑岩和碱长花岗斑岩组成, 其中, 二长花岗斑岩的主要造岩矿物为钾长石、斜长石和石英, 碱长花岗斑岩的主要造岩矿物为钾长石和石英。两种岩石属于高钾钙碱性-钾玄质侵入岩, 具有富碱高钾的特征; 亏损Nb、Ti等高场强元素, 富集Rb、Th、U等大离子亲石元素和Pb; 稀土元素含量较高(ΣREE=145.04×10^-6~290.91×10^-6), 富集轻稀土(LREE/HREE=6~37)。铕表现为从二长花岗斑岩的弱负异常(Eu/Eu^*=0.66~0.84)到碱长花岗斑岩的中等负异常(Eu/Eu^*=0.35~0.39)。锆石U-Pb定年显示, 二长花岗斑岩的成岩年龄为38.3±0.6 Ma, 碱长花岗斑岩的成岩年龄为37.8±1.0 Ma, 两者形成时代基本一致, 均属于喜马拉雅期, 表明在多霞松多地区始新世存在一期重要的岩浆热液Cu-Mo成矿事件。多霞松多含矿斑岩的锆石ε_Hf(t)范围在+1.3~+2.6之间。结合元素和同位素地球化学特征, 指示多霞松多含矿斑岩可能来源于亏损地幔分异的新生玄武质下地壳, 受控于印度板块与欧亚板块碰撞诱发的金沙江走滑断裂系统。

     

开鲁盆地奈曼凹陷北部地区下白垩统地层剥蚀量恢复及其对油气藏的影响

恢复地层剥蚀厚度是研究盆地演化史和进行油气资源评价的重要基础工作。奈曼凹陷作为开鲁盆地中一个重要的沉积凹陷,整体勘探程度不高。本文运用地震地层厚度趋势法辅之以构造沉积综合法恢复了奈曼凹陷北部地区下白垩统九佛堂组上段和下段的古地层厚度及地层剥蚀量分布范围;同时结合奈曼地区构造演化特征和沉积相特征确定了奈曼凹陷北部地区的沉降中心位于奈10井区域,明确了九佛堂组时期原始沉积相展布特征。在物源供给方面,北部物源受搬运距离远及剥蚀难以存留的影响未能沉积,主要来自于西部陡坡带发育的扇三角洲相沉积及东部缓坡带发育的辫状河三角洲相沉积。此外,研究还发现奈曼凹陷北部地区下白垩统古地层厚度地质模型特征为北东向受抬升剥蚀最严重,剥蚀范围广,剥蚀厚度大。此次研究对于揭示该区域的构造演化历史及油气成藏过程有一定的参考价值。同时,本次研究方法的应用对于类似沉积盆地的剥蚀量恢复研究也具有借鉴意义。

     

二维有限元大地电磁正演模拟在Matlab上的实现

Matlab高级语言开发平台对矩阵的计算简便快速,并且绘图输出文件方便。以这些特点为契机,在Matlab平台上,讨论利用有限单元法实现二维大地电磁正演的问题,推导出相应的公式,计算地表或海底视电阻率及相位,并与解析解以及主流方法结果对比,证实了本文方法的正确性。     

Spectral features of geomagnetic low point displacement and its mechanism

In this paper,Changli station in Hebei Province was taken as an example,in which the minute data of geomagnetic Z component was used to analyze the spectral values of its main frequencies during normal time,geomagnetic storm time and low point displacement time interval respectively. After fitting of ten high spectral values to loga-rithmic functions,it is found that,by using same length of data,the spectral values at geomagnetic storm time in-crease apparently compared with those at normal time,especially at the high frequency segment. While low point displacement occurred,the spectral values at high frequency are approximate to those at normal time,but at period above 4 hours they are mostly lower than those at normal time. Comparison of accumulating of some FFT results at low point displacement and normal time shows that,spectral values at periods of 8.5 and 13.7 hours increase at low point displacement time relative to those at normal time. Compared with the images of Ne observed at DE-METER satellite,it is illustrated that the occurrence of geomagnetic low point displacement is well corresponding with the increase of Ne in ionosphere. Finally it was discussed about those spectral features and the occurrence mechanism of geomagnetic low point displacement.     

对豫西南两次历史地震的甄别与复核

历史地震调查是核电厂和大型水利枢纽等重大工程建设场地地震安全性评价的重要内容之一。近来，本文作者在参与完成河南核电项目选址阶段地震安全性评价任务的过程中，曾对豫西南地区的历史地震进行过调查。兹将其中两次较为重要的历史地震的甄别与复核结果介绍如下，希望对相关的研究工作和今后修编地震目录有所裨益。     

3D Step-by-step inversion strategy for audio magnetotellurics data based on unstructured mesh

A three-dimensional (3D) step-by-step inversion strategy for audio magnetotellurics(AMT) is investigated in this study.The objective function is minimized by it...     

Periodical mixing of MORB magmas near East Pacific Rise 13°N: Evidence from modeling and zoned plagioclase phenocrysts

Thirty-six basalt samples from near East Pacific Rise 13°N are analyzed for major and trace elements. Different types of zoned plagioclase phenocrysts in basalts are also backscatter imaged, and major element profiles scanned and analyzed for microprobe. Basalts dredged from a restricted area have evolved to different extents (MgO=9.38wt%—6.76wt%). High MgO basalts are modeled for crystalliza-tion to MgO of about 7wt%, and resulted in the Ni contents (≈28 ppm) that are generally lower than that in observed basalts (>60 ppm). It suggests that low MgO basalts may have experienced more intensive magma mixing. High MgO (9.38wt%) basalt is modeled for self-"mixing-crystallization", and the high Ni contents in low MgO basalts can be generated in small scale and periodical self-mixing of new magma (high MgO). "Mixing-crystallization" processes that low MgO magmas experienced accord with recent 226Ra/230Th disequilibria studies for magma residence time, in which low MgO magmas have experi-enced more circles of "mixing-crystallization" in relatively longer residence time. Magma mixing is not homogeneous in magma chamber, however, low MgO magmas are closer to stable composition pro-duced by periodical "mixing-crystallization", which is also an important reason for magma diversity in East Pacific Rise. Zoned plagioclase phenocrysts can be divided into two types: with and without high An# cores, both of which have multiple reversed An# zones, suggesting periodical mixing of their host magmas. Cores of zoned plagioclase in low MgO (7.45wt%) basalt differ significantly with their mantle in An#, but are similar in An# with microlite cores (products of equilibrium crystallization) in high MgO (9.38wt%) basalt, which further shows that plagioclase phenocryst cores in low MgO basalts may have formed in their parental magmas before entering into the magma chamber.