上海城市空间结构的复杂性分析

本文研究了上海市空间结构的复杂性。研究发现与经典的城市空间结构模式不同 ,上海的空间结构表现出复杂性。这些复杂性包括商业重心与 CBD分离 ;城市产业带存在多重结构 ;城市出现递阶行为上的边缘城市 ,它们的分布具有类似混沌的特点。本文对伯吉斯 (Brugess)以来的城市标准模式提出修正。     

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山东省肥城断块岩溶水系统地下水水化学特征及演化分析

地下水是肥城地区最主要的供水水源,近年来受到工农业生产、煤矿开采、闭坑、矿井排水等人类活动影响,肥城地区地下水动力场及化学场都发生了变化,为查明地下水的环境质量状况,文章在研究水文地质调查和样品采集分析基础上,综合运用数理统计方法、水化学方法（Piper三线图、Gibbs模型、矿物饱和指数、离子比例分析）等,探讨肥城断块地下水水化学特征及演化规律。结果表明：（1）研究区地下水均呈弱碱性,$ {\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a}}^{2+} $、$ {\mathrm{M}\mathrm{g}}^{2+} $、$ {{\mathrm{H}\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{3}}^{-} $和$ {\mathrm{S}\mathrm{O}}_{4}^{2-} $为主要离子,主要来源于方解石、白云石及石膏溶解;矿物饱和指数表明方解石和白云石绝大多数处于饱和状态,石膏和岩盐矿物呈溶解未饱和状态。（2）区内岩溶水化学类型主要为$ {\mathrm{H}\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{3}-\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a}\left(\mathrm{M}\mathrm{g}\right) $型,其次为$ {\mathrm{H}\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{3}·{\mathrm{S}\mathrm{O}}_{4}-\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a} $型和$ {\mathrm{H}\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{3}·\mathrm{C}\mathrm{l}-\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a} $型。孔隙水主要为$ {\mathrm{S}\mathrm{O}}_{4}·{\mathrm{H}\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{3}-\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a} $型、局部出现$ {\mathrm{S}\mathrm{O}}_{4}{·\mathrm{N}\mathrm{O}}_{3}-\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a} $型。河流水化学类型相对复杂,包括$ {\mathrm{S}\mathrm{O}}_{4}·{\mathrm{H}\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{3}-\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a}·\mathrm{N}\mathrm{a} $型、$ \mathrm{C}\mathrm{l}·{\mathrm{S}\mathrm{O}}_{4}-\mathrm{C}\mathrm{a}·\mathrm{N}\mathrm{a} $型等。（3）区内地下水中$ {\mathrm{C}\mathrm{l}}^{-} $、$ {\mathrm{S}\mathrm{O}}_{4}^{2-} $和$ {\mathrm{N}\mathrm{O}}_{3}^{-} $含量相比1999年、2013年显著升高。裂隙水及岩溶水水质整体较好,局部呈点状变差,孔隙水及河水水质普遍较差,影响区域地下水水质的主要因素有化肥施用、禽畜养殖、生活污水下渗以及煤矿排水等。     

Lake Area Changes and the main causes in the hinterland of Badain Jaran Desert during 1973–2010, China

Lake area information in the Badain Jaran Desert in 1973, 1990, 2000, and 2010 was obtained by visual interpretation and water index analysis of remote sensing images, based on the spatial and temporal characteristics of lake area changes during 37 years. Results indicated that the number of lakes declined from 94 to 82 and the total surface area was reduced by 3.69 km² during 1973–2010. The desert lake area reduced by different degrees in different periods, but this occurred most rapidly during 1973–1990. According to the statistics of lake area changes, lake area decreases mainly occurred in the lakes with areas less than 0.2 km², while the areas of lakes greater than 0.9 km² only fluctuated. The changes of lake areas were probably due to changes in the quantity of underground water supplies rather than the effects of local climate change or human factors.     

Long-term statistics of extreme tsunami height at Crescent City

Historically, Crescent City is one of the most vulnerable communities impacted by tsunamis along the west coast of the United States, largely attributed to its offshore geography. Trans-ocean tsunamis usually produce large wave runup at Crescent Harbor resulting in catastrophic damages, property loss and human death. How to determine the return values of tsunami height using relatively short-term observation data is of great significance to assess the tsunami hazards and improve engineering design along the coast of Crescent City. In the present study, the extreme tsunami heights observed along the coast of Crescent City from 1938 to 2015 are fitted using six different probabilistic distributions, namely, the Gumbel distribution, the Weibull distribution, the maximum entropy distribution, the lognormal distribution, the generalized extreme value distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution. The maximum likelihood method is applied to estimate the parameters of all above distributions. Both Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and root mean square error method are utilized for goodness-of-fit test and the better fitting distribution is selected. Assuming that the occurrence frequency of tsunami in each year follows the Poisson distribution, the Poisson compound extreme value distribution can be used to fit the annual maximum tsunami amplitude, and then the point and interval estimations of return tsunami heights are calculated for structural design. The results show that the Poisson compound extreme value distribution fits tsunami heights very well and is suitable to determine the return tsunami heights for coastal disaster prevention.     

