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41.
An important task in modern geostatistics is the assessment and quantification of resource and reserve uncertainty. This uncertainty
is valuable support information for many management decisions. Uncertainty at specific locations and uncertainty in the global
resource is of interest. There are many different methods to build models of uncertainty, including Kriging, Cokriging, and
Inverse Distance. Each method leads to different results. A method is proposed to combine local uncertainties predicted by
different models to obtain a combined measure of uncertainty that combines good features of each alternative. The new estimator
is the overlap of alternate conditional distributions. 相似文献
42.
A continuous/discontinuous Galerkin framework for modeling coupled subsurface and surface water flow
Clint Dawson 《Computational Geosciences》2008,12(4):451-472
We consider conjunctive surface-subsurface flow modeling, where surface water flow is described by the shallow water equations
and ground water flow by Richards’ equation for the vadose zone. Coupling between the models is based on the continuity of
flux and water pressure. Numerical approximation of the coupled model using the framework of discontinuous Galerkin (DG) methods
is formulated. In the subsurface, the local discontinuous Galerkin (LDG) method is used to approximate ground water velocity
and hydraulic head; a DG method is also used to approximate surface water velocity and elevation. This approach allows for
a weak coupling of the models and the use of different approximating spaces and/or meshes within each regime. A simplified
LDG method based on continuous approximations to water head is also described. Numerical results that investigate physical
and numerical aspects of surface–subsurface flow modeling are presented.
This work was supported by National Science Foundation grant DMS-0411413. 相似文献
43.
Groundwater resources in the Jabal Al Hass region,northwest Syria: an assessment of past use and future potential 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
In many cases, the development of groundwater resources to boost agricultural production in dry areas has led to a continuous decline in groundwater levels; this has called into question the sustainability of such exploitation. In developing countries, limited budgets and scarce hydrological data often do not allow groundwater resources to be assessed through groundwater modeling. A case study is presented of a low-cost water-balance approach to groundwater resource assessments in a 1,550 km2 semi-arid region in northwestern Syria. The past development of irrigated agriculture and its effect on the groundwater system were studied by analysis of Landsat images and long-term groundwater level changes, respectively. All components of the groundwater balance were determined. Groundwater recharge was estimated using the chloride mass balance method. Over the past three decades, groundwater levels have declined, on average, 23 m, coinciding with a two-fold increase in the groundwater-irrigated area. Groundwater resources are currently depleted by a value that lies between 9.5×106 and 118×106 m3 year?1, which is larger than can be compensated for by a future decrease in natural discharge or changes in boundary conditions. However, groundwater resources are likely to be sufficient to supply domestic and livestock needs in the area. 相似文献
44.
45.
Makoto Yamano Masataka Kinoshita Shusaku Goto 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2008,97(2):345-352
Thirty-three new measurements on the seaward slope and outer rise of the Japan Trench along a parallel of 38°45′N revealed
the existence of high heat flow anomalies on the subducting Pacific plate, where the seafloor age is about 135 m.y.. The most
prominent anomaly with the highest value of 114 mW/m2 is associated with a small mound on the outer rise, which was reported to be a kind of mud volcano. On the seaward slope
of the trench, heat flow is variable: high (70–90 mW/m2) at some locations and normal for the seafloor age (about 50 mW/m2) at others. The spatial variation of heat flow may be related to development of normal faults and horst/graben structures
due to bending of the Pacific plate before subduction, with fluid flow along the fault zones enhancing the vertical heat transfer.
Possible heat sources of the high heat flow anomalies are intra-plate volcanism in the last several million years like that
discovered recently on the Pacific plate east of the Japan Trench. 相似文献
46.
Large-scale ancient landslides of the area of more than 5 km2 and volume exceeding 200 × 106 m3 are characteristic features of the valleys incised in the northern periphery of the Crimean Mountains (Ukraine). The largely
affected area is located in the outermost cuesta range of the Crimean Mountains which consists of rigid Sarmatian limestones
overlying weak Middle Miocene and Upper Palaeogene deposits. A giant landslide arose in the Alma water gap as a reflection
of several coincident preparatory factors such as suitable bedrock stratification, smectite-rich bedrock exposed to swelling
activity, presence of faults parallel to the valley trend, and river capture event which preceded the landslide event. The
occurrence of such ancient megaslides is particularly interesting in the area which is characterized by low precipitation
(<500 mm/year) and weak contemporary seismicity. It probably reflects a more dynamic environment in humid phases of the Holocene;
however, seismic triggering along the Mesozoic suture zone cannot be rejected. Compressional features such as gravitational
folds in the central and distal parts of the landslide, which probably correlate with the whole landslide genesis or its significant
reactivation, arose, according to the radiocarbon dating, during the Holocene climatic optimum in the Atlantic period. The
slope deformation has been relatively quiescent since that time, except minor historic reactivization which took place in
the frontal part of the landslide. We suppose that the studied landslide could be classified as a transitional type of slope
deformation with some signs of spreading and translational block slides. 相似文献
47.
