几种亚洲季风指数与中国夏季主要雨型的关联

首先采用EOF方法分析了中国夏季降水的主要特征 ,其第一 (EOF1 )和第二 (EOF2 )特征向量及其时间序列 (EOF1 - T、EOF2 T)基本上反映了中国夏季 1 (或 3)类和 2类主要雨型的空间和时间分布 ;进一步建立了EOF1、EOF2及其对应的时间序列EOF1 - T、EOF2- T与季风指数的关联 ,以及中国夏季主要雨型与季风指数直接的关联。结果表明 :各季风指数都对中国夏季的 1类雨型有较好的反映能力 ,都对 2类雨型无反映能力 ,仅学者施能定义的指数对 3类雨型有一定的反映能力。     

广东三水盆地古近系心组生油层的元素地球化学特征

沉积物的元素地球化学特征是对沉积盆地水体环境以及古气候条件变化的响应。本文根据元素（Al、Fe、Mg、Ca、K、Na、P、V、Ni、Co、Cr、Cu、Zn、Sr、Ba、Cd、Li、Mn、Pb、Ti）的含量及其比值（Al/Ti、Fe/Mn、Sr/Ba、Mg/Ca、Sr/Ca、Na/Ca、V/Cr、Ni/Co、Ni/V）的变化，对三水盆地古近系心组红岗段生油层的沉积条件进行了系统分析。心组红岗段下部（亚段A）表现为较稳定的地球化学特征。各元素丰度及其比值指示这一时期陆源输入持续较高、且物源组成变化不大。由于海水入侵的影响，湖盆水体盐度相对较高，底部水体以弱氧化条件为主，O₂-H₂S界面位于水/沉积物界面附近。红岗段中上部（亚段B、C）的元素地球化学特征变化较为频繁且幅度很大，反映古气候和湖盆沉积条件的迅速变迁。在潮湿气候条件下，沉积物的地球化学特征表现为以Al、Ti为代表的外源元素含量及其比值较高，而Mg、Ca等盆内化学沉积元素含量较低。古氧气指标指示底部水体为还原环境，有利于有机质保存。因而，相应于较高的有机碳含量。在间歇性干旱时期，陆源输入减少，外源元素含量及其比值显著降低。随着蒸发作用的加强，水体盐度加大，内源元素丰度以及Mg/Ca、Sr/Ba、Sr/Ca和Na/Ca比值大幅度上升。底部水体为氧化环境，O₂-H₂S界面多位于水/沉积物界面或沉积物中。上述两种气候条件在红岗段中上部沉积时期交替出现。红岗段沉积后期由于淡水的长期输入，湖水出现逐渐淡化趋势。     

近年秋季南美沿岸海表温度周期性下降对ＥＮＳＯ事件的可能影响

文章分析了1950年以来赤道南美沿岸海表温度变化特点，发现1999年以来，Nino1＋2区海表温度的年变化振幅呈增大趋势，使得赤道东太平洋东北地区每年出现周期性降温，这主要是由秋季月平均SST最低值偏低造成，这种长时间持续偏低是1950年以来首次出现。进一步的分析表明，近年来南美沿岸海表温度在秋季的周期性下降可能对ENS0暖事件发生产生了影响，使得2002／2003ENS0暖事件成为20世纪50年代以粜由玲事件向瞎事件转换历时最长的一次．     

气候变化国家评估报告(Ⅰ):中国气候变化的历史和未来趋势

The climate change in China shows a considerable similarity to the global change, though there still exist some significant differences between them. In the context of the global warming, the annual mean surface air temperature in the country as a whole has significantly increased for the past 50 years and 100 years, with the range of temperature increase slightly greater than that in the globe. The change in precipitation trends for the last 50 and 100 years was not significant, but since 1956 it has assumed a weak increasing trend. The frequency and intensity of main extreme weather and climate events have also undergone a significant change. The researches show that the atmospheric CO2 concentration in China has continuously increased and the sum of positive radiative forcings produced by greenhouse gases is probably responsible for the country-wide climate warming for the past 100 years, especially for the past 50 years. The projections of climate change for the 21st century using global and regional climate models indicate that, in the future 20-100 years, the surface air temperature will continue to increase and the annual precipitation also has an increasing trend for most parts of the country.     