汉江上游郧县段黄土古土壤序列风化成壤特征以及成壤环境演变

对汉江上游进行野外实地详细调查,在湖北省郧县尚家河台地前沿发现了典型的全新世黄土-古土壤沉积剖面,通过粒度、磁化率、吸湿水和烧失量分析表明,黏粒、细粉砂、磁化率、吸湿水和烧失量在古土壤层S₀出现高值,在L₁、L_t、L₀为低值;而粗粉砂、细砂粒和粗砂粒在S₀为低值,在L₁、L_t、L₀为高值。这些指标的变化说明了全新世以来的气候和成壤环境的变化特征,即在古土壤S₀形成时期,气候温暖湿润,成壤作用非常强烈;黄土堆积时期气候相对干旱,成壤作用较弱。     

麻城1932年6．0级地震区地球物理场与深部环境研究

研究了麻城地区重、磁异常场特征，经反演计算获得了深部结构特征。对重力布格异常利用Ｐａｒｋｅｒ－Ｏｌｄｅｎｂｕｒｇ快速位场反演方法计算出莫霍面的展布，对航磁异常利用对数功率谱法和矩谱法计算出居里面深度。在此基础上，探讨该震区深部蕴震条件。主要结论是：①麻城－团凤断裂带为该区切割较深的主要控震构造；②１９３２年麻城６．０级地震发生在区域重力异常等值线梯度最大处，磁力异常区两局部正异常间的低值带，莫霍面及居里面隆起区边缘；③发震部位有其特定的深部蕴震构造及应力蕴震条件。     

Storage and density of soil organic carbon in urban topsoil of hilly cities: A case study of Chongqing Municipality of China

Rapid urbanization results in the conversion of natural soil to urban soil,and consequently,the storage and density of the soil carbon pools change.Taking Chongqing Municipality of China as a study case,this investigation attempts to better understand soil carbon pools in hilly cities.First,the vegetated areas in the study area were derived from QuickBird images.Then,topsoil data from 220 soil samples(0-20 cm) in the vegetated areas were collected and their soil organic carbon(SOC) densities were analyzed.Using the Kriging interpolation method,the spatial pattern of SOC was estimated.The results show that the SOC density exhibited high spatial variability in the urban topsoil of Chongqing.First,the SOC density in topsoil decreased according to slope in the order 2°-6° < 25°-90° < 0°-2° < 6°-15° < 15°-25°.Second,the newly developed areas during 2001-2010 had a lower SOC density than the areas built before 1988.Third,urban parks and gardens had a higher SOC density in topsoil,residential green land followed,and scattered street green land ranked last.For hilly cities,the variability of terrain affects the distribution of SOC.The Kriging results indicate that Kriging method combining slope with SOC density produced a high level of accuracy.The Kriging results show that the SOC density to the north of the Jialing River was higher than the south.The vegetated areas were estimated to amount to 73.5 km2 across the study area with an SOC storage of 0.192 Tg and an average density of 2.61 kg/m2.     

城市公共服务设施与人口是否匹配?——基于社区生活圈的评估

公共服务设施是城市社会服务最基本的承载体,公共服务设施分配的公平与否,事关城市健康发展和社会公正运行.目前由于城市微观尺度人口数据的缺失,鲜有研究将供给侧(公共服务设施)与需求侧(人口)统一起来.鉴于此,论文以互联网地图API为支撑,建立了5min、10 min、15min三个层级的社区生活圈,并模拟了高分辨率、高精度...     

上海市三甲医院对周边地区住房价格的空间影响效应分析

选取上海市区7家三级甲等综合性医院,运用特征价格模型和多元回归分析方法,实证分析它们对周边住宅价格的空间影响效应。研究结果显示：① 总体上,相比其他环境区位因素,三甲医院对周边住宅价格的影响程度较小,而建筑面积、物业管理费、学区房、轨道交通、建筑楼高、至 CBD 的距离等因素的影响程度较大。② 三甲综合医院对周边住宅价格产生负面影响。在相同情况下,住宅离医院距离越近,则价格越低。住宅与医院的距离每缩短50 m,住宅价格平均下浮0.602%。③ 由于三甲综合医院区位各不相同,距离CBD远近不一,对住宅价格的影响也存在空间差异。一般来说,距离CBD越近,住宅价格受医院的负面影响也越小。