Inversely-Mapped Analytical Solutions for Flow Patterns around and within Inclined Elliptic Inclusions in Fluid-Saturated Rocks 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Chongbin Zhao Bruce E. Hobbs Alison Ord Shenglin Peng Liangming Liu 《Mathematical Geosciences》2008,40(2):179-197
In this paper, an inverse mapping is used to transform the previously-derived analytical solutions from a local elliptical
coordinate system into a conventional Cartesian coordinate system. This enables a complete set of exact analytical solutions
to be derived rigorously for the pore-fluid velocity, stream function, and excess pore-fluid pressure around and within buried
inclined elliptic inclusions in pore-fluid-saturated porous rocks. To maximize the application range of the derived analytical
solutions, the focal distance of an ellipse is used to represent the size of the ellipse, while the length ratio of the long
axis to the short one is used to represent the geometrical shape of the ellipse. Since the present analytical solutions are
expressed in a conventional Cartesian coordinate system, it is convenient to investigate, both qualitatively and quantitatively,
the distribution patterns of the pore-fluid flow and excess pressure around and within many different families of buried inclined
elliptic inclusions. The major advantage in using the present analytical solution is that they can be conveniently computed
in a global Cartesian coordinate system, which is widely used in many scientific and engineering computations. As an application
example, the present analytical solutions have been used to investigate how the dip angle of an inclined elliptic inclusion
affects the distribution patterns of the pore-fluid flow and excess pore-fluid pressure when the permeability ratio of the
elliptic inclusion is of finite but nonzero values. 相似文献
48.
49.
离散裂隙渗流方法与裂隙化渗透介质建模 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:4
流体渗流模拟的连续介质方法通常适用于多孔地质体,并不一定适用于裂隙岩体,由于裂隙分布及其特征与孔隙差异较大。若流体渗流主要受裂隙的控制,对于一定尺寸的裂隙岩体,多孔介质假设则较难刻划裂隙岩体的渗流特征。离散裂隙渗流方法不但可直接用于模拟裂隙岩体非均质性和各向异性等渗流特征,而且可用其确定所研究的裂隙岩体典型单元体及其水力传导(渗透)张量大小。主要讨论了以下问题:(1)饱和裂隙介质中一般的离散流体渗流模拟;(2)裂隙岩体中的REV(典型单元体)及其水力传导(渗透)张量的确定;(3)利用离散裂隙网络流体渗流模型研究裂隙方向几何参数对水力传导系数和REV的影响;(4)在二维和三维离散裂隙流体渗流模型中对区域大裂隙和局部小裂隙的处理方法。调查结果显示离散裂隙流体渗流数学模型可用来评价不同尺度上的裂隙岩体的水力特征,以及裂隙方向对裂隙化岩体的水力特征有着不可忽视的影响。同时,局部小裂隙、区域大裂隙应当区别对待,以便据其所起的作用及水力特征,建立裂隙化岩体相应的流体渗流模型。 相似文献
50.
Peter G. Verity 《Estuaries and Coasts》2002,25(5):944-960
The Skidaway River estuary is a tidally-dominated subtropical estuary in the southeastern USA surrounded by extensiveSpartina salt marshes. Weekly smapling at high and low tide began in 1986 for hydrography, nutrients, chlorophylla, particulate matter, and microbial and plankton biomass and composition; hydrographic and nutrient data during 1986–1996
are reported here. Salinity varied inversely with river discharge and exhibited variability at all time scales but with no
long-term trend. Water temperature typically ranged over 25°C and was without apparent long-term frend. Seasonal cycles in
concentrations of NO3, NH4, PO4, Si(OH)4, and DON were observed, with annual maxima generally occurring in late summer. Superimposed on seasonal cycles, all five
nutrients exhibited steady increases in minimum, mean, and maximum concentrations; mean concentrations increased c. 50–150%
during the decade. Nutrient concentrations were highly correlated with water temperature over the ten-year period, but weakly
related to salinity and discharge. Nutrients were strongly correlated with one another, and the relative ratios among inorganic
nutrients showed little long-term trend. Correlations among temperature and nutrient concentrations exhibited considerable
inter-annual variability. Major spikes in organic and inorganic nutrient concentrations coincided with significant rainfall
events; concentrations increased hyperbolically with rainfall. Although pristine compared to more heavily impacted waterways
primarily outside the region, residential development and population density have been increasing rapidly during the past
15–20 years. Land use is apparently altering nutrient loading over the long-term (months-years), and superimposed on this
are stochastic meteorological events that accelerate these changes over the short term (days-weeks). 相似文献