The impact of boundary on the fractional advection–dispersion equation for solute transport in soil: Defining the fractional dispersive flux with the Caputo derivatives

The inherent heterogeneity of geological media often results in anomalous dispersion for solute transport through them, and how to model it has been an interest over the past few decades. One promising approach that has been increasingly used to simulate the anomalous transport in surface and subsurface water is the fractional advection–dispersion equation (FADE), derived as a special case of the more general continuous time random walk or the stochastic continuum model. In FADE, the dispersion is not local and the solutes have appreciable probability to move long distances, and thus reach the boundary faster than predicted by the classical advection–dispersion equation (ADE). How to deal with different boundaries associated with FADE and their consequent impact is an issue that has not been thoroughly explored. In this paper we address this by taking one-dimensional solute movement in soil columns as an example. We show that the commonly used FADE with its fractional derivatives defined by the Riemann–Liouville definition is problematic and could result in unphysical results for solute transport in bounded domains; a modified method with the fractional dispersive flux defined by the Caputo derivatives is presented to overcome this problem. A finite volume approach is given to numerically solve the modified FADE and its associated boundaries. With the numerical model, we analyse the inlet-boundary treatment in displacement experiments in soil columns, and find that, as in ADE, treating the inlet as a prescribed concentration boundary gives rise to mass-balance errors and such errors could be more significant in FADE because of its non-local dispersion. We also discuss a less-documented but important issue in hydrology: how to treat the upstream boundary in analysing the lateral movement of tracer in an aquifer when the tracer is injected as a pulse. It is shown that the use of an infinite domain, as commonly assumed in literature, leads to unphysical backward dispersion, which has a significant impact on data interpretation. To avoid this, the upstream boundary should be flux-prescribed and located at the upstream edge of the injecting point. We apply the model to simulate the movement of Cl⁻ in a tracer experiment conducted in a saturated hillslope, and analyse in details the significance of upstream-boundary treatments in parameter estimation.     

“九五”的回顾、“十五”的借鉴

本文通过回顾“九五”期间重点项目“震情监视和应急指挥系统”建设的实践,就“十 五”项目建设中可能遇到、值得注意的几个问题谈几点认识。认为在技术系统设计中, 基础设施建设要有前瞻性,在实施过程中,要时刻关注并采用最新科技成果,同时要注 意适用性。前期要开展的网络布线最好采用主干光纤的方案,以满足宽带高速网络的 应用。在对外合作时,要切实做到以我为主,主动地参与、共同开发,既要从中学习,又 要检查、督促合作开发的进程,当好“监理”;同时要随时帮助合作伙伴解决开发中所遇 到的困难和问题。要特别注意人才的培养,尤其是青年科技人才的培养。     

1-D and 2-D analyses of weak motion data in Fraser Delta from 1966 Duvall earthquake

The 1996 Duvall earthquake in Washington State triggered ground motion stations in the Fraser Delta, British Columbia, located on varying depths of Holocene and Pleistocene soils to a maximum depth of 800 m and one station on bedrock. Recorded ground motions were used to examine the applicability of 1-D and 2-D site response analyses for amplification studies in the Delta. 1-D response analysis gave a good indication of the period of peak response. Response spectra computed by 1-D analysis did not compare well with recorded spectra except at very deep sites. The use of 2-D analyses to include buried topography generally improved the predictions of site response spectra at the shallow sites. However, for the shallow earth sites, the recorded motions showed a strong spectral response at short periods in the range of 0.1–0.25 s. Neither 1-D nor 2-D analysis predicted this response.     

A new type of interaction between generalized Chaplygin gas and dark matter

In this paper, we investigate the model with a new type of interaction between generalized Chaplygin gas (GCG) and dark matter. It is shown that there exists a stable scaling attractor, which provides the possibility to alleviate the coincidence problem. The equation of state (EoS) of GCG approaches the attractor phase from either w _g >?1 or w _g w _g w _g w _g >?1), and next cross again the phantom divide (the transition from w _g >?1 to w _g Q can change its sign from Q<0 to Q>0 as the universe expands, which is different from the usual interaction. Moreover, we investigate the model from statefinder viewpoint. The statefinder diagnostic can not only discriminate the model with different coupling constant but also distinguish the model from other dark energy models.     

Study on Effects of Low Viscosity Fluid Pre-injection on Hydraulic Fracture Complexity in Tight Heterogeneous Glutenite Reservoirs

Tight heterogeneous glutenite reservoir is typically not easy to form complex hydraulic fracture (HF) due to its poor physical properties, poor matrix seepage capacity, and small limit discharge radius and undeveloped natural fracture system. To improve the HF complexity and the stimulated reservoir volume (SRV), a novel stimulation technology called CO₂ miscible fracturing has been introduced and its fracturing mechanism has been studied. The CO₂ miscible fracturing modifies the in situ stress field by injecting low viscosity fluid to increase the HF complexity and SRV. Therefore, a series of numerical simulations based on a hydro-mechanical-damage model were carried out to study the effects of low viscosity fluid pre-injection on pore pressure, stress field, and fracturing effect in tight heterogeneous glutenite reservoirs. The results indicate that the low viscosity fluid injection can effectively increase the pore pressure around the wellbore and reduce the effective stress of the glutenite. The FCI and SRV increase with the increase of the pre-injection amount of the low viscosity fluid. The HF complexity and SRV can be improved by pre-injecting low viscosity fluid to transform the in situ stress field. The field application of this technology in a well of Shengli Oilfield showed that low-viscosity fluid pre-injection can effectively increase the width of the fractured zone, improve the SRV, and optimize the fracturing effect.

     

鄂西宜昌地区页岩气勘探发现对MVT铅锌矿成矿的指示意义

油气成藏和有机质参与金属成矿的内在联系是近年来国内外地学界关注的热点问题.根据流体包裹体岩相学观察和激光拉曼光谱分析,在鄂西宜昌地区震旦系陡山沱组和下寒武统牛蹄塘组页岩储层及震旦系灯影组MVT（Mississippi Valley type）铅锌矿床中发现了高密度甲烷包裹体,并利用甲烷包裹体的甲烷拉曼散射峰v₁计算了甲烷包裹体的密度;同时采用Rb-Sr、Sm-Nd同位素定年确定了MVT铅锌矿成矿年代.鄂阳页1井陡山沱组页岩石英脉和何家坪MVT铅锌矿方解石样品中甲烷包裹体密度分别为0.237~0.278 g/cm3和0.213~0.271 g/cm3,属于高密度甲烷包裹体.何家坪铅锌矿共生矿物闪锌矿和方铅矿的Rb-Sr等时线年龄为189.1±1.8 Ma,方解石的Sm-Nd等时线年龄为189.9±2.0 Ma,指示铅锌矿形成于燕山早期的构造挤压运动;共生矿物的初始87Sr/86Sr值（0.711 92）和方解石的初始87Sr/86Sr值（0.712 03~0.712 27）指示何家坪铅锌矿成矿流体的Sr同位素主要来源于页岩层.何家坪铅锌矿中捕获的以流体包裹体形式存在的高密度甲烷流体最有可能来源于陡山沱组页岩和/或牛蹄塘组页岩内高密度超压甲烷流体.页岩气层和MVT铅锌矿中高密度甲烷包裹体的发现及MVT铅锌矿成矿时间的确定为探讨有机质参与MVT铅锌矿成矿提供了新证据.